This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election. You can also override the Great Britain figures and specify Scotland and Wales separately.
To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.
Note: The United Kingdom swingometer takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.
| Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
| Plaid Cymru | 14.77% | 29.00% | +14.23% | 4 | 12 | +8 | 0 | +8 | |
| Reform UK | 16.91% | 25.00% | +8.09% | 0 | 14 | +14 | 0 | +14 | |
| Labour | 36.97% | 13.00% | -23.97% | 27 | 1 | 0 | -26 | -26 | |
| Conservative | 18.19% | 12.00% | -6.19% | 0 | 4 | +4 | 0 | +4 | |
| Green | 4.67% | 12.00% | +7.33% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liberal Democrat | 6.51% | 6.00% | -0.51% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:
Conservative gains| Clwyd North | Wales | ||
| Monmouthshire | Wales | ||
| Pembrokeshire Mid and South | Wales | ||
| Vale of Glamorgan | Wales |
| Aberafan Maesteg | Wales | ||
| Alyn and Deeside | Wales | ||
| Bridgend | Wales | ||
| Clwyd East | Wales | ||
| Gower | Wales | ||
| Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare | Wales | ||
| Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr | Wales | ||
| Neath and Swansea East | Wales | ||
| Newport East | Wales | ||
| Newport West and Islwyn | Wales | ||
| Pontypridd | Wales | ||
| Rhondda and Ogmore | Wales | ||
| Torfaen | Wales | ||
| Wrexham | Wales |
| Bangor Aberconwy | Wales | ||
| Caerphilly | Wales | ||
| Cardiff East | Wales | ||
| Cardiff North | Wales | ||
| Cardiff South and Penarth | Wales | ||
| Cardiff West | Wales | ||
| Llanelli | Wales | ||
| Swansea West | Wales |