This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election. You can also override the Great Britain figures and specify Scotland and Wales separately.
To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.
Note: The United Kingdom swingometer takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.
| Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
| Reform UK | 14.69% | 26.66% | +11.97% | 5 | 258 | +253 | 0 | +253 | |
| Labour | 34.64% | 19.06% | -15.58% | 411 | 150 | 0 | -261 | -261 | |
| Conservative | 24.36% | 18.37% | -5.99% | 121 | 68 | +18 | -71 | -53 | |
| Green | 6.91% | 14.84% | +7.93% | 4 | 8 | +4 | 0 | +4 | |
| Liberal Democrat | 12.56% | 12.18% | -0.37% | 72 | 77 | +6 | -1 | +5 | |
| SNP | 2.59% | 2.59% | +0.00% | 9 | 46 | +37 | 0 | +37 | |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.70% | 0.69% | 0.00% | 4 | 13 | +9 | 0 | +9 | |
On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:
Conservative gains| Chelsea and Fulham | London | ||
| Chipping Barnet | London | ||
| Cities of London and Westminster | London | ||
| Hendon | London | ||
| Kensington and Bayswater | London | ||
| Uxbridge and Ruislip South | London | ||
| Peterborough | East of England | ||
| Welwyn Hatfield | East of England | ||
| Earley and Woodley | South East | ||
| Somerset North | South West | ||
| Derbyshire Dales | East Midlands | ||
| Hexham | North East | ||
| Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East | North East | ||
| Altrincham and Sale West | North West | ||
| Clwyd North | Wales | ||
| Monmouthshire | Wales | ||
| Pembrokeshire Mid and South | Wales | ||
| Vale of Glamorgan | Wales |
| Farnham and Bordon | South East | ||
| Godalming and Ash | South East | ||
| Hampshire East | South East | ||
| Romsey and Southampton North | South East | ||
| Dorset North | South West | ||
| Shropshire South | West Midlands |
| Bristol East | South West | ||
| Bristol South | South West | ||
| Huddersfield | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
| Cardiff South and Penarth | Wales |
| Birmingham Yardley | West Midlands |
| Bangor Aberconwy | Wales | ||
| Caerphilly | Wales | ||
| Cardiff East | Wales | ||
| Cardiff North | Wales | ||
| Cardiff West | Wales | ||
| Llanelli | Wales | ||
| Pontypridd | Wales | ||
| Swansea West | Wales | ||
| Wrexham | Wales |
| Bethnal Green and Stepney | London | ||
| Ilford North | London | ||
| Slough | South East | ||
| Birmingham Ladywood | West Midlands | ||
| Bradford West | Yorkshire and the Humber |