On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 222 | 92 | 158 | 10 | 77 |
| Change | ▲217 | ▼29 | ▼253 | ▲6 | ▲5 |
| Votes | 25.6% | 19.2% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 11.7% |
| Change | ▲11.0% | ▼5.2% | ▼16.1% | ▲9.2% | ▼0.8% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 13.5% |
LAB | GRN | 12.7% |
CON | REF | 8.1% |
LAB | LD | 7.7% |
CON | GRN | 7.2% |
LD | REF | 5.9% |
LAB | CON | 5.5% |
LD | GRN | 5.0% |
CON | LD | 2.2% |
GRN | REF | 0.9% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 60 | 13 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 18 |
| Change | ▼4 | ▼18 | ▼4 | ▲3 | ▲5 | ▲18 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 16 | 6 | 35 | 32 | 0 | 7 |
| Change | ▼31 | ▼22 | ▲14 | ▲32 | - | ▲7 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.