Election Polling

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Latest Election Projections

UK General Election 2029 Prediction

Reform UK win: majority of 28
Swing of 16.2% to Reform UK from Labour
Next Election: 15th Aug 2029
Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Prediction

SNP short by 8
Next Election: 7th May 2026
Senedd Election 2026 Prediction

Reform UK short by 17
Next Election: 7th May 2026

UK General Election 2029 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:

Reform UK
Win
28
seat majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:

REFLABCONGRNLD
Seats33911338877
Change3342988345
Votes30.3%17.9%17.1%14.9%13.0%
Change15.6%16.7%7.2%8.0%0.4%




This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.

Projected Swings

FromToPercent
LAB
REF
16.2%
LAB
GRN
12.3%
CON
REF
11.4%
LAB
LD
8.6%
LD
REF
7.6%
CON
GRN
7.6%
LAB
CON
4.7%
GRN
REF
3.8%
CON
LD
3.8%
LD
GRN
3.8%


Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
SNP
short by
8
65 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

SNPCONLABGRNLDREF
Seats571217161017
Change71958617




This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.



Senedd Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Reform UK
short by
17
49 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

LABCONPCREFLD
Seats27926320
Change2019532-




This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.



2029 General Election
Latest Posts
New Senedd Election System
posted 20 Oct 2024, 11:00
Historical Battlegrounds
posted 28 Jul 2024, 11:30
Website Updated with the 2024 General Election Results
posted 5 Jul 2024, 12:00