On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 245 | 158 | 79 | 10 | 78 |
| Change | ▲240 | ▼253 | ▼42 | ▲6 | ▲6 |
| Votes | 26.0% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 12.1% |
| Change | ▲11.3% | ▼16.2% | ▼6.2% | ▲9.4% | ▼0.5% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 13.7% |
LAB | GRN | 12.8% |
CON | REF | 8.7% |
LAB | LD | 7.9% |
CON | GRN | 7.8% |
LD | REF | 5.9% |
LAB | CON | 5.0% |
LD | GRN | 4.9% |
CON | LD | 2.8% |
GRN | REF | 1.0% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 58 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 18 |
| Change | ▼6 | ▼18 | ▼6 | ▲6 | ▲6 | ▲18 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 16 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 1 | 5 |
| Change | ▼31 | ▼21 | ▲14 | ▲32 | ▲1 | ▲5 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.