This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.
To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.
Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.
Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
Labour | 32.87% | 39.14% | +6.27% | 200 | 281 | +81 | 0 | +81 | |
Conservative | 44.69% | 34.06% | -10.63% | 372 | 274 | 0 | -98 | -98 | |
Liberal Democrat | 11.83% | 11.92% | +0.09% | 8 | 20 | +12 | 0 | +12 | |
Green | 2.77% | 5.61% | +2.84% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
SNP | 3.98% | 3.98% | 0.00% | 48 | 53 | +6 | -1 | +5 | |
Reform UK | 2.06% | 2.06% | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Plaid Cymru | 0.49% | 0.49% | 0.00% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:
Labour gainsCarshalton and Wallington | London | ||
Wimbledon | London | ||
Cambridgeshire South | East of England | ||
Eastbourne | South East | ||
Esher and Walton | South East | ||
Guildford | South East | ||
Lewes | South East | ||
Cheltenham | South West | ||
St Ives | South West | ||
Cheadle | North West | ||
Hazel Grove | North West | ||
Westmorland and Lonsdale | North West |
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East | Scotland | ||
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Scotland | ||
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | Scotland | ||
Dumfries and Galloway | Scotland | ||
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | Scotland | ||
Gordon and Buchan | Scotland |