This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.
To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.
Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.
Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
Conservative | 37.66% | 43.20% | +5.54% | 330 | 322 | +4 | -12 | -8 | |
Labour | 31.18% | 38.70% | +7.52% | 232 | 247 | +15 | 0 | +15 | |
Liberal Democrat | 8.06% | 8.00% | -0.06% | 8 | 4 | 0 | -4 | -4 | |
UKIP | 12.88% | 5.60% | -7.28% | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1 | |
SNP | 4.85% | 4.85% | 0.00% | 56 | 54 | 0 | -2 | -2 | |
Green | 3.84% | 3.20% | -0.64% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Plaid Cymru | 0.61% | 0.61% | 0.00% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:
Conservative gainsCarshalton and Wallington | London | ||
Southport | North West | ||
Clacton | East of England | ||
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | Scotland |
Croydon Central | London | ||
Thurrock | East of England | ||
Brighton Kemptown | South East | ||
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport | South West | ||
Derby North | East Midlands | ||
Telford | West Midlands | ||
Morley and Outwood | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Bolton West | North West | ||
Bury North | North West | ||
Weaver Vale | North West | ||
Gower | Wales | ||
Vale of Clwyd | Wales | ||
Leeds North West | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Sheffield Hallam | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Renfrewshire East | Scotland |