On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 273 | 143 | 63 | 9 | 78 |
| Change | ▲268 | ▼268 | ▼58 | ▲5 | ▲6 |
| Votes | 27.1% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 12.4% |
| Change | ▲12.4% | ▼16.1% | ▼6.3% | ▲8.9% | ▼0.2% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 14.3% |
LAB | GRN | 12.5% |
CON | REF | 9.4% |
LAB | LD | 8.0% |
CON | GRN | 7.6% |
LD | REF | 6.3% |
LAB | CON | 4.9% |
LD | GRN | 4.5% |
CON | LD | 3.1% |
GRN | REF | 1.8% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 59 | 12 | 18 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| Change | ▼5 | ▼19 | ▼4 | ▲5 | ▲6 | ▲17 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 21 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 1 |
| Change | ▼26 | ▼21 | ▲11 | ▲32 | ▲1 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.