UK Swingometer

This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.

To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.

Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.

Election 2019 (New Boundaries) (Swingometer 2024)

Election 2019

Election 2017 (Swingometer 2019)

United Kingdom

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%
HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
64
326 seats needed for a majority
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Brexit Party0.00%24.00%+24.00%07+70+7
Conservative43.43%21.00%-22.43%3172530-64-64
Labour41.02%21.00%-20.02%262262+14-140
Liberal Democrat7.56%19.00%+11.44%1250+380+38
Green1.65%9.00%+7.35%11000
SNP3.11%3.11%0.00%3553+19-1+18
Plaid Cymru0.52%0.52%0.00%44+1-10
UKIP1.89%0.00%-1.89%00000

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Labour gains
Chipping BarnetLondon
HendonLondon
Norwich NorthEast of England
Hastings and RyeSouth East
Southampton ItchenSouth East
BroxtoweEast Midlands
MansfieldEast Midlands
Northampton NorthEast Midlands
Stoke-on-Trent SouthWest Midlands
TelfordWest Midlands
Calder ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
PudseyYorkshire and the Humber
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland EastNorth East
Bolton WestNorth West
Liberal Democrat gains
Bermondsey and Old SouthwarkLondon
CambridgeEast of England
Portsmouth SouthSouth East
Leeds North WestYorkshire and the Humber
Sheffield HallamYorkshire and the Humber
Richmond ParkLondon
Sutton and CheamLondon
WimbledonLondon
Cambridgeshire SouthEast of England
ColchesterEast of England
St AlbansEast of England
EastleighSouth East
GuildfordSouth East
LewesSouth East
WinchesterSouth East
CheltenhamSouth West
ChippenhamSouth West
Cornwall NorthSouth West
Devon NorthSouth West
Dorset Mid and Poole NorthSouth West
Dorset WestSouth West
St Austell and NewquaySouth West
St IvesSouth West
Taunton DeaneSouth West
Thornbury and YateSouth West
TorbaySouth West
Truro and FalmouthSouth West
WellsSouth West
YeovilSouth West
Harrogate and KnaresboroughYorkshire and the Humber
Berwick-upon-TweedNorth East
CheadleNorth West
Hazel GroveNorth West
SouthportNorth West
Brecon and RadnorshireWales
MontgomeryshireWales
Fife North EastScotland
CeredigionWales
SNP gains
Aberdeen SouthScotland
Aberdeenshire West and KincardineScotland
AngusScotland
Ayr, Carrick and CumnockScotland
Banff and BuchanScotland
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkScotland
Dumfries and GallowayScotland
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and TweeddaleScotland
GordonScotland
MorayScotland
Ochil and South PerthshireScotland
Renfrewshire EastScotland
StirlingScotland
Coatbridge, Chryston and BellshillScotland
East LothianScotland
Glasgow North EastScotland
Kirkcaldy and CowdenbeathScotland
MidlothianScotland
Rutherglen and Hamilton WestScotland
Plaid Cymru gains
Ynys MonWales
Brexit Party gains
KensingtonLondon
AshfieldEast Midlands
PutneyLondon
ThurrockEast of England
WatfordEast of England
AberconwyWales
Preseli PembrokeshireWales
Minor gains
Devon EastSouth West

England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

London

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

East of England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

South East

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

South West

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

East Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

West Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

North East

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

North West

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Scotland

SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Wales

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Northern Ireland

DUP
%
Sinn Fein
%
SDLP
%
UUP
%
Alliance NI
%

Election 2015 (Swingometer 2017)

Election 2010 (Swingometer 2015)

Election 2005 (5th Boundary Review) (Swingometer 2010)

Election 2005

Election 2001 (Swingometer 2005)

Election 1997 (Swingometer 2001)

Election 1992 (Swingometer 1997)

Election 1987 (Swingometer 1992)

Election 1983 (Swingometer 1987)

Quick Links
Latest Posts
Updated Election Maps
posted 30 Mar 2024, 14:30
Updated Constituency Boundaries
posted 26 Feb 2024, 21:20
2021 Results for the Scottish Parliament and Senedd Elections
posted 8 May 2021, 20:45