On this page are the latest UK election polls for the 2024 general election together with a uniform swing calculation of the polling average.
The below calculations are from the 2024 UK Parliament swingometer.
Note: General Elections are scheduled to be held approximately every 5 years under the Fixed Term Parliaments Act (FTPA), but it is possible for an early general election to take place. We will refer to the election as if it were to take place 5 years after the last one unless it becomes clear that an early general election will happen.
Here is the polling average of the polls below together with the seat changes on a uniform swing. Information on how the Election 2024 polling average is calculated is available here.
| Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
| Conservative | 44.72% | 53.08% | +8.36% | 365 | 438 | +73 | 0 | +73 | |
| Labour | 32.90% | 28.12% | -4.78% | 202 | 136 | 0 | -66 | -66 | |
| Liberal Democrat | 11.84% | 7.24% | -4.60% | 11 | 6 | 0 | -5 | -5 | |
| Green | 2.77% | 4.12% | +1.35% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| SNP | 3.98% | 3.98% | 0.00% | 48 | 47 | +2 | -3 | -1 | |
| Brexit Party | 2.06% | 0.92% | -1.14% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.49% | 0.49% | 0.00% | 4 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -1 | |
Here are the most recent general election 2024 polls for the next United Kingdom general election ordered from newest to oldest. These polls should be used in conjunction with the United Kingdom swingometer for the 2024 general election. Pollsters ask the participants how they would vote if there were a general election tomorrow, or words to that effect.
| Last Day of Field Work | Pollster / Client | Sample Size | Weight | CON | LAB | LD | GRN | BREX | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,631 | 1.00 | 52 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 24 |
| 27 Mar 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,006 | 0.70 | 54 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 26 |
| 26 Mar 2020 | Number Cruncher Politics / Bloomberg | 1,010 | 0.65 | 54 | 28 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 |
| 16 Mar 2020 | Ipsos MORI / The Evening Standard | 1,003 | 0.15 | 52 | 30 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 Mar 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,005 | - | 49 | 32 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 Mar 2020 | Kantar Public | 1,171 | - | 50 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 21 |
| 20 Feb 2020 | SavantaComRes / The Sunday Express | 2,005 | - | 47 | 31 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 16 |
| 14 Feb 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 1,981 | - | 47 | 32 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 Feb 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,576 | - | 48 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 20 |
| 3 Feb 2020 | Ipsos MORI / The Evening Standard | 1,001 | - | 47 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 17 |
| 2 Feb 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,575 | - | 49 | 30 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 19 |
| 31 Jan 2020 | Survation / The Times | 1,015 | - | 44 | 33 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| 26 Jan 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,628 | - | 49 | 29 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 20 |
| 17 Jan 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 1,978 | - | 47 | 30 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 Jan 2020 | BMG Research / The Independent | 1,023 | - | 44 | 29 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 15 |