Reform UK Target Seats

Below are lists of Reform UK target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.

Reform UK Target Seats 2024

Below is the list of Reform UK target seats for the 2024 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Reform UK held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

(order by percentage majority)

Rank		Region	Majority over RefUK	Swing Needed
1.	Barnsley North	Yorkshire and the Humber	4,002	4.50%
2.	Hartlepool	North East	4,861	5.92%
3.	Barnsley South	Yorkshire and the Humber	4,720	6.29%
4.	Doncaster North	Yorkshire and the Humber	7,205	12.82%
5.	Easington	North East	11,404	14.31%
6.	South Shields	North East	13,467	14.70%
7.	Rotherham	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,291	16.07%
8.	Normanton and Hemsworth	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,543	16.19%
9.	Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney	Wales	13,641	16.20%
10.	Houghton and Sunderland South	North East	10,801	16.81%
11.	Caerphilly	Wales	14,496	16.85%
12.	Hull East	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,424	17.46%
13.	Wigan	North West	15,083	18.55%
14.	Pontypridd	Wales	17,399	19.09%
15.	Neath and Swansea East	Wales	17,137	19.38%
16.	Washington and Gateshead South	North East	12,306	19.60%
17.	Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley	Yorkshire and the Humber	9,241	19.77%
18.	Jarrow and Gateshead East	North East	16,074	19.84%
19.	Torfaen	Wales	12,874	20.12%
20.	Hull West and Haltemprice	Yorkshire and the Humber	12,080	20.31%
21.	St Helens North	North West	19,474	20.47%
22.	Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare	Wales	17,671	20.50%
23.	Rawmarsh and Conisbrough	Yorkshire and the Humber	9,714	20.86%
24.	Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme	Yorkshire and the Humber	18,008	20.90%
25.	Rother Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,661	20.94%
26.	Doncaster Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,951	21.02%
27.	Dwyfor Meirionnydd	Wales	20,552	21.13%
28.	Makerfield	North West	14,530	21.21%
29.	Edinburgh North and Leith	Scotland	25,265	21.46%
30.	Bassetlaw	East Midlands	20,768	21.78%
31.	Llanelli	Wales	13,363	21.80%
32.	Ashfield	East Midlands	14,701	21.88%
33.	Aberafan Maesteg	Wales	19,715	22.19%
34.	Swansea West	Wales	19,687	22.27%
35.	Rhondda and Ogmore	Wales	19,047	22.38%
36.	Hull North and Cottingham	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,102	22.65%
37.	Bathgate and Linlithgow	Scotland	19,402	22.73%
38.	Sheffield Heeley	Yorkshire and the Humber	20,976	22.95%
39.	Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough	Yorkshire and the Humber	18,922	23.10%
40.	Hampstead and Highgate	London	26,619	23.19%
41.	Inverness, Skye and Ross-shire West	Scotland	23,675	23.31%
42.	Rochdale	North West	17,928	23.35%
43.	Edinburgh South West	Scotland	24,205	23.45%
44.	Dunfermline and Dollar	Scotland	21,535	23.58%
45.	Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton	North West	21,263	23.72%
46.	Durham North	North East	15,775	23.75%
47.	Sunderland Central	North East	13,289	23.75%
48.	St Helens South and Whiston	North West	21,564	23.75%
49.	Middlesbrough and Thornaby East	North East	17,966	23.90%
50.	Wythenshawe and Sale East	North West	21,138	24.00%
51.	Ynys Mon	Wales	10,775	24.09%
52.	Ceredigion Preseli	Wales	13,982	24.27%
53.	Salford	North West	20,274	24.27%
54.	Paisley and Renfrewshire North	Scotland	22,710	24.27%
55.	Glenrothes and Mid Fife	Scotland	19,637	24.33%
56.	Blyth and Ashington	North East	16,579	24.33%
57.	Stockport	North West	22,532	24.48%
58.	Penistone and Stocksbridge	Yorkshire and the Humber	19,388	24.59%
59.	Sheffield South East	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,891	24.90%
60.	Blaydon and Consett	North East	16,101	25.16%
61.	Durham, City of	North East	17,615	25.26%
62.	Ealing Central and Acton	London	26,987	25.47%
63.	Smethwick	West Midlands	20,870	25.47%
64.	Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West	North East	24,586	25.54%
65.	Aylesbury	South East	29,615	25.58%
66.	Aberdeen North	Scotland	25,703	25.64%
67.	Blackley and Middleton South	North West	19,259	25.65%
68.	Falkirk	Scotland	25,034	25.70%
69.	Norwich South	East of England	25,829	25.82%
70.	Alloa and Grangemouth	Scotland	23,873	25.93%
71.	Leeds South	Yorkshire and the Humber	22,492	26.00%
72.	Newcastle upon Tyne North	North East	20,912	26.02%
73.	Ossett and Denby Dale	Yorkshire and the Humber	23,693	26.06%
74.	Earley and Woodley	South East	24,644	26.12%
75.	Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr	Wales	26,766	26.13%
76.	Cardiff West	Wales	24,134	26.16%
77.	Brentford and Isleworth	London	24,915	26.24%
78.	Greenwich and Woolwich	London	24,954	26.36%
79.	Bolton South and Walkden	North West	22,529	26.37%
80.	Chesterfield	East Midlands	13,400	26.44%
81.	Birmingham Yardley	West Midlands	22,246	26.54%
82.	Preston	North West	22,904	26.56%
83.	Erith and Thamesmead	London	22,967	26.65%
84.	Buckingham and Bletchley	South East	27,404	26.72%
85.	Bicester and Woodstock	South East	27,881	26.81%
86.	Caerfyrddin	Wales	18,868	26.88%
87.	Barking	London	22,082	26.92%
88.	Nottingham South	East Midlands	22,191	26.92%
89.	Dundee Central	Scotland	25,156	26.96%
90.	Leeds North East	Yorkshire and the Humber	27,255	26.99%
91.	York Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	27,044	26.99%
92.	Oxford East	South East	24,690	27.07%
93.	Clapham and Brixton Hill	London	26,375	27.12%
94.	Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend	North East	27,158	27.18%
95.	Northumberland North	North East	28,722	27.23%
96.	Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes	Yorkshire and the Humber	21,129	27.28%
97.	Islington South and Finsbury	London	28,535	27.36%
98.	Cardiff South and Penarth	Wales	25,641	27.38%
99.	Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe	Wales	23,404	27.38%
100.	Tooting	London	30,349	27.43%
101.	Ellesmere Port and Bromborough	North West	24,854	27.48%
102.	Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy	Scotland	16,183	27.49%
103.	Norfolk North	East of England	28,406	27.55%
104.	Mitcham and Morden	London	28,469	27.57%
105.	Bolsover	East Midlands	17,872	27.58%
106.	Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner	London	28,867	27.62%
107.	Ashton-under-Lyne	North West	16,149	27.70%
108.	Morecambe and Lunesdale	North West	29,603	27.70%
109.	Bristol East	South West	30,665	27.73%
110.	Brighton Pavilion	South East	31,813	27.77%
111.	Croydon South	London	27,666	27.77%
112.	Dewsbury and Batley	Yorkshire and the Humber	25,676	27.85%
113.	Glasgow West	Scotland	22,890	27.85%
114.	Windsor	South East	27,884	27.87%
115.	Cardiff East	Wales	26,088	27.88%
116.	Slough	South East	25,510	28.00%
117.	Hornsey and Friern Barnet	London	29,583	28.16%
118.	Hove and Portslade	South East	31,765	28.16%
119.	Southgate and Wood Green	London	29,805	28.27%
120.	Streatham and Croydon North	London	29,046	28.31%
121.	Penrith and Solway	North West	29,576	28.31%
122.	Birkenhead	North West	29,312	28.31%
123.	Stretford and Urmston	North West	28,427	28.39%
124.	Bradford East	Yorkshire and the Humber	24,458	28.42%
125.	Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North	West Midlands	23,473	28.42%
126.	Stockton North	North East	16,240	28.46%
127.	Tatton	North West	31,533	28.46%
128.	Glasgow South	Scotland	22,997	28.52%
129.	Bristol South	South West	22,863	28.56%
130.	Hammersmith and Chiswick	London	26,075	28.63%
131.	Bermondsey and Old Southwark	London	21,663	28.65%
132.	Bristol Central	South West	29,484	28.67%
133.	Cities of London and Westminster	London	20,917	28.67%
134.	Chelsea and Fulham	London	24,734	28.73%
135.	Newport West and Islwyn	Wales	15,985	28.81%
136.	Chester South and Eddisbury	North West	32,134	28.87%
137.	Birmingham Selly Oak	West Midlands	25,617	28.90%
138.	Ealing Southall	London	29,523	28.95%
139.	Poplar and Limehouse	London	29,957	28.99%
140.	Witney	South East	28,346	29.02%
141.	Gateshead Central and Whickham	North East	18,158	29.14%
142.	Cambridge	East of England	22,642	29.24%
143.	Stockton West	North East	26,970	29.24%
144.	Stoke-on-Trent North	West Midlands	20,323	29.26%
145.	Exeter	South West	25,243	29.32%
146.	Edmonton and Winchmore Hill	London	27,229	29.35%
147.	Kenilworth and Southam	West Midlands	32,804	29.41%
148.	Widnes and Halewood	North West	27,779	29.42%
149.	Vauxhall and Camberwell Green	London	27,351	29.45%
150.	York Outer	Yorkshire and the Humber	26,910	29.46%

View Reform UK held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

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