UK Swingometer

This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.

To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.

Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.

Election 2019 (Swingometer 2024)

Election 2017 (Swingometer 2019)

Election 2015 (Swingometer 2017)

United Kingdom

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Conservative
Win
42
seat majority
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Conservative37.66%40.00%+2.34%330346+160+16
Labour31.18%29.00%-2.18%2322150-17-17
UKIP12.88%12.00%-0.88%11000
Liberal Democrat8.06%9.00%+0.94%89+10+1
SNP4.85%4.85%0.00%56550-1-1
Green3.84%3.00%-0.84%11000
Plaid Cymru0.61%0.61%0.00%34+10+1

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Conservative gains
Brentford and IsleworthLondon
Ealing Central and ActonLondon
Enfield NorthLondon
Hampstead and KilburnLondon
Ilford NorthLondon
HoveSouth East
Derbyshire North EastEast Midlands
Newcastle-under-LymeWest Midlands
Wolverhampton South WestWest Midlands
DewsburyYorkshire and the Humber
HalifaxYorkshire and the Humber
Barrow and FurnessNorth West
Chester, City ofNorth West
Lancaster and FleetwoodNorth West
Wirral WestNorth West
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkScotland
Liberal Democrat gains
CambridgeEast of England
Plaid Cymru gains
Ynys MonWales

England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

London

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

East of England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

South East

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

South West

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%

East Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

West Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

North East

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

North West

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Scotland

SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%

Wales

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Northern Ireland

DUP
%
Sinn Fein
%
UUP
%
SDLP
%
Alliance NI
%

Election 2010 (Swingometer 2015)

Election 2005 (5th Boundary Review) (Swingometer 2010)

Election 2005

Election 2001 (Swingometer 2005)

Election 1997 (Swingometer 2001)

Election 1992 (Swingometer 1997)

Election 1987 (Swingometer 1992)

Election 1983 (Swingometer 1987)

Quick Links
Latest Posts
Election Results and Tools Updated for 2024
posted 13 Dec 2019, 09:00
2019 European Election Swingometer
posted 19 May 2019, 14:30
Labour win the Newport West by-election
posted 5 Apr 2019, 07:30