Election Polling

Welcome to the home page of Election Polling. Want to know more about us? See About Us.

Latest Election Projections

United-Kingdom.png
UK General Election 2024
Conservatives short by 17
Swing of 5.2% to Labour from Conservative
Scotland.png
Scottish Parliament Election 2021
SNP majority of 9
Wales.png
Welsh Assembly Election 2021
Labour short by 7

Events

Below is the list of upcoming elections, by-elections, referendums and events that you should make a note of in your diary. It is based on the most recent information we have and is subject to change.

DateEventDescription
31 Dec 2020 UK withdrawal from EU transition period ends Latest date the transition period for UK withdrawal from the EU ends
06 May 2021 Scottish Parliament election Latest date the next Scottish Parliament election can be held
06 May 2021 Welsh Assembly election Latest date the next Welsh Assembly election can be held
05 May 2022 Northern Ireland Assembly election Latest date the next Northern Ireland Assembly election can be held
02 May 2024 UK General Election Latest date the next general election can be held

UK General Election 2024 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2024 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Conservatives
short by
17
326 seats needed for a majority

This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:

United-Kingdom.pngCONLABLDBREXGRN
Seats309256901
Change56542--
Votes40.2%38.8%6.8%2.1%4.4%
Change4.5%5.9%5.0%-1.7%

This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2024 polls.

Scottish Parliament Election 2021 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2021 would give the following result:

SNP
Win
9
seat majority

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

Scotland.pngSNPCONLABGRNLD
Seats692022108
Change611243

This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2021 polls.

Welsh Assembly Election 2021 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Welsh Assembly Election 2021 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
7
31 seats needed for a majority

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

Wales.pngLABCONPCLDGRN
Seats24201510
Change593--

This seat forecast is based on the latest Welsh Assembly Election 2021 polls.

Quick Links
Latest Posts
Interactive Election Maps
posted 16 Aug 2020, 14:00
Election Results and Tools Updated for 2024
posted 13 Dec 2019, 09:00
2019 European Election Swingometer
posted 19 May 2019, 14:30