Election Polling

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Latest Election Projections

UK General Election 2029 Prediction Votes/Seats		Labour short by 60 Swing of 9.5% to Reform UK from Labour UK Election Polls Swingometer Seat-by-Seat Prediction Next Election: 15th Aug 2029
Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Prediction Votes/Seats		SNP short by 10 Scottish Parliament Polls Swingometer Seat-by-Seat Prediction Next Election: 7th May 2026
Senedd Election 2026 Prediction Votes/Seats		Reform UK short by 23 Senedd Polls Swingometer Next Election: 7th May 2026

UK General Election 2029 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:

	LAB	REF	CON	LD	GRN
Seats	266	90	149	72	4
Change	▼145	▲85	▲28	-	-
Votes	25.3%	24.3%	22.8%	13.0%	8.3%
Change	▼9.4%	▲9.6%	▼1.6%	▲0.5%	▲1.3%

This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.

Projected Swings

From	To	Percent
LAB	REF	9.5%
CON	REF	5.6%
LAB	GRN	5.4%
LAB	LD	4.9%
LD	REF	4.6%
GRN	REF	4.1%
LAB	CON	3.9%
CON	GRN	1.5%
CON	LD	1.0%
LD	GRN	0.4%

Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

	SNP	CON	LAB	GRN	LD	REF
Seats	55	17	19	10	13	14
Change	▼9	▼14	▼3	▲2	▲9	▲14

This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.

Senedd Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

	LAB	CON	PC	REF	LD
Seats	25	20	25	26	0
Change	▼22	▼8	▲4	▲26	-

This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.