On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 110 | 246 | 144 | 76 | 5 |
| Change | ▲105 | ▼165 | ▲23 | ▲4 | ▲1 |
| Votes | 24.6% | 23.9% | 22.1% | 13.7% | 8.8% |
| Change | ▲9.9% | ▼10.7% | ▼2.3% | ▲1.1% | ▲1.9% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 10.3% |
LAB | GRN | 6.3% |
CON | REF | 6.1% |
LAB | LD | 5.9% |
LD | REF | 4.4% |
LAB | CON | 4.2% |
GRN | REF | 4.0% |
CON | GRN | 2.1% |
CON | LD | 1.7% |
LD | GRN | 0.4% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 57 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 8 |
| Change | ▼7 | ▼16 | ▼8 | ▲7 | ▲9 | ▲8 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 30 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| Change | ▼17 | ▼15 | ▲4 | ▲28 | - |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.