This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.
To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.
Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.
Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
Conservative | 44.69% | 43.23% | -1.46% | 372 | 359 | 0 | -13 | -13 | |
Labour | 32.87% | 35.18% | +2.31% | 200 | 213 | +13 | 0 | +13 | |
Liberal Democrat | 11.83% | 6.91% | -4.92% | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Green | 2.77% | 4.57% | +1.80% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
SNP | 3.98% | 3.98% | 0.00% | 48 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Reform UK | 2.06% | 2.06% | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Plaid Cymru | 0.49% | 0.49% | 0.00% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:
Labour gainsChingford and Woodford Green | London | ||
Watford | East of England | ||
Wycombe | South East | ||
High Peak | East Midlands | ||
Birmingham Northfield | West Midlands | ||
Wolverhampton West | West Midlands | ||
Leeds North West | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Bolton North East | North West | ||
Burnley | North West | ||
Bury North | North West | ||
Bury South | North West | ||
Leigh and Atherton | North West | ||
Bangor Aberconwy | Wales |