On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 273 | 145 | 61 | 9 | 78 |
| Change | ▲268 | ▼266 | ▼60 | ▲5 | ▲6 |
| Votes | 27.1% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 12.2% |
| Change | ▲12.4% | ▼15.9% | ▼6.6% | ▲9.2% | ▼0.3% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 14.2% |
LAB | GRN | 12.6% |
CON | REF | 9.5% |
CON | GRN | 7.9% |
LAB | LD | 7.8% |
LD | REF | 6.4% |
LD | GRN | 4.8% |
LAB | CON | 4.7% |
CON | LD | 3.1% |
GRN | REF | 1.6% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 59 | 12 | 18 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| Change | ▼5 | ▼19 | ▼4 | ▲5 | ▲6 | ▲17 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 21 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 1 |
| Change | ▼26 | ▼21 | ▲11 | ▲32 | ▲1 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.