Scottish Parliament Polling

On this page are the latest Scottish Parliament election polls for the 2021 Scottish Parliament election together with uniform swing calculations of the polling averages. The seat calculations are from the 2021 Scottish Parliament swingometer.

Here are the polling averages of the polls below together with the seat changes on uniform swings. Information on how the 2021 Scottish Parliament election polling average is calculated is available here.

Summary

		Seats		Seat Changes
Party		Then	Now	Gains	Losses	Net
	SNP	63	71	+11	-3	+8
	Conservative	31	26	+2	-7	-5
	Labour	24	18	0	-6	-6
	Green	6	9	+4	-1	+3
	Liberal Democrat	5	5	+1	-1	0

Constituency

		Votes			Seats		Seat Changes
Party		Then	Now	Change	Then	Now	Gains	Losses	Net
	SNP	46.50%	52.57%	+6.07%	59	69	+10	0	+10
	Conservative	22.02%	23.00%	+0.98%	7	1	0	-6	-6
	Labour	22.56%	15.29%	-7.28%	3	0	0	-3	-3
	Liberal Democrat	7.82%	5.00%	-2.82%	4	3	0	-1	-1
	Green	0.58%	2.71%	+2.14%	0	0	0	0	0

Region

		Votes			Seats		Seat Changes
Party		Then	Now	Change	Then	Now	Gains	Losses	Net
	SNP	41.72%	45.86%	+4.14%	4	2	+1	-3	-2
	Conservative	22.93%	21.71%	-1.22%	24	25	+2	-1	+1
	Labour	19.07%	15.14%	-3.93%	21	18	0	-3	-3
	Green	6.58%	8.57%	+1.99%	6	9	+4	-1	+3
	Liberal Democrat	5.22%	6.00%	+0.78%	1	2	+1	0	+1
	UKIP	2.03%	2.03%	0.00%	0	0	0	0	0
	Brexit Party	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0	0	0	0	0

See which seats have changed hands using our Scottish Parliament seat calculator.

At the bottom of this page are the most recent 2021 Scottish Parliament election polls for the next Scottish Parliament election ordered from newest to oldest. These polls should be used in conjunction with the Scottish Parliament swingometer.

Constituency Polls

Last Day of Field Work	Pollster / Client	Sample Size	Weight	SNP	CON	LAB	LD	GRN	Lead
21 Feb 2021	Ipsos MORI / STV News	1,031	1.00	52	23	15	5	3	29
9 Feb 2021	Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman	1,002	0.40	54	23	16	5	2	31
22 Jan 2021	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,059	-	52	20	17	6	3	32
13 Jan 2021	Survation / Scot Goes Pop	1,000	-	51	19	19	9	-	32
13 Jan 2021	SavantaComRes / The Scotsman	1,016	-	53	19	18	6	-	34
15 Dec 2020	SavantaComRes / The Scotsman	1,013	-	55	20	16	6	-	35
9 Dec 2020	Survation	1,010	-	53	20	20	6	1	33
26 Nov 2020	Ipsos MORI / STV News	1,006	-	55	22	14	6	1	33
11 Nov 2020	Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop	1,020	-	53	21	18	5	3	32
10 Nov 2020	YouGov	1,089	-	56	19	15	6	2	37
3 Nov 2020	Survation	1,071	-	54	19	18	8	-	35
9 Oct 2020	Ipsos MORI / STV News	1,045	-	58	18	13	8	1	40
9 Oct 2020	SavantaComRes	1,003	-	50	23	18	6	-	27
21 Sep 2020	JL Partners / Politico	1,016	-	58	19	13	8	2	39
7 Sep 2020	Survation	1,018	-	53	20	18	7	-	33
13 Aug 2020	SavantaComRes	1,008	-	51	24	17	6	-	27
10 Aug 2020	YouGov / The Times	1,142	-	57	20	14	8	1	37
3 Jul 2020	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,026	-	55	20	15	6	3	35
5 Jun 2020	Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop	1,022	-	53	21	19	6	2	32
5 May 2020	Panelbase	1,086	-	53	23	15	5	3	30
27 Apr 2020	YouGov	1,095	-	54	23	12	8	2	31
26 Mar 2020	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,023	-	51	26	14	6	3	25
31 Jan 2020	Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop	1,016	-	50	26	14	7	3	24
22 Jan 2020	Survation / Progress Scotland	1,019	-	51	23	17	7	-	28
6 Dec 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,020	-	43	26	19	8	2	17
3 Dec 2019	YouGov / The Times	1,002	-	46	26	14	11	1	20
22 Nov 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,009	-	43	26	17	9	2	17
11 Oct 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,003	-	42	21	19	10	3	21
3 Sep 2019	YouGov / The Times	1,059	-	45	23	13	12	2	22
20 Jun 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,024	-	42	20	16	11	3	22
17 May 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,021	-	41	20	18	8	3	21
26 Apr 2019	YouGov / The Times	1,029	-	46	22	16	7	3	24
24 Apr 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,018	-	40	22	20	6	3	18
6 Mar 2019	Panelbase / Wings Over Scotland	1,002	-	41	27	19	8	3	14
5 Dec 2018	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,028	-	41	25	23	6	3	16
7 Nov 2018	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,050	-	39	27	24	6	-	12
21 Oct 2018	Survation / Daily Record	1,017	-	38	26	25	9	-	12
5 Oct 2018	Survation / SNP	1,013	-	44	24	23	8	-	20
4 Oct 2018	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,024	-	41	26	21	6	3	15
2 Oct 2018	Survation / Sunday Post	1,036	-	43	24	23	9	-	19
10 Jul 2018	Survation	-	-	43	24	21	9	-	19
14 Jun 2018	Panelbase	1,021	-	40	28	24	6	2	12
5 Jun 2018	YouGov / The Times	1,075	-	41	27	22	6	2	14
28 Mar 2018	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,037	-	40	28	22	6	3	12
29 Jan 2018	Survation / Daily Record	1,019	-	42	25	25	6	-	17
17 Jan 2018	YouGov / The Times	1,002	-	38	26	23	7	3	12
5 Dec 2017	Survation / Sunday Post	1,006	-	39	24	28	7	-	11
30 Nov 2017	Survation / Daily Record	1,017	-	39	24	25	8	-	14
5 Oct 2017	YouGov / The Times	1,135	-	42	25	25	5	2	17
12 Sep 2017	Survation / Scottish Daily Mail	1,016	-	42	26	25	7	-	16

Region Polls

Last Day of Field Work	Pollster / Client	Sample Size	Weight	SNP	CON	LAB	LD	GRN	UKIP	BREX	Lead
21 Feb 2021	Ipsos MORI / STV News	1,031	1.00	47	22	14	6	8	-	-	25
9 Feb 2021	Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman	1,002	0.40	43	21	18	6	10	-	-	22
22 Jan 2021	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,059	-	46	20	16	6	8	-	-	26
13 Jan 2021	Survation / Scot Goes Pop	1,000	-	40	17	19	9	11	-	-	21
13 Jan 2021	SavantaComRes / The Scotsman	1,016	-	44	16	18	8	11	-	-	26
15 Dec 2020	SavantaComRes / The Scotsman	1,013	-	42	20	17	7	12	-	-	22
9 Dec 2020	Survation	1,010	-	41	18	20	7	10	-	1	21
11 Nov 2020	Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop	1,020	-	46	20	18	6	8	-	-	26
10 Nov 2020	YouGov	1,089	-	47	20	13	6	7	-	-	27
3 Nov 2020	Survation	1,071	-	43	17	19	7	10	1	2	24
9 Oct 2020	Ipsos MORI / STV News	1,045	-	48	18	14	8	9	-	-	30
9 Oct 2020	SavantaComRes	1,003	-	41	21	18	7	11	-	-	20
21 Sep 2020	JL Partners / Politico	1,016	-	53	19	13	8	5	-	-	34
7 Sep 2020	Survation	1,018	-	42	18	18	8	10	2	2	24
13 Aug 2020	SavantaComRes	1,008	-	43	21	17	8	10	-	-	22
10 Aug 2020	YouGov / The Times	1,142	-	47	21	14	7	6	-	1	26
3 Jul 2020	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,026	-	50	18	15	6	8	-	-	32
5 Jun 2020	Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop	1,022	-	48	19	16	8	7	-	-	29
5 May 2020	Panelbase	1,086	-	48	22	15	7	5	-	-	26
27 Apr 2020	YouGov	1,095	-	45	23	12	7	8	-	-	22
26 Mar 2020	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,023	-	48	26	13	6	6	-	-	22
31 Jan 2020	Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop	1,016	-	47	25	14	7	7	-	-	22
22 Jan 2020	Survation / Progress Scotland	1,019	-	38	21	19	9	9	1	2	17
6 Dec 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,020	-	38	26	18	9	6	-	2	12
3 Dec 2019	YouGov / The Times	1,002	-	37	25	14	10	8	0	2	12
22 Nov 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,009	-	39	25	17	9	6	-	3	14
3 Sep 2019	YouGov / The Times	1,059	-	39	20	11	13	8	1	5	19
20 Jun 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,024	-	39	20	16	10	7	-	6	19
17 May 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,021	-	37	19	18	8	7	2	6	18
26 Apr 2019	YouGov / The Times	1,029	-	37	20	15	7	10	2	5	17
24 Apr 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,018	-	37	22	19	7	7	2	4	15
6 Mar 2019	Panelbase / Wings Over Scotland	1,002	-	36	26	19	9	6	3	-	10
5 Dec 2018	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,028	-	38	26	22	6	7	1	-	12
7 Nov 2018	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,050	-	37	26	22	6	6	-	-	11
21 Oct 2018	Survation / Daily Record	1,017	-	32	23	23	9	9	-	-	9
5 Oct 2018	Survation / SNP	1,013	-	40	25	22	8	4	-	-	15
4 Oct 2018	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,024	-	35	26	20	8	7	2	-	9
2 Oct 2018	Survation / Sunday Post	1,036	-	32	21	23	8	10	5	-	9
10 Jul 2018	Survation	-	-	33	19	21	10	11	5	-	12
14 Jun 2018	Panelbase	1,021	-	36	26	23	6	7	1	-	10
5 Jun 2018	YouGov / The Times	1,075	-	32	26	21	7	9	1	-	6
29 Jan 2018	Survation / Daily Record	1,019	-	33	23	23	8	9	3	-	10
17 Jan 2018	YouGov / The Times	1,002	-	32	25	22	7	10	3	-	7
5 Dec 2017	Survation / Sunday Post	1,006	-	32	21	24	10	10	3	-	8
30 Nov 2017	Survation / Daily Record	1,017	-	33	22	25	8	8	3	-	8
5 Oct 2017	YouGov / The Times	1,135	-	35	23	24	6	6	1	-	11
12 Sep 2017	Survation / Scottish Daily Mail	1,016	-	31	21	25	10	9	3	-	6
14 Mar 2017	YouGov / The Times	1,028	-	40	25	14	5	12	2	-	15
29 Nov 2016	YouGov / The Times	1,134	-	39	24	14	6	11	4	-	15
4 Oct 2016	BMG Research	1,010	-	43	20	16	7	8	3	-	23