This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election. You can also override the Great Britain figures and specify Scotland and Wales separately.
To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.
Note: The United Kingdom swingometer takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.
| Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
| Reform UK | 14.69% | 28.29% | +13.60% | 5 | 249 | +244 | 0 | +244 | |
| Labour | 34.64% | 22.35% | -12.29% | 411 | 187 | 0 | -224 | -224 | |
| Conservative | 24.36% | 19.45% | -4.91% | 121 | 58 | +12 | -75 | -63 | |
| Liberal Democrat | 12.56% | 14.03% | +1.47% | 72 | 79 | +7 | 0 | +7 | |
| Green | 6.91% | 8.93% | +2.02% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| SNP | 2.59% | 2.77% | +0.18% | 9 | 36 | +27 | 0 | +27 | |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.70% | 1.15% | +0.45% | 4 | 7 | +3 | 0 | +3 | |
On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:
Conservative gains| Chelsea and Fulham | London | ||
| Chipping Barnet | London | ||
| Hendon | London | ||
| Uxbridge and Ruislip South | London | ||
| Earley and Woodley | South East | ||
| Somerset North | South West | ||
| Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East | North East | ||
| Clwyd East | Wales | ||
| Clwyd North | Wales | ||
| Monmouthshire | Wales | ||
| Pembrokeshire Mid and South | Wales | ||
| Vale of Glamorgan | Wales |
| Farnham and Bordon | South East | ||
| Godalming and Ash | South East | ||
| Hampshire East | South East | ||
| Romsey and Southampton North | South East | ||
| Cotswolds North | South West | ||
| Dorset North | South West | ||
| Shropshire South | West Midlands |
| Birmingham Yardley | West Midlands |
| Alloa and Grangemouth | Scotland | ||
| Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock | Scotland | ||
| Ayrshire Central | Scotland | ||
| Ayrshire North and Arran | Scotland | ||
| Coatbridge and Bellshill | Scotland | ||
| Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch | Scotland | ||
| Dunbartonshire West | Scotland | ||
| Edinburgh East and Musselburgh | Scotland | ||
| Edinburgh North and Leith | Scotland | ||
| Edinburgh South West | Scotland | ||
| Falkirk | Scotland | ||
| Glasgow East | Scotland | ||
| Glasgow North | Scotland | ||
| Glasgow North East | Scotland | ||
| Glasgow South | Scotland | ||
| Glasgow South West | Scotland | ||
| Glasgow West | Scotland | ||
| Glenrothes and Mid Fife | Scotland | ||
| Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West | Scotland | ||
| Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Scotland | ||
| Livingston | Scotland | ||
| Paisley and Renfrewshire North | Scotland | ||
| Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Scotland | ||
| Renfrewshire East | Scotland | ||
| Stirling and Strathallan | Scotland | ||
| Dumfries and Galloway | Scotland | ||
| Gordon and Buchan | Scotland |
| Bangor Aberconwy | Wales | ||
| Caerphilly | Wales | ||
| Cardiff West | Wales |
| Bethnal Green and Stepney | London | ||
| Ilford North | London | ||
| Slough | South East | ||
| Birmingham Ladywood | West Midlands | ||
| Bradford West | Yorkshire and the Humber |