Labour win the Newport West by-election
Labour have won the Newport West by-election. Votes were as follows:
Abolish the Welsh Assembly
Democrats and Veterans
Percentages and changes are available here
There was a 2.4% swing from Labour to the Conservatives. However, this is really a "technical" swing rather than a meaningful swing because both the Labour vote and the Conservative vote collapsed: Labour by 13 percentage points and the Conservatives by 8 percentage points. UKIP were the main beneficiaries, increasing their vote share by 6 percentage points.
The Green Party, Plaid Cymru and the Liberal Democrats all made small gains, around 2.5 percentage points each. Renew won 3.7%, although they did not stand last time.
Turnout was down 30 percentage points. Fairly low, but not unexpectedly so. Turnouts in by-elections (especially safe Labour seats) are often quite low.
For the Conservatives
, the seat would now be their 53rd
target, rather than their 81st
, the seat would now be their 45th
safest seat, rather than their 70th