Labour Defence

Below are lists of Labour marginal seats showing which constituencies won in the latest elections can be most easily lost.

Labour Defence 2022

Below is the Labour defence list consisting of Labour held marginal seats for the 2022 general election. These marginal constituencies are ordered from the smallest to the largest swing to be defeated by the largest opposition party.

View Labour target seats for the next general election.

RankConstituencyRegionMajoritySwing to Defeat
1.KensingtonLondon200.03%
2.Dudley NorthWest Midlands220.03%
3.Newcastle-under-LymeWest Midlands300.03%
4.Crewe and NantwichNorth West480.04%
5.CanterburySouth East1870.16%
6.Barrow and FurnessNorth West2090.22%
7.KeighleyYorkshire and the Humber2490.24%
8.Rutherglen and Hamilton WestScotland2650.26%
9.Kirkcaldy and CowdenbeathScotland2590.28%
10.Glasgow North EastScotland2420.38%
11.AshfieldEast Midlands4410.44%
12.StroudSouth West6870.54%
13.Bishop AucklandNorth East5020.58%
14.PeterboroughEast of England6070.64%
15.Colne ValleyYorkshire and the Humber9150.76%
16.IpswichEast of England8310.81%
17.BedfordEast of England7890.81%
18.Stockton SouthNorth East8880.82%
19.MidlothianScotland8850.98%
20.Warwick and LeamingtonWest Midlands1,2061.12%
21.Penistone and StocksbridgeYorkshire and the Humber1,3221.33%
22.LincolnEast Midlands1,5381.58%
23.Portsmouth SouthSouth East1,5541.74%
24.Coatbridge, Chryston and BellshillScotland1,5861.76%
25.Sheffield HallamYorkshire and the Humber2,1251.86%
26.Warrington SouthNorth West2,5492.06%
27.Derby NorthEast Midlands2,0152.07%
28.High PeakEast Midlands2,3222.16%
29.BatterseaLondon2,4162.19%
30.WakefieldYorkshire and the Humber2,1762.35%
31.Wolverhampton South WestWest Midlands2,1852.58%
32.WrexhamWales1,8322.61%
33.East LothianScotland3,0832.76%
34.Stoke-on-Trent NorthWest Midlands2,3592.82%
35.DewsburyYorkshire and the Humber3,3212.94%
36.Vale of ClwydWales2,3793.07%
37.Reading EastSouth East3,7493.39%
38.GowerWales3,2693.59%
39.Blackpool SouthNorth West2,5233.61%
40.Great GrimsbyYorkshire and the Humber2,5653.61%
41.DarlingtonNorth East3,2803.66%
42.Weaver ValeNorth West3,9283.88%
43.Rother ValleyYorkshire and the Humber3,8823.92%
44.Cardiff NorthWales4,1744.01%
45.Bolton North EastNorth West3,7974.20%
46.ScunthorpeYorkshire and the Humber3,4314.27%
47.Bristol North WestSouth West4,7614.40%
48.Enfield SouthgateLondon4,3554.51%
49.GedlingEast Midlands4,6944.54%
50.Leeds North WestYorkshire and the Humber4,2244.56%
51.Bury NorthNorth West4,3754.57%
52.BassetlawEast Midlands4,8524.64%
53.WorkingtonNorth West3,9254.71%
54.Croydon CentralLondon5,6524.95%
55.Dagenham and RainhamLondon4,6525.07%
56.Birmingham NorthfieldWest Midlands4,6675.26%
57.DelynWales4,2405.38%
58.BridgendWales4,7005.43%
59.HalifaxYorkshire and the Humber5,3765.57%
60.Don ValleyYorkshire and the Humber5,1695.62%
61.BolsoverEast Midlands5,2885.68%
62.Clwyd SouthWales4,3565.81%
63.Alyn and DeesideWales5,2355.85%
64.Bury SouthNorth West5,9655.85%
65.Stoke-on-Trent CentralWest Midlands3,8975.88%
66.Wirral WestNorth West5,3656.10%
67.West Bromwich WestWest Midlands4,4606.18%
68.Wolverhampton North EastWest Midlands4,5876.28%
69.HyndburnNorth West5,8156.43%
70.Newport WestWales5,6586.51%
71.Plymouth Sutton and DevonportSouth West6,8076.65%
72.ChorleyNorth West7,5126.75%
73.ElthamLondon6,2966.82%
74.Ynys MonWales5,2597.04%
75.Lancaster and FleetwoodNorth West6,6617.24%
76.SedgefieldNorth East6,0597.28%
77.Heywood and MiddletonNorth West7,6177.64%
78.BurnleyNorth West6,3537.88%
79.Birmingham EdgbastonWest Midlands6,9177.93%
80.Chester, City ofNorth West9,1768.13%
81.Bradford SouthYorkshire and the Humber6,7008.16%
82.Batley and SpenYorkshire and the Humber8,9618.33%
83.Coventry SouthWest Midlands7,9478.45%
84.Coventry North WestWest Midlands8,5808.61%
85.Oldham East and SaddleworthNorth West8,1828.70%
86.Ilford NorthLondon9,6399.10%
87.HartlepoolNorth East7,6509.14%
88.Durham North WestNorth East8,7929.18%
89.Worsley and Eccles SouthNorth West8,3799.18%
90.Wirral SouthNorth West8,3239.21%
91.Blyth ValleyNorth East7,9159.31%
92.Stalybridge and HydeNorth West8,0849.52%
93.Birmingham ErdingtonWest Midlands7,2859.79%
94.West Bromwich EastWest Midlands7,7139.86%
95.Warrington NorthNorth West9,5829.87%
96.Brentford and IsleworthLondon12,1829.88%
97.ChesterfieldEast Midlands9,60510.02%
98.Brighton KemptownSouth East9,86810.03%
99.Walsall SouthWest Midlands8,89210.09%
100.LeighNorth West9,55410.19%
101.Stockton NorthNorth East8,71510.20%
102.TynemouthNorth East11,66610.26%
103.Enfield NorthLondon10,24710.55%
104.Newcastle upon Tyne NorthNorth East10,34910.72%
105.Lancashire WestNorth West11,68910.75%
106.Newport EastWales8,00310.87%
107.HemsworthYorkshire and the Humber10,17411.07%
108.Sunderland CentralNorth East9,99711.08%
109.Bermondsey and Old SouthwarkLondon12,97211.08%
110.RedcarNorth East9,48511.14%
111.Ellesmere Port and NestonNorth West11,39011.18%
112.Erith and ThamesmeadLondon10,01411.26%
113.CambridgeEast of England12,66111.32%
114.Hull West and HessleYorkshire and the Humber8,02511.61%
115.Wolverhampton South EastWest Midlands8,51411.73%
116.Doncaster CentralYorkshire and the Humber10,13111.77%
117.Southampton TestSouth East11,50312.26%
118.WansbeckNorth East10,43512.29%
119.Derby SouthEast Midlands11,24812.41%
120.Ealing Central and ActonLondon13,80712.47%
121.Durham, City ofNorth East12,36412.79%
122.Bristol EastSouth West13,39413.18%
123.Harrow WestLondon13,31413.22%
124.TootingLondon15,45813.29%
125.Westminster NorthLondon11,51213.29%
126.Hampstead and KilburnLondon15,56013.32%
127.TorfaenWales10,24013.32%
128.Cardiff WestWales12,55113.46%
129.Sheffield South EastYorkshire and the Humber11,79813.53%
130.HuddersfieldYorkshire and the Humber12,00513.69%
131.BlaydonNorth East13,47714.01%
132.Hull EastYorkshire and the Humber10,39614.19%
133.Ashton-under-LyneNorth West11,29514.20%
134.Swansea WestWales10,59814.21%
135.PontypriddWales11,44814.35%
136.MakerfieldNorth West13,54214.43%
137.ExeterSouth West16,11714.54%
138.Nottingham NorthEast Midlands11,16014.56%
139.CaerphillyWales12,07814.62%
140.Cardiff South and PenarthWales14,86414.65%
141.Bristol SouthSouth West15,98714.70%
142.Feltham and HestonLondon15,60314.71%
143.Normanton, Pontefract and CastlefordYorkshire and the Humber14,49914.74%
144.Leicester WestEast Midlands11,06014.74%
145.RochdaleNorth West14,81914.81%
146.Houghton and Sunderland SouthNorth East12,34114.88%
147.LlanelliWales12,02414.90%
148.Durham NorthNorth East12,93914.95%
149.Sefton CentralNorth West15,61814.99%
150.RotherhamYorkshire and the Humber11,38715.01%
151.Luton SouthEast of England13,92515.09%
152.Brent NorthLondon17,06115.11%
153.Norwich SouthEast of England15,59615.18%
154.Leeds EastYorkshire and the Humber12,75215.39%
155.Luton NorthEast of England14,36415.40%
156.Bolton South EastNorth West13,12615.51%
157.Birmingham Selly OakWest Midlands15,20715.52%
158.Sheffield HeeleyYorkshire and the Humber13,82815.63%
159.SloughSouth East16,99815.65%
160.Nottingham SouthEast Midlands15,16215.75%
161.IslwynWales11,41215.81%
162.Washington and Sunderland WestNorth East12,94015.95%
163.Leeds North EastYorkshire and the Humber16,99116.03%
164.Edinburgh SouthScotland15,51416.21%
165.HoveSouth East18,75716.28%
166.Barnsley EastYorkshire and the Humber13,28316.29%
167.Wythenshawe and Sale EastNorth West14,94416.30%
168.NeathWales12,63116.50%
169.Doncaster NorthYorkshire and the Humber14,02416.57%
170.Coventry North EastWest Midlands15,58016.75%
171.Wentworth and DearneYorkshire and the Humber14,80316.84%
172.WiganNorth West16,02716.86%
173.StockportNorth West14,47717.42%
174.York CentralYorkshire and the Humber18,57517.49%
175.Denton and ReddishNorth West14,07717.77%
176.South ShieldsNorth East14,50817.79%
177.HammersmithLondon18,65117.85%
178.St Helens NorthNorth West18,40618.32%
179.Blaenau GwentWales11,90718.38%
180.VauxhallLondon20,25018.40%
181.Tyneside NorthNorth East19,28418.58%
182.Birmingham YardleyWest Midlands16,57418.62%
183.OgmoreWales13,87118.64%
184.Swansea EastWales13,16818.73%
185.Ealing NorthLondon19,69318.75%
186.Oldham West and RoytonNorth West17,19818.78%
187.Leeds WestYorkshire and the Humber15,96518.90%
188.Hayes and HarlingtonLondon18,11518.95%
189.Hull NorthYorkshire and the Humber14,32219.29%
190.MiddlesbroughNorth East13,87319.46%
191.Greenwich and WoolwichLondon20,71419.50%
192.Stretford and UrmstonNorth West19,70519.63%
193.Barnsley CentralYorkshire and the Humber15,54619.89%
194.JarrowNorth East17,26320.06%
195.Salford and EcclesNorth West19,13220.09%
196.Newcastle upon Tyne CentralNorth East14,93720.13%
197.EasingtonNorth East14,89220.48%
198.WarleyWest Midlands16,48320.50%
199.GatesheadNorth East17,35020.60%
200.Birmingham Perry BarrWest Midlands18,38320.80%
201.Cynon ValleyWales13,23820.81%
202.RhonddaWales13,74620.87%
203.Islington South and FinsburyLondon20,26321.09%
204.Cardiff CentralWales17,19621.30%
205.Leicester EastEast Midlands22,42821.39%
206.BlackburnNorth West20,36821.43%
207.Oxford EastSouth East23,28421.60%
208.Lewisham West and PengeLondon23,16221.77%
209.PrestonNorth West15,72322.08%
210.Mitcham and MordenLondon21,37522.21%
211.Lewisham EastLondon21,21322.47%
212.Bradford EastYorkshire and the Humber20,54022.51%
213.BarkingLondon21,60822.66%
214.Sheffield Brightside and HillsboroughYorkshire and the Humber19,14322.86%
215.St Helens South and WhistonNorth West24,34323.01%
216.Newcastle upon Tyne EastNorth East19,26123.13%
217.StreathamLondon26,28523.55%
218.Poplar and LimehouseLondon27,71223.56%
219.Bradford WestYorkshire and the Humber21,90224.05%
220.WallaseyNorth West23,32024.11%
221.EdmontonLondon21,11524.17%
222.Merthyr Tydfil and RhymneyWales16,33424.35%
223.Blackley and BroughtonNorth West19,60124.43%
224.Ealing SouthallLondon22,09024.47%
225.Leyton and WansteadLondon22,60724.48%
226.Hornsey and Wood GreenLondon30,73824.67%
227.Leeds CentralYorkshire and the Humber23,69824.85%
228.Nottingham EastEast Midlands19,59024.91%
229.Dulwich and West NorwoodLondon28,15625.08%
230.AberavonWales16,76125.19%
231.HaltonNorth West25,40525.65%
232.Holborn and St PancrasLondon30,50925.86%
233.Leicester SouthEast Midlands26,26125.99%
234.Bristol WestSouth West37,33626.07%
235.Brent CentralLondon27,99726.77%
236.Croydon NorthLondon32,36527.14%
237.Ilford SouthLondon31,64727.44%
238.Manchester WithingtonNorth West29,87527.87%
239.Sheffield CentralYorkshire and the Humber27,74828.98%
240.BirkenheadNorth West25,51429.22%
241.Bethnal Green and BowLondon35,39329.58%
242.Garston and HalewoodNorth West32,14930.03%
243.Islington NorthLondon33,21530.24%
244.West HamLondon36,75430.27%
245.Hackney North and Stoke NewingtonLondon35,13931.21%
246.Birmingham Hall GreenWest Midlands33,94431.25%
247.Manchester CentralNorth West31,44531.62%
248.Lewisham DeptfordLondon34,89931.66%
249.Camberwell and PeckhamLondon37,31632.50%
250.WalthamstowLondon32,01733.25%
251.Birmingham Hodge HillWest Midlands31,02633.44%
252.Liverpool WavertreeNorth West29,46633.76%
253.Hackney South and ShoreditchLondon37,93134.26%
254.Manchester GortonNorth West31,73034.52%
255.Birmingham LadywoodWest Midlands28,71434.76%
256.TottenhamLondon34,58435.05%
257.East HamLondon39,88335.21%
258.BootleNorth West36,20035.99%
259.Liverpool West DerbyNorth West32,90836.43%
260.Liverpool RiversideNorth West35,94737.43%
261.KnowsleyNorth West42,21438.04%
262.Liverpool WaltonNorth West32,55138.57%

View Labour target seats for the next general election.

Labour Defence for the 2021 Scottish Parliament Election

Below is the Labour defence list consisting of Labour held marginal seats for the 2021 Scottish Parliament election. These marginal constituencies are ordered from the smallest to the largest swing to be defeated by the largest opposition party.

View Labour target seats for the next Scottish Parliament election.

RankConstituencyRegionMajoritySwing to Defeat
1.DumbartonWest Scotland1090.16%
2.Edinburgh SouthernLothian1,1231.47%
3.East LothianSouth Scotland1,1271.49%

View Labour target seats for the next Scottish Parliament election.

Labour Defence for the 2021 Welsh Assembly Election

Below is the Labour defence list consisting of Labour held marginal seats for the 2021 Welsh Assembly election. These marginal constituencies are ordered from the smallest to the largest swing to be defeated by the largest opposition party.

View Labour target seats for the next Welsh Assembly election.

RankConstituencyRegionMajoritySwing to Defeat
1.LlanelliMid and West Wales3820.68%
2.Vale of GlamorganSouth Wales Central7771.03%
3.Blaenau GwentSouth Wales East6501.53%
4.Cardiff CentralSouth Wales Central8171.57%
5.Vale of ClwydNorth Wales7681.59%
6.Cardiff WestSouth Wales Central1,1761.84%
7.CaerphillySouth Wales East1,5752.90%
8.GowerSouth Wales West1,8293.03%
9.WrexhamNorth Wales1,3253.25%
10.Cardiff NorthSouth Wales Central3,6674.90%
11.NeathSouth Wales West2,9235.76%
12.Clwyd SouthNorth Wales3,0166.81%
13.Newport WestSouth Wales East4,1157.41%
14.DelynNorth Wales3,5827.73%
15.TorfaenSouth Wales East4,4989.79%
16.BridgendSouth Wales West5,62310.47%
17.PontypriddSouth Wales Central5,32710.51%
18.Cardiff South and PenarthSouth Wales Central6,92111.43%
19.Swansea WestSouth Wales West5,08011.44%
20.IslwynSouth Wales East5,10611.44%
21.Newport EastSouth Wales East4,89611.83%
22.Alyn and DeesideNorth Wales5,36412.36%
23.Merthyr Tydfil and RhymneySouth Wales East5,48613.26%
24.AberavonSouth Wales West6,40215.35%
25.Cynon ValleySouth Wales Central5,99415.58%
26.Swansea EastSouth Wales West7,45218.11%
27.OgmoreSouth Wales West9,46820.27%

View Labour target seats for the next Welsh Assembly election.

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