On this page are the latest UK election polls for the 2024 general election together with a uniform swing calculation of the polling average. The seat and majority calculations are lifted directly from the 2024 UK Parliament swingometer.
Note: General Elections are scheduled to be held approximately every 5 years under the Fixed Term Parliaments Act (FTPA), but it is possible for an early general election to take place. We will refer to the election as if it were to take place 5 years after the last one unless it becomes clear that an early general election will happen.
Here is the polling average of the polls below together with the seat changes on a uniform swing. Information on how the Election 2024 polling average is calculated is available here.
| Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
| Conservative | 44.72% | 40.29% | -4.43% | 365 | 309 | 0 | -56 | -56 | |
| Labour | 32.90% | 38.78% | +5.88% | 202 | 256 | +54 | 0 | +54 | |
| Liberal Democrat | 11.84% | 6.65% | -5.19% | 11 | 9 | 0 | -2 | -2 | |
| Green | 2.77% | 4.38% | +1.61% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| SNP | 3.98% | 3.98% | 0.00% | 48 | 52 | +5 | -1 | +4 | |
| Brexit Party | 2.06% | 2.06% | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.49% | 0.49% | 0.00% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
See which seats have changed hands using our seat calculator.
At the bottom of this page are the most recent general election 2024 polls for the next United Kingdom general election ordered from newest to oldest. These polls should be used in conjunction with the United Kingdom swingometer for the 2024 general election. Pollsters ask the participants how they would vote if there were a general election tomorrow, or words to that effect.
| Last Day of Field Work | Pollster / Client | Sample Size | Weight | CON | LAB | LD | GRN | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2020 | Deltapoll / The Mail on Sunday | 1,589 | 1.00 | 42 | 39 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| 23 Oct 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,001 | 0.95 | 38 | 40 | 6 | 5 | 2 |
| 22 Oct 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,665 | 0.90 | 40 | 39 | 7 | 5 | 1 |
| 21 Oct 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 3,000 | 0.85 | 40 | 40 | 7 | 4 | Tie |
| 18 Oct 2020 | SavantaComRes | 2,274 | 0.70 | 42 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 17 Oct 2020 | Number Cruncher Politics / Peston | 2,088 | 0.65 | 41 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 Oct 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,675 | 0.35 | 39 | 38 | 6 | 6 | 1 |
| 11 Oct 2020 | SavantaComRes | 2,123 | 0.15 | 39 | 39 | 7 | 4 | Tie |
| 9 Oct 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,001 | 0.05 | 40 | 40 | 6 | 3 | Tie |
| 7 Oct 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 3,000 | - | 41 | 39 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| 7 Oct 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,673 | - | 41 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 4 Oct 2020 | SavantaComRes | 2,081 | - | 42 | 39 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| 1 Oct 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 4,000 | - | 39 | 39 | 8 | 5 | Tie |
| 30 Sep 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,700 | - | 39 | 39 | 6 | 5 | Tie |
| 27 Sep 2020 | SavantaComRes | 2,112 | - | 41 | 38 | 8 | 3 | 3 |
| 25 Sep 2020 | Deltapoll / The Mail on Sunday | 1,583 | - | 42 | 38 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 25 Sep 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,002 | - | 39 | 42 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 24 Sep 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,623 | - | 41 | 38 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 23 Sep 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,500 | - | 40 | 40 | 7 | 5 | Tie |
| 21 Sep 2020 | Kantar Public | 1,125 | - | 40 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| 20 Sep 2020 | SavantaComRes | 2,109 | - | 40 | 37 | 8 | 3 | 3 |
| 18 Sep 2020 | Ipsos MORI / The Evening Standard | 1,013 | - | 40 | 37 | 8 | 5 | 3 |
| 17 Sep 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,618 | - | 40 | 40 | 6 | 5 | Tie |
| 16 Sep 2020 | Survation | 1,003 | - | 40 | 38 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 Sep 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,500 | - | 41 | 39 | 8 | 5 | 2 |
| 11 Sep 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,001 | - | 42 | 39 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 Sep 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 4 | - | 42 | 37 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 Sep 2020 | Number Cruncher / Bloomberg | 1,001 | - | 42 | 38 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 4 Sep 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,633 | - | 43 | 37 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 Sep 2020 | Survation | 1,047 | - | 40 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| 2 Sep 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,500 | - | 43 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 28 Aug 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,002 | - | 40 | 40 | 6 | 3 | Tie |
| 25 Aug 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,669 | - | 43 | 36 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 24 Aug 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,000 | - | 42 | 37 | 9 | 5 | 5 |
| 21 Aug 2020 | Survation | 1,005 | - | 41 | 37 | 9 | 4 | 4 |
| 19 Aug 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,000 | - | 44 | 37 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 19 Aug 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,652 | - | 40 | 38 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| 16 Aug 2020 | Savanta ComRes | 2,083 | - | 42 | 37 | 7 | 3 | 5 |
| 14 Aug 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,005 | - | 42 | 39 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 Aug 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,000 | - | 43 | 36 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 12 Aug 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,634 | - | 44 | 35 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 Aug 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,606 | - | 42 | 36 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 Aug 2020 | Ipsos MORI / The Evening Standard | 1,019 | - | 45 | 37 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 Aug 2020 | Survation | 1,019 | - | 44 | 35 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 31 Jul 2020 | YouGov / The Times | 1,623 | - | 43 | 35 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 31 Jul 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,002 | - | 41 | 38 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 29 Jul 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,000 | - | 43 | 38 | 7 | 4 | 5 |
| 24 Jul 2020 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,002 | - | 42 | 38 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 22 Jul 2020 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,000 | - | 44 | 36 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| 19 Jul 2020 | SavantaComRes | 2,085 | - | 43 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
