Election Polling

Welcome to the home page of Election Polling. Want to know more about us? See About Us.

Latest Election Projections

UK General Election 2024 Prediction
Labour win: majority of 92
Swing of 16.4% to Labour from Conservative
Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Prediction
Labour short by 23
Senedd Election 2026 Prediction
Labour short by 3
Based on Senedd Polls.

Events

Below is the list of upcoming elections, by-elections, referendums and events that you should make a note of in your diary. It is based on the most recent information we have and is subject to change.

DateEventDescription
23 Jan 2025 UK General Election Latest date the next general election can be held
07 May 2026 Scottish Parliament election Latest date the next Scottish Parliament election can be held
07 May 2026 Senedd election Latest date the next Senedd election can be held

UK General Election 2024 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2024 would give the following result:

Labour
Win
92
seat majority

This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:

LABCONRefUKLDGRN
Seats3711770291
Change171195-21-
Votes43.7%22.8%13.1%9.3%6.1%
Change10.8%21.9%11.0%2.5%3.3%

This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2024 polls.

Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
23
65 seats needed for a majority

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

SNPCONLABGRNLD
Seats4223421012
Change2282028

This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.

Senedd Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
3
31 seats needed for a majority

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

LABCONPCLDGRN
Seats2811925
Change25415

This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.

Quick Links
Latest Posts
Updated Election Maps
posted 30 Mar 2024, 14:30
Updated Constituency Boundaries
posted 26 Feb 2024, 21:20
2021 Results for the Scottish Parliament and Senedd Elections
posted 8 May 2021, 20:45