This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.
To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.
Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.
Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
Conservative | 44.69% | 39.83% | -4.86% | 372 | 324 | 0 | -48 | -48 | |
Labour | 32.87% | 38.08% | +5.21% | 200 | 247 | +47 | 0 | +47 | |
Liberal Democrat | 11.83% | 6.99% | -4.84% | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Green | 2.77% | 4.92% | +2.15% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
SNP | 3.98% | 3.98% | 0.00% | 48 | 49 | +2 | -1 | +1 | |
Reform UK | 2.06% | 2.06% | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Plaid Cymru | 0.49% | 0.49% | 0.00% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:
Labour gainsAberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Scotland | ||
Dumfries and Galloway | Scotland |