Election Polling

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Latest Election Projections

UK General Election 2029 Prediction Votes/Seats		Labour short by 1 Swing of 3.1% to Conservative from Labour UK Election Polls Swingometer Seat-by-Seat Prediction Next Election: 15th Aug 2029
Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Prediction Votes/Seats		SNP short by 6 Scottish Parliament Polls Swingometer Seat-by-Seat Prediction Next Election: 7th May 2026
Senedd Election 2026 Prediction Votes/Seats		Reform UK short by 23 Senedd Polls Swingometer Next Election: 7th May 2026

UK General Election 2029 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:

	LAB	CON	REF	LD	GRN
Seats	325	152	50	72	4
Change	▼86	▲31	▲45	-	-
Votes	27.4%	23.4%	22.9%	11.2%	8.8%
Change	▼7.2%	▼1.0%	▲8.2%	▼1.3%	▲1.9%

This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.

Projected Swings

From	To	Percent
LAB	REF	7.7%
LD	REF	4.8%
CON	REF	4.6%
LAB	GRN	4.5%
GRN	REF	3.2%
LAB	CON	3.1%
LAB	LD	2.9%
LD	GRN	1.6%
CON	GRN	1.4%
LD	CON	0.2%

Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

	SNP	CON	LAB	GRN	LD	REF
Seats	59	19	20	7	11	13
Change	▼5	▼12	▼2	▼1	▲7	▲13

This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.

Senedd Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

	LAB	CON	PC	REF	LD
Seats	25	20	25	26	0
Change	▼22	▼8	▲4	▲26	-

This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.