On this page are the latest UK election polls for the 2024 general election together with a uniform swing calculation of the polling average. The seat and majority calculations are lifted directly from the 2024 UK Parliament swingometer.
Note: General Elections are scheduled to be held approximately every 5 years under the Fixed Term Parliaments Act (FTPA), but it is possible for an early general election to take place. We will refer to the election as if it were to take place 5 years after the last one unless it becomes clear that an early general election will happen.
Here is the polling average of the polls below together with the seat changes on a uniform swing. Information on how the Election 2024 polling average is calculated is available here.
| Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
| Conservative | 44.72% | 43.23% | -1.49% | 365 | 346 | 0 | -19 | -19 | |
| Labour | 32.90% | 35.18% | +2.29% | 202 | 220 | +18 | 0 | +18 | |
| Liberal Democrat | 11.84% | 6.91% | -4.93% | 11 | 9 | 0 | -2 | -2 | |
| Green | 2.77% | 4.57% | +1.80% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| SNP | 3.98% | 3.98% | 0.00% | 48 | 51 | +3 | 0 | +3 | |
| Brexit Party | 2.06% | 2.06% | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.49% | 0.49% | 0.00% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
See which seats have changed hands using our seat calculator.
At the bottom of this page are the most recent general election 2024 polls for the next United Kingdom general election ordered from newest to oldest. These polls should be used in conjunction with the United Kingdom swingometer for the 2024 general election. Pollsters ask the participants how they would vote if there were a general election tomorrow, or words to that effect.
| Last Day of Field Work | Pollster / Client | Sample Size | Weight | CON | LAB | LD | GRN | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2021 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,000 | 1.00 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 Apr 2021 | Deltapoll / The Mail on Sunday | 1,608 | 0.90 | 45 | 36 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 9 Apr 2021 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,006 | 0.85 | 45 | 36 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 Apr 2021 | YouGov / The Times | 1,708 | 0.80 | 41 | 34 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 Apr 2021 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,000 | 0.45 | 44 | 34 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 Apr 2021 | SavantaComRes | 2,065 | 0.60 | 42 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 1 Apr 2021 | YouGov / The Times | 1,736 | 0.25 | 42 | 34 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 29 Mar 2021 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,000 | - | 44 | 36 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 29 Mar 2021 | Kantar Public | 1,102 | 0.30 | 42 | 34 | 9 | 4 | 8 |
| 27 Mar 2021 | Deltapoll / The Mail on Sunday | 1,610 | - | 44 | 36 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 26 Mar 2021 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,002 | - | 41 | 37 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 26 Mar 2021 | YouGov / The Times | 1,742 | - | 42 | 32 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 22 Mar 2021 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,000 | - | 42 | 36 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 21 Mar 2021 | Savanta ComRes | - | - | 42 | 38 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 19 Mar 2021 | YouGov / The Times | 1,692 | - | 43 | 34 | 5 | 7 | 9 |
| 19 Mar 2021 | BMG Research / The Independent | 1,498 | - | 39 | 37 | 9 | 6 | 2 |
| 16 Mar 2021 | Number Cruncher Politics | 1,001 | - | 42 | 37 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 15 Mar 2021 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,000 | - | 43 | 36 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 14 Mar 2021 | SavantaComRes | 2,000 | - | 39 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| 12 Mar 2021 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,001 | - | 43 | 37 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 Mar 2021 | Ipsos MORI / The Evening Standard | 1,009 | - | 45 | 38 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 Mar 2021 | Survation / The Sunday Mirror | 1,037 | - | 43 | 33 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 Mar 2021 | YouGov / The Times | 1,680 | - | 42 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 8 Mar 2021 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,000 | - | 45 | 36 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 Mar 2021 | SavantaComRes | 2,129 | - | 42 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 Mar 2021 | YouGov / The Times | 1,715 | - | 45 | 32 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| 1 Mar 2021 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 1,500 | - | 44 | 38 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 28 Feb 2021 | SavantaComRes | 2,182 | - | 43 | 36 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 26 Feb 2021 | YouGov / The Times | 1,637 | - | 41 | 36 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 26 Feb 2021 | Deltapoll | 1,527 | - | 42 | 38 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 26 Feb 2021 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,003 | - | 43 | 36 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 25 Feb 2021 | Survation | 1,002 | - | 42 | 34 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 22 Feb 2021 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,000 | - | 43 | 37 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 22 Feb 2021 | Kantar Public | 1,114 | - | 40 | 33 | 11 | 6 | 7 |
| 21 Feb 2021 | SavantaComRes | 2,189 | - | 40 | 38 | 7 | 3 | 2 |
| 18 Feb 2021 | YouGov / The Times | 1,663 | - | 40 | 37 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 Feb 2021 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,000 | - | 41 | 39 | 8 | 5 | 2 |
| 14 Feb 2021 | SavantaComRes | 2,170 | - | 42 | 37 | 7 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 Feb 2021 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,006 | - | 42 | 37 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 Feb 2021 | YouGov / The Times | 1,660 | - | 41 | 36 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 8 Feb 2021 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,000 | - | 43 | 38 | 7 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 Feb 2021 | SavantaComRes | 2,119 | - | 41 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 Feb 2021 | Survation | 1,003 | - | 39 | 33 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| 4 Feb 2021 | Ipsos MORI / The Evening Standard | 1,056 | - | 42 | 38 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 3 Feb 2021 | YouGov / The Times | 1,684 | - | 41 | 37 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 1 Feb 2021 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | 2,000 | - | 40 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| 1 Feb 2021 | Number Cruncher Politics / ITV | 2,001 | - | 43 | 37 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 31 Jan 2021 | SavantaComRes | 2,070 | - | 41 | 38 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| 29 Jan 2021 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,002 | - | 41 | 38 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| 27 Jan 2021 | YouGov / The Times | 1,721 | - | 37 | 41 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
