On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 286 | 63 | 134 | 9 | 79 |
| Change | ▲281 | ▼58 | ▼277 | ▲5 | ▲7 |
| Votes | 27.7% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 12.5% |
| Change | ▲13.0% | ▼6.0% | ▼16.8% | ▲8.1% | - |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 14.9% |
LAB | GRN | 12.5% |
CON | REF | 9.5% |
LAB | LD | 8.4% |
CON | GRN | 7.1% |
LD | REF | 6.5% |
LAB | CON | 5.4% |
LD | GRN | 4.1% |
CON | LD | 3.0% |
GRN | REF | 2.5% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 60 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 19 |
| Change | ▼4 | ▼21 | ▼5 | ▲6 | ▲5 | ▲19 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 14 | 9 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| Change | ▼16 | ▼7 | ▲9 | ▲14 | - | - |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.