UK Swingometer

This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.

To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.

Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.

Election 2019 (Swingometer 2024)

Election 2017 (Swingometer 2019)

United Kingdom

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%
Conservative
Win
58
seat majority
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Conservative43.43%36.60%-6.83%317354+53-16+37
Labour41.02%22.60%-18.42%2621980-64-64
Liberal Democrat7.56%18.20%+10.64%1229+170+17
Brexit Party0.00%11.60%+11.60%00000
Green1.65%5.10%+3.45%11000
SNP3.11%3.11%0.00%3545+11-1+10
UKIP1.89%0.70%-1.19%00000
Plaid Cymru0.52%0.52%0.00%44+1-10

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Conservative gains
BatterseaLondon
Croydon CentralLondon
Dagenham and RainhamLondon
Enfield SouthgateLondon
KensingtonLondon
BedfordEast of England
IpswichEast of England
PeterboroughEast of England
CanterburySouth East
Portsmouth SouthSouth East
Reading EastSouth East
Bristol North WestSouth West
StroudSouth West
AshfieldEast Midlands
BassetlawEast Midlands
BolsoverEast Midlands
Derby NorthEast Midlands
GedlingEast Midlands
High PeakEast Midlands
LincolnEast Midlands
Birmingham NorthfieldWest Midlands
Dudley NorthWest Midlands
Newcastle-under-LymeWest Midlands
Stoke-on-Trent NorthWest Midlands
Warwick and LeamingtonWest Midlands
Wolverhampton South WestWest Midlands
Colne ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
DewsburyYorkshire and the Humber
Don ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
Great GrimsbyYorkshire and the Humber
HalifaxYorkshire and the Humber
KeighleyYorkshire and the Humber
Penistone and StocksbridgeYorkshire and the Humber
Rother ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
ScunthorpeYorkshire and the Humber
WakefieldYorkshire and the Humber
Bishop AucklandNorth East
DarlingtonNorth East
Stockton SouthNorth East
Barrow and FurnessNorth West
Blackpool SouthNorth West
Bolton North EastNorth West
Bury NorthNorth West
Crewe and NantwichNorth West
Warrington SouthNorth West
Weaver ValeNorth West
WorkingtonNorth West
BridgendWales
Cardiff NorthWales
DelynWales
GowerWales
Vale of ClwydWales
WrexhamWales
Liberal Democrat gains
Bermondsey and Old SouthwarkLondon
CambridgeEast of England
Leeds North WestYorkshire and the Humber
Sheffield HallamYorkshire and the Humber
Richmond ParkLondon
St AlbansEast of England
LewesSouth East
CheltenhamSouth West
Cornwall NorthSouth West
Devon NorthSouth West
St IvesSouth West
WellsSouth West
CheadleNorth West
Hazel GroveNorth West
SouthportNorth West
Fife North EastScotland
CeredigionWales
SNP gains
AngusScotland
Ayr, Carrick and CumnockScotland
GordonScotland
Ochil and South PerthshireScotland
StirlingScotland
Coatbridge, Chryston and BellshillScotland
East LothianScotland
Glasgow North EastScotland
Kirkcaldy and CowdenbeathScotland
MidlothianScotland
Rutherglen and Hamilton WestScotland
Plaid Cymru gains
Ynys MonWales

England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

London

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

East of England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

South East

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

South West

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

East Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

West Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

North East

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

North West

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Scotland

SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Wales

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Brexit Party
%

Northern Ireland

DUP
%
Sinn Fein
%
SDLP
%
UUP
%
Alliance NI
%

Election 2015 (Swingometer 2017)

Election 2010 (Swingometer 2015)

Election 2005 (5th Boundary Review) (Swingometer 2010)

Election 2005

Election 2001 (Swingometer 2005)

Election 1997 (Swingometer 2001)

Election 1992 (Swingometer 1997)

Election 1987 (Swingometer 1992)

Election 1983 (Swingometer 1987)

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