Scottish Parliament Swingometer

This page contains the Scottish Parliament swingometer used to predict election results for the next Scottish election scheduled to be held in 2026.

We track the latest polls for the next Scottish election.

Scottish Parliament Election 2021 (Use for 2026)

Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%
SNP
Win
11
seat majority
Summary
SeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP6470+60+6
Conservative31240-7-7
Labour2220+2-4-2
Green810+20+2
Liberal Democrat45+2-1+1
Constituency
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP47.70%54.35%+6.65%6268+60+6
Conservative21.89%19.78%-2.11%520-3-3
Labour21.59%16.88%-4.71%200-2-2
Liberal Democrat6.94%6.08%-0.86%430-1-1
Region
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP40.30%45.67%+5.37%22000
Conservative23.46%19.29%-4.17%26220-4-4
Labour18.00%16.37%-1.63%2020+2-20
Green8.11%8.10%-0.01%810+20+2
Liberal Democrat5.05%6.24%+1.19%02+20+2
ALBA1.65%1.65%0.00%00000
AFU0.86%0.86%0.00%00000
Map Options

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

SNP gains
ShetlandHighlands and Islands
Edinburgh SouthernLothian
DumbartonWest Scotland
Aberdeenshire WestNorth East Scotland
Galloway and West DumfriesSouth Scotland
EastwoodWest Scotland

Central Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

Glasgow

Constituency
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

Highlands and Islands

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Labour
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Labour
%
Green
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

Lothian

Constituency
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

Mid Scotland and Fife

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

North East Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

South Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
AFU
%
ALBA
%

West Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

Scottish Parliament Election 2016 (Use for 2021)

Scottish Parliament Election 2011 (Use for 2016)

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