On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 249 | 144 | 76 | 12 | 79 |
| Change | ▲244 | ▼267 | ▼45 | ▲8 | ▲7 |
| Votes | 25.8% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 12.4% |
| Change | ▲11.1% | ▼16.7% | ▼6.5% | ▲10.2% | ▼0.1% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 13.9% |
LAB | GRN | 13.5% |
CON | REF | 8.8% |
CON | GRN | 8.4% |
LAB | LD | 8.3% |
LD | REF | 5.6% |
LD | GRN | 5.2% |
LAB | CON | 5.1% |
CON | LD | 3.2% |
GRN | REF | 0.4% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 59 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 17 |
| Change | ▼5 | ▼20 | ▼6 | ▲9 | ▲5 | ▲17 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 16 | 6 | 35 | 32 | 0 | 7 |
| Change | ▼31 | ▼22 | ▲14 | ▲32 | - | ▲7 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.