Weekly Poll Update

We have had ten polls from five pollsters this week. On average Labour has a 1.1 point lead, the Liberal Democrats are up 0.4 points, UKIP are up 1.6 points and the Green Party are up 0.8 points. The YouGov poll from 20th Jan 2015 that is showing a two point Conservative lead is due to a drop in the Labour share. It is likely that the exposure of the Green Party in the media has drawn some support away from Labour, or it could just be sample variation.

21 Jan 2015 (YouGov) CON 33, LAB 34, LD 6, UKIP 14, GRN 8
20 Jan 2015 (YouGov) CON 32, LAB 30, LD 8, UKIP 15, GRN 10
19 Jan 2015 (ICM) CON 30, LAB 33, LD 11, UKIP 11, GRN 9
19 Jan 2015 (YouGov) CON 32, LAB 32, LD 8, UKIP 15, GRN 7
18 Jan 2015 (Lord Ashcroft) CON 29, LAB 28, LD 9, UKIP 15, GRN 11
18 Jan 2015 (Populus) CON 35, LAB 36, LD 8, UKIP 13, GRN 4
16 Jan 2015 (YouGov) CON 31, LAB 32, LD 7, UKIP 18, GRN 7
15 Jan 2015 (YouGov) CON 31, LAB 33, LD 7, UKIP 16, GRN 7
15 Jan 2015 (ComRes) CON 33, LAB 34, LD 7, UKIP 18, GRN 3
15 Jan 2015 (Opinium) CON 28, LAB 33, LD 7, UKIP 20, GRN 6
15 Jan 2015 (Populus) CON 32, LAB 35, LD 9, UKIP 14, GRN 6
15 Jan 2015 (YouGov) CON 32, LAB 32, LD 6, UKIP 16, GRN 8.