Election Polling

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Latest Election Projections

UK General Election 2029 Prediction Votes/Seats		Labour win: majority of 46 Swing of 6.3% to Reform UK from Labour UK Election Polls Swingometer Seat-by-Seat Prediction Next Election: 15th Aug 2029
Scottish Parliament Election 2031 Prediction Votes/Seats		SNP short by 8 Scottish Parliament Polls Swingometer Seat-by-Seat Prediction Next Election: 2031
Senedd Election 2031 Prediction Votes/Seats		Plaid Cymru short by 11 Senedd Polls Swingometer Next Election: 2031

UK General Election 2029 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:

	LAB	REF	CON	LD	GRN
Seats	348	35	128	72	4
Change	▼63	▲30	▲7	-	-
Votes	29.4%	22.1%	21.8%	9.1%	8.8%
Change	▼5.2%	▲7.4%	▼2.6%	▼3.4%	▲1.9%

This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.

Projected Swings

From	To	Percent
LAB	REF	6.3%
LD	REF	5.4%
CON	REF	5.0%
LAB	GRN	3.6%
GRN	REF	2.8%
LD	GRN	2.6%
CON	GRN	2.2%
LAB	CON	1.3%
LAB	LD	0.9%
LD	CON	0.4%

Scottish Parliament Election 2031 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2031 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

	SNP	CON	LAB	GRN	LD	REF
Seats	57	12	19	10	11	20
Change	▼1	-	▲2	▼5	▲1	▲3

This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2031 polls.

Senedd Election 2031 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2031 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

	LAB	CON	PC	REF	LD	GRN
Seats	17	9	38	30	1	1
Change	▲8	▲2	▼5	▼4	-	▼1

This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2031 polls.