On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 276 | 172 | 48 | 78 | 4 |
| Change | ▲271 | ▼239 | ▼73 | ▲6 | - |
| Votes | 29.3% | 22.2% | 18.7% | 14.4% | 8.8% |
| Change | ▲14.6% | ▼12.4% | ▼5.6% | ▲1.8% | ▲1.9% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 13.5% |
CON | REF | 10.1% |
LAB | GRN | 7.2% |
LAB | LD | 7.1% |
LD | REF | 6.4% |
GRN | REF | 6.3% |
CON | GRN | 3.8% |
CON | LD | 3.7% |
LAB | CON | 3.4% |
LD | GRN | 0.1% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 57 | 14 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 20 |
| Change | ▼7 | ▼17 | ▼3 | ▲2 | ▲5 | ▲20 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 18 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 |
| Change | ▼29 | ▼18 | ▲13 | ▲32 | ▲2 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.