UK General Election 2024 Prediction | Labour win: majority of 84 Swing of 16.3% to Labour from Conservative Based on UK Election Polls. View seat gains and losses. | |
Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Prediction | Labour short by 23 Based on Scottish Parliament Polls. View seat gains and losses. | |
Senedd Election 2026 Prediction | Labour short by 1 Based on Senedd Polls. View seat gains and losses. |
Below is the list of upcoming elections, by-elections, referendums and events that you should make a note of in your diary. It is based on the most recent information we have and is subject to change.
Date | Event | Description |
---|---|---|
23 Jan 2025 | UK General Election | Latest date the next general election can be held |
07 May 2026 | Scottish Parliament election | Latest date the next Scottish Parliament election can be held |
07 May 2026 | Senedd election | Latest date the next Senedd election can be held |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2024 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
LAB | CON | RefUK | LD | GRN | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats | 367 | 183 | 0 | 28 | 1 |
Change | ▲167 | ▼189 | - | ▲20 | - |
Votes | 44.1% | 23.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
Change | ▲11.3% | ▼21.3% | ▲9.6% | ▼2.2% | ▲2.9% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2024 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats | 42 | 23 | 42 | 10 | 12 |
Change | ▼22 | ▼8 | ▲20 | ▲2 | ▲8 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
LAB | CON | PC | LD | GRN | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
Change | - | ▼2 | ▼2 | ▲4 | - |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.