Election Polling

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Latest Election Projections

UK General Election 2029 Prediction

Labour short by 72
Swing of 10.1% to Reform UK from Labour
Next Election: 15th Aug 2029
Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Prediction

SNP short by 13
Next Election: 7th May 2026
Senedd Election 2026 Prediction

Reform UK short by 23
Next Election: 7th May 2026

UK General Election 2029 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
72
326 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:

REFLABCONLDGRN
Seats115254136734
Change110157151-
Votes25.0%24.9%22.4%12.9%8.2%
Change10.3%9.8%2.0%0.3%1.3%




This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.

Projected Swings

FromToPercent
LAB
REF
10.1%
CON
REF
6.2%
LAB
GRN
5.5%
LAB
LD
5.0%
LD
REF
5.0%
GRN
REF
4.5%
LAB
CON
3.9%
CON
GRN
1.7%
CON
LD
1.1%
LD
GRN
0.5%


Scottish Parliament Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
SNP
short by
13
65 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

SNPCONLABGRNLDREF
Seats521620111415
Change1215231015




This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.



Senedd Election 2026 Seat Forecast

On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Reform UK
short by
23
49 seats needed for a majority

Vote and Seat Projection

This result is based on the following distribution of seats:

LABCONPCREFLD
Seats252025260
Change228426-




This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.



2029 General Election
Latest Posts
New Senedd Election System
posted 20 Oct 2024, 11:00
Historical Battlegrounds
posted 28 Jul 2024, 11:30
Website Updated with the 2024 General Election Results
posted 5 Jul 2024, 12:00