On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 176 | 200 | 100 | 8 | 76 |
| Change | ▲171 | ▼211 | ▼21 | ▲4 | ▲4 |
| Votes | 25.3% | 21.4% | 19.6% | 13.7% | 11.2% |
| Change | ▲10.6% | ▼13.3% | ▼4.8% | ▲6.8% | ▼1.4% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 11.9% |
LAB | GRN | 10.0% |
CON | REF | 7.7% |
LD | REF | 6.0% |
LAB | LD | 5.9% |
CON | GRN | 5.8% |
LAB | CON | 4.2% |
LD | GRN | 4.1% |
GRN | REF | 1.9% |
CON | LD | 1.7% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 60 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| Change | ▼4 | ▼21 | ▼5 | ▲6 | ▲5 | ▲19 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 14 | 9 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| Change | ▼16 | ▼7 | ▲9 | ▲14 | - | - |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.