Welsh Assembly Swingometer

This page contains the Welsh Assembly swingometer used to predict election results for the next Welsh Assembly election scheduled to be held in 2026.

We track the latest polls for the next Welsh Assembly election.

Wales

Constituency

Labour

%

Conservative

%

Plaid Cymru

%

Liberal Democrat

%

Region

Labour

%

Conservative

%

Plaid Cymru

%

Liberal Democrat

%

UKIP

%

Green

%

HUNG PARLIAMENT

Labour
short by
1

31 seats needed for a majority

Summary

		Seats		Seat Changes
Party		Then	Now	Gains	Losses	Net
	Labour	30	30	0	0	0
	Conservative	14	14	0	0	0
	Plaid Cymru	11	11	0	0	0
	Liberal Democrat	5	5	0	0	0

Constituency

		Votes			Seats		Seat Changes
Party		Then	Now	Change	Then	Now	Gains	Losses	Net
	Labour	42.32%	42.32%	0.00%	28	28	0	0	0
	Conservative	25.01%	25.01%	0.00%	6	6	0	0	0
	Plaid Cymru	19.27%	19.27%	0.00%	5	5	0	0	0
	Liberal Democrat	10.56%	10.56%	0.00%	1	1	0	0	0
	Green	0.16%	0.16%	0.00%	0	0	0	0	0

Region

		Votes			Seats		Seat Changes
Party		Then	Now	Change	Then	Now	Gains	Losses	Net
	Labour	36.88%	36.88%	0.00%	2	2	0	0	0
	Conservative	22.53%	22.53%	0.00%	8	8	0	0	0
	Plaid Cymru	17.89%	17.89%	0.00%	6	6	0	0	0
	Liberal Democrat	8.05%	8.05%	0.00%	4	4	0	0	0
	UKIP	4.56%	4.56%	0.00%	0	0	0	0	0
	Green	3.44%	3.44%	0.00%	0	0	0	0	0

Map Options

Export Constituencies to Map

Export Constituencies to Map (Changes Only)

South Wales East

South Wales Central

South Wales West

Mid and West Wales

North Wales