On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 289 | 140 | 55 | 7 | 76 |
| Change | ▲284 | ▼271 | ▼66 | ▲3 | ▲4 |
| Votes | 28.5% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 11.8% |
| Change | ▲13.8% | ▼15.2% | ▼5.8% | ▲7.5% | ▼0.7% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 14.5% |
LAB | GRN | 11.3% |
CON | REF | 9.8% |
LD | REF | 7.3% |
LAB | LD | 7.2% |
CON | GRN | 6.6% |
LAB | CON | 4.7% |
LD | GRN | 4.1% |
GRN | REF | 3.2% |
CON | LD | 2.5% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 59 | 13 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 19 |
| Change | ▼5 | ▼18 | ▼4 | ▲2 | ▲6 | ▲19 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 21 | 13 | 28 | 33 | 1 |
| Change | ▼26 | ▼15 | ▲7 | ▲33 | ▲1 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.