Brexit Party Target Seats

Below are lists of Brexit Party target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.

Brexit Party Target Seats 2024

Below is the list of Brexit Party target seats for the 2024 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Brexit Party held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

(order by percentage majority)

RankConstituencyRegionMajoritySwing Needed
1.Barnsley EastYorkshire and the Humber3,2174.23%
2.Barnsley CentralYorkshire and the Humber3,5714.84%
3.HartlepoolNorth East4,8615.92%
4.Doncaster NorthYorkshire and the Humber7,44612.47%
5.EasingtonNorth East8,97912.98%
6.South ShieldsNorth East10,82714.29%
7.Blaenau GwentWales8,64714.31%
8.IslwynWales10,52215.32%
9.RotherhamYorkshire and the Humber8,61115.40%
10.Hull West and HessleYorkshire and the Humber7,74615.60%
11.TorfaenWales9,80416.31%
12.CaerphillyWales13,52816.86%
13.CeredigionWales13,14517.00%
14.Houghton and Sunderland SouthNorth East10,04517.41%
15.JarrowNorth East14,24117.48%
16.Hull EastYorkshire and the Humber6,94917.60%
17.Hull NorthYorkshire and the Humber12,26217.93%
18.Washington and Sunderland WestNorth East10,50218.07%
19.Doncaster CentralYorkshire and the Humber9,79618.08%
20.Wentworth and DearneYorkshire and the Humber9,72318.19%
21.BlaydonNorth East13,96118.45%
22.WiganNorth West15,08318.55%
23.Normanton, Pontefract and CastlefordYorkshire and the Humber10,26518.63%
24.Rother ValleyYorkshire and the Humber15,70619.28%
25.NeathWales12,73619.31%
26.Tyneside NorthNorth East19,79720.30%
27.St Helens NorthNorth West19,47420.47%
28.LlanelliWales12,52020.53%
29.Merthyr Tydfil and RhymneyWales13,30920.64%
30.OgmoreWales14,61120.64%
31.Cynon ValleyWales12,48820.65%
32.RhonddaWales12,38220.89%
33.MakerfieldNorth West14,13721.23%
34.HemsworthYorkshire and the Humber10,53021.30%
35.Edinburgh North and LeithScotland25,36721.37%
36.Don ValleyYorkshire and the Humber13,36221.42%
37.Swansea EastWales14,56321.68%
38.Durham NorthNorth East13,94621.81%
39.PontypriddWales14,46421.96%
40.AberavonWales13,90022.00%
41.MiddlesbroughNorth East15,03922.05%
42.Sheffield HeeleyYorkshire and the Humber17,93722.06%
43.BassetlawEast Midlands22,71222.34%
44.AshfieldEast Midlands16,73022.45%
45.Linlithgow and Falkirk EastScotland24,29422.55%
46.RochdaleNorth West20,60823.06%
47.Ross, Skye and LochaberScotland18,55323.27%
48.Sheffield Brightside and HillsboroughYorkshire and the Humber18,51423.38%
49.Swansea WestWales16,51023.43%
50.Edinburgh South WestScotland24,20523.45%
51.StockportNorth West19,77723.70%
52.Sunderland CentralNorth East13,28923.75%
53.Hampstead and KilburnLondon27,39623.87%
54.Oldham West and RoytonNorth West21,26323.93%
55.Newcastle upon Tyne NorthNorth East17,02323.95%
56.St Helens South and WhistonNorth West24,10423.95%
57.Wythenshawe and Sale EastNorth West21,13824.00%
58.GlenrothesScotland19,95824.02%
59.Ynys MonWales10,77524.09%
60.Salford and EcclesNorth West24,46524.16%
61.Leeds North WestYorkshire and the Humber22,66724.18%
62.Leeds WestYorkshire and the Humber19,50124.21%
63.Cardiff WestWales22,28924.48%
64.Penistone and StocksbridgeYorkshire and the Humber19,38824.59%
65.Birmingham YardleyWest Midlands21,13324.76%
66.Durham, City ofNorth East17,27925.08%
67.Cardiff South and PenarthWales25,38325.09%
68.Sheffield South EastYorkshire and the Humber14,88125.22%
69.Dundee WestScotland21,08425.35%
70.Newcastle upon Tyne CentralNorth East19,02625.39%
71.Great GrimsbyYorkshire and the Humber15,77225.51%
72.Nottingham SouthEast Midlands24,57425.53%
73.Aberdeen NorthScotland19,19725.66%
74.Bermondsey and Old SouthwarkLondon30,10625.68%
75.Norwich SouthEast of England26,11025.84%
76.Ealing Central and ActonLondon27,46825.85%
77.WarleyWest Midlands19,43226.09%
78.York CentralYorkshire and the Humber25,83326.09%
79.Denton and ReddishNorth West16,27826.18%
80.Sefton CentralNorth West26,82926.36%
81.ChesterfieldEast Midlands13,40026.44%
82.Dwyfor MeirionnyddWales12,67126.50%
83.StreathamLondon30,35226.85%
84.BolsoverEast Midlands17,64026.86%
85.Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and StrathspeyScotland25,16926.87%
86.Islington South and FinsburyLondon25,76126.94%
87.Bolton South EastNorth West18,54826.97%
88.Leeds North EastYorkshire and the Humber27,25526.99%
89.BarkingLondon24,03327.00%
90.Luton SouthEast of England20,18627.17%
91.Greenwich and WoolwichLondon28,95727.26%
92.Oxford EastSouth East26,98927.34%
93.Blackley and BroughtonNorth West21,15127.38%
94.TootingLondon30,34927.43%
95.VauxhallLondon30,97427.49%
96.Norfolk NorthEast of England28,05327.60%
97.HaltonNorth West25,60327.71%
98.BirkenheadNorth West23,50127.76%
99.Leeds CentralYorkshire and the Humber27,41427.81%
100.SedgefieldNorth East16,09127.85%
101.Brighton PavilionSouth East32,38127.92%
102.HammersmithLondon29,10028.00%
103.Birmingham Selly OakWest Midlands26,27828.03%
104.Leeds EastYorkshire and the Humber16,48328.04%
105.Glasgow SouthScotland22,31328.05%
106.CambridgeEast of England24,73528.10%
107.Westminster NorthLondon22,82228.11%
108.SloughSouth East27,98928.11%
109.Hornsey and Wood GreenLondon34,36328.12%
110.HoveSouth East31,76528.16%
111.BuckinghamSouth East35,74928.17%
112.PrestonNorth West19,07128.22%
113.BurnleyNorth West12,35828.23%
114.Lewisham EastLondon25,42728.37%
115.Stretford and UrmstonNorth West28,42728.39%
116.Bradford EastYorkshire and the Humber25,12528.43%
117.Bristol SouthSouth West25,57028.46%
118.Nottingham NorthEast Midlands14,65128.77%
119.Carmarthen East and DinefwrWales13,62828.83%
120.Bristol EastSouth West25,83628.84%
121.Ashton-under-LyneNorth West15,39328.85%
122.Mitcham and MordenLondon26,76229.25%
123.BlackburnNorth West26,27029.36%
124.Ealing SouthallLondon24,81129.39%
125.Cardiff CentralWales24,59929.41%
126.Stalybridge and HydeNorth West15,43429.48%
127.Lewisham West and PengeLondon30,80029.56%
128.BathSouth West27,77729.64%
129.Birmingham Perry BarrWest Midlands25,21229.91%
130.WallaseyNorth West27,86429.97%
131.Orkney and ShetlandScotland9,48130.11%
132.Brentford and IsleworthLondon28,10130.15%
133.Kirkcaldy and CowdenbeathScotland15,43630.19%
134.RedcarNorth East15,89630.29%
135.Poplar and LimehouseLondon37,16730.33%
136.Bishop AucklandNorth East21,56730.36%
137.Nottingham EastEast Midlands24,39230.49%
138.Bristol WestSouth West46,15930.56%
139.Glasgow NorthScotland16,66230.56%
140.Luton NorthEast of England22,28130.60%
141.Coventry North EastWest Midlands21,30230.62%
142.Sheffield HallamYorkshire and the Humber18,14730.65%
143.Stoke-on-Trent NorthWest Midlands18,60030.68%
144.Ellesmere Port and NestonNorth West23,86330.97%
145.Derby SouthEast Midlands19,21031.07%
146.Stockton NorthNorth East13,82131.09%
147.ScunthorpeYorkshire and the Humber18,26231.29%
148.Worsley and Eccles SouthNorth West17,22231.32%
149.Holborn and St PancrasLondon35,60931.35%
150.Sheffield CentralYorkshire and the Humber31,99931.43%

View Brexit Party held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

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