On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 311 | 125 | 50 | 7 | 76 |
| Change | ▲306 | ▼286 | ▼71 | ▲3 | ▲4 |
| Votes | 29.6% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 12.4% |
| Change | ▲14.9% | ▼15.6% | ▼5.5% | ▲7.4% | ▼0.2% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 15.2% |
LAB | GRN | 11.5% |
CON | REF | 10.2% |
LAB | LD | 7.7% |
LD | REF | 7.5% |
CON | GRN | 6.4% |
LAB | CON | 5.0% |
LD | GRN | 3.8% |
GRN | REF | 3.7% |
CON | LD | 2.7% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 58 | 11 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 21 |
| Change | ▼6 | ▼20 | ▼4 | - | ▲9 | ▲21 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 21 | 13 | 28 | 33 | 1 |
| Change | ▼26 | ▼15 | ▲7 | ▲33 | ▲1 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.