On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 258 | 150 | 68 | 8 | 77 |
| Change | ▲253 | ▼261 | ▼53 | ▲4 | ▲5 |
| Votes | 26.7% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 12.2% |
| Change | ▲12.0% | ▼15.6% | ▼6.0% | ▲7.9% | ▼0.4% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 13.8% |
LAB | GRN | 11.8% |
CON | REF | 9.0% |
LAB | LD | 7.6% |
CON | GRN | 7.0% |
LD | REF | 6.2% |
LAB | CON | 4.8% |
LD | GRN | 4.2% |
CON | LD | 2.8% |
GRN | REF | 2.0% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 60 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| Change | ▼4 | ▼21 | ▼5 | ▲6 | ▲5 | ▲19 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 14 | 9 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| Change | ▼16 | ▼7 | ▲9 | ▲14 | - | - |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.