Arundel and South Downs - UK Parliament Constituency

Here are the most recent election results for the Arundel and South Downs constituency.

Note: Smaller parties may be omitted. The candidate with the largest vote who does not belong to one of the main parties is listed as 'Minor'. Votes listed for 'Other' are calculated by taking the votes from the main parties and 'Minor' away from the total votes cast.

Name	Arundel and South Downs
Region	South East
1st in 2024		Conservative
2nd in 2024		Liberal Democrat
Swing To Lose	11.08%
Next Election Prediction	View

Note: 'Swing To Lose' is the swing needed by the 2nd placed party against the 1st placed party to win the seat.

Electoral History

Election		Party
	Election 2024	Conservative
	Election 2019 (New Boundaries)	Conservative
	Election 2019	Conservative
	Election 2017	Conservative
	Election 2015	Conservative
	Election 2010	Conservative
	Election 2005 (New Boundaries)	Conservative
	Election 2005	Conservative
	Election 2001	Conservative
	Election 1997	Conservative

Election 2024

View full Election 2024 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	22,001	40.19%	-20.25%
	Liberal Democrat	9,867	18.03%	-0.93%
	Labour	9,782	17.87%	+2.19%
	Reform UK	7,391	13.50%	N/A
	Green	5,515	10.07%	+6.10%
	Minor	184	0.34%	N/A
Majority		12,134	22.17%
Turnout		54,740	70.21%	-5.28%
Electorate		77,969
Swing from CON to LD			9.66%
Swing from CON to LAB			11.22%
Swing from LD to LAB			1.56%
	Conservative hold

Election 2019 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2019 (New Boundaries) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	35,117	60.44%	+2.52%
	Liberal Democrat	11,012	18.95%	-2.29%
	Labour	9,108	15.68%	-0.16%
	Green	2,312	3.98%	-0.12%
	Minor	556	0.96%	N/A
Majority		24,105	41.49%
Turnout		58,105	75.49%	+0.35%
Electorate		76,974
Swing from LD to CON			2.41%
Swing from LAB to CON			1.34%
Swing from LD to LAB			1.07%
	Conservative hold

Election 2019

View full Election 2019 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	35,566	57.92%	-4.44%
	Liberal Democrat	13,045	21.24%	+13.31%
	Labour	9,722	15.83%	-6.89%
	Green	2,519	4.10%	-0.12%
	Minor	556	0.91%	N/A
Majority		22,521	36.67%
Turnout		61,408	75.14%	-0.68%
Electorate		81,726
Swing from CON to LD			8.87%
Swing from LAB to CON			1.22%
Swing from LAB to LD			10.10%
	Conservative hold

Election 2017

View full Election 2017 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	37,573	62.36%	+1.57%
	Labour	13,690	22.72%	+11.52%
	Liberal Democrat	4,783	7.94%	+0.75%
	Green	2,542	4.22%	-2.17%
	UKIP	1,668	2.77%	-11.67%
Majority		23,883	39.64%
Turnout		60,256	75.81%	+2.70%
Electorate		79,478
Swing from CON to LAB			4.98%
Swing from LD to CON			0.41%
Swing from LD to LAB			5.39%
	Conservative hold

Election 2015

View full Election 2015 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	34,331	60.79%	+3.03%
	UKIP	8,154	14.44%	+8.77%
	Labour	6,324	11.20%	+2.56%
	Liberal Democrat	4,062	7.19%	-20.75%
	Green	3,606	6.38%	N/A
Majority		26,177	46.35%
Turnout		56,477	73.12%	+0.26%
Electorate		77,242
Swing from CON to UKIP			2.87%
Swing from LAB to CON			0.24%
Swing from LAB to UKIP			3.11%
	Conservative hold

Election 2010

View full Election 2010 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	32,333	57.76%	+6.70%
	Liberal Democrat	15,642	27.94%	+1.58%
	Labour	4,835	8.64%	-7.93%
	UKIP	3,172	5.67%	N/A
Majority		16,691	29.81%
Turnout		55,982	72.86%	+4.51%
Electorate		76,835
Swing from LD to CON			2.56%
Swing from LAB to CON			7.31%
Swing from LAB to LD			4.75%
	Conservative hold

Election 2005 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2005 (New Boundaries) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	25,666	51.06%	+1.25%
	Liberal Democrat	13,251	26.36%	-0.69%
	Labour	8,327	16.57%	-0.50%
	Others	3,022	6.01%	N/A
Majority		12,415	24.70%
Turnout		50,266	68.35%	-0.16%
Electorate		73,543
Swing from LD to CON			0.97%
Swing from LAB to CON			0.88%
Swing from LD to LAB			0.09%
	Conservative hold

Election 2005

View full Election 2005 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	24,752	49.81%	-2.42%
	Liberal Democrat	13,443	27.05%	+4.68%
	Labour	8,482	17.07%	-3.61%
	UKIP	2,700	5.43%	+0.71%
	Minor	313	0.63%	N/A
Majority		11,309	22.76%
Turnout		49,690	68.50%	+3.83%
Electorate		72,535
Swing from CON to LD			3.55%
Swing from LAB to CON			0.59%
Swing from LAB to LD			4.15%
	Conservative hold

Election 2001

View full Election 2001 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	23,969	52.23%	-0.85%
	Liberal Democrat	10,265	22.37%	-3.37%
	Labour	9,488	20.68%	+2.41%
	UKIP	2,167	4.72%	+1.81%
Majority		13,704	29.86%
Turnout		45,889	64.67%	-11.22%
Electorate		70,956
Swing from LD to CON			1.26%
Swing from CON to LAB			1.63%
Swing from LD to LAB			2.89%
	Conservative hold

Election 1997

View full Election 1997 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	27,251	53.08%	N/A
	Liberal Democrat	13,216	25.74%	N/A
	Labour	9,376	18.26%	N/A
	UKIP	1,494	2.91%	N/A
Majority		14,035	27.34%
Turnout		51,337	75.90%	N/A
Electorate		67,641

	Conservative win

2029 General Election

Poll of Polls

Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results