On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 277 | 143 | 62 | 7 | 78 |
| Change | ▲272 | ▼268 | ▼59 | ▲3 | ▲6 |
| Votes | 27.6% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 12.6% |
| Change | ▲12.9% | ▼16.0% | ▼5.8% | ▲7.5% | - |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 14.4% |
LAB | GRN | 11.7% |
CON | REF | 9.3% |
LAB | LD | 8.0% |
CON | GRN | 6.6% |
LD | REF | 6.4% |
LAB | CON | 5.1% |
LD | GRN | 3.8% |
CON | LD | 2.9% |
GRN | REF | 2.7% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 59 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Change | ▼5 | ▼20 | ▼7 | ▲4 | ▲6 | ▲22 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 22 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 1 |
| Change | ▼25 | ▼19 | ▲11 | ▲32 | ▲1 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.