Election Polling

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Latest Election Projections

United-Kingdom.png
UK General Election 2024
Conservatives short by 2
Swing of 3.6% to Labour from Conservative
Scotland.png
Scottish Parliament Election 2026
SNP short by 2
Wales.png
Welsh Assembly Election 2026
Labour short by 1

Events

Below is the list of upcoming elections, by-elections, referendums and events that you should make a note of in your diary. It is based on the most recent information we have and is subject to change.

DateEventDescription
05 May 2022 Northern Ireland Assembly election Latest date the next Northern Ireland Assembly election can be held
02 May 2024 UK General Election Latest date the next general election can be held
07 May 2026 Scottish Parliament election Latest date the next Scottish Parliament election can be held
07 May 2026 Welsh Assembly election Latest date the next Welsh Assembly election can be held

UK General Election 2024 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2024 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Conservatives
short by
2
326 seats needed for a majority

This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:

United-Kingdom.pngCONLABLDBREXGRN
Seats3242361301
Change41342--
Votes39.4%34.7%8.2%2.1%6.9%
Change5.4%1.8%3.7%-4.1%

This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2024 polls.

Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
SNP
short by
2
65 seats needed for a majority

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

Scotland.pngSNPCONLABGRNLD
Seats632821107
Change13123

This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.

Welsh Assembly Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Welsh Assembly Election 2026 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
1
31 seats needed for a majority

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

Wales.pngLABCONPCLDGRN
Seats30171210
Change-11--

This seat forecast is based on the latest Welsh Assembly Election 2026 polls.

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