UK Swingometer

This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.

To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.

Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.

Election 2019 (New Boundaries) (Swingometer 2024)

Election 2019

Election 2017 (Swingometer 2019)

Election 2015 (Swingometer 2017)

United Kingdom

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
HUNG PARLIAMENT
Conservatives
short by
4
326 seats needed for a majority
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Conservative37.66%43.20%+5.54%330322+4-12-8
Labour31.18%38.70%+7.52%232247+150+15
Liberal Democrat8.06%8.00%-0.06%840-4-4
UKIP12.88%5.60%-7.28%100-1-1
SNP4.85%4.85%0.00%56540-2-2
Green3.84%3.20%-0.64%11000
Plaid Cymru0.61%0.61%0.00%33000

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Conservative gains
Carshalton and WallingtonLondon
SouthportNorth West
ClactonEast of England
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkScotland
Labour gains
Croydon CentralLondon
ThurrockEast of England
Brighton KemptownSouth East
Plymouth Sutton and DevonportSouth West
Derby NorthEast Midlands
TelfordWest Midlands
Morley and OutwoodYorkshire and the Humber
Bolton WestNorth West
Bury NorthNorth West
Weaver ValeNorth West
GowerWales
Vale of ClwydWales
Leeds North WestYorkshire and the Humber
Sheffield HallamYorkshire and the Humber
Renfrewshire EastScotland

England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

London

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

East of England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

South East

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

South West

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%

East Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

West Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

North East

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

North West

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Scotland

SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%

Wales

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Northern Ireland

DUP
%
Sinn Fein
%
UUP
%
SDLP
%
Alliance NI
%

Election 2010 (Swingometer 2015)

Election 2005 (5th Boundary Review) (Swingometer 2010)

Election 2005

Election 2001 (Swingometer 2005)

Election 1997 (Swingometer 2001)

Election 1992 (Swingometer 1997)

Election 1987 (Swingometer 1992)

Election 1983 (Swingometer 1987)

Quick Links
Latest Posts
Updated Election Maps
posted 30 Mar 2024, 14:30
Updated Constituency Boundaries
posted 26 Feb 2024, 21:20
2021 Results for the Scottish Parliament and Senedd Elections
posted 8 May 2021, 20:45