UK Swingometer

This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.

To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.

Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.

Election 2019 (New Boundaries) (Swingometer 2024)

United Kingdom

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%
HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
45
326 seats needed for a majority
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour32.87%39.14%+6.27%200281+810+81
Conservative44.69%34.06%-10.63%3722740-98-98
Liberal Democrat11.83%11.92%+0.09%820+120+12
Green2.77%5.61%+2.84%11000
SNP3.98%3.98%0.00%4853+6-1+5
Reform UK2.06%2.06%0.00%00000
Plaid Cymru0.49%0.49%0.00%22000
Map Options

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Labour gains
Chelsea and FulhamLondon
Chingford and Woodford GreenLondon
Chipping BarnetLondon
Cities of London and WestminsterLondon
Eltham and ChislehurstLondon
HendonLondon
Uxbridge and Ruislip SouthLondon
IpswichEast of England
Norwich NorthEast of England
PeterboroughEast of England
WatfordEast of England
CrawleySouth East
Hastings and RyeSouth East
Milton Keynes CentralSouth East
Milton Keynes NorthSouth East
Southampton ItchenSouth East
Thanet EastSouth East
Worthing East and ShorehamSouth East
WycombeSouth East
Filton and Bradley StokeSouth West
StroudSouth West
Swindon SouthSouth West
Truro and FalmouthSouth West
AshfieldEast Midlands
BolsoverEast Midlands
BroxtoweEast Midlands
Corby and Northamptonshire EastEast Midlands
Derby NorthEast Midlands
GedlingEast Midlands
High PeakEast Midlands
LincolnEast Midlands
LoughboroughEast Midlands
Northampton NorthEast Midlands
RushcliffeEast Midlands
Birmingham NorthfieldWest Midlands
ShrewsburyWest Midlands
Stoke-on-Trent CentralWest Midlands
Tipton and WednesburyWest Midlands
Walsall and BloxwichWest Midlands
West BromwichWest Midlands
Wolverhampton WestWest Midlands
WorcesterWest Midlands
Calder ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
Colne ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
Hull West and HaltempriceYorkshire and the Humber
Keighley and IlkleyYorkshire and the Humber
Leeds North WestYorkshire and the Humber
Leeds South West and MorleyYorkshire and the Humber
Penistone and StocksbridgeYorkshire and the Humber
Rother ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
ShipleyYorkshire and the Humber
Spen ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
Wakefield and RothwellYorkshire and the Humber
Bishop AucklandNorth East
DarlingtonNorth East
Newton Aycliffe and SpennymoorNorth East
RedcarNorth East
Altrincham and Sale WestNorth West
Barrow and FurnessNorth West
Blackpool SouthNorth West
Bolton North EastNorth West
BurnleyNorth West
Bury NorthNorth West
Bury SouthNorth West
Cheshire MidNorth West
Crewe and NantwichNorth West
HyndburnNorth West
Lancaster and WyreNorth West
Leigh and AthertonNorth West
SouthportNorth West
Whitehaven and WorkingtonNorth West
Bangor AberconwyWales
BridgendWales
CaerfyrddinWales
Clwyd EastWales
Clwyd NorthWales
Pembrokeshire Mid and SouthWales
Vale of GlamorganWales
WrexhamWales
Ynys MonWales
East LothianScotland
Liberal Democrat gains
Carshalton and WallingtonLondon
WimbledonLondon
Cambridgeshire SouthEast of England
EastbourneSouth East
Esher and WaltonSouth East
GuildfordSouth East
LewesSouth East
CheltenhamSouth West
St IvesSouth West
CheadleNorth West
Hazel GroveNorth West
Westmorland and LonsdaleNorth West
SNP gains
Aberdeenshire North and Moray EastScotland
Aberdeenshire West and KincardineScotland
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkScotland
Dumfries and GallowayScotland
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and TweeddaleScotland
Gordon and BuchanScotland

England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

London

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

East of England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

South East

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

South West

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

East Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

West Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%

North East

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Reform UK
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

North West

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%

Scotland

SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

Wales

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%

Northern Ireland

DUP
%
Sinn Fein
%
Alliance NI
%
SDLP
%
UUP
%

Election 2019

Election 2017 (Swingometer 2019)

Election 2015 (Swingometer 2017)

Election 2010 (Swingometer 2015)

Election 2005 (5th Boundary Review) (Swingometer 2010)

Election 2005

Election 2001 (Swingometer 2005)

Election 1997 (Swingometer 2001)

Election 1992 (Swingometer 1997)

Election 1987 (Swingometer 1992)

Election 1983 (Swingometer 1987)

Quick Links
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posted 30 Mar 2024, 14:30
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posted 26 Feb 2024, 21:20
2021 Results for the Scottish Parliament and Senedd Elections
posted 8 May 2021, 20:45