Scottish Parliament Swingometer

This page contains the Scottish Parliament swingometer used to predict election results for the next Scottish election scheduled to be held in 2026.

We track the latest polls for the next Scottish election.

Scottish Parliament Election 2021 (Use for 2026)

Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
Reform UK
%
HUNG PARLIAMENT
SNP
short by
13
65 seats needed for a majority
Summary
SeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP64520-12-12
Labour2220+3-5-2
Conservative3116+5-20-15
Reform UK015+150+15
Liberal Democrat414+100+10
Green811+30+3
ALBA01+10+1
Constituency
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP47.70%32.58%-15.12%62520-10-10
Labour21.59%20.18%-1.41%25+30+3
Reform UK0.00%13.00%+13.00%00000
Conservative21.89%12.79%-9.10%510+50+5
Liberal Democrat6.94%9.21%+2.27%45+10+1
Green1.29%8.42%+7.13%01+10+1
Region
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP40.30%27.36%-12.94%200-2-2
Labour18.00%17.36%-0.64%20150-5-5
Conservative23.46%13.39%-10.07%2660-20-20
Liberal Democrat5.05%11.82%+6.77%09+90+9
Reform UK0.21%11.79%+11.58%015+150+15
Green8.11%11.42%+3.31%810+20+2
ALBA1.65%5.03%+3.38%01+10+1
Map Options

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Labour gains
Hamilton, Larkhall and StonehouseCentral Scotland
RutherglenGlasgow
East LothianSouth Scotland
Conservative gains
Perthshire South and Kinross-shireMid Scotland and Fife
Aberdeen South and North KincardineNorth East Scotland
Aberdeenshire EastNorth East Scotland
Banffshire and Buchan CoastNorth East Scotland
AyrSouth Scotland
Liberal Democrat gains
Caithness Sutherland and RossHighlands and Islands
Green gains
Glasgow KelvinGlasgow

Central Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%
Region
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
Reform UK
%

Glasgow

Constituency
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Reform UK
%
Region
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
Reform UK
%

Highlands and Islands

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Labour
%
Green
%
ALBA
%
Reform UK
%

Lothian

Constituency
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%
Region
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
Reform UK
%

Mid Scotland and Fife

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
Reform UK
%

North East Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
Reform UK
%

South Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
Reform UK
%

West Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%
Region
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
Reform UK
%

Scottish Parliament Election 2016 (Use for 2021)

Scottish Parliament Election 2011 (Use for 2016)

2029 General Election
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posted 5 Jul 2024, 12:00