This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.
To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.
Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.
Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
Conservative | 43.43% | 34.68% | -8.75% | 317 | 324 | +26 | -19 | +7 | |
Labour | 41.02% | 27.00% | -14.02% | 262 | 226 | 0 | -36 | -36 | |
Liberal Democrat | 7.56% | 18.52% | +10.96% | 12 | 31 | +19 | 0 | +19 | |
Brexit Party | 0.00% | 12.12% | +12.12% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
SNP | 3.11% | 3.11% | 0.00% | 35 | 46 | +12 | -1 | +11 | |
Green | 1.65% | 2.17% | +0.52% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
UKIP | 1.89% | 0.56% | -1.33% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Plaid Cymru | 0.52% | 0.52% | 0.00% | 4 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -1 |
On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:
Conservative gainsBattersea | London | ||
Kensington | London | ||
Bedford | East of England | ||
Ipswich | East of England | ||
Peterborough | East of England | ||
Canterbury | South East | ||
Portsmouth South | South East | ||
Stroud | South West | ||
Ashfield | East Midlands | ||
Derby North | East Midlands | ||
High Peak | East Midlands | ||
Lincoln | East Midlands | ||
Dudley North | West Midlands | ||
Newcastle-under-Lyme | West Midlands | ||
Warwick and Leamington | West Midlands | ||
Wolverhampton South West | West Midlands | ||
Colne Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Keighley | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Penistone and Stocksbridge | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Wakefield | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Bishop Auckland | North East | ||
Stockton South | North East | ||
Barrow and Furness | North West | ||
Crewe and Nantwich | North West | ||
Warrington South | North West | ||
Wrexham | Wales |
Bermondsey and Old Southwark | London | ||
Cambridge | East of England | ||
Leeds North West | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Sheffield Hallam | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Richmond Park | London | ||
St Albans | East of England | ||
Lewes | South East | ||
Winchester | South East | ||
Cheltenham | South West | ||
Cornwall North | South West | ||
Devon North | South West | ||
St Ives | South West | ||
Wells | South West | ||
Cheadle | North West | ||
Hazel Grove | North West | ||
Southport | North West | ||
Brecon and Radnorshire | Wales | ||
Fife North East | Scotland | ||
Ceredigion | Wales |
Angus | Scotland | ||
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock | Scotland | ||
Gordon | Scotland | ||
Moray | Scotland | ||
Ochil and South Perthshire | Scotland | ||
Stirling | Scotland | ||
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill | Scotland | ||
East Lothian | Scotland | ||
Glasgow North East | Scotland | ||
Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Scotland | ||
Midlothian | Scotland | ||
Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Scotland |