Scottish Parliament Polling

On this page are the latest Scottish Parliament election polls for the 2021 Scottish Parliament election together with uniform swing calculations of the polling averages. The seat calculations are from the 2021 Scottish Parliament swingometer.

SNP
Win
9
seat majority

Here are the polling averages of the polls below together with the seat changes on uniform swings. Information on how the 2021 Scottish Parliament election polling average is calculated is available here.

Summary
SeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP6369+9-3+6
Conservative3125+2-8-6
Labour24190-5-5
Green611+50+5
Liberal Democrat55000
Constituency
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP46.50%50.66%+4.16%5968+90+9
Conservative22.02%21.41%-0.61%710-6-6
Labour22.56%18.51%-4.06%300-3-3
Liberal Democrat7.82%6.33%-1.49%44000
Green0.58%2.06%+1.48%00000
Region
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP41.72%40.24%-1.48%410-3-3
Conservative22.93%20.82%-2.11%2424+2-20
Labour19.07%17.58%-1.49%21190-2-2
Green6.58%9.42%+2.84%611+50+5
Liberal Democrat5.22%6.05%+0.84%11000
AFU0.00%4.00%+4.00%00000
ALBA0.00%3.33%+3.33%00000
Reform UK0.00%1.38%+1.38%00000
UKIP2.03%1.00%-1.03%00000
Seat Gains and Losses

See which seats have changed hands using our Scottish Parliament seat calculator.

Map Options

At the bottom of this page are the most recent 2021 Scottish Parliament election polls for the next Scottish Parliament election ordered from newest to oldest. These polls should be used in conjunction with the Scottish Parliament swingometer.

Constituency Polls

SNP
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Green
Last Day of Field WorkPollster / ClientSample SizeWeightSNPCONLABLDGRNLead
7 Apr 2021Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,0071.004923186-26
6 Apr 2021Opinium / Sky News1,0230.955321186-32
4 Apr 2021Ipsos MORI / STV News1,0380.855320186233
1 Apr 2021Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,0090.704922206227
30 Mar 2021Survation / The Courier1,0000.604921209128
26 Mar 2021Find Out Now / The Daily Express1,0220.405021175429
19 Mar 2021BMG Research / Herald Scotland1,0210.054821208127
18 Mar 2021Survation / The Courier1,515-5021208129
16 Mar 2021Opinium / Sky News1,096-4624206422
12 Mar 2021Survation / Scotland in Union1,011-4621238123
10 Mar 2021Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,009-4823208-25
8 Mar 2021YouGov / The Times1,100-5222176230
5 Mar 2021Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,013-4723207224
25 Feb 2021Survation / The Daily Record1,011-5021207329
21 Feb 2021Ipsos MORI / STV News1,031-5223155329
9 Feb 2021Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,002-5423165231
22 Jan 2021Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,059-5220176332
13 Jan 2021Survation / Scot Goes Pop1,000-5119199-32
13 Jan 2021SavantaComRes / The Scotsman1,016-5319186-34
15 Dec 2020SavantaComRes / The Scotsman1,013-5520166-35
9 Dec 2020Survation1,010-5320206133
26 Nov 2020Ipsos MORI / STV News1,006-5522146133
11 Nov 2020Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop1,020-5321185332
10 Nov 2020YouGov1,089-5619156237
3 Nov 2020Survation1,071-5419188-35
9 Oct 2020Ipsos MORI / STV News1,045-5818138140
9 Oct 2020SavantaComRes1,003-5023186-27
21 Sep 2020JL Partners / Politico1,016-5819138239
7 Sep 2020Survation1,018-5320187-33
13 Aug 2020SavantaComRes1,008-5124176-27
10 Aug 2020YouGov / The Times1,142-5720148137
3 Jul 2020Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,026-5520156335
5 Jun 2020Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop1,022-5321196232
5 May 2020Panelbase1,086-5323155330
27 Apr 2020YouGov1,095-5423128231
26 Mar 2020Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,023-5126146325
31 Jan 2020Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop1,016-5026147324
22 Jan 2020Survation / Progress Scotland1,019-5123177-28
6 Dec 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,020-4326198217
3 Dec 2019YouGov / The Times1,002-46261411120
22 Nov 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,009-4326179217
11 Oct 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,003-42211910321
3 Sep 2019YouGov / The Times1,059-45231312222
20 Jun 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,024-42201611322
17 May 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,021-4120188321
26 Apr 2019YouGov / The Times1,029-4622167324
24 Apr 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,018-4022206318
6 Mar 2019Panelbase / Wings Over Scotland1,002-4127198314
5 Dec 2018Panelbase / Sunday Times1,028-4125236316
7 Nov 2018Panelbase / Sunday Times1,050-3927246-12

Region Polls

SNP
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Green
UKIP
Reform UK
ALBA
AFU
Last Day of Field WorkPollster / ClientSample SizeWeightSNPCONLABLDGRNUKIPRefUKALBAAFULead
7 Apr 2021Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,0071.0040211879--3-19
6 Apr 2021Opinium / Sky News1,0230.9544221757--2-22
4 Apr 2021Ipsos MORI / STV News1,0380.85382118612--3-17
1 Apr 2021Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,0090.7039211758--6418
30 Mar 2021Survation / The Courier1,0000.6038181981111--19
26 Mar 2021Find Out Now / The Daily Express1,0220.40422116511-2--21
19 Mar 2021BMG Research / Herald Scotland1,0210.0542221788-1--20
18 Mar 2021Survation / The Courier1,515-391920711-1--19
16 Mar 2021Opinium / Sky News1,096-42221957----20
12 Mar 2021Survation / Scotland in Union1,011-392120810----18
10 Mar 2021Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,009-402418610----16
8 Mar 2021YouGov / The Times1,100-45211656----24
5 Mar 2021Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,013-42221976----20
25 Feb 2021Survation / The Daily Record1,011-382120711----17
21 Feb 2021Ipsos MORI / STV News1,031-47221468----25
9 Feb 2021Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,002-432118610----22
22 Jan 2021Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,059-46201668----26
13 Jan 2021Survation / Scot Goes Pop1,000-401719911----21
13 Jan 2021SavantaComRes / The Scotsman1,016-441618811----26
15 Dec 2020SavantaComRes / The Scotsman1,013-422017712----22
9 Dec 2020Survation / 01,010-411820710-1--21
26 Nov 2020Ipsos MORI / STV News47-221667--0--6
11 Nov 2020Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop1,020-46201868----26
10 Nov 2020YouGov / 01,089-47201367----27
3 Nov 2020Survation / 01,071-43171971012--24
9 Oct 2020Ipsos MORI / STV News1,045-48181489----30
9 Oct 2020SavantaComRes / 01,003-412118711----20
21 Sep 2020JL Partners / Politico1,016-53191385----34
7 Sep 2020Survation / 01,018-42181881022--24
13 Aug 2020SavantaComRes / 01,008-432117810----22
10 Aug 2020YouGov / The Times1,142-47211476-1--26
3 Jul 2020Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,026-50181568----32
5 Jun 2020Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop1,022-48191687----29
5 May 2020Panelbase / 01,086-48221575----26
27 Apr 2020YouGov / 01,095-45231278----22
26 Mar 2020Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,023-48261366----22
31 Jan 2020Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop1,016-47251477----22
22 Jan 2020Survation / Progress Scotland1,019-3821199912--17
6 Dec 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,020-38261896-2--12
3 Dec 2019YouGov / The Times1,002-37251410802--12
22 Nov 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,009-39251796-3--14
11 Oct 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,003-38211811640--17
3 Sep 2019YouGov / The Times1,059-39201113815--19
20 Jun 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,024-392016107-6--19
17 May 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,021-3719188726--18
26 Apr 2019YouGov / The Times1,029-37201571025--17
24 Apr 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,018-3722197724--15
6 Mar 2019Panelbase / Wings Over Scotland1,002-362619963---10
5 Dec 2018Panelbase / Sunday Times1,028-382622671---12
7 Nov 2018Panelbase / Sunday Times1,050-37262266----11
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