On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 211 | 172 | 90 | 9 | 77 |
| Change | ▲206 | ▼239 | ▼31 | ▲5 | ▲5 |
| Votes | 25.1% | 19.2% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 12.0% |
| Change | ▲10.4% | ▼15.4% | ▼5.7% | ▲9.3% | ▼0.6% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 12.9% |
LAB | GRN | 12.4% |
CON | REF | 8.1% |
CON | GRN | 7.5% |
LAB | LD | 7.4% |
LD | REF | 5.5% |
LD | GRN | 4.9% |
LAB | CON | 4.9% |
CON | LD | 2.6% |
GRN | REF | 0.6% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 59 | 13 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 19 |
| Change | ▼5 | ▼18 | ▼5 | ▲2 | ▲7 | ▲19 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 17 | 9 | 34 | 32 | 1 | 3 |
| Change | ▼30 | ▼19 | ▲13 | ▲32 | ▲1 | ▲3 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.