On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 243 | 159 | 72 | 9 | 78 |
| Change | ▲238 | ▼252 | ▼49 | ▲5 | ▲6 |
| Votes | 26.1% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 12.5% |
| Change | ▲11.4% | ▼15.8% | ▼6.4% | ▲9.0% | ▼0.1% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 13.6% |
LAB | GRN | 12.4% |
CON | REF | 8.9% |
LAB | LD | 7.9% |
CON | GRN | 7.7% |
LD | REF | 5.7% |
LAB | CON | 4.7% |
LD | GRN | 4.5% |
CON | LD | 3.2% |
GRN | REF | 1.2% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 59 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 17 |
| Change | ▼5 | ▼20 | ▼6 | ▲9 | ▲5 | ▲17 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 16 | 6 | 35 | 32 | 0 | 7 |
| Change | ▼31 | ▼22 | ▲14 | ▲32 | - | ▲7 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.