This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.
To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.
Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.
Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
Conservative | 44.69% | 39.76% | -4.93% | 372 | 335 | 0 | -37 | -37 | |
Labour | 32.87% | 34.93% | +2.06% | 200 | 233 | +33 | 0 | +33 | |
Liberal Democrat | 11.83% | 8.72% | -3.11% | 8 | 10 | +2 | 0 | +2 | |
Green | 2.77% | 6.16% | +3.39% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
SNP | 3.98% | 3.98% | 0.00% | 48 | 50 | +2 | 0 | +2 | |
Reform UK | 2.06% | 2.06% | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Plaid Cymru | 0.49% | 0.49% | 0.00% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:
Labour gainsChingford and Woodford Green | London | ||
Eltham and Chislehurst | London | ||
Peterborough | East of England | ||
Watford | East of England | ||
Hastings and Rye | South East | ||
Wycombe | South East | ||
Stroud | South West | ||
Derby North | East Midlands | ||
Gedling | East Midlands | ||
High Peak | East Midlands | ||
Lincoln | East Midlands | ||
Birmingham Northfield | West Midlands | ||
Stoke-on-Trent Central | West Midlands | ||
Walsall and Bloxwich | West Midlands | ||
West Bromwich | West Midlands | ||
Wolverhampton West | West Midlands | ||
Keighley and Ilkley | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Leeds North West | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Wakefield and Rothwell | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Bolton North East | North West | ||
Burnley | North West | ||
Bury North | North West | ||
Bury South | North West | ||
Cheshire Mid | North West | ||
Hyndburn | North West | ||
Lancaster and Wyre | North West | ||
Leigh and Atherton | North West | ||
Whitehaven and Workington | North West | ||
Bangor Aberconwy | Wales | ||
Bridgend | Wales | ||
Clwyd North | Wales | ||
Vale of Glamorgan | Wales | ||
Ynys Mon | Wales |
Carshalton and Wallington | London | ||
Wimbledon | London |
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Scotland | ||
Dumfries and Galloway | Scotland |