Tonight's YouGov poll is showing CON 30%, LAB 34%, LD 6%, UKIP 18%, GRN 6%. At a first glance, the UKIP score is on the high side and the Labour lead over the Conservative is on the high side. The change, while within the margin of error, is likely the result of the publicity UKIP have been receiving in the aftermath of the Rochester and Strood by-election. Previous experience has shown that by-election bounces often fade to some extent so we will be back to usual polling soon enough.
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