On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 244 | 208 | 52 | 79 | 4 |
| Change | ▲239 | ▼203 | ▼69 | ▲7 | - |
| Votes | 27.7% | 23.2% | 18.6% | 13.8% | 9.5% |
| Change | ▲13.0% | ▼11.5% | ▼5.8% | ▲1.2% | ▲2.6% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 12.2% |
CON | REF | 9.4% |
LAB | GRN | 7.0% |
LAB | LD | 6.3% |
LD | REF | 5.9% |
GRN | REF | 5.2% |
CON | GRN | 4.2% |
CON | LD | 3.5% |
LAB | CON | 2.8% |
LD | GRN | 0.7% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 54 | 10 | 25 | 16 | 8 | 16 |
| Change | ▼10 | ▼21 | ▲3 | ▲8 | ▲4 | ▲16 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 19 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 2 |
| Change | ▼28 | ▼20 | ▲13 | ▲33 | ▲2 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.