On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 280 | 64 | 133 | 10 | 80 |
| Change | ▲275 | ▼57 | ▼278 | ▲6 | ▲8 |
| Votes | 27.0% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 12.9% |
| Change | ▲12.3% | ▼6.1% | ▼17.0% | ▲9.0% | ▲0.3% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 14.6% |
LAB | GRN | 13.0% |
CON | REF | 9.2% |
LAB | LD | 8.6% |
CON | GRN | 7.6% |
LD | REF | 6.0% |
LAB | CON | 5.4% |
LD | GRN | 4.4% |
CON | LD | 3.2% |
GRN | REF | 1.6% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 59 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Change | ▼5 | ▼20 | ▼7 | ▲4 | ▲6 | ▲22 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 22 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 1 |
| Change | ▼25 | ▼19 | ▲11 | ▲32 | ▲1 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.