This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.
To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.
Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.
Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
Labour | 41.02% | 40.00% | -1.02% | 262 | 295 | +36 | -3 | +33 | |
Conservative | 43.43% | 37.00% | -6.43% | 317 | 274 | 0 | -43 | -43 | |
Liberal Democrat | 7.56% | 7.00% | -0.56% | 12 | 15 | +3 | 0 | +3 | |
Green | 1.65% | 4.00% | +2.35% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
SNP | 3.11% | 3.11% | 0.00% | 35 | 42 | +7 | 0 | +7 | |
Brexit Party | 0.00% | 2.00% | +2.00% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Plaid Cymru | 0.52% | 0.52% | 0.00% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
UKIP | 1.89% | 0.00% | -1.89% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:
Labour gainsChingford and Woodford Green | London | ||
Chipping Barnet | London | ||
Finchley and Golders Green | London | ||
Harrow East | London | ||
Hendon | London | ||
Putney | London | ||
Norwich North | East of England | ||
Thurrock | East of England | ||
Watford | East of England | ||
Crawley | South East | ||
Hastings and Rye | South East | ||
Milton Keynes North | South East | ||
Milton Keynes South | South East | ||
Southampton Itchen | South East | ||
Camborne and Redruth | South West | ||
Swindon South | South West | ||
Broxtowe | East Midlands | ||
Corby | East Midlands | ||
Mansfield | East Midlands | ||
Northampton North | East Midlands | ||
Northampton South | East Midlands | ||
Stoke-on-Trent South | West Midlands | ||
Telford | West Midlands | ||
Worcester | West Midlands | ||
Calder Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Morley and Outwood | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Pudsey | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East | North East | ||
Blackpool North and Cleveleys | North West | ||
Bolton West | North West | ||
Copeland | North West | ||
Morecambe and Lunesdale | North West | ||
Pendle | North West | ||
Aberconwy | Wales | ||
Preseli Pembrokeshire | Wales | ||
Vale of Glamorgan | Wales |
Richmond Park | London | ||
Cheltenham | South West | ||
St Ives | South West |
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock | Scotland | ||
Gordon | Scotland | ||
Ochil and South Perthshire | Scotland | ||
Stirling | Scotland | ||
Glasgow North East | Scotland | ||
Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Scotland | ||
Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Scotland |