Election Polling

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Latest Election Projections

UK General Election 2029 Prediction

Labour short by 21
Swing of 5.0% to Conservative from Labour
Next Election: 15th Aug 2029
Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Prediction

SNP short by 14
Next Election: 7th May 2026
Senedd Election 2026 Prediction

Reform UK short by 23
Next Election: 7th May 2026

UK General Election 2029 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
21
326 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:

LABCONREFLDGRN
Seats30520222694
Change10681173-
Votes26.7%26.6%20.8%11.8%7.9%
Change7.9%2.2%6.1%0.8%0.9%




This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.

Projected Swings

FromToPercent
LAB
REF
7.0%
LAB
CON
5.0%
LAB
GRN
4.4%
LAB
LD
3.6%
LD
REF
3.4%
GRN
REF
2.6%
CON
REF
1.9%
LD
CON
1.5%
LD
GRN
0.9%
GRN
CON
0.6%


Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
SNP
short by
14
65 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

SNPCONLABGRNLD
Seats5116291011
Change1315727




This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.



Senedd Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Reform UK
short by
23
49 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

LABCONPCREFLD
Seats252025260
Change228426-




This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.



2029 General Election
Latest Posts
New Senedd Election System
posted 20 Oct 2024, 11:00
Historical Battlegrounds
posted 28 Jul 2024, 11:30
Website Updated with the 2024 General Election Results
posted 5 Jul 2024, 12:00