Scottish Parliament Polling

On this page are the latest Scottish Parliament election polls for the 2021 Scottish Parliament election together with uniform swing calculations of the polling averages.

The below calculations are from the 2021 Scottish Parliament swingometer.

HUNG PARLIAMENT
SNP
short by
3
65 seats needed for a majority

Here are the polling averages of the polls below together with the seat changes on uniform swings. Information on how the 2021 Scottish Parliament election polling average is calculated is available here.

Summary
SeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP63620-1-1
Conservative31280-3-3
Labour24230-1-1
Liberal Democrat513+80+8
Green630-3-3
Constituency
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP46.50%42.00%-4.50%5959000
Conservative22.02%21.00%-1.02%77000
Labour22.56%19.00%-3.56%33000
Liberal Democrat7.82%10.00%+2.18%44000
Green0.58%3.00%+2.42%00000
Region
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP41.72%38.00%-3.72%430-1-1
Conservative22.93%21.00%-1.93%24210-3-3
Labour19.07%18.00%-1.07%21200-1-1
Liberal Democrat5.22%11.00%+5.78%19+80+8
Green6.58%6.00%-0.58%630-3-3
Brexit Party0.00%4.00%+4.00%00000
UKIP2.03%2.03%0.00%00000

Here are the most recent 2021 Scottish Parliament election polls for the next Scottish Parliament election ordered from newest to oldest. These polls should be used in conjunction with the Scottish Parliament swingometer.

Constituency Polls

SNP
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Green
Last Day of Field WorkPollster / ClientSample SizeWeightSNPCONLABLDGRNLead
11 Oct 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,0031.0042211910321
3 Sep 2019YouGov / The Times1,059-45231312222
20 Jun 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,024-42201611322
17 May 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,021-4120188321
26 Apr 2019YouGov / The Times1,029-4622167324
24 Apr 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,018-4022206318
6 Mar 2019Panelbase / Wings Over Scotland1,002-4127198314
5 Dec 2018Panelbase / Sunday Times1,028-4125236316
7 Nov 2018Panelbase / Sunday Times1,050-3927246-12
21 Oct 2018Survation / Daily Record1,017-3826259-12
5 Oct 2018Survation / SNP1,013-4424238-20
4 Oct 2018Panelbase / Sunday Times1,024-4126216315
2 Oct 2018Survation / Sunday Post1,036-4324239-19
10 Jul 2018Survation--4324219-19
14 Jun 2018Panelbase1,021-4028246212
5 Jun 2018YouGov / The Times1,075-4127226214
28 Mar 2018Panelbase / Sunday Times1,037-4028226312
29 Jan 2018Survation / Daily Record1,019-4225256-17
17 Jan 2018YouGov / The Times1,002-3826237312
5 Dec 2017Survation / Sunday Post1,006-3924287-11
30 Nov 2017Survation / Daily Record1,017-3924258-14
5 Oct 2017YouGov / The Times1,135-4225255217
12 Sep 2017Survation / Scottish Daily Mail1,016-4226257-16
7 Sep 2017Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,021-4228226214
14 Mar 2017YouGov / The Times1,028-5124146427
29 Nov 2016YouGov / The Times1,134-4825156323
4 Oct 2016BMG Research1,010-5121187-30
31 Aug 2016YouGov / The Times1,039-5221165331
28 Jun 2016Survation / Scottish Daily Mail1,055-5021188-29

Region Polls

SNP
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Green
UKIP
Brexit Party
Last Day of Field WorkPollster / ClientSample SizeWeightSNPCONLABLDGRNUKIPBREXLead
11 Oct 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,0031.00382118116-417
3 Sep 2019YouGov / The Times1,059-3920111381519
20 Jun 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,024-392016107-619
17 May 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,021-371918872618
26 Apr 2019YouGov / The Times1,029-3720157102517
24 Apr 2019Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,018-372219772415
6 Mar 2019Panelbase / Wings Over Scotland1,002-362619963-10
5 Dec 2018Panelbase / Sunday Times1,028-382622671-12
7 Nov 2018Panelbase / Sunday Times1,050-37262266--11
21 Oct 2018Survation / Daily Record1,017-32232399--9
5 Oct 2018Survation / SNP1,013-40252284--15
4 Oct 2018Panelbase / Sunday Times1,024-352620872-9
2 Oct 2018Survation / Sunday Post1,036-3221238105-9
10 Jul 2018Survation--33192110115-12
14 Jun 2018Panelbase1,021-362623671-10
5 Jun 2018YouGov / The Times1,075-322621791-6
29 Jan 2018Survation / Daily Record1,019-332323893-10
17 Jan 2018YouGov / The Times1,002-3225227103-7
5 Dec 2017Survation / Sunday Post1,006-32212410103-8
30 Nov 2017Survation / Daily Record1,017-332225883-8
5 Oct 2017YouGov / The Times1,135-352324661-11
12 Sep 2017Survation / Scottish Daily Mail1,016-3121251093-6
14 Mar 2017YouGov / The Times1,028-4025145122-15
29 Nov 2016YouGov / The Times1,134-3924146114-15
4 Oct 2016BMG Research1,010-432016783-23
31 Aug 2016YouGov / The Times1,039-452115692-24
28 Jun 2016Survation / Scottish Daily Mail1,055-4120167124-21
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