On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| LAB | REF | CON | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 299 | 76 | 122 | 75 | 5 |
| Change | ▼112 | ▲71 | ▲1 | ▲3 | ▲1 |
| Votes | 25.7% | 23.3% | 19.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% |
| Change | ▼8.9% | ▲8.6% | ▼4.4% | ▼1.5% | ▲3.9% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 8.8% |
CON | REF | 6.5% |
LAB | GRN | 6.4% |
LD | REF | 5.0% |
CON | GRN | 4.2% |
LAB | LD | 3.7% |
LD | GRN | 2.7% |
GRN | REF | 2.3% |
LAB | CON | 2.2% |
CON | LD | 1.5% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 60 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| Change | ▼4 | ▼21 | ▼5 | ▲6 | ▲5 | ▲19 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 14 | 9 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| Change | ▼16 | ▼7 | ▲9 | ▲14 | - | - |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.