UK Swingometer

This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election. You can also override the Great Britain figures and specify Scotland and Wales separately.

To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.

Note: The United Kingdom swingometer takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.

Election 2019 (New Boundaries) (Swingometer 2024)

Election 2019

Election 2017 (Swingometer 2019)

Election 2015 (Swingometer 2017)

United Kingdom

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Scotland Figures (optional)

Enable
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%

Wales Figures (optional)

Enable
Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

London

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

East of England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

South East

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

South West

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%

East Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

West Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

North East

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

North West

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Scotland

SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP49.97%40.00%-9.97%56460-10-10
Conservative14.92%27.00%+12.08%17+60+6
Labour24.30%25.00%+0.70%13+20+2
Liberal Democrat7.55%5.00%-2.55%13+20+2
UKIP1.62%1.62%+0.00%00000
Green1.35%1.35%+0.00%00000

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Conservative gains
Aberdeen SouthScotland
Aberdeenshire West and KincardineScotland
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkScotland
Dumfries and GallowayScotland
MorayScotland
Perth and North PerthshireScotland
Labour gains
Edinburgh North and LeithScotland
Renfrewshire EastScotland
Liberal Democrat gains
Dunbartonshire EastScotland
Edinburgh WestScotland

Wales

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Northern Ireland

DUP
%
Sinn Fein
%
UUP
%
SDLP
%
Alliance NI
%

Election 2010 (Swingometer 2015)

Election 2005 (5th Boundary Review) (Swingometer 2010)

Election 2005

Election 2001 (Swingometer 2005)

Election 1997 (Swingometer 2001)

Election 1992 (Swingometer 1997)

Election 1987 (Swingometer 1992)

Election 1983 (Swingometer 1987)

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posted 27 Apr 2024, 19:45
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posted 30 Mar 2024, 14:30
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posted 26 Feb 2024, 21:20