Election Polling

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Latest Election Projections

UK General Election 2029 Prediction

Reform UK short by 50
Swing of 13.5% to Reform UK from Labour
Next Election: 15th Aug 2029
Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Prediction

SNP short by 8
Next Election: 7th May 2026
Senedd Election 2026 Prediction

Plaid Cymru short by 15
Next Election: 7th May 2026

UK General Election 2029 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Reform UK
short by
50
326 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:

REFLABCONLDGRN
Seats27617248784
Change271239736-
Votes29.3%22.2%18.7%14.4%8.8%
Change14.6%12.4%5.6%1.8%1.9%




This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.

Projected Swings

FromToPercent
LAB
REF
13.5%
CON
REF
10.1%
LAB
GRN
7.2%
LAB
LD
7.1%
LD
REF
6.4%
GRN
REF
6.3%
CON
GRN
3.8%
CON
LD
3.7%
LAB
CON
3.4%
LD
GRN
0.1%


Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
SNP
short by
8
65 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

SNPCONLABGRNLDREF
Seats57141910920
Change71732520




This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.



Senedd Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Plaid Cymru
short by
15
49 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

LABCONPCREFLD
Seats181034322
Change291813322




This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.



2029 General Election
Latest Posts
New Senedd Election System
posted 20 Oct 2024, 11:00
Historical Battlegrounds
posted 28 Jul 2024, 11:30
Website Updated with the 2024 General Election Results
posted 5 Jul 2024, 12:00