Below are lists of Labour target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.
Below is the list of Labour target seats for the 2025 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.
(order by percentage majority)
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority | Swing Needed | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Bury North | North West | 105 | 0.11% | |
2. | Kensington | London | 150 | 0.17% | |
3. | Bury South | North West | 402 | 0.40% | |
4. | Bolton North East | North West | 378 | 0.43% | |
5. | High Peak | East Midlands | 590 | 0.54% | |
6. | Gedling | East Midlands | 679 | 0.68% | |
7. | Heywood and Middleton | North West | 663 | 0.70% | |
8. | Blyth Valley | North East | 712 | 0.87% | |
9. | Stoke-on-Trent Central | West Midlands | 670 | 1.04% | |
10. | Chipping Barnet | London | 1,212 | 1.05% | |
11. | Delyn | Wales | 865 | 1.13% | |
12. | Durham North West | North East | 1,144 | 1.20% | |
13. | Chingford and Woodford Green | London | 1,262 | 1.30% | |
14. | Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Scotland | 1,243 | 1.32% | |
15. | Bridgend | Wales | 1,157 | 1.37% | |
16. | Dewsbury | Yorkshire and the Humber | 1,561 | 1.38% | |
17. | Warrington South | North West | 2,010 | 1.62% | |
18. | Clwyd South | Wales | 1,239 | 1.71% | |
19. | Burnley | North West | 1,352 | 1.73% | |
20. | Birmingham Northfield | West Midlands | 1,640 | 1.90% | |
21. | Wolverhampton South West | West Midlands | 1,661 | 2.02% | |
22. | Leigh | North West | 1,965 | 2.09% | |
23. | Keighley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 2,218 | 2.11% | |
24. | West Bromwich East | West Midlands | 1,593 | 2.21% | |
25. | Vale of Clwyd | Wales | 1,827 | 2.45% | |
26. | Ynys Mon | Wales | 1,968 | 2.69% | |
27. | Peterborough | East of England | 2,580 | 2.70% | |
28. | Derby North | East Midlands | 2,540 | 2.70% | |
29. | Stroud | South West | 3,840 | 2.91% | |
30. | Wrexham | Wales | 2,131 | 3.18% | |
31. | Aberconwy | Wales | 2,034 | 3.19% | |
32. | Pudsey | Yorkshire and the Humber | 3,517 | 3.24% | |
33. | Vale of Glamorgan | Wales | 3,562 | 3.25% | |
34. | East Lothian | Scotland | 3,886 | 3.32% | |
35. | Lincoln | East Midlands | 3,514 | 3.47% | |
36. | Hyndburn | North West | 2,951 | 3.48% | |
37. | Hastings and Rye | South East | 4,043 | 3.72% | |
38. | Wakefield | Yorkshire and the Humber | 3,358 | 3.73% | |
39. | Glasgow North East | Scotland | 2,548 | 3.76% | |
40. | Darlington | North East | 3,294 | 3.79% | |
41. | Watford | East of England | 4,433 | 3.82% | |
42. | Hendon | London | 4,230 | 3.84% | |
43. | Wycombe | South East | 4,214 | 3.85% | |
44. | Truro and Falmouth | South West | 4,561 | 3.85% | |
45. | Don Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 3,630 | 3.99% | |
46. | Reading West | South East | 4,117 | 4.08% | |
47. | Colne Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 5,103 | 4.19% | |
48. | Southport | North West | 4,147 | 4.30% | |
49. | Redcar | North East | 3,527 | 4.32% | |
50. | Southampton Itchen | South East | 4,498 | 4.74% | |
51. | Arfon | Wales | 2,781 | 4.78% | |
52. | Stockton South | North East | 5,260 | 4.80% | |
53. | Broxtowe | East Midlands | 5,331 | 4.82% | |
54. | Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Scotland | 5,230 | 4.86% | |
55. | Calder Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 5,774 | 5.00% | |
56. | Milton Keynes North | South East | 6,255 | 5.00% | |
57. | Workington | North West | 4,176 | 5.02% | |
58. | Norwich North | East of England | 4,738 | 5.12% | |
59. | Filton and Bradley Stoke | South West | 5,646 | 5.25% | |
60. | Milton Keynes South | South East | 6,944 | 5.42% | |
61. | Sedgefield | North East | 4,513 | 5.43% | |
62. | West Bromwich West | West Midlands | 3,799 | 5.51% | |
63. | Ipswich | East of England | 5,479 | 5.53% | |
64. | Altrincham and Sale West | North West | 6,139 | 5.61% | |
65. | Blackpool South | North West | 3,690 | 5.63% | |
66. | Northampton South | East Midlands | 4,697 | 5.75% | |
67. | Bolsover | East Midlands | 5,299 | 5.77% | |
68. | Shipley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 6,242 | 5.78% | |
69. | Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill | Scotland | 5,624 | 5.83% | |
70. | Midlothian | Scotland | 5,705 | 5.92% | |
71. | Wolverhampton North East | West Midlands | 4,080 | 5.95% | |
72. | Preseli Pembrokeshire | Wales | 5,062 | 5.97% | |
73. | Barrow and Furness | North West | 5,789 | 6.29% | |
74. | Rushcliffe | East Midlands | 7,643 | 6.32% | |
75. | Cities of London and Westminster | London | 5,425 | 6.35% | |
76. | Rother Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 6,318 | 6.49% | |
77. | Swindon South | South West | 6,625 | 6.53% | |
78. | Airdrie and Shotts | Scotland | 5,201 | 6.54% | |
79. | Loughborough | East Midlands | 7,169 | 6.56% | |
80. | Worcester | West Midlands | 6,758 | 6.64% | |
81. | Glasgow South West | Scotland | 4,900 | 6.65% | |
82. | Copeland | North West | 5,842 | 6.87% | |
83. | Pendle | North West | 6,186 | 6.96% | |
84. | Northampton North | East Midlands | 5,507 | 6.96% | |
85. | Morecambe and Lunesdale | North West | 6,354 | 7.01% | |
86. | Worthing East and Shoreham | South East | 7,474 | 7.03% | |
87. | Motherwell and Wishaw | Scotland | 6,268 | 7.06% | |
88. | Glasgow East | Scotland | 5,566 | 7.23% | |
89. | Penistone and Stocksbridge | Yorkshire and the Humber | 7,210 | 7.28% | |
90. | Ashfield | East Midlands | 7,260 | 7.41% | |
91. | Uxbridge and Ruislip South | London | 7,210 | 7.48% | |
92. | Glasgow North | Scotland | 5,601 | 7.74% | |
93. | Stoke-on-Trent North | West Midlands | 6,286 | 7.83% | |
94. | Crewe and Nantwich | North West | 8,508 | 7.87% | |
95. | Glasgow Central | Scotland | 6,474 | 8.07% | |
96. | Harrow East | London | 8,170 | 8.25% | |
97. | Newcastle-under-Lyme | West Midlands | 7,446 | 8.32% | |
98. | Crawley | South East | 8,360 | 8.38% | |
99. | Clwyd West | Wales | 6,747 | 8.39% | |
100. | Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles) | Scotland | 2,438 | 8.42% | |
101. | Corby | East Midlands | 10,268 | 8.49% | |
102. | Scunthorpe | Yorkshire and the Humber | 6,451 | 8.54% | |
103. | Camborne and Redruth | South West | 8,700 | 8.64% | |
104. | Colchester | East of England | 9,423 | 8.83% | |
105. | Bishop Auckland | North East | 7,962 | 8.89% | |
106. | Bournemouth East | South West | 8,806 | 8.94% | |
107. | Stevenage | East of England | 8,562 | 8.98% | |
108. | Bolton West | North West | 8,855 | 8.98% | |
109. | York Outer | Yorkshire and the Humber | 9,985 | 9.02% | |
110. | Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South | Wales | 7,745 | 9.20% | |
111. | Inverclyde | Scotland | 7,512 | 9.41% | |
112. | Glasgow South | Scotland | 9,005 | 9.49% | |
113. | Shrewsbury and Atcham | West Midlands | 11,217 | 9.50% | |
114. | Gloucester | South West | 10,277 | 9.56% | |
115. | Carlisle | North West | 8,319 | 9.70% | |
116. | Rossendale and Darwen | North West | 9,522 | 9.75% | |
117. | Finchley and Golders Green | London | 10,815 | 9.81% | |
118. | Monmouth | Wales | 9,982 | 9.94% | |
119. | Macclesfield | North West | 10,711 | 9.94% | |
120. | Dunfermline and Fife West | Scotland | 10,699 | 10.00% | |
121. | Scarborough and Whitby | Yorkshire and the Humber | 10,270 | 10.33% | |
122. | Croydon South | London | 12,339 | 10.39% | |
123. | South Ribble | North West | 11,199 | 10.41% | |
124. | Glasgow North West | Scotland | 8,359 | 10.52% | |
125. | Welwyn Hatfield | East of England | 10,955 | 10.52% | |
126. | Dunbartonshire West | Scotland | 9,553 | 10.58% | |
127. | Edinburgh North and Leith | Scotland | 12,808 | 10.79% | |
128. | Morley and Outwood | Yorkshire and the Humber | 11,267 | 10.85% | |
129. | Erewash | East Midlands | 10,606 | 10.86% | |
130. | Edinburgh East | Scotland | 10,417 | 10.89% | |
131. | Thanet South | South East | 10,587 | 10.97% | |
132. | Bournemouth West | South West | 10,150 | 11.04% | |
133. | Blackpool North and Cleveleys | North West | 8,596 | 11.08% | |
134. | Great Grimsby | Yorkshire and the Humber | 7,331 | 11.08% | |
135. | Ceredigion | Wales | 8,891 | 11.08% | |
136. | Kingswood | South West | 11,220 | 11.38% | |
137. | Hexham | North East | 10,549 | 11.43% | |
138. | East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow | Scotland | 13,322 | 11.82% | |
139. | Lanark and Hamilton East | Scotland | 11,507 | 11.91% | |
140. | Bromley and Chislehurst | London | 10,891 | 11.95% | |
141. | Paisley and Renfrewshire North | Scotland | 11,902 | 11.98% | |
142. | Thurrock | East of England | 11,482 | 12.09% | |
143. | Dover | South East | 12,278 | 12.11% | |
144. | Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East | North East | 11,626 | 12.16% | |
145. | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Scotland | 10,679 | 12.39% | |
146. | Livingston | Scotland | 13,702 | 12.55% | |
147. | Telford | West Midlands | 10,941 | 12.77% | |
148. | Basingstoke | South East | 14,198 | 12.97% | |
149. | Linlithgow and Falkirk East | Scotland | 15,034 | 13.01% | |
150. | Somerset North East | South West | 14,729 | 13.08% | |
151. | Derbyshire North East | East Midlands | 12,876 | 13.08% | |
152. | Rugby | West Midlands | 13,447 | 13.23% | |
153. | Rochford and Southend East | East of England | 12,286 | 13.31% | |
154. | Chelsea and Fulham | London | 12,473 | 13.32% | |
155. | Banbury | South East | 16,813 | 13.36% | |
156. | Carmarthen East and Dinefwr | Wales | 7,317 | 13.43% | |
157. | Worthing West | South East | 14,823 | 13.56% | |
158. | Wimbledon | London | 7,830 | 13.58% | |
159. | Bassetlaw | East Midlands | 14,013 | 13.78% | |
160. | Stafford | West Midlands | 14,377 | 14.05% | |
161. | Beckenham | London | 14,258 | 14.10% | |
162. | Somerset North | South West | 17,536 | 14.13% | |
163. | Glenrothes | Scotland | 11,757 | 14.15% | |
164. | Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East | Scotland | 12,976 | 14.20% | |
165. | Hemel Hempstead | East of England | 14,563 | 14.20% | |
166. | Stoke-on-Trent South | West Midlands | 11,271 | 14.23% | |
167. | Halesowen and Rowley Regis | West Midlands | 12,074 | 14.26% | |
168. | Aylesbury | South East | 17,373 | 14.34% | |
169. | Nuneaton | West Midlands | 13,144 | 14.54% | |
170. | Plymouth Moor View | South West | 12,897 | 14.58% | |
171. | Swindon North | South West | 16,171 | 14.67% | |
172. | Dundee West | Scotland | 12,259 | 14.74% | |
173. | St Austell and Newquay | South West | 16,526 | 14.81% | |
174. | Stourbridge | West Midlands | 13,571 | 14.85% | |
175. | Burton | West Midlands | 14,496 | 14.87% | |
176. | Elmet and Rothwell | Yorkshire and the Humber | 17,353 | 14.90% | |
177. | Harborough | East Midlands | 17,278 | 15.07% | |
178. | Bexleyheath and Crayford | London | 13,103 | 15.15% | |
179. | Devon Central | South West | 17,721 | 15.26% | |
180. | Sherwood | East Midlands | 16,186 | 15.35% | |
181. | Weston-Super-Mare | South West | 17,121 | 15.39% | |
182. | Forest of Dean | South West | 15,869 | 15.41% | |
183. | Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner | London | 16,394 | 15.49% | |
184. | Southend West | East of England | 14,459 | 15.53% | |
185. | Derbyshire Mid | East Midlands | 15,385 | 15.59% | |
186. | Dudley North | West Midlands | 11,533 | 15.72% | |
187. | Wyre and Preston North | North West | 16,781 | 15.85% | |
188. | Isle of Wight | South East | 23,737 | 15.94% | |
189. | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Scotland | 15,207 | 15.96% | |
190. | Congleton | North West | 18,561 | 16.22% | |
191. | Harlow | East of England | 14,063 | 16.22% | |
192. | Woking | South East | 17,569 | 16.29% | |
193. | Hertford and Stortford | East of England | 19,620 | 16.32% | |
194. | Walsall North | West Midlands | 11,965 | 16.37% | |
195. | Gravesham | South East | 15,581 | 16.38% | |
196. | Huntingdon | East of England | 19,383 | 16.39% | |
197. | Hertfordshire North East | East of England | 18,189 | 16.44% | |
198. | Rochester and Strood | South East | 17,072 | 16.44% | |
199. | Gillingham and Rainham | South East | 15,119 | 16.45% | |
200. | Mansfield | East Midlands | 16,306 | 16.55% | |
201. | Edinburgh South West | Scotland | 17,352 | 16.64% | |
202. | Ribble Valley | North West | 18,439 | 16.68% | |
203. | Dorset South | South West | 17,153 | 16.80% | |
204. | Cambridgeshire South East | East of England | 21,695 | 16.85% | |
205. | Kettering | East Midlands | 16,765 | 16.98% | |
206. | Norfolk South | East of England | 21,275 | 17.02% | |
207. | Runnymede and Weybridge | South East | 18,270 | 17.14% | |
208. | Portsmouth North | South East | 15,780 | 17.19% | |
209. | Brighton Pavilion | South East | 19,940 | 17.19% | |
210. | Reigate | South East | 18,310 | 17.22% | |
211. | Ayrshire North and Arran | Scotland | 16,674 | 17.31% | |
212. | Derbyshire Dales | East Midlands | 17,381 | 17.38% | |
213. | Eddisbury | North West | 18,443 | 17.41% | |
214. | Aldershot | South East | 16,698 | 17.42% | |
215. | Bedfordshire South West | East of England | 18,583 | 17.43% | |
216. | Waveney | East of England | 18,002 | 17.60% | |
217. | Suffolk Coastal | East of England | 20,533 | 17.61% | |
218. | Berwick-upon-Tweed | North East | 14,835 | 17.61% | |
219. | Sussex Mid | South East | 22,237 | 17.72% | |
220. | Dartford | South East | 19,160 | 17.73% | |
221. | Tatton | North West | 17,387 | 17.75% | |
222. | Wantage | South East | 23,904 | 17.79% | |
223. | Fylde | North West | 16,611 | 17.80% | |
224. | Thanet North | South East | 17,189 | 17.84% | |
225. | Selby and Ainsty | Yorkshire and the Humber | 20,137 | 17.85% | |
226. | Wellingborough | East Midlands | 18,540 | 17.86% | |
227. | Folkestone and Hythe | South East | 21,337 | 18.08% | |
228. | Totnes | South West | 18,891 | 18.10% | |
229. | Derbyshire South | East Midlands | 19,335 | 18.11% | |
230. | Epsom and Ewell | South East | 21,593 | 18.16% | |
231. | Redditch | West Midlands | 16,036 | 18.20% | |
232. | Bracknell | South East | 19,829 | 18.24% | |
233. | Sutton Coldfield | West Midlands | 19,272 | 18.42% | |
234. | Hitchin and Harpenden | East of England | 17,760 | 18.46% | |
235. | Amber Valley | East Midlands | 16,886 | 18.53% | |
236. | Spelthorne | South East | 18,393 | 18.58% | |
237. | Bedfordshire North East | East of England | 24,283 | 18.67% | |
238. | Staffordshire Moorlands | West Midlands | 16,428 | 18.82% | |
239. | Hertfordshire South West | East of England | 23,099 | 18.87% | |
240. | Newton Abbot | South West | 19,861 | 18.90% | |
241. | Chelmsford | East of England | 21,639 | 18.94% | |
242. | Romford | London | 17,893 | 18.94% | |
243. | Poole | South West | 19,116 | 18.95% | |
244. | Leicestershire North West | East Midlands | 20,400 | 18.95% | |
245. | Bedfordshire Mid | East of England | 24,664 | 19.06% | |
246. | Dwyfor Meirionnydd | Wales | 10,449 | 19.08% | |
247. | Beverley and Holderness | Yorkshire and the Humber | 20,448 | 19.10% | |
248. | Wrekin, The | West Midlands | 18,726 | 19.15% | |
249. | Salisbury | South West | 20,605 | 19.17% | |
250. | Sutton and Cheam | London | 18,035 | 19.18% |
View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.
Below is the list of Labour target seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.
(order by percentage majority)
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority | Swing Needed | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | East Lothian | South Scotland | 1,179 | 1.29% | |
2. | Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse | Central Scotland | 4,582 | 6.31% | |
3. | Rutherglen | Glasgow | 5,166 | 6.44% | |
4. | Clydebank and Milngavie | West Scotland | 5,274 | 7.00% | |
5. | Uddingston and Bellshill | Central Scotland | 5,306 | 7.37% | |
6. | Glasgow Kelvin | Glasgow | 5,930 | 8.23% | |
7. | Airdrie and Shotts | Central Scotland | 5,468 | 8.56% | |
8. | Paisley | West Scotland | 6,075 | 8.69% | |
9. | Cowdenbeath | Mid Scotland and Fife | 6,013 | 8.80% | |
10. | Midlothian North and Musselburgh | Lothian | 7,906 | 9.28% | |
11. | Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley | South Scotland | 6,636 | 9.31% | |
12. | Renfrewshire North and West | West Scotland | 7,307 | 9.57% | |
13. | Falkirk East | Central Scotland | 7,585 | 9.76% | |
14. | Glasgow Anniesland | Glasgow | 6,588 | 9.93% | |
15. | Renfrewshire South | West Scotland | 7,106 | 10.24% | |
16. | Glasgow Pollok | Glasgow | 7,105 | 10.51% | |
17. | Dunfermline | Mid Scotland and Fife | 8,664 | 10.58% | |
18. | Clydesdale | South Scotland | 8,636 | 10.60% | |
19. | East Kilbride | Central Scotland | 8,672 | 10.64% | |
20. | Linlithgow | Lothian | 10,105 | 10.78% | |
21. | Kirkcaldy | Mid Scotland and Fife | 7,831 | 11.13% | |
22. | Greenock and Inverclyde | West Scotland | 8,174 | 11.24% | |
23. | Edinburgh Central | Lothian | 9,437 | 11.31% | |
24. | Motherwell and Wishaw | Central Scotland | 7,813 | 11.44% | |
25. | Edinburgh Eastern | Lothian | 10,117 | 11.71% | |
26. | Clackmannanshire and Dunblane | Mid Scotland and Fife | 8,212 | 11.75% | |
27. | Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles) | Highlands and Islands | 3,441 | 11.86% | |
28. | Glasgow Provan | Glasgow | 7,230 | 12.02% | |
29. | Edinburgh Northern and Leith | Lothian | 11,569 | 12.35% | |
30. | Glasgow Shettleston | Glasgow | 8,025 | 12.50% |
View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.
Below is the list of Labour target seats for the 2026 Senedd election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.
(order by percentage majority)
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority | Swing Needed | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Vale of Clwyd | North Wales | 366 | 0.70% | |
2. | Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South | Mid and West Wales | 936 | 1.48% | |
3. | Preseli Pembrokeshire | Mid and West Wales | 1,400 | 2.22% | |
4. | Monmouth | South Wales East | 3,845 | 5.36% | |
5. | Clwyd West | North Wales | 3,685 | 6.50% | |
6. | Aberconwy | North Wales | 3,844 | 8.16% | |
7. | Carmarthen East and Dinefwr | Mid and West Wales | 6,813 | 10.24% | |
8. | Brecon and Radnorshire | Mid and West Wales | 7,761 | 12.27% | |
9. | Dwyfor Meirionnydd | Mid and West Wales | 7,788 | 16.35% | |
10. | Montgomeryshire | Mid and West Wales | 8,437 | 16.88% | |
11. | Ynys Mon | North Wales | 10,206 | 18.40% | |
12. | Arfon | North Wales | 8,652 | 19.89% | |
13. | Ceredigion | Mid and West Wales | 13,601 | 22.11% |
View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.