UK Swingometer

This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.

To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.

Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.

Election 2019 (New Boundaries) (Swingometer 2024)

Election 2019

Election 2017 (Swingometer 2019)

Election 2015 (Swingometer 2017)

United Kingdom

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Labour
Win
10
seat majority
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour31.18%44.00%+12.82%232330+980+98
Conservative37.66%31.00%-6.66%3302280-102-102
Liberal Democrat8.06%10.00%+1.94%815+9-2+7
Green3.84%9.00%+5.16%11000
UKIP12.88%5.00%-7.88%11000
SNP4.85%4.85%0.00%5653+1-4-3
Plaid Cymru0.61%0.61%0.00%33000

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Labour gains
BatterseaLondon
Chingford and Woodford GreenLondon
Chipping BarnetLondon
Croydon CentralLondon
Enfield SouthgateLondon
Finchley and Golders GreenLondon
Harrow EastLondon
HendonLondon
Basildon South and Thurrock EastEast of England
BedfordEast of England
Great YarmouthEast of England
HarlowEast of England
IpswichEast of England
Norwich NorthEast of England
PeterboroughEast of England
StevenageEast of England
ThurrockEast of England
WatfordEast of England
WaveneyEast of England
Brighton KemptownSouth East
CanterburySouth East
CrawleySouth East
DoverSouth East
GraveshamSouth East
Hastings and RyeSouth East
Milton Keynes NorthSouth East
Milton Keynes SouthSouth East
Portsmouth SouthSouth East
Reading EastSouth East
Reading WestSouth East
Southampton ItchenSouth East
Thanet SouthSouth East
Bristol North WestSouth West
Camborne and RedruthSouth West
GloucesterSouth West
KingswoodSouth West
Plymouth Moor ViewSouth West
Plymouth Sutton and DevonportSouth West
StroudSouth West
Swindon SouthSouth West
Amber ValleyEast Midlands
BroxtoweEast Midlands
CorbyEast Midlands
Derby NorthEast Midlands
ErewashEast Midlands
High PeakEast Midlands
LincolnEast Midlands
LoughboroughEast Midlands
Northampton NorthEast Midlands
Northampton SouthEast Midlands
SherwoodEast Midlands
Cannock ChaseWest Midlands
Dudley SouthWest Midlands
Halesowen and Rowley RegisWest Midlands
NuneatonWest Midlands
RedditchWest Midlands
Shrewsbury and AtchamWest Midlands
StaffordWest Midlands
StourbridgeWest Midlands
TelfordWest Midlands
Warwick and LeamingtonWest Midlands
Warwickshire NorthWest Midlands
WorcesterWest Midlands
Calder ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
CleethorpesYorkshire and the Humber
Colne ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
Elmet and RothwellYorkshire and the Humber
KeighleyYorkshire and the Humber
Morley and OutwoodYorkshire and the Humber
PudseyYorkshire and the Humber
Scarborough and WhitbyYorkshire and the Humber
ShipleyYorkshire and the Humber
Stockton SouthNorth East
Blackpool North and CleveleysNorth West
Bolton WestNorth West
Bury NorthNorth West
CarlisleNorth West
Crewe and NantwichNorth West
Morecambe and LunesdaleNorth West
PendleNorth West
Rossendale and DarwenNorth West
South RibbleNorth West
Warrington SouthNorth West
Weaver ValeNorth West
AberconwyWales
Cardiff NorthWales
Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire SouthWales
Clwyd WestWales
GowerWales
Preseli PembrokeshireWales
Vale of ClwydWales
Vale of GlamorganWales
Leeds North WestYorkshire and the Humber
Sheffield HallamYorkshire and the Humber
East LothianScotland
Edinburgh North and LeithScotland
Paisley and Renfrewshire SouthScotland
Renfrewshire EastScotland
Liberal Democrat gains
Kingston and SurbitonLondon
Sutton and CheamLondon
TwickenhamLondon
EastbourneSouth East
LewesSouth East
BathSouth West
St IvesSouth West
Thornbury and YateSouth West
TorbaySouth West
SNP gains
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and TweeddaleScotland

England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

London

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

East of England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

South East

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

South West

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%

East Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

West Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

North East

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

North West

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Scotland

SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%

Wales

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Northern Ireland

DUP
%
Sinn Fein
%
UUP
%
SDLP
%
Alliance NI
%

Election 2010 (Swingometer 2015)

Election 2005 (5th Boundary Review) (Swingometer 2010)

Election 2005

Election 2001 (Swingometer 2005)

Election 1997 (Swingometer 2001)

Election 1992 (Swingometer 1997)

Election 1987 (Swingometer 1992)

Election 1983 (Swingometer 1987)

Quick Links
Latest Posts
Updated Election Maps
posted 30 Mar 2024, 14:30
Updated Constituency Boundaries
posted 26 Feb 2024, 21:20
2021 Results for the Scottish Parliament and Senedd Elections
posted 8 May 2021, 20:45