On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 238 | 87 | 157 | 10 | 78 |
| Change | ▲233 | ▼34 | ▼254 | ▲6 | ▲6 |
| Votes | 25.9% | 18.7% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 12.0% |
| Change | ▲11.2% | ▼5.7% | ▼16.3% | ▲9.3% | ▼0.5% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 13.7% |
LAB | GRN | 12.8% |
CON | REF | 8.4% |
LAB | LD | 7.9% |
CON | GRN | 7.5% |
LD | REF | 5.8% |
LAB | CON | 5.3% |
LD | GRN | 4.9% |
CON | LD | 2.6% |
GRN | REF | 1.0% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 60 | 10 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 18 |
| Change | ▼4 | ▼21 | ▼5 | ▲7 | ▲5 | ▲18 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 14 | 8 | 39 | 32 | 1 | 2 |
| Change | ▼33 | ▼20 | ▲18 | ▲32 | ▲1 | ▲2 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.