On this page are the latest UK election polls for the 2024 general election together with a uniform swing calculation of the polling average. The seat and majority calculations are lifted directly from the 2024 UK Parliament swingometer.
Note: General Elections are scheduled to be held approximately every 5 years under the Fixed Term Parliaments Act (FTPA), but it is possible for an early general election to take place. We will refer to the election as if it were to take place 5 years after the last one unless it becomes clear that an early general election will happen.
Here is the polling average of the polls below together with the seat changes on a uniform swing. Information on how the Election 2024 polling average is calculated is available here.
| Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
| Conservative | 44.72% | 39.83% | -4.89% | 365 | 310 | 0 | -55 | -55 | |
| Labour | 32.90% | 38.08% | +5.19% | 202 | 255 | +53 | 0 | +53 | |
| Liberal Democrat | 11.84% | 6.99% | -4.85% | 11 | 9 | 0 | -2 | -2 | |
| Green | 2.77% | 4.92% | +2.15% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| SNP | 3.98% | 3.98% | 0.00% | 48 | 52 | +5 | -1 | +4 | |
| Brexit Party | 2.06% | 2.06% | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.49% | 0.49% | 0.00% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
See which seats have changed hands using our seat calculator.
At the bottom of this page are the most recent general election 2024 polls for the next United Kingdom general election ordered from newest to oldest. These polls should be used in conjunction with the United Kingdom swingometer for the 2024 general election. Pollsters ask the participants how they would vote if there were a general election tomorrow, or words to that effect.
| Last Day of Field Work | Pollster / Client | Sample Size | Weight | CON | LAB | LD | GRN | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2021 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,000 | 1.00 | 41 | 37 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 Jan 2021 | SavantaComRes | - | 0.95 | 40 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 Jan 2021 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,003 | 0.80 | 39 | 40 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| 5 Jan 2021 | YouGov / The Times | 1,704 | 0.70 | 39 | 39 | 6 | 6 | Tie |
| 30 Dec 2020 | Deltapoll / The Daily Mirror | 1,608 | 0.40 | 43 | 38 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 29 Dec 2020 | Focaldata | 22,186 | 0.35 | 36 | 38 | 9 | 7 | 2 |
| 22 Dec 2020 | Survation | 1,011 | - | 39 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| 22 Dec 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,713 | - | 37 | 41 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 17 Dec 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,001 | - | 39 | 39 | 6 | 4 | Tie |
| 16 Dec 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,898 | - | 39 | 37 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| 14 Dec 2020 | Kantar Public | 1,137 | - | 38 | 37 | 10 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 Dec 2020 | SavantaComRes | 1,295 | - | 38 | 37 | 8 | 5 | 1 |
| 10 Dec 2020 | Ipsos MORI / The Evening Standard | 1,027 | - | 41 | 41 | 6 | 5 | Tie |
| 10 Dec 2020 | Survation | 3,452 | - | 39 | 37 | 8 | 5 | 2 |
| 9 Dec 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,699 | - | 37 | 37 | 8 | 6 | Tie |
| 8 Dec 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 6,949 | - | 40 | 38 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| 4 Dec 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,002 | - | 38 | 40 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| 3 Dec 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,706 | - | 38 | 38 | 6 | 5 | Tie |
| 2 Dec 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,000 | - | 40 | 37 | 9 | 6 | 3 |
| 29 Nov 2020 | SavantaComRes | 1,428 | - | 39 | 38 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| 28 Nov 2020 | Number Cruncher Politics | 1,001 | - | 39 | 37 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| 28 Nov 2020 | Deltapoll / The Daily Mail | 1,525 | - | 37 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 |
| 27 Nov 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,696 | - | 37 | 40 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 22 Nov 2020 | SavantaComRes | 1,272 | - | 39 | 37 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 20 Nov 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,001 | - | 41 | 38 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 19 Nov 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,500 | - | 40 | 39 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 Nov 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,700 | - | 38 | 37 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 Nov 2020 | SavantaComRes | 2,075 | - | 41 | 38 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 Nov 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,632 | - | 38 | 40 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| 11 Nov 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,500 | - | 40 | 40 | 7 | 5 | Tie |
| 9 Nov 2020 | SavantaComRes | 2,130 | - | 40 | 36 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 Nov 2020 | Kantar Public | 1,141 | - | 40 | 36 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 6 Nov 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,003 | - | 38 | 42 | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 Nov 2020 | Survation | 1,034 | - | 39 | 37 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| 5 Nov 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,665 | - | 35 | 40 | 7 | 4 | 5 |
| 2 Nov 2020 | SavantaComRes | 2,126 | - | 40 | 40 | 7 | 3 | Tie |
| 29 Oct 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,658 | - | 38 | 38 | 6 | 5 | Tie |
| 28 Oct 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 3,000 | - | 39 | 41 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 28 Oct 2020 | Ipsos MORI / The Evening Standard | 1,007 | - | 37 | 42 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| 26 Oct 2020 | SavantaComRes | 2,111 | - | 42 | 39 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| 24 Oct 2020 | Deltapoll / The Mail on Sunday | 1,589 | - | 42 | 39 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| 23 Oct 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,001 | - | 38 | 40 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
| 22 Oct 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,665 | - | 40 | 39 | 7 | 5 | 1 |
| 21 Oct 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 3,000 | - | 40 | 40 | 7 | 4 | Tie |
| 18 Oct 2020 | SavantaComRes | 2,274 | - | 42 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 17 Oct 2020 | Number Cruncher Politics / Peston | 2,088 | - | 41 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 Oct 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,675 | - | 39 | 38 | 6 | 6 | 1 |
| 11 Oct 2020 | SavantaComRes | 2,123 | - | 39 | 39 | 7 | 4 | Tie |
| 9 Oct 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,001 | - | 40 | 40 | 6 | 3 | Tie |
| 7 Oct 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 3,000 | - | 41 | 39 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
