Scottish Parliament Polling

On this page are the latest Scottish Parliament election polls for the 2021 Scottish Parliament election together with uniform swing calculations of the polling averages.

The below calculations are from the 2021 Scottish Parliament swingometer.

SNP
Win

17

seat majority

Here are the polling averages of the polls below together with the seat changes on uniform swings. Information on how the 2021 Scottish Parliament election polling average is calculated is available here.

Summary

		Seats		Seat Changes
Party		Then	Now	Gains	Losses	Net
	SNP	63	73	+13	-3	+10
	Conservative	31	28	+3	-6	-3
	Labour	24	17	0	-7	-7
	Liberal Democrat	5	7	+3	-1	+2
	Green	6	4	0	-2	-2

Constituency

		Votes			Seats		Seat Changes
Party		Then	Now	Change	Then	Now	Gains	Losses	Net
	SNP	46.50%	53.38%	+6.87%	59	69	+10	0	+10
	Conservative	22.02%	23.00%	+0.98%	7	1	0	-6	-6
	Labour	22.56%	13.88%	-8.69%	3	0	0	-3	-3
	Liberal Democrat	7.82%	6.13%	-1.70%	4	3	0	-1	-1
	Green	0.58%	2.63%	+2.05%	0	0	0	0	0

Region

		Votes			Seats		Seat Changes
Party		Then	Now	Change	Then	Now	Gains	Losses	Net
	SNP	41.72%	46.88%	+5.16%	4	4	+3	-3	0
	Conservative	22.93%	22.38%	-0.56%	24	27	+3	0	+3
	Labour	19.07%	13.88%	-5.20%	21	17	0	-4	-4
	Liberal Democrat	5.22%	7.00%	+1.78%	1	4	+3	0	+3
	Green	6.58%	6.13%	-0.46%	6	4	0	-2	-2
	UKIP	2.03%	2.03%	0.00%	0	0	0	0	0
	Brexit Party	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0	0	0	0	0

Here are the most recent 2021 Scottish Parliament election polls for the next Scottish Parliament election ordered from newest to oldest. These polls should be used in conjunction with the Scottish Parliament swingometer.

Constituency Polls

SNP

Conservative

Labour

Liberal Democrat

Green

Last Day of Field Work	Pollster / Client	Sample Size	Weight	SNP	CON	LAB	LD	GRN	Lead
5 May 2020	Panelbase	1,086	1.00	53	23	15	5	3	30
27 Apr 2020	YouGov	1,095	0.60	54	23	12	8	2	31
26 Mar 2020	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,023	-	51	26	14	6	3	25
31 Jan 2020	Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop	1,016	-	50	26	14	7	3	24
22 Jan 2020	Survation / Progress Scotland	1,019	-	51	23	17	7	-	28
6 Dec 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,020	-	43	26	19	8	2	17
3 Dec 2019	YouGov / The Times	1,002	-	46	26	14	11	1	20
22 Nov 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,009	-	43	26	17	9	2	17
11 Oct 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,003	-	42	21	19	10	3	21
3 Sep 2019	YouGov / The Times	1,059	-	45	23	13	12	2	22
20 Jun 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,024	-	42	20	16	11	3	22
17 May 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,021	-	41	20	18	8	3	21
26 Apr 2019	YouGov / The Times	1,029	-	46	22	16	7	3	24
24 Apr 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,018	-	40	22	20	6	3	18
6 Mar 2019	Panelbase / Wings Over Scotland	1,002	-	41	27	19	8	3	14
5 Dec 2018	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,028	-	41	25	23	6	3	16
7 Nov 2018	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,050	-	39	27	24	6	-	12
21 Oct 2018	Survation / Daily Record	1,017	-	38	26	25	9	-	12
5 Oct 2018	Survation / SNP	1,013	-	44	24	23	8	-	20
4 Oct 2018	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,024	-	41	26	21	6	3	15
2 Oct 2018	Survation / Sunday Post	1,036	-	43	24	23	9	-	19
10 Jul 2018	Survation	-	-	43	24	21	9	-	19
14 Jun 2018	Panelbase	1,021	-	40	28	24	6	2	12
5 Jun 2018	YouGov / The Times	1,075	-	41	27	22	6	2	14
28 Mar 2018	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,037	-	40	28	22	6	3	12
29 Jan 2018	Survation / Daily Record	1,019	-	42	25	25	6	-	17
17 Jan 2018	YouGov / The Times	1,002	-	38	26	23	7	3	12
5 Dec 2017	Survation / Sunday Post	1,006	-	39	24	28	7	-	11
30 Nov 2017	Survation / Daily Record	1,017	-	39	24	25	8	-	14
5 Oct 2017	YouGov / The Times	1,135	-	42	25	25	5	2	17
12 Sep 2017	Survation / Scottish Daily Mail	1,016	-	42	26	25	7	-	16
7 Sep 2017	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,021	-	42	28	22	6	2	14
14 Mar 2017	YouGov / The Times	1,028	-	51	24	14	6	4	27
29 Nov 2016	YouGov / The Times	1,134	-	48	25	15	6	3	23
4 Oct 2016	BMG Research	1,010	-	51	21	18	7	-	30
31 Aug 2016	YouGov / The Times	1,039	-	52	21	16	5	3	31
28 Jun 2016	Survation / Scottish Daily Mail	1,055	-	50	21	18	8	-	29

Region Polls

SNP

Conservative

Labour

Liberal Democrat

Green

UKIP

Brexit Party

Last Day of Field Work	Pollster / Client	Sample Size	Weight	SNP	CON	LAB	LD	GRN	UKIP	BREX	Lead
5 May 2020	Panelbase	1,086	1.00	48	22	15	7	5	-	-	26
27 Apr 2020	YouGov	1,095	0.60	45	23	12	7	8	-	-	22
26 Mar 2020	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,023	-	48	26	13	6	6	-	-	22
31 Jan 2020	Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop	1,016	-	47	25	14	7	7	-	-	22
22 Jan 2020	Survation / Progress Scotland	1,019	-	38	21	19	9	9	1	2	17
6 Dec 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,020	-	38	26	18	9	6	-	2	12
3 Dec 2019	YouGov / The Times	1,002	-	37	25	14	10	8	0	2	12
22 Nov 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,009	-	39	25	17	9	6	-	3	14
3 Sep 2019	YouGov / The Times	1,059	-	39	20	11	13	8	1	5	19
20 Jun 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,024	-	39	20	16	10	7	-	6	19
17 May 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,021	-	37	19	18	8	7	2	6	18
26 Apr 2019	YouGov / The Times	1,029	-	37	20	15	7	10	2	5	17
24 Apr 2019	Panelbase / The Sunday Times	1,018	-	37	22	19	7	7	2	4	15
6 Mar 2019	Panelbase / Wings Over Scotland	1,002	-	36	26	19	9	6	3	-	10
5 Dec 2018	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,028	-	38	26	22	6	7	1	-	12
7 Nov 2018	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,050	-	37	26	22	6	6	-	-	11
21 Oct 2018	Survation / Daily Record	1,017	-	32	23	23	9	9	-	-	9
5 Oct 2018	Survation / SNP	1,013	-	40	25	22	8	4	-	-	15
4 Oct 2018	Panelbase / Sunday Times	1,024	-	35	26	20	8	7	2	-	9
2 Oct 2018	Survation / Sunday Post	1,036	-	32	21	23	8	10	5	-	9
10 Jul 2018	Survation	-	-	33	19	21	10	11	5	-	12
14 Jun 2018	Panelbase	1,021	-	36	26	23	6	7	1	-	10
5 Jun 2018	YouGov / The Times	1,075	-	32	26	21	7	9	1	-	6
29 Jan 2018	Survation / Daily Record	1,019	-	33	23	23	8	9	3	-	10
17 Jan 2018	YouGov / The Times	1,002	-	32	25	22	7	10	3	-	7
5 Dec 2017	Survation / Sunday Post	1,006	-	32	21	24	10	10	3	-	8
30 Nov 2017	Survation / Daily Record	1,017	-	33	22	25	8	8	3	-	8
5 Oct 2017	YouGov / The Times	1,135	-	35	23	24	6	6	1	-	11
12 Sep 2017	Survation / Scottish Daily Mail	1,016	-	31	21	25	10	9	3	-	6
14 Mar 2017	YouGov / The Times	1,028	-	40	25	14	5	12	2	-	15
29 Nov 2016	YouGov / The Times	1,134	-	39	24	14	6	11	4	-	15
4 Oct 2016	BMG Research	1,010	-	43	20	16	7	8	3	-	23
31 Aug 2016	YouGov / The Times	1,039	-	45	21	15	6	9	2	-	24
28 Jun 2016	Survation / Scottish Daily Mail	1,055	-	41	20	16	7	12	4	-	21

Quick Links

2024 General Election Polling

Swingometer 2024

Labour Target Seats 2024

Conservative Target Seats 2024

Liberal Democrat Target Seats 2024

2019 General Election Results