On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 274 | 147 | 62 | 7 | 77 |
| Change | ▲269 | ▼264 | ▼59 | ▲3 | ▲5 |
| Votes | 27.6% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 12.1% |
| Change | ▲12.9% | ▼15.3% | ▼5.7% | ▲7.7% | ▼0.4% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 14.1% |
LAB | GRN | 11.5% |
CON | REF | 9.3% |
LAB | LD | 7.4% |
CON | GRN | 6.7% |
LD | REF | 6.7% |
LAB | CON | 4.8% |
LD | GRN | 4.1% |
CON | LD | 2.7% |
GRN | REF | 2.6% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 59 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 24 |
| Change | ▼5 | ▼19 | ▼6 | ▲2 | ▲4 | ▲24 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 22 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 1 |
| Change | ▼25 | ▼19 | ▲11 | ▲32 | ▲1 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.