UK Swingometer

This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.

To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.

Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.

Election 2019 (New Boundaries) (Swingometer 2024)

Election 2019

Election 2017 (Swingometer 2019)

United Kingdom

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

London

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

East of England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

South East

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

South West

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

East Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

West Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

North East

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

North West

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Scotland

SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP36.89%42.00%+5.11%3550+16-1+15
Conservative28.61%22.00%-6.61%1330-10-10
Liberal Democrat6.76%13.00%+6.24%45+10+1
Labour27.06%12.00%-15.06%710-6-6
Brexit Party0.00%6.00%+6.00%00000
Green0.22%4.00%+3.78%00000
UKIP0.20%0.20%0.00%00000

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Liberal Democrat gains
Fife North EastScotland
SNP gains
Aberdeen SouthScotland
AngusScotland
Ayr, Carrick and CumnockScotland
Banff and BuchanScotland
Dumfries and GallowayScotland
GordonScotland
MorayScotland
Ochil and South PerthshireScotland
Renfrewshire EastScotland
StirlingScotland
Coatbridge, Chryston and BellshillScotland
East LothianScotland
Glasgow North EastScotland
Kirkcaldy and CowdenbeathScotland
MidlothianScotland
Rutherglen and Hamilton WestScotland

Wales

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Northern Ireland

DUP
%
Sinn Fein
%
SDLP
%
UUP
%
Alliance NI
%

Election 2015 (Swingometer 2017)

Election 2010 (Swingometer 2015)

Election 2005 (5th Boundary Review) (Swingometer 2010)

Election 2005

Election 2001 (Swingometer 2005)

Election 1997 (Swingometer 2001)

Election 1992 (Swingometer 1997)

Election 1987 (Swingometer 1992)

Election 1983 (Swingometer 1987)

Quick Links
Latest Posts
Updated Election Maps
posted 30 Mar 2024, 14:30
Updated Constituency Boundaries
posted 26 Feb 2024, 21:20
2021 Results for the Scottish Parliament and Senedd Elections
posted 8 May 2021, 20:45