European Parliament Swingometer

On this page is the EU Parliament swingometer for the UK. Its purpose is to help predict the UK election result for the next European Parliament election. This EU seat calculator bases its results on a uniform swing relative to a specified election.

To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest European Parliament election polls.

Note: The UK has withdrawn from the EU so the 2024 European Parliament election for the UK is purely theoretical.

European Parliament Election 2019 (European Parliament Swingometer 2024)

United Kingdom

Brexit Party
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Conservative
%
Change UK
%
UKIP
%
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Brexit Party31.56%32.69%+1.13%2931+20+2
Labour14.11%19.90%+5.79%1017+70+7
Liberal Democrat20.25%15.71%-4.54%1690-7-7
Conservative9.09%11.65%+2.56%47+30+3
Green12.09%8.00%-4.09%720-5-5
Change UK3.44%3.95%+0.51%00000
SNP3.58%3.58%0.00%33000
UKIP3.30%2.75%-0.55%00000
Plaid Cymru0.99%0.99%0.00%11000

England

Brexit Party
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Conservative
%
Change UK
%
UKIP
%

London

Liberal Democrat
%
Labour
%
Brexit Party
%
Green
%
Conservative
%
Change UK
%
UKIP
%

East of England

Brexit Party
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Change UK
%
UKIP
%

South East

Brexit Party
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Change UK
%
UKIP
%

South West

Brexit Party
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Change UK
%

East Midlands

Brexit Party
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
UKIP
%
Change UK
%

West Midlands

Brexit Party
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Change UK
%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Brexit Party
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Change UK
%

North East

Brexit Party
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Change UK
%

North West

Brexit Party
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Change UK
%

Scotland

SNP
%
Brexit Party
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Change UK
%
UKIP
%

Wales

Brexit Party
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
UKIP
%
Change UK
%

European Parliament Election 2014 (European Parliament Swingometer 2019)

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