On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 304 | 131 | 51 | 7 | 76 |
| Change | ▲299 | ▼280 | ▼70 | ▲3 | ▲4 |
| Votes | 29.5% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 14.2% | 12.1% |
| Change | ▲14.8% | ▼15.2% | ▼5.5% | ▲7.3% | ▼0.4% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 15.0% |
LAB | GRN | 11.2% |
CON | REF | 10.1% |
LD | REF | 7.6% |
LAB | LD | 7.4% |
CON | GRN | 6.4% |
LAB | CON | 4.9% |
LD | GRN | 3.8% |
GRN | REF | 3.8% |
CON | LD | 2.5% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 58 | 11 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| Change | ▼6 | ▼20 | ▼4 | - | ▲9 | ▲21 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 14 | 8 | 37 | 32 | 1 |
| Change | ▼33 | ▼20 | ▲16 | ▲32 | ▲1 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.