This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.
To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.
Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.
Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
Conservative | 44.69% | 36.96% | -7.73% | 372 | 312 | 0 | -60 | -60 | |
Labour | 32.87% | 36.40% | +3.53% | 200 | 250 | +50 | 0 | +50 | |
Liberal Democrat | 11.83% | 9.07% | -2.76% | 8 | 14 | +6 | 0 | +6 | |
Green | 2.77% | 6.20% | +3.43% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
SNP | 3.98% | 3.98% | 0.00% | 48 | 52 | +4 | 0 | +4 | |
Reform UK | 2.06% | 2.06% | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Plaid Cymru | 0.49% | 0.49% | 0.00% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:
Labour gainsCarshalton and Wallington | London | ||
Wimbledon | London | ||
Cambridgeshire South | East of England | ||
Eastbourne | South East | ||
Cheltenham | South West | ||
Cheadle | North West |
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East | Scotland | ||
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Scotland | ||
Dumfries and Galloway | Scotland | ||
Gordon and Buchan | Scotland |