UK Swingometer

This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.

To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.

Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.

Election 2019 (Swingometer 2024)

United Kingdom

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%
HUNG PARLIAMENT
Conservatives
short by
18
326 seats needed for a majority
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Conservative44.72%39.90%-4.82%3653080-57-57
Labour32.90%38.82%+5.92%202257+550+55
Liberal Democrat11.84%6.53%-5.31%1190-2-2
Green2.77%4.51%+1.74%11000
SNP3.98%3.98%0.00%4852+5-1+4
Brexit Party2.06%2.06%0.00%00000
Plaid Cymru0.49%0.49%0.00%44000
Map Options

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Labour gains
Chingford and Woodford GreenLondon
Chipping BarnetLondon
HendonLondon
KensingtonLondon
Norwich NorthEast of England
PeterboroughEast of England
WatfordEast of England
Hastings and RyeSouth East
Milton Keynes NorthSouth East
Reading WestSouth East
Southampton ItchenSouth East
WycombeSouth East
Filton and Bradley StokeSouth West
StroudSouth West
Truro and FalmouthSouth West
BroxtoweEast Midlands
Derby NorthEast Midlands
GedlingEast Midlands
High PeakEast Midlands
LincolnEast Midlands
Birmingham NorthfieldWest Midlands
Stoke-on-Trent CentralWest Midlands
West Bromwich EastWest Midlands
Wolverhampton South WestWest Midlands
Calder ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
Colne ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
DewsburyYorkshire and the Humber
Don ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
KeighleyYorkshire and the Humber
PudseyYorkshire and the Humber
WakefieldYorkshire and the Humber
Blyth ValleyNorth East
DarlingtonNorth East
Durham North WestNorth East
RedcarNorth East
Stockton SouthNorth East
Bolton North EastNorth West
BurnleyNorth West
Bury NorthNorth West
Bury SouthNorth West
Heywood and MiddletonNorth West
HyndburnNorth West
LeighNorth West
SouthportNorth West
Warrington SouthNorth West
WorkingtonNorth West
AberconwyWales
BridgendWales
Clwyd SouthWales
DelynWales
Vale of ClwydWales
Vale of GlamorganWales
WrexhamWales
Ynys MonWales
Kirkcaldy and CowdenbeathScotland
SNP gains
Aberdeenshire West and KincardineScotland
Dumfries and GallowayScotland
MorayScotland
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter RossScotland
Fife North EastScotland

England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

London

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

East of England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

South East

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

South West

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

East Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

West Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Brexit Party
%
Green
%

North East

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Brexit Party
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

North West

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Brexit Party
%
Green
%

Scotland

SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Wales

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Brexit Party
%
Green
%

Northern Ireland

DUP
%
Sinn Fein
%
Alliance NI
%
SDLP
%
UUP
%

Election 2017 (Swingometer 2019)

Election 2015 (Swingometer 2017)

Election 2010 (Swingometer 2015)

Election 2005 (5th Boundary Review) (Swingometer 2010)

Election 2005

Election 2001 (Swingometer 2005)

Election 1997 (Swingometer 2001)

Election 1992 (Swingometer 1997)

Election 1987 (Swingometer 1992)

Election 1983 (Swingometer 1987)

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