Welsh Assembly Swingometer

This page contains the Welsh Assembly swingometer used to predict election results for the next Welsh Assembly election scheduled to be held in 2021.

We track the latest polls for the next Welsh Assembly election.

Welsh Assembly Election 2016 (Use for 2021)

Wales

Constituency
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
Labour
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%
HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
2
31 seats needed for a majority
Summary
SeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour2929000
Plaid Cymru1212000
Conservative1111000
UKIP77000
Liberal Democrat11000
Constituency
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour34.71%34.71%0.00%2727000
Conservative21.15%21.15%0.00%66000
Plaid Cymru20.54%20.54%0.00%66000
UKIP12.46%12.46%0.00%00000
Liberal Democrat7.67%7.67%0.00%11000
Green2.47%2.47%0.00%00000
Region
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour31.46%31.46%0.00%22000
Plaid Cymru20.85%20.85%0.00%66000
Conservative18.81%18.81%0.00%55000
UKIP13.02%13.02%0.00%77000
Liberal Democrat6.46%6.46%0.00%00000
Green2.98%2.98%0.00%00000
Brexit Party0.00%0.00%0.00%00000
Map Options

South Wales East

Constituency
Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

South Wales Central

Constituency
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
Labour
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

South Wales West

Constituency
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
Labour
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Mid and West Wales

Constituency
Plaid Cymru
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Region
Plaid Cymru
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

North Wales

Constituency
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
Labour
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Welsh Assembly Election 2011 (Use for 2016)

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