UK Swingometer

This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.

To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.

Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.

Election 2019 (New Boundaries) (Swingometer 2024)

Election 2019

Election 2017 (Swingometer 2019)

United Kingdom

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%
HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
5
326 seats needed for a majority
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour41.02%45.00%+3.98%262321+590+59
Conservative43.43%39.00%-4.43%3172650-52-52
Liberal Democrat7.56%7.00%-0.56%1214+20+2
SNP3.11%3.11%0.00%3527+1-9-8
UKIP1.89%1.89%0.00%00000
Green1.65%1.65%0.00%11000
Plaid Cymru0.52%0.52%0.00%430-1-1
Brexit Party0.00%0.00%0.00%00000

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Labour gains
Chingford and Woodford GreenLondon
Chipping BarnetLondon
Cities of London and WestminsterLondon
Finchley and Golders GreenLondon
Harrow EastLondon
HendonLondon
PutneyLondon
Norwich NorthEast of England
StevenageEast of England
ThurrockEast of England
WatfordEast of England
CrawleySouth East
Hastings and RyeSouth East
Milton Keynes NorthSouth East
Milton Keynes SouthSouth East
Reading WestSouth East
Southampton ItchenSouth East
Camborne and RedruthSouth West
Filton and Bradley StokeSouth West
Swindon SouthSouth West
Truro and FalmouthSouth West
BroxtoweEast Midlands
CorbyEast Midlands
Derbyshire North EastEast Midlands
LoughboroughEast Midlands
MansfieldEast Midlands
Northampton NorthEast Midlands
Northampton SouthEast Midlands
Stoke-on-Trent SouthWest Midlands
TelfordWest Midlands
Walsall NorthWest Midlands
WorcesterWest Midlands
Calder ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
Morley and OutwoodYorkshire and the Humber
PudseyYorkshire and the Humber
Scarborough and WhitbyYorkshire and the Humber
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland EastNorth East
Blackpool North and CleveleysNorth West
Bolton WestNorth West
CarlisleNorth West
CopelandNorth West
Morecambe and LunesdaleNorth West
PendleNorth West
Rossendale and DarwenNorth West
SouthportNorth West
AberconwyWales
Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire SouthWales
Preseli PembrokeshireWales
Vale of GlamorganWales
Airdrie and ShottsScotland
Dunfermline and Fife WestScotland
Edinburgh North and LeithScotland
Glasgow EastScotland
Glasgow NorthScotland
Glasgow South WestScotland
InverclydeScotland
Lanark and Hamilton EastScotland
Motherwell and WishawScotland
ArfonWales
Liberal Democrat gains
Richmond ParkLondon
St IvesSouth West
SNP gains
StirlingScotland

England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

London

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

East of England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

South East

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

South West

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

East Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

West Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

North East

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

North West

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Scotland

SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Wales

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Northern Ireland

DUP
%
Sinn Fein
%
SDLP
%
UUP
%
Alliance NI
%

Election 2015 (Swingometer 2017)

Election 2010 (Swingometer 2015)

Election 2005 (5th Boundary Review) (Swingometer 2010)

Election 2005

Election 2001 (Swingometer 2005)

Election 1997 (Swingometer 2001)

Election 1992 (Swingometer 1997)

Election 1987 (Swingometer 1992)

Election 1983 (Swingometer 1987)

Quick Links
Latest Posts
Updated Election Maps
posted 30 Mar 2024, 14:30
Updated Constituency Boundaries
posted 26 Feb 2024, 21:20
2021 Results for the Scottish Parliament and Senedd Elections
posted 8 May 2021, 20:45