 UK General Election 2025 | Labour win: majority of 68 Swing of 15.7% to Labour from Conservative Based on UK Election Polls. View seat gains and losses. | |
 Scottish Parliament Election 2026 | SNP short by 25 Based on Scottish Parliament Polls. View seat gains and losses. | |
 Senedd Election 2026 | Labour short by 1 Based on Senedd Polls. View seat gains and losses. |
Below is the list of upcoming elections, by-elections, referendums and events that you should make a note of in your diary. It is based on the most recent information we have and is subject to change.
| Date | Event | Description |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2025 | UK General Election | Latest date the next general election can be held |
| 07 May 2026 | Scottish Parliament election | Latest date the next Scottish Parliament election can be held |
| 07 May 2026 | Senedd election | Latest date the next Senedd election can be held |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2025 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| CON | LAB | LD | GRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 183 | 359 | 34 | 1 |
| Change | ▼182 | ▲157 | ▲23 | - |
| Votes | 24.7% | 44.2% | 11.3% | 6.2% |
| Change | ▼20.1% | ▲11.3% | ▼0.6% | ▲3.4% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2025 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 40 | 30 | 38 | 10 | 11 |
| Change | ▼24 | ▼1 | ▲16 | ▲2 | ▲7 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | LD | GRN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| Change | - | ▼2 | ▼2 | ▲4 | - |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.
