 UK General Election 2024 | Conservatives short by 17 Swing of 5.2% to Labour from Conservative Based on UK Election Polls. View seat gains and losses. | |
 Scottish Parliament Election 2021 | SNP majority of 9 Based on Scottish Parliament Polls. View seat gains and losses. | |
 Welsh Assembly Election 2021 | Labour short by 7 Based on Welsh Assembly Polls. View seat gains and losses. |
Below is the list of upcoming elections, by-elections, referendums and events that you should make a note of in your diary. It is based on the most recent information we have and is subject to change.
| Date | Event | Description |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2020 | UK withdrawal from EU transition period ends | Latest date the transition period for UK withdrawal from the EU ends |
| 06 May 2021 | Scottish Parliament election | Latest date the next Scottish Parliament election can be held |
| 06 May 2021 | Welsh Assembly election | Latest date the next Welsh Assembly election can be held |
| 05 May 2022 | Northern Ireland Assembly election | Latest date the next Northern Ireland Assembly election can be held |
| 02 May 2024 | UK General Election | Latest date the next general election can be held |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2024 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| CON | LAB | LD | BREX | GRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 309 | 256 | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| Change | ▼56 | ▲54 | ▼2 | - | - |
| Votes | 40.2% | 38.8% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 4.4% |
| Change | ▼4.5% | ▲5.9% | ▼5.0% | - | ▲1.7% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2024 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2021 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 69 | 20 | 22 | 10 | 8 |
| Change | ▲6 | ▼11 | ▼2 | ▲4 | ▲3 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2021 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Welsh Assembly Election 2021 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | LD | GRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 24 | 20 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| Change | ▼5 | ▲9 | ▲3 | - | - |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Welsh Assembly Election 2021 polls.
