Election Polling

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Latest Election Projections

UK General Election 2029 Prediction Votes/Seats		Labour short by 15 Swing of 8.4% to Reform UK from Labour UK Election Polls Swingometer Seat-by-Seat Prediction Next Election: 15th Aug 2029
Scottish Parliament Election 2031 Prediction Votes/Seats		SNP short by 8 Scottish Parliament Polls Swingometer Seat-by-Seat Prediction Next Election: 2031
Senedd Election 2026 Prediction Votes/Seats		Plaid Cymru short by 10 Senedd Polls Swingometer Next Election: 2031

UK General Election 2029 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:

	LAB	REF	CON	LD	GRN
Seats	311	71	119	73	4
Change	▼100	▲66	▼2	▲1	-
Votes	26.4%	23.3%	19.9%	10.5%	10.3%
Change	▼8.2%	▲8.6%	▼4.4%	▼2.1%	▲3.4%

This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.

Projected Swings

From	To	Percent
LAB	REF	8.4%
CON	REF	6.5%
LAB	GRN	5.8%
LD	REF	5.4%
CON	GRN	3.9%
LAB	LD	3.1%
LD	GRN	2.7%
GRN	REF	2.6%
LAB	CON	1.9%
CON	LD	1.2%

Scottish Parliament Election 2031 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2031 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

	SNP	CON	LAB	GRN	LD	REF
Seats	57	12	19	10	11	20
Change	▼1	-	▲2	▼5	▲1	▲3

This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2031 polls.

Senedd Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

	LAB	CON	PC	REF	LD	GRN
Seats	14	8	39	32	1	2
Change	▼33	▼20	▲18	▲32	▲1	▲2

This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.