This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.
To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.
Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.
Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
Conservative | 37.66% | 43.00% | +5.34% | 330 | 331 | +4 | -3 | +1 | |
Labour | 31.18% | 37.00% | +5.82% | 232 | 236 | +4 | 0 | +4 | |
Liberal Democrat | 8.06% | 8.06% | +0.00% | 8 | 5 | 0 | -3 | -3 | |
UKIP | 12.88% | 5.00% | -7.88% | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | |
SNP | 4.85% | 4.85% | 0.00% | 56 | 55 | 0 | -1 | -1 | |
Green | 3.84% | 2.00% | -1.84% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Plaid Cymru | 0.61% | 0.61% | 0.00% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:
Conservative gainsCarshalton and Wallington | London | ||
Southport | North West | ||
Clacton | East of England | ||
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | Scotland |
Croydon Central | London | ||
Derby North | East Midlands | ||
Gower | Wales | ||
Sheffield Hallam | Yorkshire and the Humber |