 UK General Election 2024 | Labour short by 14 Swing of 10.8% to Labour from Conservative Based on UK Election Polls. View seat gains and losses. | |
 Scottish Parliament Election 2026 | SNP majority of 1 Based on Scottish Parliament Polls. View seat gains and losses. | |
 Welsh Assembly Election 2026 | Labour short by 1 Based on Welsh Assembly Polls. View seat gains and losses. |
Below is the list of upcoming elections, by-elections, referendums and events that you should make a note of in your diary. It is based on the most recent information we have and is subject to change.
| Date | Event | Description |
|---|---|---|
| 05 May 2022 | Northern Ireland Assembly election | Latest date the next Northern Ireland Assembly election can be held |
| 02 May 2024 | UK General Election | Latest date the next general election can be held |
| 07 May 2026 | Scottish Parliament election | Latest date the next Scottish Parliament election can be held |
| 07 May 2026 | Welsh Assembly election | Latest date the next Welsh Assembly election can be held |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2024 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| CON | LAB | LD | BREX | GRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 237 | 312 | 24 | 0 | 1 |
| Change | ▼128 | ▲110 | ▲13 | - | - |
| Votes | 31.3% | 41.0% | 10.6% | 2.1% | 5.3% |
| Change | ▼13.4% | ▲8.1% | ▼1.2% | - | ▲2.5% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2024 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 65 | 27 | 21 | 11 | 5 |
| Change | ▲1 | ▼4 | ▼1 | ▲3 | ▲1 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Welsh Assembly Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | LD | GRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 30 | 17 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| Change | - | ▲1 | ▼1 | - | - |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Welsh Assembly Election 2026 polls.
