Welsh Assembly Swingometer

This page contains the Welsh Assembly swingometer used to predict election results for the next Welsh Assembly election scheduled to be held in 2021.

Polls should be entered into the 2021 Welsh Assembly swingometer.

Welsh Assembly Election 2016 (Use for 2021)

Wales

Constituency
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
Labour
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%
HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
2
31 seats needed for a majority
Summary
SeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour2929000
Plaid Cymru1215+30+3
Conservative1111+1-10
UKIP740-3-3
Liberal Democrat11000
Constituency
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour34.71%40.00%+5.29%2727000
Plaid Cymru20.54%25.00%+4.46%67+10+1
Conservative21.15%22.00%+0.85%650-1-1
Liberal Democrat7.67%6.00%-1.67%11000
UKIP12.46%5.00%-7.46%00000
Green2.47%2.47%0.00%00000
Region
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour31.46%36.00%+4.54%22000
Plaid Cymru20.85%23.00%+2.15%68+20+2
Conservative18.81%21.00%+2.19%56+10+1
UKIP13.02%8.00%-5.02%740-3-3
Liberal Democrat6.46%6.00%-0.46%00000
Green2.98%2.00%-0.98%00000
Brexit Party0.00%0.00%0.00%00000

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Plaid Cymru gains
AberconwyNorth Wales

South Wales East

Constituency
Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

South Wales Central

Constituency
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
Labour
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

South Wales West

Constituency
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
Labour
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Mid and West Wales

Constituency
Plaid Cymru
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Region
Plaid Cymru
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

North Wales

Constituency
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
Labour
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Welsh Assembly Election 2011 (Use for 2016)

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