Labour Target Seats

Below are lists of Labour target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.

Labour Target Seats 2024

Below is the list of Labour target seats for the 2024 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

(order by percentage majority)

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over LABSwing Needed
1.BurnleyNorth West1270.13%
2.Leigh and AthertonNorth West2930.33%
3.High PeakEast Midlands5900.54%
4.Bangor AberconwyWales7490.77%
5.Wolverhampton WestWest Midlands9340.92%
6.Bury SouthNorth West9350.94%
7.Bury NorthNorth West1,2821.20%
8.Bolton North EastNorth West1,2781.28%
9.WatfordEast of England1,3001.35%
10.Chingford and Woodford GreenLondon1,6041.47%
11.WycombeSouth East1,4941.58%
12.Birmingham NorthfieldWest Midlands1,4781.68%
13.Leeds North WestYorkshire and the Humber2,0011.80%
14.StroudSouth West2,4672.03%
15.Keighley and IlkleyYorkshire and the Humber2,2182.11%
16.Stoke-on-Trent CentralWest Midlands1,7152.11%
17.East LothianScotland2,2072.15%
18.Whitehaven and WorkingtonNorth West2,1442.17%
19.GedlingEast Midlands2,4072.22%
20.Walsall and BloxwichWest Midlands2,1862.40%
21.PeterboroughEast of England2,3332.47%
22.Vale of GlamorganWales2,5662.57%
23.West BromwichWest Midlands2,1502.60%
24.Cheshire MidNorth West2,4942.66%
25.Wakefield and RothwellYorkshire and the Humber2,6262.67%
26.Ynys MonWales1,9682.69%
27.Derby NorthEast Midlands2,5402.70%
28.BridgendWales2,5532.73%
29.Clwyd NorthWales2,8342.76%
30.Lancaster and WyreNorth West3,0123.05%
31.Hastings and RyeSouth East3,5323.36%
32.Eltham and ChislehurstLondon3,4443.37%
33.Cowdenbeath and KirkcaldyScotland3,2203.41%
34.LincolnEast Midlands3,5143.47%
35.HyndburnNorth West2,9513.48%
36.BroxtoweEast Midlands3,8193.58%
37.Chipping BarnetLondon4,2093.60%
38.Northampton NorthEast Midlands3,9323.85%
39.Newton Aycliffe and SpennymoorNorth East3,4083.93%
40.HendonLondon3,6614.01%
41.Truro and FalmouthSouth West4,4594.04%
42.WrexhamWales3,9394.18%
43.Hull West and HaltempriceYorkshire and the Humber3,6264.35%
44.Blackpool SouthNorth West3,7004.36%
45.Calder ValleyYorkshire and the Humber5,1074.52%
46.Southampton ItchenSouth East4,4984.70%
47.Milton Keynes CentralSouth East4,9524.70%
48.Clwyd EastWales5,2845.00%
49.Glasgow North EastScotland4,2775.01%
50.DarlingtonNorth East4,9685.36%
51.RedcarNorth East4,8785.45%
52.IpswichEast of England5,4795.53%
53.Coatbridge and BellshillScotland5,0845.54%
54.Altrincham and Sale WestNorth West6,1395.61%
55.Swindon SouthSouth West5,6505.70%
56.Cities of London and WestminsterLondon5,9765.73%
57.Airdrie and ShottsScotland5,3245.74%
58.BolsoverEast Midlands5,2735.77%
59.ShipleyYorkshire and the Humber6,2425.78%
60.Crewe and NantwichNorth West5,8165.79%
61.RutherglenScotland5,8555.90%
62.LoughboroughEast Midlands6,0915.90%
63.MidlothianScotland5,7055.92%
64.RushcliffeEast Midlands7,3546.12%
65.Tipton and WednesburyWest Midlands4,6936.14%
66.Norwich NorthEast of England6,3656.25%
67.Spen ValleyYorkshire and the Humber6,0646.42%
68.Glasgow South WestScotland5,5336.43%
69.Milton Keynes NorthSouth East6,3276.55%
70.WorcesterWest Midlands6,7586.64%
71.Glasgow NorthScotland5,5826.72%
72.Rother ValleyYorkshire and the Humber6,1356.74%
73.SouthportNorth West6,7716.80%
74.AshfieldEast Midlands5,8526.81%
75.ShrewsburyWest Midlands7,1756.96%
76.Worthing East and ShorehamSouth East7,4747.03%
77.CaerfyrddinWales7,5117.04%
78.Penistone and StocksbridgeYorkshire and the Humber7,2107.28%
79.Barrow and FurnessNorth West7,4367.43%
80.Colne ValleyYorkshire and the Humber7,7617.46%
81.Ceredigion PreseliWales5,3127.49%
82.Filton and Bradley StokeSouth West7,8427.61%
83.Glasgow EastScotland6,2767.62%
84.Uxbridge and Ruislip SouthLondon7,9397.77%
85.Pembrokeshire Mid and SouthWales8,6217.84%
86.Thanet EastSouth East7,5857.91%
87.Corby and Northamptonshire EastEast Midlands8,6768.05%
88.Leeds South West and MorleyYorkshire and the Humber7,1148.16%
89.Hamilton and Clyde ValleyScotland7,7588.18%
90.Bishop AucklandNorth East8,1138.19%
91.Chelsea and FulhamLondon8,9938.21%
92.CrawleySouth East8,3608.38%
93.Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)Scotland2,4388.42%
94.Harrow EastLondon8,9878.59%
95.South RibbleNorth West8,5158.65%
96.Newcastle-under-LymeWest Midlands8,2658.73%
97.Bournemouth EastSouth West8,8178.94%
98.StevenageEast of England8,5628.98%
99.Motherwell, Wishaw and CarlukeScotland8,2949.11%
100.Glasgow SouthScotland9,1519.42%
101.Camborne and RedruthSouth West9,8489.55%
102.Inverclyde and Renfrewshire WestScotland8,9339.64%
103.Stoke-on-Trent NorthWest Midlands8,0779.65%
104.GloucesterSouth West9,8809.67%
105.Finchley and Golders GreenLondon10,7679.72%
106.York OuterYorkshire and the Humber10,7829.85%
107.Rossendale and DarwenNorth West9,8349.85%
108.Wolverhampton North EastWest Midlands7,8479.92%
109.MacclesfieldNorth West10,7119.94%
110.Blackpool North and FleetwoodNorth West10,11910.11%
111.MonmouthshireWales10,83710.25%
112.Glasgow WestScotland9,72810.29%
113.Scarborough and WhitbyYorkshire and the Humber10,27010.33%
114.Dunfermline and DollarScotland10,07310.36%
115.Welwyn HatfieldEast of England10,77310.40%
116.HitchinEast of England11,26410.42%
117.Dunbartonshire WestScotland9,84110.56%
118.Bolton WestNorth West10,61910.65%
119.ScunthorpeYorkshire and the Humber10,13310.72%
120.CarlisleNorth West11,29010.82%
121.ErewashEast Midlands10,60610.86%
122.Bournemouth WestSouth West9,94110.86%
123.Edinburgh North and LeithScotland12,98311.03%
124.Earley and WoodleySouth East11,29311.05%
125.Glenrothes and Mid FifeScotland9,35211.06%
126.ColchesterEast of England10,94011.14%
127.Stockton WestNorth East11,74911.29%
128.Edinburgh East and MusselburghScotland11,79611.29%
129.HexhamNorth East12,18611.29%
130.Ossett and Denby DaleYorkshire and the Humber11,02711.34%
131.Middlesbrough South and Cleveland EastNorth East10,29911.44%
132.Dwyfor MeirionnyddWales11,56911.45%
133.Doncaster East and the Isle of AxholmeYorkshire and the Humber10,08511.70%
134.Great Grimsby and CleethorpesYorkshire and the Humber9,75911.71%
135.Pendle and ClitheroeNorth West11,56811.92%
136.Paisley and Renfrewshire SouthScotland11,02311.96%
137.BasingstokeSouth East12,30112.02%
138.Bathgate and LinlithgowScotland11,43212.11%
139.Dover and DealSouth East12,42112.13%
140.Penrith and SolwayNorth West13,76012.31%
141.Cumbernauld and KirkintillochScotland12,00512.45%
142.TelfordWest Midlands10,90012.52%
143.Paisley and Renfrewshire NorthScotland11,75312.56%
144.East Kilbride and StrathavenScotland13,16912.60%
145.LivingstonScotland12,42412.61%
146.Buckingham and BletchleySouth East13,34512.68%
147.Morecambe and LunesdaleNorth West14,18812.75%
148.Derbyshire North EastEast Midlands12,90213.04%
149.Croydon SouthLondon13,40813.06%
150.RugbyWest Midlands13,39513.10%
151.BassetlawEast Midlands12,58813.20%
152.Worthing WestSouth East13,91213.23%
153.StaffordWest Midlands13,72013.37%
154.Hemel HempsteadEast of England13,16113.41%
155.Northampton SouthEast Midlands13,32413.43%
156.ThurrockEast of England11,96213.48%
157.BanburySouth East13,79913.58%
158.Plymouth Moor ViewSouth West13,26213.77%
159.HalesowenWest Midlands12,08213.82%
160.Southend East and RochfordEast of England11,94213.84%
161.Swindon NorthSouth West13,25013.98%
162.Frome and Somerset EastSouth West13,49014.06%
163.SelbyYorkshire and the Humber14,83814.06%
164.Somerset NorthSouth West16,18414.23%
165.Somerset North East and HanhamSouth West16,38914.27%
166.AylesburySouth East16,64014.37%
167.Montgomeryshire and GlyndwrWales14,76514.42%
168.St Austell and NewquaySouth West15,94214.47%
169.Weston-Super-MareSouth West13,31014.51%
170.Brecon, Radnor and Cwm TaweWales15,20414.54%
171.NuneatonWest Midlands13,14414.54%
172.Bromley and Biggin HillLondon14,38014.66%
173.Folkestone and HytheSouth East13,23914.78%
174.Rochester and StroodSouth East13,55314.82%
175.Harborough, Oadby and WigstonEast Midlands15,60814.84%
176.Burton and UttoxeterWest Midlands14,49614.87%
177.Southend West and LeighEast of England15,45415.03%
178.BracknellSouth East14,12915.07%
179.Ruislip, Northwood and PinnerLondon15,81015.13%
180.Isle of Wight WestSouth East11,61815.25%
181.Devon CentralSouth West17,30015.25%
182.Forest of DeanSouth West15,86915.41%
183.WokingSouth East15,91415.58%
184.Sherwood ForestEast Midlands16,29015.63%
185.Hertford and StortfordEast of England17,80615.81%
186.DartfordSouth East14,70415.81%
187.Bexleyheath and CrayfordLondon15,03815.90%
188.Dunstable and Leighton BuzzardEast of England15,38615.94%
189.Kilmarnock and LoudounScotland15,20715.96%
190.DudleyWest Midlands13,60916.12%
191.Ribble ValleyNorth West16,83916.12%
192.Gillingham and RainhamSouth East15,11916.15%
193.St Neots and Mid CambridgeshireEast of England16,25616.24%
194.Derbyshire MidEast Midlands16,81616.30%
195.Dundee CentralScotland15,22116.31%
196.Harwich and Essex NorthEast of England17,65116.32%
197.StourbridgeWest Midlands15,13316.34%
198.LowestoftEast of England14,85016.36%
199.GraveshamSouth East15,58116.38%
200.Northumberland NorthNorth East17,30616.41%
201.Hertfordshire North EastEast of England18,18916.44%
202.Stoke-on-Trent SouthWest Midlands15,39316.45%
203.Norfolk SouthEast of England17,17516.56%
204.Sussex MidSouth East17,62416.64%
205.Edinburgh South WestScotland17,35216.64%
206.Isle of Wight EastSouth East12,11916.67%
207.KetteringEast Midlands17,36316.68%
208.Didcot and WantageSouth East18,33716.87%
209.Reading West and Mid BerkshireSouth East16,75816.95%
210.MansfieldEast Midlands16,24717.01%
211.Wellingborough and RushdenEast Midlands16,03817.05%
212.Brighton PavilionSouth East19,63017.14%
213.Portsmouth NorthSouth East15,78017.19%
214.Dorset SouthSouth West18,14717.21%
215.Ayrshire North and ArranScotland16,67417.31%
216.AldershotSouth East17,98517.35%
217.TattonNorth West19,28117.40%
218.Derbyshire DalesEast Midlands18,79717.43%
219.Derbyshire SouthEast Midlands16,48317.46%
220.WimbledonLondon10,78317.48%
221.Suffolk CoastalEast of England18,35517.53%
222.Runnymede and WeybridgeSouth East18,68117.58%
223.HarlowEast of England16,69417.62%
224.AshfordSouth East17,21117.71%
225.Hertfordshire South WestEast of England18,36618.05%
226.Cambridgeshire North WestEast of England17,03218.11%
227.Beverley and HoldernessYorkshire and the Humber17,97618.16%
228.WindsorSouth East18,24718.24%
229.SalisburySouth West19,25418.25%
230.Devon SouthSouth West19,79918.27%
231.CongletonNorth West18,20318.27%
232.ChelmsfordEast of England19,67918.28%
233.Leicestershire MidEast Midlands20,18818.29%
234.Leicestershire North WestEast Midlands18,54818.33%
235.Epsom and EwellSouth East21,09918.38%
236.Wiltshire South WestSouth West17,37818.39%
237.Sutton ColdfieldWest Midlands19,27218.42%
238.Amber ValleyEast Midlands16,89118.52%
239.Bicester and WoodstockSouth East19,26818.53%
240.FyldeNorth West19,25418.53%
241.SpelthorneSouth East18,39318.58%
242.BridgwaterSouth West16,72418.58%
243.Staffordshire MoorlandsWest Midlands17,65918.70%
244.Chester South and EddisburyNorth West20,82618.71%
245.Broadland and FakenhamEast of England19,82518.77%
246.Newton AbbotSouth West19,83018.92%
247.Alloa and GrangemouthScotland17,42818.93%
248.PooleSouth West18,60819.07%
249.RomfordLondon18,53619.16%
250.Sutton and CheamLondon18,03519.18%
251.HuntingdonEast of England21,64519.22%
252.ReigateSouth East20,80119.22%
253.Cornwall South EastSouth West20,22519.36%
254.RedditchWest Midlands18,42319.39%
255.Warwickshire North and BedworthWest Midlands17,95619.55%
256.NewarkEast Midlands21,69719.59%
257.Inverness, Skye and Ross-shire WestScotland19,94619.64%
258.Shropshire NorthWest Midlands20,54319.65%
259.Ely and Cambridgeshire EastEast of England21,56019.79%
260.Skipton and RiponYorkshire and the Humber22,51719.83%
261.FalkirkScotland19,33019.84%
262.Melton and SystonEast Midlands19,00419.88%
263.Bedfordshire MidEast of England20,50919.98%
264.Herne Bay and SandwichSouth East20,37219.99%
265.Kenilworth and SouthamWest Midlands22,30319.99%
266.Maidstone and MallingSouth East19,56920.01%
267.Old Bexley and SidcupLondon20,76920.02%
268.Suffolk Central and Ipswich NorthEast of England20,21320.05%
269.HorshamSouth East22,41920.07%
270.BroxbourneEast of England19,19220.13%
271.Tunbridge WellsSouth East22,02120.15%
272.Wrekin, TheWest Midlands21,17320.19%
273.Great YarmouthEast of England17,66320.32%
274.Arbroath and Broughty FerryScotland21,22920.36%
275.BathSouth West23,25620.44%
276.Aberdeen NorthScotland20,51120.46%
277.Bexhill and BattleSouth East20,38420.49%
278.Devon South WestSouth West23,09020.58%
279.Ayrshire CentralScotland14,90320.63%
280.Solihull West and ShirleyWest Midlands20,79820.72%
281.Chatham and AylesfordSouth East18,99220.73%
282.Norfolk MidEast of England20,38820.76%
283.Meriden and Solihull EastWest Midlands20,27020.78%
284.Harpenden and BerkhamstedEast of England23,22820.84%
285.Hereford and Herefordshire SouthWest Midlands19,32120.88%
286.Basildon South and Thurrock EastEast of England18,73120.94%
287.Hazel GroveNorth West14,78620.95%
288.Torridge and TavistockSouth West22,94720.99%
289.Bedfordshire NorthEast of England23,63121.02%
290.Bury St Edmunds and StowmarketEast of England22,08521.04%
291.OrpingtonLondon20,62721.07%
292.Suffolk WestEast of England20,79721.08%
293.Wyre ForestWest Midlands21,41321.18%
294.MaidenheadSouth East21,57121.18%
295.Northamptonshire SouthEast Midlands23,67121.20%
296.TewkesburySouth West22,84321.21%
297.Chesham and AmershamSouth East22,79121.22%
298.Bognor Regis and LittlehamptonSouth East22,68221.26%
299.Hornchurch and UpminsterLondon21,73521.29%
300.BromsgroveWest Midlands23,10621.29%
301.WitneySouth East20,83521.33%
302.TamworthWest Midlands20,66321.35%
303.Faversham and Mid KentSouth East20,61821.38%
304.Cotswolds NorthSouth West21,74921.41%
305.Suffolk SouthEast of England21,47321.43%
306.Cannock ChaseWest Midlands19,87921.46%
307.LichfieldWest Midlands22,60921.55%
308.Hampshire North WestSouth East22,32121.59%
309.ChichesterSouth East22,13121.69%
310.Norfolk North WestEast of England21,07721.70%
311.Waveney ValleyEast of England22,36421.81%
312.HertsmereEast of England22,98021.88%
313.Dorking and HorleySouth East22,46821.99%
314.Epping ForestEast of England22,17322.05%
315.Worcestershire WestWest Midlands25,41322.09%
316.Basildon and BillericayEast of England20,74922.14%
317.Oxford West and AbingdonSouth East21,37422.29%
318.Goole and PocklingtonYorkshire and the Humber22,30222.35%
319.Thirsk and MaltonYorkshire and the Humber23,33722.35%
320.ChippenhamSouth West22,58922.36%
321.Arundel and South DownsSouth East26,00922.38%
322.East Grinstead and UckfieldSouth East25,69422.45%
323.GainsboroughEast Midlands22,17222.57%
324.Romsey and Southampton NorthSouth East25,01722.60%
325.Wells and Mendip HillsSouth West25,60222.68%
326.Fareham and WaterloovilleSouth East22,86822.70%
327.Honiton and SidmouthSouth West26,22922.70%
328.Renfrewshire EastScotland18,02222.75%
329.EastleighSouth East19,93322.78%
330.BeaconsfieldSouth East24,00022.80%
331.Sittingbourne and SheppeySouth East21,33722.81%
332.WokinghamSouth East25,10122.81%
333.Kingston and SurbitonLondon24,22922.82%
334.Melksham and DevizesSouth West25,54122.90%
335.Grantham and BourneEast Midlands22,39322.92%
336.TorbaySouth West23,48923.04%
337.Buckinghamshire MidSouth East25,03823.09%
338.Hampshire EastSouth East25,30323.09%
339.Leicestershire SouthEast Midlands25,53423.30%
340.Bridlington and the WoldsYorkshire and the Humber21,68523.35%
341.DaventryEast Midlands26,61223.36%
342.Henley and ThameSouth East24,52423.44%
343.Richmond and NorthallertonYorkshire and the Humber24,33123.45%
344.Stone, Great Wyrley and PenkridgeWest Midlands21,92223.45%
345.Dorset WestSouth West25,96123.48%
346.Tiverton and MineheadSouth West23,22723.50%
347.Exmouth and Exeter EastSouth West21,95023.54%
348.Surrey EastSouth East24,27623.58%
349.Cotswolds SouthSouth West25,12923.62%
350.Herefordshire NorthWest Midlands25,71923.63%
351.HavantSouth East21,79223.71%
352.Devon NorthSouth West26,38223.73%
353.Rutland and StamfordEast Midlands26,17023.93%
354.Sleaford and North HykehamEast Midlands24,68023.94%
355.Surrey HeathSouth East25,27323.95%
356.Essex North WestEast of England26,48923.96%
357.Glastonbury and SomertonSouth West25,51123.98%
358.GosportSouth East23,27824.02%
359.Aldridge-BrownhillsWest Midlands22,75824.05%
360.SevenoaksSouth East24,82224.10%
361.Edinburgh WestScotland16,25024.28%
362.Droitwich and EveshamWest Midlands25,63124.32%
363.Hamble ValleySouth East27,75824.33%
364.Sussex WealdSouth East24,13724.42%
365.Stratford-on-AvonWest Midlands26,16224.42%
366.WithamEast of England25,66924.63%
367.BraintreeEast of England25,46624.64%
368.Cornwall NorthSouth West26,74024.72%
369.Shropshire SouthWest Midlands28,63624.80%
370.TonbridgeSouth East27,05224.84%
371.New Forest EastSouth East25,25124.86%
372.Thornbury and YateSouth West27,89924.87%
373.NewburySouth East24,14624.89%
374.Wetherby and EasingwoldYorkshire and the Humber27,16424.97%
375.Dunbartonshire MidScotland16,65924.97%
376.Wiltshire EastSouth West24,52325.03%
377.Norfolk South WestEast of England24,18025.16%
378.Ayr, Carrick and CumnockScotland14,05325.16%
379.TwickenhamLondon27,76525.18%
380.Hinckley and BosworthEast Midlands24,80325.21%
381.Godalming and AshSouth East24,76425.23%
382.New Forest WestSouth East25,51825.36%
383.Norfolk NorthEast of England26,16525.37%
384.Aberdeen SouthScotland18,28925.59%
385.Hampshire North EastSouth East29,31625.84%
386.Brigg and ImminghamYorkshire and the Humber24,44425.87%
387.Cambridgeshire SouthEast of England17,06225.91%
388.Dorset NorthSouth West27,70625.91%
389.YeovilSouth West28,05825.92%
390.Farnham and BordonSouth East26,88926.29%
391.ChristchurchSouth West27,36126.36%
392.Dorset Mid and Poole NorthSouth West28,98326.39%
393.Harrogate and KnaresboroughYorkshire and the Humber23,52426.53%
394.Orkney and ShetlandScotland8,83127.31%
395.Louth and HorncastleEast Midlands27,88327.37%
396.Stirling and StrathallanScotland24,38627.38%
397.Argyll, Bute and Lochaber SouthScotland18,81127.43%
398.Brentwood and OngarEast of England28,97427.43%
399.ClactonEast of England25,71728.16%
400.Caithness, Sutherland and Easter RossScotland17,69928.28%
401.Taunton and WellingtonSouth West23,99928.40%
402.Rayleigh and WickfordEast of England30,34828.63%
403.Carshalton and WallingtonLondon14,74128.74%
404.Kingswinford and Staffordshire SouthWest Midlands29,35528.75%
405.Cambridgeshire North EastEast of England25,77928.91%
406.Weald of KentSouth East28,75128.95%
407.CheadleNorth West18,84329.53%
408.Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and TweeddaleScotland19,42629.64%
409.MaldonEast of England32,00129.79%
410.Castle PointEast of England27,00929.87%
411.St IvesSouth West21,51030.21%
412.St AlbansEast of England22,73230.43%
413.Boston and SkegnessEast Midlands27,40230.43%
414.GuildfordSouth East19,29730.77%
415.South Holland and the DeepingsEast Midlands30,83831.35%
416.Dumfries and GallowayScotland18,07631.47%
417.Westmorland and LonsdaleNorth West23,43633.76%
418.Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkScotland23,23434.03%
419.LewesSouth East23,04734.04%
420.Fife North EastScotland18,51234.08%
421.WinchesterSouth East31,48335.10%
422.Richmond ParkLondon28,58635.31%
423.Angus and Perthshire GlensScotland26,10735.55%
424.Gordon and BuchanScotland20,20835.69%
425.EastbourneSouth East20,57735.91%
426.Moray West, Nairn and StrathspeyScotland23,33536.04%
427.Perth and Kinross-shireScotland22,74436.08%
428.Aberdeenshire West and KincardineScotland20,32136.51%
429.Aberdeenshire North and Moray EastScotland20,26038.92%
430.Esher and WaltonSouth East25,12139.35%
431.CheltenhamSouth West24,83041.15%

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

Labour Target Seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament Election

Below is the list of Labour target seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

(order by percentage majority)

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over LABSwing Needed
1.East LothianSouth Scotland1,1791.29%
2.Hamilton, Larkhall and StonehouseCentral Scotland4,5826.31%
3.RutherglenGlasgow5,1666.44%
4.Clydebank and MilngavieWest Scotland5,2747.00%
5.Uddingston and BellshillCentral Scotland5,3067.37%
6.Glasgow KelvinGlasgow5,9308.23%
7.Airdrie and ShottsCentral Scotland5,4688.56%
8.PaisleyWest Scotland6,0758.69%
9.CowdenbeathMid Scotland and Fife6,0138.80%
10.Midlothian North and MusselburghLothian7,9069.28%
11.Carrick, Cumnock and Doon ValleySouth Scotland6,6369.31%
12.Renfrewshire North and WestWest Scotland7,3079.57%
13.Falkirk EastCentral Scotland7,5859.76%
14.Glasgow AnnieslandGlasgow6,5889.93%
15.Renfrewshire SouthWest Scotland7,10610.24%
16.Glasgow PollokGlasgow7,10510.51%
17.DunfermlineMid Scotland and Fife8,66410.58%
18.ClydesdaleSouth Scotland8,63610.60%
19.East KilbrideCentral Scotland8,67210.64%
20.LinlithgowLothian10,10510.78%
21.KirkcaldyMid Scotland and Fife7,83111.13%
22.Greenock and InverclydeWest Scotland8,17411.24%
23.Edinburgh CentralLothian9,43711.31%
24.Motherwell and WishawCentral Scotland7,81311.44%
25.Edinburgh EasternLothian10,11711.71%
26.Clackmannanshire and DunblaneMid Scotland and Fife8,21211.75%
27.Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)Highlands and Islands3,44111.86%
28.Glasgow ProvanGlasgow7,23012.02%
29.Edinburgh Northern and LeithLothian11,56912.35%
30.Glasgow ShettlestonGlasgow8,02512.50%

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

Labour Target Seats for the 2026 Senedd Election

Below is the list of Labour target seats for the 2026 Senedd election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

(order by percentage majority)

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over LABSwing Needed
1.Vale of ClwydNorth Wales3660.70%
2.Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire SouthMid and West Wales9361.48%
3.Preseli PembrokeshireMid and West Wales1,4002.22%
4.MonmouthSouth Wales East3,8455.36%
5.Clwyd WestNorth Wales3,6856.50%
6.AberconwyNorth Wales3,8448.16%
7.Carmarthen East and DinefwrMid and West Wales6,81310.24%
8.Brecon and RadnorshireMid and West Wales7,76112.27%
9.Dwyfor MeirionnyddMid and West Wales7,78816.35%
10.MontgomeryshireMid and West Wales8,43716.88%
11.Ynys MonNorth Wales10,20618.40%
12.ArfonNorth Wales8,65219.89%
13.CeredigionMid and West Wales13,60122.11%

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

2024 General Election
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