This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.
To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.
Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.
Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
Conservative | 37.66% | 40.00% | +2.34% | 330 | 346 | +16 | 0 | +16 | |
Labour | 31.18% | 29.00% | -2.18% | 232 | 215 | 0 | -17 | -17 | |
UKIP | 12.88% | 12.00% | -0.88% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Liberal Democrat | 8.06% | 9.00% | +0.94% | 8 | 9 | +1 | 0 | +1 | |
SNP | 4.85% | 4.85% | 0.00% | 56 | 55 | 0 | -1 | -1 | |
Green | 3.84% | 3.00% | -0.84% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Plaid Cymru | 0.61% | 0.61% | 0.00% | 3 | 4 | +1 | 0 | +1 |
On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:
Conservative gainsBrentford and Isleworth | London | ||
Ealing Central and Acton | London | ||
Enfield North | London | ||
Hampstead and Kilburn | London | ||
Ilford North | London | ||
Hove | South East | ||
Derbyshire North East | East Midlands | ||
Newcastle-under-Lyme | West Midlands | ||
Wolverhampton South West | West Midlands | ||
Dewsbury | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Halifax | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Barrow and Furness | North West | ||
Chester, City of | North West | ||
Lancaster and Fleetwood | North West | ||
Wirral West | North West | ||
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | Scotland |
Cambridge | East of England |
Ynys Mon | Wales |