On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 230 | 162 | 84 | 8 | 77 |
| Change | ▲225 | ▼249 | ▼37 | ▲4 | ▲5 |
| Votes | 26.4% | 19.7% | 19.4% | 13.1% | 12.4% |
| Change | ▲11.7% | ▼14.9% | ▼4.9% | ▲6.2% | ▼0.2% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 13.3% |
LAB | GRN | 10.5% |
CON | REF | 8.3% |
LAB | LD | 7.4% |
LD | REF | 6.0% |
CON | GRN | 5.6% |
LAB | CON | 5.0% |
LD | GRN | 3.2% |
GRN | REF | 2.8% |
CON | LD | 2.4% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 60 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| Change | ▼4 | ▼21 | ▼5 | ▲6 | ▲5 | ▲19 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 14 | 9 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| Change | ▼16 | ▼7 | ▲9 | ▲14 | - | - |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.