Election Polling

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Latest Election Projections

UK General Election 2029 Prediction Votes/Seats		Labour short by 21 Swing of 5.0% to Conservative from Labour UK Election Polls Swingometer Seat-by-Seat Prediction Next Election: 15th Aug 2029
Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Prediction Votes/Seats		SNP short by 14 Scottish Parliament Polls Swingometer Seat-by-Seat Prediction Next Election: 7th May 2026
Senedd Election 2026 Prediction Votes/Seats		Reform UK short by 23 Senedd Polls Swingometer Next Election: 7th May 2026

UK General Election 2029 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:

	LAB	CON	REF	LD	GRN
Seats	305	202	22	69	4
Change	▼106	▲81	▲17	▼3	-
Votes	26.7%	26.6%	20.8%	11.8%	7.9%
Change	▼7.9%	▲2.2%	▲6.1%	▼0.8%	▲0.9%

This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.

Projected Swings

From	To	Percent
LAB	REF	7.0%
LAB	CON	5.0%
LAB	GRN	4.4%
LAB	LD	3.6%
LD	REF	3.4%
GRN	REF	2.6%
CON	REF	1.9%
LD	CON	1.5%
LD	GRN	0.9%
GRN	CON	0.6%

Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

	SNP	CON	LAB	GRN	LD
Seats	51	16	29	10	11
Change	▼13	▼15	▲7	▲2	▲7

This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.

Senedd Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

	LAB	CON	PC	REF	LD
Seats	25	20	25	26	0
Change	▼22	▼8	▲4	▲26	-

This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.