Election Polling

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Latest Election Projections

UK General Election 2029 Prediction

Labour short by 80
Swing of 10.3% to Reform UK from Labour
Next Election: 15th Aug 2029
Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Prediction

SNP short by 8
Next Election: 7th May 2026
Senedd Election 2026 Prediction

Labour short by 19
Next Election: 7th May 2026

UK General Election 2029 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
80
326 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:

REFLABCONLDGRN
Seats110246144765
Change1051652341
Votes24.6%23.9%22.1%13.7%8.8%
Change9.9%10.7%2.3%1.1%1.9%




This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.

Projected Swings

FromToPercent
LAB
REF
10.3%
LAB
GRN
6.3%
CON
REF
6.1%
LAB
LD
5.9%
LD
REF
4.4%
LAB
CON
4.2%
GRN
REF
4.0%
CON
GRN
2.1%
CON
LD
1.7%
LD
GRN
0.4%


Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
SNP
short by
8
65 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

SNPCONLABGRNLDREF
Seats57151415138
Change7168798




This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.



Senedd Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
19
49 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

LABCONPCREFLD
Seats301325280
Change1715428-




This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.



2029 General Election
Latest Posts
New Senedd Election System
posted 20 Oct 2024, 11:00
Historical Battlegrounds
posted 28 Jul 2024, 11:30
Website Updated with the 2024 General Election Results
posted 5 Jul 2024, 12:00