Election Polling

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Latest Election Projections

UK General Election 2029 Prediction Votes/Seats		Labour win: majority of 30 Swing of 1.7% to Conservative from Labour UK Election Polls Swingometer Seat-by-Seat Prediction Next Election: 15th Aug 2029
Scottish Parliament Election 2031 Prediction Votes/Seats		SNP short by 8 Scottish Parliament Polls Swingometer Seat-by-Seat Prediction Next Election: 2031
Senedd Election 2031 Prediction Votes/Seats		Plaid Cymru short by 11 Senedd Polls Swingometer Next Election: 2031

UK General Election 2029 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:

	LAB	CON	REF	GRN	LD
Seats	340	138	34	4	71
Change	▼71	▲17	▲29	-	▼1
Votes	29.0%	22.1%	21.2%	9.4%	9.3%
Change	▼5.7%	▼2.3%	▲6.5%	▲2.5%	▼3.3%

This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.

Projected Swings

From	To	Percent
LAB	REF	6.1%
LD	REF	4.9%
CON	REF	4.4%
LAB	GRN	4.1%
LD	GRN	2.9%
CON	GRN	2.4%
GRN	REF	2.0%
LAB	CON	1.7%
LAB	LD	1.2%
LD	CON	0.5%

Scottish Parliament Election 2031 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2031 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

	SNP	CON	LAB	GRN	LD	REF
Seats	57	12	19	10	11	20
Change	▼1	-	▲2	▼5	▲1	▲3

This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2031 polls.

Senedd Election 2031 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2031 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

	LAB	CON	PC	REF	LD	GRN
Seats	17	9	38	30	1	1
Change	▲8	▲2	▼5	▼4	-	▼1

This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2031 polls.