On this page are the latest UK election polls for the 2024 general election together with a uniform swing calculation of the polling average. The seat and majority calculations are lifted directly from the 2024 UK Parliament swingometer.
Note: General Elections are scheduled to be held a maximum of 5 years from the first meeting of parliament plus 25 working days in accordance with the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. We will refer to the election as if it were to be held in 2024 unless it becomes clear that an early general election will happen.
Here is the polling average of the polls below together with the seat changes on a uniform swing. Information on how the Election 2024 polling average is calculated is available here.
Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
Labour | 32.87% | 44.14% | +11.26% | 200 | 367 | +167 | 0 | +167 | |
Conservative | 44.69% | 23.43% | -21.26% | 372 | 183 | 0 | -189 | -189 | |
Reform UK | 2.06% | 11.64% | +9.57% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Liberal Democrat | 11.83% | 9.65% | -2.19% | 8 | 28 | +20 | 0 | +20 | |
Green | 2.77% | 5.66% | +2.90% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
SNP | 3.98% | 3.98% | 0.00% | 48 | 50 | +6 | -4 | +2 | |
Plaid Cymru | 0.49% | 0.49% | 0.00% | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1 |
See which seats have changed hands using our seat calculator.
At the bottom of this page are the most recent general election 2024 polls for the next United Kingdom general election ordered from newest to oldest. These polls should be used in conjunction with the United Kingdom swingometer for the 2024 general election. Pollsters ask the participants how they would vote if there were a general election tomorrow, or words to that effect.
Last Day of Field Work | Pollster / Client | Sample Size | Weight | CON | LAB | LD | GRN | RefUK | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 Mar 2024 | Deltapoll | 2,072 | 1.00 | 23 | 46 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 23 |
17 Mar 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | 2,000 | 0.95 | 21 | 47 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26 |
15 Mar 2024 | We Think | 1,270 | 0.85 | 25 | 43 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 18 |
14 Mar 2024 | Techne | 1,624 | 0.80 | 22 | 44 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 22 |
14 Mar 2024 | Survation | 839 | 0.80 | 26 | 45 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 19 |
13 Mar 2024 | YouGov / The Times | 2,047 | 0.75 | 20 | 44 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
11 Mar 2024 | More in Common | 2,027 | 0.65 | 27 | 42 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 15 |
11 Mar 2024 | Deltapoll | 1,502 | 0.45 | 27 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 17 |
11 Mar 2024 | Lord Ashcroft | 5,299 | 0.65 | 23 | 45 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
10 Mar 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | 2,000 | 0.40 | 24 | 42 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 18 |
10 Mar 2024 | Savanta | 2,032 | 0.60 | 25 | 43 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 18 |
8 Mar 2024 | We Think | 1,216 | 0.30 | 24 | 43 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 19 |
8 Mar 2024 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,054 | 0.50 | 25 | 41 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 16 |
7 Mar 2024 | PeoplePolling / GB News | 1,734 | 0.45 | 18 | 46 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 28 |
7 Mar 2024 | BMG Research / The i | 1,541 | 0.45 | 25 | 41 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 16 |
7 Mar 2024 | YouGov / The Times | 2,053 | 0.25 | 20 | 47 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 27 |
7 Mar 2024 | Techne | 1,640 | 0.25 | 23 | 44 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 21 |
4 Mar 2024 | Deltapoll | 1,500 | - | 27 | 41 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 14 |
3 Mar 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | 2,000 | - | 23 | 43 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 20 |
3 Mar 2024 | Savanta | 2,245 | 0.05 | 27 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 17 |
1 Mar 2024 | We Think | 1,240 | - | 23 | 47 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 24 |
1 Mar 2024 | Opinium | 2,050 | - | 25 | 40 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 15 |
29 Feb 2024 | YouGov / The Times | 2,100 | - | 20 | 46 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 |
29 Feb 2024 | Techne | 1,632 | - | 23 | 44 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 21 |
28 Feb 2024 | Ipsos / The Evening Standard | 1,004 | 0.05 | 20 | 47 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 27 |
27 Feb 2024 | More in Common | 2,075 | - | 28 | 43 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 15 |
26 Feb 2024 | Deltapoll | 1,490 | - | 23 | 44 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
25 Feb 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | 2,000 | - | 23 | 43 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
25 Feb 2024 | Savanta | 2,097 | - | 26 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
23 Feb 2024 | Opinium / The Observer | 1,417 | - | 27 | 42 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 15 |
23 Feb 2024 | We Think | 1,243 | - | 25 | 44 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 19 |
22 Feb 2024 | Techne | 1,637 | - | 24 | 44 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 20 |
21 Feb 2024 | YouGov / The Times | 2,035 | - | 20 | 46 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 26 |
19 Feb 2024 | Deltapoll | 1,519 | - | 27 | 48 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 21 |
18 Feb 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | 2,000 | - | 23 | 46 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
18 Feb 2024 | Savanta | 2,118 | - | 28 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
16 Feb 2024 | We Think | 1,246 | - | 26 | 46 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 20 |
16 Feb 2024 | Opinium / The Observer | 1,348 | - | 27 | 43 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
15 Feb 2024 | Techne | 1,628 | - | 23 | 42 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 19 |
15 Feb 2024 | YouGov / The Times | 2,030 | - | 24 | 44 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 20 |
15 Feb 2024 | Survation | 1,020 | - | 29 | 44 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 15 |
12 Feb 2024 | YouGov / WPI Strategy | 4,041 | - | 22 | 45 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 23 |
12 Feb 2024 | Deltapoll | 1,977 | - | 27 | 45 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
12 Feb 2024 | Lord Ashcroft | 5,046 | - | 27 | 43 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 16 |
12 Feb 2024 | FindOutNow / The Mirror | 18,151 | - | 22 | 42 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
11 Feb 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | 2,000 | - | 21 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 25 |
11 Feb 2024 | Savanta | 2,224 | - | 29 | 41 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 12 |
11 Feb 2024 | More in Common | 2,050 | - | 29 | 40 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 11 |
9 Feb 2024 | We Think | 1,171 | - | 26 | 42 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
9 Feb 2024 | Opinium / The Observer | 1,392 | - | 25 | 43 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 18 |