Labour Target Seats

Below are lists of Labour target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.

Labour Target Seats 2029

Below is the list of Labour target seats for the 2029 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

(order by percentage majority)

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over LABSwing Needed
1.Basildon and BillericayEast of England200.02%
2.Devon CentralSouth West610.06%
3.HavantSouth East920.11%
4.Exmouth and Exeter EastSouth West1210.12%
5.Basildon South and Thurrock EastEast of England980.12%
6.Beverley and HoldernessYorkshire and the Humber1240.14%
7.BlackburnNorth West1320.17%
8.Bromley and Biggin HillLondon3020.32%
9.FyldeNorth West5610.58%
10.Birmingham Perry BarrWest Midlands5070.68%
11.Broadland and FakenhamEast of England7190.73%
12.Dundee CentralScotland6750.87%
13.Wrekin, TheWest Midlands8830.88%
14.Wyre ForestWest Midlands8120.90%
15.Arbroath and Broughty FerryScotland8590.97%
16.TattonNorth West1,1361.09%
17.Leicester SouthEast Midlands9791.17%
18.Harwich and Essex NorthEast of England1,1621.21%
19.Bedfordshire MidEast of England1,3211.33%
20.Staffordshire MoorlandsWest Midlands1,1751.36%
21.Hereford and Herefordshire SouthWest Midlands1,2791.40%
22.HuntingdonEast of England1,4991.44%
23.Skipton and RiponYorkshire and the Humber1,6501.54%
24.Faversham and Mid KentSouth East1,4691.58%
25.RomfordLondon1,4631.66%
26.BridgwaterSouth West1,3491.68%
27.SpelthorneSouth East1,5901.72%
28.Great YarmouthEast of England1,4261.75%
29.Keighley and IlkleyYorkshire and the Humber1,6251.76%
30.Maidstone and MallingSouth East1,6741.80%
31.Bognor Regis and LittlehamptonSouth East1,7651.85%
32.Dumfries and GallowayScotland1,7601.92%
33.Devon South WestSouth West2,1122.02%
34.Aberdeen NorthScotland1,7602.09%
35.Stockton WestNorth East2,1392.20%
36.Leicestershire MidEast Midlands2,2012.29%
37.Croydon SouthLondon2,3132.34%
38.Harborough, Oadby and WigstonEast Midlands2,3782.36%
39.Essex North WestEast of England2,6102.40%
40.Hornchurch and UpminsterLondon2,3212.47%
41.Herne Bay and SandwichSouth East2,4992.56%
42.Sutton ColdfieldWest Midlands2,5432.63%
43.Bexhill and BattleSouth East2,6572.78%
44.DaventryEast Midlands3,0122.84%
45.Chester South and EddisburyNorth West3,0572.91%
46.BromsgroveWest Midlands3,0162.99%
47.ReigateSouth East3,1873.00%
48.Suffolk SouthEast of England3,0473.12%
49.Hampshire North WestSouth East3,2883.23%
50.BroxbourneEast of England2,8583.33%
51.Norfolk MidEast of England3,0543.33%
52.NewarkEast Midlands3,5723.34%
53.Northamptonshire SouthEast Midlands3,6873.43%
54.Wiltshire South WestSouth West3,2433.51%
55.Suffolk WestEast of England3,2473.52%
56.Goole and PocklingtonYorkshire and the Humber3,5723.59%
57.Bridlington and the WoldsYorkshire and the Humber3,1253.64%
58.Old Bexley and SidcupLondon3,5483.72%
59.BraintreeEast of England3,6703.74%
60.GainsboroughEast Midlands3,5323.78%
61.SalisburySouth West3,8073.79%
62.Brigg and ImminghamYorkshire and the Humber3,2433.81%
63.Aberdeen SouthScotland3,7584.05%
64.Sleaford and North HykehamEast Midlands4,3464.47%
65.Suffolk Central and Ipswich NorthEast of England4,2904.62%
66.Wetherby and EasingwoldYorkshire and the Humber4,8464.64%
67.Leicester EastEast Midlands4,4264.74%
68.Grantham and BourneEast Midlands4,4964.87%
69.Chingford and Woodford GreenLondon4,7574.90%
70.Solihull West and ShirleyWest Midlands4,6204.93%
71.CaerfyrddinWales4,5354.97%
72.Wiltshire EastSouth West4,7165.00%
73.Brecon, Radnor and Cwm TaweWales3,8325.07%
74.WithamEast of England5,1455.08%
75.Torridge and TavistockSouth West5,2845.20%
76.Meriden and Solihull EastWest Midlands4,5845.20%
77.Aldridge-BrownhillsWest Midlands4,2945.25%
78.Bedfordshire NorthEast of England5,4145.25%
79.Leicestershire SouthEast Midlands5,5065.36%
80.Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and TweeddaleScotland4,8595.49%
81.OrpingtonLondon5,1185.55%
82.Norfolk North WestEast of England4,9545.56%
83.Melton and SystonEast Midlands5,3965.87%
84.New Forest WestSouth East5,6006.04%
85.Fareham and WaterloovilleSouth East6,0796.06%
86.Isle of Wight EastSouth East4,1636.11%
87.Kenilworth and SouthamWest Midlands6,5746.16%
88.Rayleigh and WickfordEast of England5,9336.18%
89.Stone, Great Wyrley and PenkridgeWest Midlands5,4666.39%
90.Epping ForestEast of England5,6826.80%
91.GosportSouth East6,0546.84%
92.Brentwood and OngarEast of England6,6496.88%
93.AshfieldEast Midlands5,5086.91%
94.Kingswinford and Staffordshire SouthWest Midlands6,3036.98%
95.Hazel GroveNorth West6,5007.07%
96.Hertfordshire South WestEast of England6,8217.07%
97.WindsorSouth East6,4577.14%
98.Ynys MonWales2,9717.15%
99.Islington NorthLondon7,2477.39%
100.Castle PointEast of England6,0307.42%
101.Louth and HorncastleEast Midlands6,9667.49%
102.Surrey EastSouth East7,4507.57%
103.Thirsk and MaltonYorkshire and the Humber7,5507.58%
104.Argyll, Bute and Lochaber SouthScotland6,9977.80%
105.Ruislip, Northwood and PinnerLondon7,5818.05%
106.Weald of KentSouth East8,4228.30%
107.HertsmereEast of England7,9928.32%
108.Sussex WealdSouth East8,5198.66%
109.Runnymede and WeybridgeSouth East8,4798.79%
110.East Grinstead and UckfieldSouth East8,8798.81%
111.Hinckley and BosworthEast Midlands8,4318.82%
112.Droitwich and EveshamWest Midlands8,9959.07%
113.Dewsbury and BatleyYorkshire and the Humber6,9349.11%
114.South Holland and the DeepingsEast Midlands8,3769.12%
115.New Forest EastSouth East8,4959.39%
116.MaldonEast of England9,5579.59%
117.ChristchurchSouth West9,1799.70%
118.Buckinghamshire MidSouth East10,97910.17%
119.Worcestershire WestWest Midlands11,44810.47%
120.Cambridgeshire North EastEast of England8,23810.51%
121.Rutland and StamfordEast Midlands10,39410.70%
122.Dunbartonshire MidScotland11,35610.77%
123.Frome and Somerset EastSouth West10,16410.88%
124.Cotswolds NorthSouth West8,83310.90%
125.Sussex MidSouth East11,73911.01%
126.TonbridgeSouth East11,16611.09%
127.Arundel and South DownsSouth East12,21911.16%
128.Sutton and CheamLondon9,14611.23%
129.Hamble ValleySouth East10,91811.33%
130.Perth and Kinross-shireScotland9,91011.55%
131.BathSouth West11,21811.65%
132.WimbledonLondon13,05711.87%
133.Bristol CentralSouth West10,40712.00%
134.Newton AbbotSouth West8,08612.17%
135.SevenoaksSouth East11,52612.20%
136.BeaconsfieldSouth East11,27812.20%
137.Harrow EastLondon11,68012.22%
138.Moray West, Nairn and StrathspeyScotland6,70212.25%
139.Bicester and WoodstockSouth East11,18312.40%
140.Richmond and NorthallertonYorkshire and the Humber12,18512.56%
141.Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkScotland12,56113.49%
142.Brighton PavilionSouth East14,29013.65%
143.Didcot and WantageSouth East13,74813.73%
144.Ely and Cambridgeshire EastEast of England7,96714.27%
145.Boston and SkegnessEast Midlands7,89114.54%
146.ClactonEast of England13,77714.99%
147.Carshalton and WallingtonLondon14,01815.02%
148.St Neots and Mid CambridgeshireEast of England12,59915.09%
149.Aberdeenshire West and KincardineScotland11,03115.50%
150.CheadleNorth West15,77215.54%
151.Angus and Perthshire GlensScotland12,34315.78%
152.Epsom and EwellSouth East12,34915.89%
153.EastleighSouth East8,96515.98%
154.Tunbridge WellsSouth East17,48316.21%
155.Shropshire SouthWest Midlands10,68917.55%
156.Ceredigion PreseliWales16,35217.66%
157.Cambridgeshire SouthEast of England19,59817.85%
158.Edinburgh WestScotland18,79117.91%
159.ChelmsfordEast of England14,10618.44%
160.Oxford West and AbingdonSouth East17,43318.95%
161.Kingston and SurbitonLondon19,30919.06%
162.Farnham and BordonSouth East11,62319.38%
163.Dwyfor MeirionnyddWales15,87619.65%
164.Wells and Mendip HillsSouth West20,09519.95%
165.Gordon and BuchanScotland9,73220.19%
166.Inverness, Skye and Ross-shire WestScotland11,91320.30%
167.WokingSouth East19,57520.33%
168.Taunton and WellingtonSouth West20,77920.66%
169.Waveney ValleyEast of England15,84620.89%
170.TewkesburySouth West16,43220.95%
171.Caithness, Sutherland and Easter RossScotland19,32720.99%
172.ChippenhamSouth West18,62721.18%
173.YeovilSouth West20,76321.21%
174.Cornwall NorthSouth West21,94621.48%
175.ChichesterSouth East22,36521.53%
176.TwickenhamLondon23,49221.90%
177.GuildfordSouth East19,00621.90%
178.LewesSouth East23,32121.93%
179.Tiverton and MineheadSouth West14,00122.10%
180.Harrogate and KnaresboroughYorkshire and the Humber19,82322.25%
181.Glastonbury and SomertonSouth West17,25322.34%
182.TorbaySouth West15,66122.36%
183.Aberdeenshire North and Moray EastScotland9,57922.62%
184.Fife North EastScotland19,35822.65%
185.Richmond ParkLondon23,48022.79%
186.Dorking and HorleySouth East16,86822.97%
187.Shropshire NorthWest Midlands22,79122.98%
188.Harpenden and BerkhamstedEast of England23,22123.03%
189.Devon NorthSouth West18,60423.07%
190.EastbourneSouth East21,05323.08%
191.St IvesSouth West22,24523.12%
192.WitneySouth East16,05923.17%
193.St AlbansEast of England24,03323.28%
194.WinchesterSouth East26,91623.58%
195.HorshamSouth East15,65323.67%
196.Stratford-on-AvonWest Midlands19,69723.74%
197.Thornbury and YateSouth West15,75823.88%
198.Orkney and ShetlandScotland9,89923.92%
199.Hampshire EastSouth East13,54224.48%
200.Dorset NorthSouth West13,83824.65%
201.Esher and WaltonSouth East25,46924.99%
202.Herefordshire NorthWest Midlands18,53125.09%
203.Devon SouthSouth West19,47425.20%
204.Melksham and DevizesSouth West15,44425.47%
205.WokinghamSouth East22,11225.49%
206.Romsey and Southampton NorthSouth East15,25326.11%
207.MaidenheadSouth East16,12926.16%
208.Surrey HeathSouth East18,23926.36%
209.Honiton and SidmouthSouth West20,06026.37%
210.Henley and ThameSouth East20,33026.46%
211.Cotswolds SouthSouth West19,01926.86%
212.NewburySouth East15,98327.81%
213.Hampshire North EastSouth East16,12127.87%
214.Chesham and AmershamSouth East20,92028.41%
215.Westmorland and LonsdaleNorth West28,75529.03%
216.Norfolk NorthEast of England16,61029.81%
217.Dorset WestSouth West23,91330.65%
218.CheltenhamSouth West22,41130.68%
219.Dorset Mid and Poole NorthSouth West16,87631.35%
220.Godalming and AshSouth East20,54535.93%

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

Labour Target Seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament Election

Below is the list of Labour target seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

(order by percentage majority)

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over LABSwing Needed
1.East LothianSouth Scotland1,1791.29%
2.Hamilton, Larkhall and StonehouseCentral Scotland4,5826.31%
3.RutherglenGlasgow5,1666.44%
4.Clydebank and MilngavieWest Scotland5,2747.00%
5.Uddingston and BellshillCentral Scotland5,3067.37%
6.Glasgow KelvinGlasgow5,9308.23%
7.Airdrie and ShottsCentral Scotland5,4688.56%
8.PaisleyWest Scotland6,0758.69%
9.CowdenbeathMid Scotland and Fife6,0138.80%
10.Midlothian North and MusselburghLothian7,9069.28%
11.Carrick, Cumnock and Doon ValleySouth Scotland6,6369.31%
12.Renfrewshire North and WestWest Scotland7,3079.57%
13.Falkirk EastCentral Scotland7,5859.76%
14.Glasgow AnnieslandGlasgow6,5889.93%
15.Renfrewshire SouthWest Scotland7,10610.24%
16.Glasgow PollokGlasgow7,10510.51%
17.DunfermlineMid Scotland and Fife8,66410.58%
18.ClydesdaleSouth Scotland8,63610.60%
19.East KilbrideCentral Scotland8,67210.64%
20.LinlithgowLothian10,10510.78%
21.KirkcaldyMid Scotland and Fife7,83111.13%
22.Greenock and InverclydeWest Scotland8,17411.24%
23.Edinburgh CentralLothian9,43711.31%
24.Motherwell and WishawCentral Scotland7,81311.44%
25.Edinburgh EasternLothian10,11711.71%
26.Clackmannanshire and DunblaneMid Scotland and Fife8,21211.75%
27.Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)Highlands and Islands3,44111.86%
28.Glasgow ProvanGlasgow7,23012.02%
29.Edinburgh Northern and LeithLothian11,56912.35%
30.Glasgow ShettlestonGlasgow8,02512.50%

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

Labour Target Seats for the 2026 Senedd Election

Below is the list of Labour target seats for the 2026 Senedd election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

(order by percentage majority)

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over LABSwing Needed
1.Vale of ClwydNorth Wales3660.70%
2.Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire SouthMid and West Wales9361.48%
3.Preseli PembrokeshireMid and West Wales1,4002.22%
4.MonmouthSouth Wales East3,8455.36%
5.Clwyd WestNorth Wales3,6856.50%
6.AberconwyNorth Wales3,8448.16%
7.Carmarthen East and DinefwrMid and West Wales6,81310.24%
8.Brecon and RadnorshireMid and West Wales7,76112.27%
9.Dwyfor MeirionnyddMid and West Wales7,78816.35%
10.MontgomeryshireMid and West Wales8,43716.88%
11.Ynys MonNorth Wales10,20618.40%
12.ArfonNorth Wales8,65219.89%
13.CeredigionMid and West Wales13,60122.11%

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

2029 General Election
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