Election Polling

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Latest Election Projections

UK General Election 2029 Prediction Votes/Seats		Labour short by 126 Swing of 12.0% to Reform UK from Labour UK Election Polls Swingometer Seat-by-Seat Prediction Next Election: 15th Aug 2029
Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Prediction Votes/Seats		SNP short by 5 Scottish Parliament Polls Swingometer Seat-by-Seat Prediction Next Election: 2031
Senedd Election 2026 Prediction Votes/Seats		Plaid Cymru short by 9 Senedd Polls Swingometer Next Election: 2031

UK General Election 2029 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:

	REF	LAB	CON	GRN	LD
Seats	183	200	93	8	76
Change	▲178	▼211	▼28	▲4	▲4
Votes	25.4%	21.4%	19.4%	13.6%	11.3%
Change	▲10.7%	▼13.2%	▼5.0%	▲6.7%	▼1.3%

This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.

Projected Swings

From	To	Percent
LAB	REF	12.0%
LAB	GRN	10.0%
CON	REF	7.8%
LD	REF	6.0%
LAB	LD	6.0%
CON	GRN	5.9%
LAB	CON	4.1%
LD	GRN	4.0%
GRN	REF	2.0%
CON	LD	1.8%

Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

	SNP	CON	LAB	GRN	LD	REF
Seats	60	10	17	14	9	19
Change	▼4	▼21	▼5	▲6	▲5	▲19

This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.

Senedd Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

	LAB	CON	PC	REF	LD	GRN
Seats	14	9	22	14	1	0
Change	▼16	▼7	▲9	▲14	-	-

This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.