Senedd Swingometer

Senedd Election 2021 (New Boundaries (Our Estimate)) (Use for 2026)

Wales

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Abolish Welsh Assembly
%
Reform UK
%

Warning: Input of 102.73% exceeds 100%.

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
13
49 seats needed for a majority
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour36.17%30.00%-6.17%47360-11-11
Plaid Cymru20.72%21.00%+0.28%2123+3-1+2
Reform UK1.04%20.00%+18.96%018+180+18
Conservative25.08%17.00%-8.08%28180-10-10
Liberal Democrat4.34%6.00%+1.66%01+10+1
Green4.39%5.00%+0.61%00000
Abolish Welsh Assembly3.73%3.73%0.00%00000

Senedd Election 2021

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