Scottish Parliament Swingometer

This page contains the Scottish Parliament swingometer used to predict election results for the next Scottish election scheduled to be held in 2026.

We track the latest polls for the next Scottish election.

Scottish Parliament Election 2021 (Use for 2026)

Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%
HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
17
65 seats needed for a majority
Summary
SeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour2248+40-14+26
SNP6442+20-42-22
Conservative3118+5-18-13
Liberal Democrat411+70+7
Green810+20+2
Constituency
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour21.59%35.35%+13.76%238+360+36
SNP47.70%34.14%-13.56%62200-42-42
Conservative21.89%14.11%-7.78%510+50+5
Liberal Democrat6.94%8.13%+1.19%45+10+1
Region
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour18.00%31.41%+13.41%2010+4-14-10
SNP40.30%29.08%-11.22%222+200+20
Conservative23.46%15.14%-8.32%2680-18-18
Liberal Democrat5.05%8.80%+3.75%06+60+6
Green8.11%8.60%+0.49%810+20+2
ALBA1.65%1.65%0.00%00000
AFU0.86%0.86%+0.00%00000
Map Options

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Conservative gains
Perthshire South and Kinross-shireMid Scotland and Fife
Aberdeen South and North KincardineNorth East Scotland
Aberdeenshire EastNorth East Scotland
Banffshire and Buchan CoastNorth East Scotland
AyrSouth Scotland
Labour gains
Airdrie and ShottsCentral Scotland
Coatbridge and ChrystonCentral Scotland
East KilbrideCentral Scotland
Falkirk EastCentral Scotland
Hamilton, Larkhall and StonehouseCentral Scotland
Motherwell and WishawCentral Scotland
Uddingston and BellshillCentral Scotland
Glasgow AnnieslandGlasgow
Glasgow CathcartGlasgow
Glasgow KelvinGlasgow
Glasgow PollokGlasgow
Glasgow ProvanGlasgow
Glasgow ShettlestonGlasgow
RutherglenGlasgow
Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)Highlands and Islands
Edinburgh CentralLothian
Edinburgh EasternLothian
Edinburgh Northern and LeithLothian
Edinburgh PentlandsLothian
LinlithgowLothian
Midlothian North and MusselburghLothian
Clackmannanshire and DunblaneMid Scotland and Fife
CowdenbeathMid Scotland and Fife
DunfermlineMid Scotland and Fife
KirkcaldyMid Scotland and Fife
Aberdeen CentralNorth East Scotland
Carrick, Cumnock and Doon ValleySouth Scotland
ClydesdaleSouth Scotland
East LothianSouth Scotland
Clydebank and MilngavieWest Scotland
Cunninghame SouthWest Scotland
Greenock and InverclydeWest Scotland
PaisleyWest Scotland
Renfrewshire North and WestWest Scotland
Renfrewshire SouthWest Scotland
Strathkelvin and BearsdenWest Scotland
Liberal Democrat gains
Caithness Sutherland and RossHighlands and Islands

Central Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

Glasgow

Constituency
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

Highlands and Islands

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Labour
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Labour
%
Green
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

Lothian

Constituency
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

Mid Scotland and Fife

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

North East Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

South Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
AFU
%
ALBA
%

West Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

Scottish Parliament Election 2016 (Use for 2021)

Scottish Parliament Election 2011 (Use for 2016)

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