 UK General Election 2024 | Conservative landslide majority of 226 Swing of 6.6% to Conservative from Labour | |
 Scottish Parliament Election 2021 | SNP majority of 1 | |
 Welsh Assembly Election 2021 | Labour short by 7 |
Below is the list of upcoming elections, by-elections, referendums and events that you should make a note of in your diary. It is based on the most recent information we have and is subject to change.
| Date | Event | Description |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2020 | UK withdrawal from EU transition period ends | Latest date the transition period for UK withdrawal from the EU ends |
| 06 May 2021 | Scottish Parliament election | Latest date the next Scottish Parliament election can be held |
| 06 May 2021 | Welsh Assembly election | Latest date the next Welsh Assembly election can be held |
| 05 May 2022 | Northern Ireland Assembly election | Latest date the next Northern Ireland Assembly election can be held |
| 02 May 2024 | UK General Election | Latest date the next general election can be held |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2024 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| CON | LAB | LD | BREX | GRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 438 | 136 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Change | ▲73 | ▼66 | ▼5 | - | - |
| Votes | 53.1% | 28.1% | 7.2% | 0.9% | 4.1% |
| Change | ▲8.4% | ▼4.8% | ▼4.6% | ▼1.1% | ▲1.4% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2024 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2021 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 65 | 30 | 17 | 10 | 7 |
| Change | ▲2 | ▼1 | ▼7 | ▲4 | ▲2 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2021 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Welsh Assembly Election 2021 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | LD | GRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 24 | 22 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| Change | ▼5 | ▲11 | ▲1 | - | - |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Welsh Assembly Election 2021 polls.