Reform UK Target Seats

Below are lists of Reform UK target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.

Reform UK Target Seats 2024

Below is the list of Reform UK target seats for the 2024 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Reform UK held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

(order by swing needed)

Rank		Region	Majority over RefUK	Percent Majority
1.	Barnsley North	Yorkshire and the Humber	4,002	9.00%
2.	Hartlepool	North East	4,861	11.85%
3.	Barnsley South	Yorkshire and the Humber	4,720	12.58%
4.	Doncaster North	Yorkshire and the Humber	7,205	17.98%
5.	Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley	Yorkshire and the Humber	9,241	22.39%
6.	Rotherham	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,291	23.65%
7.	Doncaster Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,951	23.78%
8.	Rawmarsh and Conisbrough	Yorkshire and the Humber	9,714	23.96%
9.	Houghton and Sunderland South	North East	10,801	24.11%
10.	Normanton and Hemsworth	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,543	24.31%
11.	Hull East	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,424	24.81%
12.	Ceredigion Preseli	Wales	13,982	27.06%
13.	Easington	North East	11,404	28.62%
14.	Washington and Gateshead South	North East	12,306	28.82%
15.	Hull West and Haltemprice	Yorkshire and the Humber	12,080	29.02%
16.	South Shields	North East	13,467	29.41%
17.	Ynys Mon	Wales	10,775	29.48%
18.	Torfaen	Wales	12,874	29.56%
19.	Chesterfield	East Midlands	13,400	29.66%
20.	Llanelli	Wales	13,363	30.45%
21.	Sunderland Central	North East	13,289	30.57%
22.	Sheffield Hallam	Yorkshire and the Humber	19,363	32.15%
23.	Caerphilly	Wales	14,496	32.16%
24.	Makerfield	North West	14,530	32.19%
25.	Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney	Wales	13,641	32.41%
26.	Newport West and Islwyn	Wales	15,985	32.93%
27.	Durham North	North East	15,775	33.00%
28.	Burnley	North West	15,694	33.32%
29.	Wigan	North West	15,083	33.49%
30.	Ashfield	East Midlands	14,701	34.23%
31.	Blaydon and Consett	North East	16,101	34.28%
32.	Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy	Scotland	16,183	34.32%
33.	Durham, City of	North East	17,615	34.34%
34.	Rother Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,661	34.43%
35.	Heywood and Middleton North	North West	14,700	34.63%
36.	Caerfyrddin	Wales	18,868	35.37%
37.	Hull North and Cottingham	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,102	35.83%
38.	Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross	Scotland	18,988	36.02%
39.	Sheffield South East	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,891	36.02%
40.	Cramlington and Killingworth	North East	17,476	36.35%
41.	Stalybridge and Hyde	North West	15,434	36.43%
42.	Alyn and Deeside	Wales	19,237	36.75%
43.	Oldham East and Saddleworth	North West	17,108	37.06%
44.	Leigh and Atherton	North West	16,838	37.64%
45.	Stockton North	North East	16,240	37.67%
46.	Dagenham and Rainham	London	16,763	38.10%
47.	Edinburgh West	Scotland	20,987	38.14%
48.	Pontypridd	Wales	17,399	38.17%
49.	Kensington and Bayswater	London	20,941	38.20%
50.	Neath and Swansea East	Wales	17,137	38.23%
51.	Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor	North East	16,640	38.37%
52.	Bolton North East	North West	19,177	38.47%
53.	Warrington North	North West	17,950	38.56%
54.	Blyth and Ashington	North East	16,579	38.56%
55.	Newcastle upon Tyne North	North East	20,912	38.62%
56.	Bridgend	Wales	18,094	38.74%
57.	Ashton-under-Lyne	North West	16,149	39.03%
58.	Bangor Aberconwy	Wales	18,900	39.04%
59.	Bolsover	East Midlands	17,872	39.13%
60.	Penistone and Stocksbridge	Yorkshire and the Humber	19,388	39.15%
61.	Beckenham and Penge	London	23,654	39.33%
62.	Worsley and Eccles	North West	19,517	39.38%
63.	Wimbledon	London	22,478	39.52%
64.	Jarrow and Gateshead East	North East	16,074	39.68%
65.	Bradford South	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,238	39.71%
66.	Coventry North West	West Midlands	18,962	39.72%
67.	Bury South	North West	19,727	39.74%
68.	Halifax	Yorkshire and the Humber	19,006	39.76%
69.	Cities of London and Westminster	London	20,917	40.14%
70.	Carshalton and Wallington	London	19,779	40.28%
71.	Nottingham North and Kimberley	East Midlands	17,375	40.37%
72.	Leeds North West	Yorkshire and the Humber	22,582	40.56%
73.	Fife North East	Scotland	21,187	40.60%
74.	Dwyfor Meirionnydd	Wales	20,552	40.68%
75.	Orkney and Shetland	Scotland	9,481	40.94%
76.	St Helens North	North West	19,474	40.95%
77.	Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare	Wales	17,671	40.99%
78.	Redcar	North East	18,340	41.01%
79.	Bathgate and Linlithgow	Scotland	19,402	41.09%
80.	Leeds East	Yorkshire and the Humber	18,278	41.12%
81.	Derby North	East Midlands	19,351	41.16%
82.	Newport East	Wales	19,195	41.36%
83.	Coventry South	West Midlands	19,372	41.39%
84.	Wolverhampton South East	West Midlands	15,853	41.47%
85.	Wakefield and Rothwell	Yorkshire and the Humber	20,436	41.63%
86.	Warrington South	North West	22,612	41.77%
87.	Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme	Yorkshire and the Humber	18,008	41.80%
88.	Warwick and Leamington	West Midlands	21,892	41.93%
89.	Peterborough	East of England	19,853	42.03%
90.	Birmingham Northfield	West Midlands	18,474	42.04%
91.	Gower	Wales	22,949	42.32%
92.	Rochdale	North West	17,928	42.63%
93.	Bedford	East of England	19,869	42.63%
94.	Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	South West	21,048	42.73%
95.	Wrexham	Wales	20,155	42.77%
96.	Tynemouth	North East	23,112	42.85%
97.	Stoke-on-Trent Central	West Midlands	17,402	42.85%
98.	Spen Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	20,259	42.91%
99.	Edinburgh North and Leith	Scotland	25,265	42.93%
100.	Wirral West	North West	24,073	42.95%
101.	Gateshead Central and Whickham	North East	18,158	43.21%
102.	Cambridgeshire South	East of England	26,070	43.39%
103.	Hyndburn	North West	18,409	43.41%
104.	West Bromwich	West Midlands	18,017	43.54%
105.	Bassetlaw	East Midlands	20,768	43.56%
106.	High Peak	East Midlands	23,667	43.69%
107.	Clwyd East	Wales	23,151	43.83%
108.	Gedling	East Midlands	23,717	43.84%
109.	Clwyd North	Wales	22,528	43.92%
110.	Runcorn and Helsby	North West	21,315	44.02%
111.	Argyll, Bute and Lochaber South	Scotland	22,349	44.06%
112.	Blackpool South	North West	18,706	44.10%
113.	Stroud	South West	26,824	44.20%
114.	Putney	London	24,577	44.26%
115.	Eltham and Chislehurst	London	22,619	44.28%
116.	Dunfermline and Dollar	Scotland	21,535	44.29%
117.	Eastbourne	South East	22,729	44.34%
118.	Aberafan Maesteg	Wales	19,715	44.38%
119.	Broxtowe	East Midlands	23,719	44.48%
120.	Swansea West	Wales	19,687	44.54%
121.	Perth and Kinross-shire	Scotland	25,160	44.54%
122.	Bury North	North West	23,839	44.58%
123.	Rhondda and Ogmore	Wales	19,047	44.76%
124.	Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe	Wales	23,404	44.77%
125.	Leicester West	East Midlands	17,287	44.79%
126.	Tipton and Wednesbury	West Midlands	17,137	44.86%
127.	Aberdeen South	Scotland	22,488	44.87%
128.	Wolverhampton West	West Midlands	22,867	44.89%
129.	Hazel Grove	North West	22,684	44.97%
130.	Glasgow South West	Scotland	19,399	45.09%
131.	Chelsea and Fulham	London	24,734	45.15%
132.	Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey	Scotland	25,620	45.20%
133.	Derby South	East Midlands	19,210	45.24%
134.	Luton South and Bedfordshire South	East of England	20,445	45.33%
135.	Birmingham Erdington	West Midlands	18,845	45.41%
136.	Cambridge	East of England	22,642	45.52%
137.	Leeds West and Pudsey	Yorkshire and the Humber	21,890	45.63%
138.	Battersea	London	25,107	45.72%
139.	Lincoln	East Midlands	23,188	45.80%
140.	Cheshire Mid	North West	21,520	45.88%
141.	Sheffield Heeley	Yorkshire and the Humber	20,976	45.90%
142.	Southampton Test	South East	20,665	45.93%
143.	Darlington	North East	21,310	46.02%
144.	Lancaster and Wyre	North West	22,793	46.16%
145.	Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough	Yorkshire and the Humber	18,922	46.21%
146.	Hampstead and Highgate	London	26,619	46.39%
147.	Croydon East	London	23,503	46.43%
148.	Edinburgh South West	Scotland	24,205	46.43%
149.	Glenrothes and Mid Fife	Scotland	19,637	46.45%
150.	Cardiff West	Wales	24,134	46.46%

View Reform UK held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

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