UK Swingometer

This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.

To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.

Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.

Election 2019 (New Boundaries) (Swingometer 2024)

United Kingdom

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%
HUNG PARLIAMENT
Conservatives
short by
2
326 seats needed for a majority
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Conservative44.69%39.83%-4.86%3723240-48-48
Labour32.87%38.08%+5.21%200247+470+47
Liberal Democrat11.83%6.99%-4.84%88000
Green2.77%4.92%+2.15%11000
SNP3.98%3.98%0.00%4849+2-1+1
Reform UK2.06%2.06%0.00%00000
Plaid Cymru0.49%0.49%0.00%22000

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Labour gains
Chingford and Woodford GreenLondon
Chipping BarnetLondon
Eltham and ChislehurstLondon
HendonLondon
PeterboroughEast of England
WatfordEast of England
Hastings and RyeSouth East
Milton Keynes CentralSouth East
Southampton ItchenSouth East
WycombeSouth East
StroudSouth West
Truro and FalmouthSouth West
BroxtoweEast Midlands
Derby NorthEast Midlands
GedlingEast Midlands
High PeakEast Midlands
LincolnEast Midlands
Northampton NorthEast Midlands
Birmingham NorthfieldWest Midlands
Stoke-on-Trent CentralWest Midlands
Walsall and BloxwichWest Midlands
West BromwichWest Midlands
Wolverhampton WestWest Midlands
Calder ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
Hull West and HaltempriceYorkshire and the Humber
Keighley and IlkleyYorkshire and the Humber
Leeds North WestYorkshire and the Humber
Wakefield and RothwellYorkshire and the Humber
Newton Aycliffe and SpennymoorNorth East
Blackpool SouthNorth West
Bolton North EastNorth West
BurnleyNorth West
Bury NorthNorth West
Bury SouthNorth West
Cheshire MidNorth West
HyndburnNorth West
Lancaster and WyreNorth West
Leigh and AthertonNorth West
Whitehaven and WorkingtonNorth West
Bangor AberconwyWales
BridgendWales
Clwyd EastWales
Clwyd NorthWales
Vale of GlamorganWales
WrexhamWales
Ynys MonWales
East LothianScotland
SNP gains
Aberdeenshire West and KincardineScotland
Dumfries and GallowayScotland

England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

London

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

East of England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

South East

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

South West

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

East Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

West Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%

North East

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Reform UK
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

North West

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%

Scotland

SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

Wales

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%

Northern Ireland

DUP
%
Sinn Fein
%
Alliance NI
%
SDLP
%
UUP
%

Election 2019

Election 2017 (Swingometer 2019)

Election 2015 (Swingometer 2017)

Election 2010 (Swingometer 2015)

Election 2005 (5th Boundary Review) (Swingometer 2010)

Election 2005

Election 2001 (Swingometer 2005)

Election 1997 (Swingometer 2001)

Election 1992 (Swingometer 1997)

Election 1987 (Swingometer 1992)

Election 1983 (Swingometer 1987)

Quick Links
Latest Posts
Updated Constituency Boundaries
posted 26 Feb 2024, 21:20
2021 Results for the Scottish Parliament and Senedd Elections
posted 8 May 2021, 20:45
Interactive Election Maps
posted 16 Aug 2020, 14:00