On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 251 | 80 | 141 | 11 | 77 |
| Change | ▲246 | ▼41 | ▼270 | ▲7 | ▲5 |
| Votes | 25.9% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 12.1% |
| Change | ▲11.2% | ▼5.9% | ▼16.7% | ▲10.0% | ▼0.5% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 14.0% |
LAB | GRN | 13.4% |
CON | REF | 8.6% |
LAB | LD | 8.1% |
CON | GRN | 8.0% |
LD | REF | 5.9% |
LAB | CON | 5.4% |
LD | GRN | 5.2% |
CON | LD | 2.7% |
GRN | REF | 0.6% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 59 | 14 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 20 |
| Change | ▼5 | ▼17 | ▼4 | ▲2 | ▲4 | ▲20 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 16 | 6 | 35 | 32 | 0 | 7 |
| Change | ▼31 | ▼22 | ▲14 | ▲32 | - | ▲7 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.