On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 228 | 84 | 160 | 10 | 77 |
| Change | ▲223 | ▼37 | ▼251 | ▲6 | ▲5 |
| Votes | 25.7% | 18.9% | 18.8% | 16.3% | 11.9% |
| Change | ▲11.0% | ▼5.4% | ▼15.8% | ▲9.4% | ▼0.7% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 13.4% |
LAB | GRN | 12.6% |
CON | REF | 8.2% |
LAB | LD | 7.6% |
CON | GRN | 7.4% |
LD | REF | 5.8% |
LAB | CON | 5.2% |
LD | GRN | 5.0% |
CON | LD | 2.4% |
GRN | REF | 0.8% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 60 | 13 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 18 |
| Change | ▼4 | ▼18 | ▼4 | ▲3 | ▲5 | ▲18 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 17 | 9 | 34 | 32 | 1 | 3 |
| Change | ▼30 | ▼19 | ▲13 | ▲32 | ▲1 | ▲3 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.