UK Swingometer

This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.

To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.

Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.

Election 2019 (New Boundaries) (Swingometer 2024)

Election 2019

Election 2017 (Swingometer 2019)

Election 2015 (Swingometer 2017)

United Kingdom

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Conservative
Landslide
136
seat majority
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Conservative37.66%43.30%+5.64%330393+71-8+63
Liberal Democrat8.06%21.60%+13.54%829+210+21
Labour31.18%21.30%-9.88%2321530-79-79
UKIP12.88%9.00%-3.88%100-1-1
SNP4.85%4.85%0.00%5651+1-6-5
Green3.84%3.00%-0.84%11000
Plaid Cymru0.61%0.61%0.00%34+10+1

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Conservative gains
Brentford and IsleworthLondon
Ealing Central and ActonLondon
ElthamLondon
Enfield NorthLondon
HammersmithLondon
Hampstead and KilburnLondon
Harrow WestLondon
Ilford NorthLondon
TootingLondon
Westminster NorthLondon
Luton SouthEast of England
HoveSouth East
SloughSouth East
Southampton TestSouth East
Bristol EastSouth West
Bristol SouthSouth West
ExeterSouth West
Derbyshire North EastEast Midlands
GedlingEast Midlands
MansfieldEast Midlands
Birmingham EdgbastonWest Midlands
Birmingham ErdingtonWest Midlands
Birmingham NorthfieldWest Midlands
Coventry North WestWest Midlands
Coventry SouthWest Midlands
Dudley NorthWest Midlands
Newcastle-under-LymeWest Midlands
Stoke-on-Trent NorthWest Midlands
Stoke-on-Trent SouthWest Midlands
Walsall NorthWest Midlands
Walsall SouthWest Midlands
Wolverhampton South WestWest Midlands
Batley and SpenYorkshire and the Humber
DewsburyYorkshire and the Humber
Great GrimsbyYorkshire and the Humber
HalifaxYorkshire and the Humber
Leeds North EastYorkshire and the Humber
Penistone and StocksbridgeYorkshire and the Humber
ScunthorpeYorkshire and the Humber
WakefieldYorkshire and the Humber
York CentralYorkshire and the Humber
Bishop AucklandNorth East
DarlingtonNorth East
HartlepoolNorth East
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland EastNorth East
TynemouthNorth East
Barrow and FurnessNorth West
Blackpool SouthNorth West
Bolton North EastNorth West
Bury SouthNorth West
Chester, City ofNorth West
ChorleyNorth West
CopelandNorth West
Ellesmere Port and NestonNorth West
HyndburnNorth West
Lancaster and FleetwoodNorth West
Oldham East and SaddleworthNorth West
Wirral SouthNorth West
Wirral WestNorth West
WorkingtonNorth West
Worsley and Eccles SouthNorth West
Alyn and DeesideWales
BridgendWales
Cardiff WestWales
Clwyd SouthWales
DelynWales
Newport EastWales
Newport WestWales
WrexhamWales
ClactonEast of England
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkScotland
Liberal Democrat gains
Bermondsey and Old SouthwarkLondon
Hornsey and Wood GreenLondon
CambridgeEast of England
Bristol WestSouth West
Birmingham YardleyWest Midlands
Bradford EastYorkshire and the Humber
BurnleyNorth West
Cardiff CentralWales
Kingston and SurbitonLondon
Sutton and CheamLondon
TwickenhamLondon
EastbourneSouth East
LewesSouth East
St IvesSouth West
Thornbury and YateSouth West
TorbaySouth West
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter RossScotland
Dunbartonshire EastScotland
Edinburgh WestScotland
Fife North EastScotland
Ross, Skye and LochaberScotland
SNP gains
Edinburgh SouthScotland
Plaid Cymru gains
Ynys MonWales

England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

London

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

East of England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

South East

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

South West

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%

East Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

West Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

North East

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

North West

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Scotland

SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%

Wales

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Northern Ireland

DUP
%
Sinn Fein
%
UUP
%
SDLP
%
Alliance NI
%

Election 2010 (Swingometer 2015)

Election 2005 (5th Boundary Review) (Swingometer 2010)

Election 2005

Election 2001 (Swingometer 2005)

Election 1997 (Swingometer 2001)

Election 1992 (Swingometer 1997)

Election 1987 (Swingometer 1992)

Election 1983 (Swingometer 1987)

Quick Links
Latest Posts
Updated Election Maps
posted 30 Mar 2024, 14:30
Updated Constituency Boundaries
posted 26 Feb 2024, 21:20
2021 Results for the Scottish Parliament and Senedd Elections
posted 8 May 2021, 20:45