Election Polling

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Latest Election Projections

UK General Election 2029 Prediction

Labour win: majority of 46
Swing of 6.2% to Reform UK from Labour
Next Election: 15th Aug 2029
Scottish Parliament Election 2031 Prediction

SNP short by 8
Next Election: 2031
Senedd Election 2031 Prediction

Plaid Cymru short by 11
Next Election: 2031

UK General Election 2029 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:

Labour
Win
46
seat majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:

LABREFCONLDGRN
Seats34835128724
Change▼63▲30▲7--
Votes29.3%21.8%21.6%9.4%8.9%
Change▼5.3%▲7.1%▼2.8%▼3.1%▲2.0%




This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.

Projected Swings

FromToPercent
LAB
REF
6.2%
LD
REF
5.1%
CON
REF
4.9%
LAB
GRN
3.7%
LD
GRN
2.6%
GRN
REF
2.5%
CON
GRN
2.4%
LAB
CON
1.3%
LAB
LD
1.1%
LD
CON
0.2%


Scottish Parliament Election 2031 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2031 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
SNP
short by
8
65 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

SNPCONLABGRNLDREF
Seats571219101120
Change▼1-▲2▼5▲1▲3




This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2031 polls.



Senedd Election 2031 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2031 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Plaid Cymru
short by
11
49 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

LABCONPCREFLDGRN
Seats179383011
Change▲8▲2▼5▼4-▼1




This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2031 polls.



2029 General Election
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