Below are lists of Conservative marginal seats showing which constituencies won in the latest elections can be most easily lost.
Below is the Conservative defence list consisting of Conservative held marginal seats for the 2025 general election. These marginal constituencies are ordered from the smallest to the largest swing to be defeated by the largest opposition party.
View Conservative target seats for the next general election.
(order by percentage majority)
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority | Swing to Defeat | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Bury North | North West | 105 | 0.11% | |
2. | Kensington | London | 150 | 0.17% | |
3. | Bury South | North West | 402 | 0.40% | |
4. | Bolton North East | North West | 378 | 0.43% | |
5. | Moray | Scotland | 513 | 0.53% | |
6. | High Peak | East Midlands | 590 | 0.54% | |
7. | Wimbledon | London | 628 | 0.59% | |
8. | Carshalton and Wallington | London | 629 | 0.64% | |
9. | Gedling | East Midlands | 679 | 0.68% | |
10. | Heywood and Middleton | North West | 663 | 0.70% | |
11. | Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Scotland | 843 | 0.79% | |
12. | Cheltenham | South West | 981 | 0.83% | |
13. | Winchester | South East | 985 | 0.84% | |
14. | Blyth Valley | North East | 712 | 0.87% | |
15. | Stoke-on-Trent Central | West Midlands | 670 | 1.04% | |
16. | Chipping Barnet | London | 1,212 | 1.05% | |
17. | Delyn | Wales | 865 | 1.13% | |
18. | Durham North West | North East | 1,144 | 1.20% | |
19. | Chingford and Woodford Green | London | 1,262 | 1.30% | |
20. | Bridgend | Wales | 1,157 | 1.37% | |
21. | Dewsbury | Yorkshire and the Humber | 1,561 | 1.38% | |
22. | Warrington South | North West | 2,010 | 1.62% | |
23. | Clwyd South | Wales | 1,239 | 1.71% | |
24. | Burnley | North West | 1,352 | 1.73% | |
25. | Dumfries and Galloway | Scotland | 1,805 | 1.75% | |
26. | Birmingham Northfield | West Midlands | 1,640 | 1.90% | |
27. | Wolverhampton South West | West Midlands | 1,661 | 2.02% | |
28. | Cheadle | North West | 2,336 | 2.09% | |
29. | Leigh | North West | 1,965 | 2.09% | |
30. | Keighley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 2,218 | 2.11% | |
31. | Cambridgeshire South | East of England | 2,904 | 2.17% | |
32. | Esher and Walton | South East | 2,743 | 2.17% | |
33. | West Bromwich East | West Midlands | 1,593 | 2.21% | |
34. | Lewes | South East | 2,457 | 2.24% | |
35. | Vale of Clwyd | Wales | 1,827 | 2.45% | |
36. | Ynys Mon | Wales | 1,968 | 2.69% | |
37. | Peterborough | East of England | 2,580 | 2.70% | |
38. | Derby North | East Midlands | 2,540 | 2.70% | |
39. | Guildford | South East | 3,337 | 2.84% | |
40. | Stroud | South West | 3,840 | 2.91% | |
41. | Wrexham | Wales | 2,131 | 3.18% | |
42. | Aberconwy | Wales | 2,034 | 3.19% | |
43. | Pudsey | Yorkshire and the Humber | 3,517 | 3.24% | |
44. | Vale of Glamorgan | Wales | 3,562 | 3.25% | |
45. | Lincoln | East Midlands | 3,514 | 3.47% | |
46. | Hyndburn | North West | 2,951 | 3.48% | |
47. | Hastings and Rye | South East | 4,043 | 3.72% | |
48. | Wakefield | Yorkshire and the Humber | 3,358 | 3.73% | |
49. | Darlington | North East | 3,294 | 3.79% | |
50. | Watford | East of England | 4,433 | 3.82% | |
51. | Hendon | London | 4,230 | 3.84% | |
52. | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | Scotland | 3,781 | 3.85% | |
53. | Wycombe | South East | 4,214 | 3.85% | |
54. | Truro and Falmouth | South West | 4,561 | 3.85% | |
55. | Eastbourne | South East | 4,331 | 3.93% | |
56. | Don Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 3,630 | 3.99% | |
57. | Reading West | South East | 4,117 | 4.08% | |
58. | St Ives | South West | 4,280 | 4.16% | |
59. | Colne Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 5,103 | 4.19% | |
60. | Southport | North West | 4,147 | 4.30% | |
61. | Redcar | North East | 3,527 | 4.32% | |
62. | Cities of London and Westminster | London | 3,953 | 4.63% | |
63. | Southampton Itchen | South East | 4,498 | 4.74% | |
64. | Stockton South | North East | 5,260 | 4.80% | |
65. | Broxtowe | East Midlands | 5,331 | 4.82% | |
66. | Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | Scotland | 5,148 | 4.84% | |
67. | Banff and Buchan | Scotland | 4,118 | 4.87% | |
68. | Calder Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 5,774 | 5.00% | |
69. | Hazel Grove | North West | 4,423 | 5.00% | |
70. | Milton Keynes North | South East | 6,255 | 5.00% | |
71. | Workington | North West | 4,176 | 5.02% | |
72. | Norwich North | East of England | 4,738 | 5.12% | |
73. | Devon East | South West | 6,708 | 5.23% | |
74. | Filton and Bradley Stoke | South West | 5,646 | 5.25% | |
75. | Milton Keynes South | South East | 6,944 | 5.42% | |
76. | Sedgefield | North East | 4,513 | 5.43% | |
77. | West Bromwich West | West Midlands | 3,799 | 5.51% | |
78. | Ipswich | East of England | 5,479 | 5.53% | |
79. | Altrincham and Sale West | North West | 6,139 | 5.61% | |
80. | Blackpool South | North West | 3,690 | 5.63% | |
81. | Northampton South | East Midlands | 4,697 | 5.75% | |
82. | Bolsover | East Midlands | 5,299 | 5.77% | |
83. | Shipley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 6,242 | 5.78% | |
84. | Ashfield | East Midlands | 5,733 | 5.85% | |
85. | Hitchin and Harpenden | East of England | 6,895 | 5.86% | |
86. | Wolverhampton North East | West Midlands | 4,080 | 5.95% | |
87. | Finchley and Golders Green | London | 6,562 | 5.95% | |
88. | Wokingham | South East | 7,383 | 5.95% | |
89. | Preseli Pembrokeshire | Wales | 5,062 | 5.97% | |
90. | Barrow and Furness | North West | 5,789 | 6.29% | |
91. | Rushcliffe | East Midlands | 7,643 | 6.32% | |
92. | Rother Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 6,318 | 6.49% | |
93. | Swindon South | South West | 6,625 | 6.53% | |
94. | Loughborough | East Midlands | 7,169 | 6.56% | |
95. | Worcester | West Midlands | 6,758 | 6.64% | |
96. | Copeland | North West | 5,842 | 6.87% | |
97. | Pendle | North West | 6,186 | 6.96% | |
98. | Northampton North | East Midlands | 5,507 | 6.96% | |
99. | Morecambe and Lunesdale | North West | 6,354 | 7.01% | |
100. | Worthing East and Shoreham | South East | 7,474 | 7.03% | |
101. | Penistone and Stocksbridge | Yorkshire and the Humber | 7,210 | 7.28% | |
102. | Surrey South West | South East | 8,817 | 7.31% | |
103. | Uxbridge and Ruislip South | London | 7,210 | 7.48% | |
104. | Stoke-on-Trent North | West Midlands | 6,286 | 7.83% | |
105. | Crewe and Nantwich | North West | 8,508 | 7.87% | |
106. | Wells | South West | 9,991 | 8.11% | |
107. | Harrow East | London | 8,170 | 8.25% | |
108. | Sutton and Cheam | London | 8,351 | 8.27% | |
109. | Newcastle-under-Lyme | West Midlands | 7,446 | 8.32% | |
110. | Crawley | South East | 8,360 | 8.38% | |
111. | Clwyd West | Wales | 6,747 | 8.39% | |
112. | Corby | East Midlands | 10,268 | 8.49% | |
113. | Harrogate and Knaresborough | Yorkshire and the Humber | 9,675 | 8.50% | |
114. | Scunthorpe | Yorkshire and the Humber | 6,451 | 8.54% | |
115. | Brecon and Radnorshire | Wales | 7,131 | 8.63% | |
116. | Camborne and Redruth | South West | 8,700 | 8.64% | |
117. | Colchester | East of England | 9,423 | 8.83% | |
118. | Bishop Auckland | North East | 7,962 | 8.89% | |
119. | Cambridgeshire South East | East of England | 11,490 | 8.92% | |
120. | Bournemouth East | South West | 8,806 | 8.94% | |
121. | Stevenage | East of England | 8,562 | 8.98% | |
122. | Bolton West | North West | 8,855 | 8.98% | |
123. | York Outer | Yorkshire and the Humber | 9,985 | 9.02% | |
124. | Woking | South East | 9,767 | 9.05% | |
125. | Taunton Deane | South West | 11,700 | 9.18% | |
126. | Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South | Wales | 7,745 | 9.20% | |
127. | Wantage | South East | 12,653 | 9.42% | |
128. | Shrewsbury and Atcham | West Midlands | 11,217 | 9.50% | |
129. | Gloucester | South West | 10,277 | 9.56% | |
130. | Carlisle | North West | 8,319 | 9.70% | |
131. | Rossendale and Darwen | North West | 9,522 | 9.75% | |
132. | Chippenham | South West | 11,288 | 9.88% | |
133. | Monmouth | Wales | 9,982 | 9.94% | |
134. | Macclesfield | North West | 10,711 | 9.94% | |
135. | Scarborough and Whitby | Yorkshire and the Humber | 10,270 | 10.33% | |
136. | Croydon South | London | 12,339 | 10.39% | |
137. | South Ribble | North West | 11,199 | 10.41% | |
138. | Welwyn Hatfield | East of England | 10,955 | 10.52% | |
139. | Mole Valley | South East | 12,041 | 10.54% | |
140. | Romsey and Southampton North | South East | 10,872 | 10.58% | |
141. | Morley and Outwood | Yorkshire and the Humber | 11,267 | 10.85% | |
142. | Erewash | East Midlands | 10,606 | 10.86% | |
143. | Thanet South | South East | 10,587 | 10.97% | |
144. | Bournemouth West | South West | 10,150 | 11.04% | |
145. | Blackpool North and Cleveleys | North West | 8,596 | 11.08% | |
146. | Great Grimsby | Yorkshire and the Humber | 7,331 | 11.08% | |
147. | Kingswood | South West | 11,220 | 11.38% | |
148. | Hexham | North East | 10,549 | 11.43% | |
149. | Dorset West | South West | 14,106 | 11.58% | |
150. | Hertfordshire South West | East of England | 14,408 | 11.77% | |
151. | Thornbury and Yate | South West | 12,369 | 11.84% | |
152. | Bromley and Chislehurst | London | 10,891 | 11.95% | |
153. | Henley | South East | 14,053 | 11.96% | |
154. | Chelsea and Fulham | London | 11,241 | 12.00% | |
155. | Thurrock | East of England | 11,482 | 12.09% | |
156. | Dover | South East | 12,278 | 12.11% | |
157. | Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East | North East | 11,626 | 12.16% | |
158. | Totnes | South West | 12,724 | 12.19% | |
159. | Witney | South East | 15,177 | 12.38% | |
160. | Telford | West Midlands | 10,941 | 12.77% | |
161. | Basingstoke | South East | 14,198 | 12.97% | |
162. | Somerset North East | South West | 14,729 | 13.08% | |
163. | Derbyshire North East | East Midlands | 12,876 | 13.08% | |
164. | Rugby | West Midlands | 13,447 | 13.23% | |
165. | Eastleigh | South East | 15,607 | 13.23% | |
166. | Rochford and Southend East | East of England | 12,286 | 13.31% | |
167. | Devon North | South West | 14,813 | 13.33% | |
168. | Banbury | South East | 16,813 | 13.36% | |
169. | Newbury | South East | 16,047 | 13.37% | |
170. | Tunbridge Wells | South East | 14,645 | 13.40% | |
171. | Worthing West | South East | 14,823 | 13.56% | |
172. | Beaconsfield | South East | 15,712 | 13.58% | |
173. | Yeovil | South West | 16,181 | 13.65% | |
174. | Bassetlaw | East Midlands | 14,013 | 13.78% | |
175. | Stafford | West Midlands | 14,377 | 14.05% | |
176. | Beckenham | London | 14,258 | 14.10% | |
177. | Somerset North | South West | 17,536 | 14.13% | |
178. | Norfolk North | East of England | 14,395 | 14.16% | |
179. | Hemel Hempstead | East of England | 14,563 | 14.20% | |
180. | Stoke-on-Trent South | West Midlands | 11,271 | 14.23% | |
181. | Halesowen and Rowley Regis | West Midlands | 12,074 | 14.26% | |
182. | Cornwall North | South West | 14,752 | 14.27% | |
183. | Aylesbury | South East | 17,373 | 14.34% | |
184. | Sussex Mid | South East | 18,197 | 14.50% | |
185. | Nuneaton | West Midlands | 13,144 | 14.54% | |
186. | Chesham and Amersham | South East | 16,223 | 14.57% | |
187. | Plymouth Moor View | South West | 12,897 | 14.58% | |
188. | Swindon North | South West | 16,171 | 14.67% | |
189. | Somerton and Frome | South West | 19,213 | 14.80% | |
190. | St Austell and Newquay | South West | 16,526 | 14.81% | |
191. | Stourbridge | West Midlands | 13,571 | 14.85% | |
192. | Burton | West Midlands | 14,496 | 14.87% | |
193. | Elmet and Rothwell | Yorkshire and the Humber | 17,353 | 14.90% | |
194. | Epsom and Ewell | South East | 17,873 | 15.03% | |
195. | Harborough | East Midlands | 17,278 | 15.07% | |
196. | Bexleyheath and Crayford | London | 13,103 | 15.15% | |
197. | Dorset Mid and Poole North | South West | 14,898 | 15.22% | |
198. | Devon Central | South West | 17,721 | 15.26% | |
199. | Sherwood | East Midlands | 16,186 | 15.35% | |
200. | Weston-Super-Mare | South West | 17,121 | 15.39% | |
201. | Forest of Dean | South West | 15,869 | 15.41% | |
202. | Chelmsford | East of England | 17,621 | 15.42% | |
203. | Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner | London | 16,394 | 15.49% | |
204. | Southend West | East of England | 14,459 | 15.53% | |
205. | Derbyshire Mid | East Midlands | 15,385 | 15.59% | |
206. | Surrey Heath | South East | 18,349 | 15.64% | |
207. | Dudley North | West Midlands | 11,533 | 15.72% | |
208. | Wyre and Preston North | North West | 16,781 | 15.85% | |
209. | Isle of Wight | South East | 23,737 | 15.94% | |
210. | Buckingham | South East | 20,411 | 16.08% | |
211. | Wiltshire North | South West | 17,626 | 16.09% | |
212. | Congleton | North West | 18,561 | 16.22% | |
213. | Harlow | East of England | 14,063 | 16.22% | |
214. | Hertford and Stortford | East of England | 19,620 | 16.32% | |
215. | Walsall North | West Midlands | 11,965 | 16.37% | |
216. | Gravesham | South East | 15,581 | 16.38% | |
217. | Huntingdon | East of England | 19,383 | 16.39% | |
218. | Hertfordshire North East | East of England | 18,189 | 16.44% | |
219. | Rochester and Strood | South East | 17,072 | 16.44% | |
220. | Gillingham and Rainham | South East | 15,119 | 16.45% | |
221. | Cotswolds, The | South West | 20,214 | 16.52% | |
222. | Mansfield | East Midlands | 16,306 | 16.55% | |
223. | Newton Abbot | South West | 17,501 | 16.65% | |
224. | Ribble Valley | North West | 18,439 | 16.68% | |
225. | Maidenhead | South East | 18,846 | 16.68% | |
226. | Horsham | South East | 21,127 | 16.70% | |
227. | Dorset South | South West | 17,153 | 16.80% | |
228. | Kettering | East Midlands | 16,765 | 16.98% | |
229. | Norfolk South | East of England | 21,275 | 17.02% | |
230. | Hampshire North East | South East | 20,211 | 17.05% | |
231. | Runnymede and Weybridge | South East | 18,270 | 17.14% | |
232. | Portsmouth North | South East | 15,780 | 17.19% | |
233. | Reigate | South East | 18,310 | 17.22% | |
234. | Hampshire East | South East | 19,696 | 17.31% | |
235. | Derbyshire Dales | East Midlands | 17,381 | 17.38% | |
236. | Eddisbury | North West | 18,443 | 17.41% | |
237. | Aldershot | South East | 16,698 | 17.42% | |
238. | Bedfordshire South West | East of England | 18,583 | 17.43% | |
239. | Chichester | South East | 21,490 | 17.54% | |
240. | Torbay | South West | 17,749 | 17.60% | |
241. | Waveney | East of England | 18,002 | 17.60% | |
242. | Suffolk Coastal | East of England | 20,533 | 17.61% | |
243. | Berwick-upon-Tweed | North East | 14,835 | 17.61% | |
244. | Dartford | South East | 19,160 | 17.73% | |
245. | Montgomeryshire | Wales | 12,138 | 17.74% | |
246. | Tatton | North West | 17,387 | 17.75% | |
247. | Fylde | North West | 16,611 | 17.80% | |
248. | Thanet North | South East | 17,189 | 17.84% | |
249. | Selby and Ainsty | Yorkshire and the Humber | 20,137 | 17.85% | |
250. | Wellingborough | East Midlands | 18,540 | 17.86% | |
251. | Folkestone and Hythe | South East | 21,337 | 18.08% | |
252. | Derbyshire South | East Midlands | 19,335 | 18.11% | |
253. | Stratford-on-Avon | West Midlands | 19,972 | 18.14% | |
254. | Redditch | West Midlands | 16,036 | 18.20% | |
255. | Bracknell | South East | 19,829 | 18.24% | |
256. | Tewkesbury | South West | 22,410 | 18.33% | |
257. | Arundel and South Downs | South East | 22,521 | 18.34% | |
258. | Salisbury | South West | 19,736 | 18.37% | |
259. | Sutton Coldfield | West Midlands | 19,272 | 18.42% | |
260. | Amber Valley | East Midlands | 16,886 | 18.53% | |
261. | Spelthorne | South East | 18,393 | 18.58% | |
262. | Bedfordshire North East | East of England | 24,283 | 18.67% | |
263. | Windsor | South East | 20,079 | 18.68% | |
264. | Staffordshire Moorlands | West Midlands | 16,428 | 18.82% | |
265. | Romford | London | 17,893 | 18.94% | |
266. | Poole | South West | 19,116 | 18.95% | |
267. | Leicestershire North West | East Midlands | 20,400 | 18.95% | |
268. | Bedfordshire Mid | East of England | 24,664 | 19.06% | |
269. | Beverley and Holderness | Yorkshire and the Humber | 20,448 | 19.10% | |
270. | Wrekin, The | West Midlands | 18,726 | 19.15% | |
271. | Broadland | East of England | 21,861 | 19.18% | |
272. | Solihull | West Midlands | 21,273 | 19.22% | |
273. | Kenilworth and Southam | West Midlands | 20,353 | 19.35% | |
274. | Penrith and The Border | North West | 18,519 | 19.36% | |
275. | Harwich and Essex North | East of England | 20,182 | 19.42% | |
276. | Cornwall South East | South West | 20,971 | 19.54% | |
277. | Warwickshire North | West Midlands | 17,956 | 19.55% | |
278. | Wiltshire South West | South West | 21,630 | 19.70% | |
279. | Hereford and Herefordshire South | West Midlands | 19,686 | 19.83% | |
280. | Newark | East Midlands | 21,816 | 19.92% | |
281. | Ashford | South East | 24,029 | 20.00% | |
282. | Stone | West Midlands | 19,945 | 20.01% | |
283. | Devon South West | South West | 21,430 | 20.08% | |
284. | Norfolk Mid | East of England | 22,594 | 20.11% | |
285. | Cambridgeshire North West | East of England | 25,983 | 20.13% | |
286. | Surrey East | South East | 24,040 | 20.14% | |
287. | Bury St Edmunds | East of England | 24,988 | 20.17% | |
288. | Skipton and Ripon | Yorkshire and the Humber | 23,694 | 20.17% | |
289. | Charnwood | East Midlands | 22,397 | 20.23% | |
290. | Shropshire North | West Midlands | 22,949 | 20.30% | |
291. | Great Yarmouth | East of England | 17,663 | 20.32% | |
292. | Tiverton and Honiton | South West | 24,239 | 20.33% | |
293. | Hertsmere | East of England | 21,313 | 20.41% | |
294. | Haltemprice and Howden | Yorkshire and the Humber | 20,329 | 20.42% | |
295. | Sevenoaks | South East | 20,818 | 20.43% | |
296. | Old Bexley and Sidcup | London | 18,952 | 20.54% | |
297. | Northamptonshire South | East Midlands | 27,761 | 20.75% | |
298. | Suffolk Central and Ipswich North | East of England | 23,391 | 20.79% | |
299. | Leicestershire South | East Midlands | 24,004 | 20.88% | |
300. | Devon West and Torridge | South West | 24,992 | 20.92% | |
301. | Wealden | South East | 25,655 | 21.06% | |
302. | Maidstone and The Weald | South East | 21,772 | 21.06% | |
303. | Meriden | West Midlands | 22,836 | 21.08% | |
304. | Wyre Forest | West Midlands | 21,413 | 21.18% | |
305. | Meon Valley | South East | 23,555 | 21.19% | |
306. | Bridgwater and Somerset West | South West | 24,439 | 21.20% | |
307. | Broxbourne | East of England | 19,807 | 21.20% | |
308. | Dudley South | West Midlands | 15,565 | 21.28% | |
309. | Bromsgrove | West Midlands | 23,106 | 21.29% | |
310. | Worcestershire West | West Midlands | 24,499 | 21.29% | |
311. | Tamworth | West Midlands | 19,634 | 21.32% | |
312. | Norfolk North West | East of England | 19,922 | 21.37% | |
313. | Chatham and Aylesford | South East | 18,540 | 21.39% | |
314. | Suffolk South | East of England | 22,897 | 21.40% | |
315. | Cannock Chase | West Midlands | 19,879 | 21.46% | |
316. | Yorkshire East | Yorkshire and the Humber | 22,787 | 21.59% | |
317. | Hornchurch and Upminster | London | 23,308 | 21.59% | |
318. | Dorset North | South West | 24,301 | 21.66% | |
319. | Faversham and Kent Mid | South East | 21,976 | 21.80% | |
320. | Saffron Walden | East of England | 27,594 | 21.87% | |
321. | Lichfield | West Midlands | 23,638 | 21.89% | |
322. | Bognor Regis and Littlehampton | South East | 22,503 | 21.97% | |
323. | Basildon South and Thurrock East | East of England | 19,922 | 21.99% | |
324. | Bexhill and Battle | South East | 26,059 | 22.05% | |
325. | Epping Forest | East of England | 22,173 | 22.05% | |
326. | Thirsk and Malton | Yorkshire and the Humber | 25,154 | 22.23% | |
327. | Hampshire North West | South East | 26,308 | 22.33% | |
328. | Gainsborough | East Midlands | 22,967 | 22.50% | |
329. | Suffolk West | East of England | 23,194 | 22.55% | |
330. | Daventry | East Midlands | 26,080 | 22.72% | |
331. | Fareham | South East | 26,086 | 22.78% | |
332. | Orpington | London | 22,378 | 22.97% | |
333. | Rutland and Melton | East Midlands | 26,924 | 23.09% | |
334. | Cleethorpes | Yorkshire and the Humber | 21,418 | 23.11% | |
335. | Basildon and Billericay | East of England | 20,412 | 23.13% | |
336. | Grantham and Stamford | East Midlands | 26,003 | 23.22% | |
337. | Bosworth | East Midlands | 26,278 | 23.28% | |
338. | Ludlow | West Midlands | 23,648 | 23.54% | |
339. | Devizes | South West | 23,993 | 23.54% | |
340. | Richmond (Yorks) | Yorkshire and the Humber | 27,210 | 23.58% | |
341. | Tonbridge and Malling | South East | 26,941 | 23.63% | |
342. | Christchurch | South West | 24,617 | 23.69% | |
343. | Havant | South East | 21,792 | 23.71% | |
344. | Sittingbourne and Sheppey | South East | 24,479 | 23.82% | |
345. | Gosport | South East | 23,278 | 24.02% | |
346. | New Forest West | South East | 24,403 | 24.25% | |
347. | Herefordshire North | West Midlands | 24,856 | 24.35% | |
348. | Witham | East of England | 24,082 | 24.40% | |
349. | Braintree | East of England | 24,673 | 24.43% | |
350. | Sleaford and North Hykeham | East Midlands | 32,565 | 24.47% | |
351. | New Forest East | South East | 25,251 | 24.86% | |
352. | Worcestershire Mid | West Midlands | 28,018 | 24.96% | |
353. | Aldridge-Brownhills | West Midlands | 19,836 | 25.21% | |
354. | Brigg and Goole | Yorkshire and the Humber | 21,941 | 25.28% | |
355. | Norfolk South West | East of England | 26,195 | 25.45% | |
356. | Brentwood and Ongar | East of England | 29,065 | 27.45% | |
357. | Louth and Horncastle | East Midlands | 28,868 | 27.58% | |
358. | Rayleigh and Wickford | East of England | 31,000 | 28.23% | |
359. | Staffordshire South | West Midlands | 28,250 | 28.25% | |
360. | Cambridgeshire North East | East of England | 29,993 | 28.31% | |
361. | Clacton | East of England | 24,702 | 28.39% | |
362. | Maldon | East of England | 30,041 | 29.80% | |
363. | Castle Point | East of England | 26,634 | 30.08% | |
364. | Boston and Skegness | East Midlands | 25,621 | 30.72% | |
365. | South Holland and The Deepings | East Midlands | 30,838 | 31.35% |
View Conservative target seats for the next general election.
Below is the Conservative defence list consisting of Conservative held marginal seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. These marginal constituencies are ordered from the smallest to the largest swing to be defeated by the largest opposition party.
View Conservative target seats for the next Scottish Parliament election.
(order by percentage majority)
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority | Swing to Defeat | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Eastwood | West Scotland | 2,216 | 2.59% | |
2. | Galloway and West Dumfries | South Scotland | 2,635 | 3.54% | |
3. | Aberdeenshire West | North East Scotland | 3,390 | 4.06% | |
4. | Dumfriesshire | South Scotland | 4,066 | 4.97% | |
5. | Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire | South Scotland | 6,863 | 9.52% |
View Conservative target seats for the next Scottish Parliament election.
Below is the Conservative defence list consisting of Conservative held marginal seats for the 2026 Senedd election. These marginal constituencies are ordered from the smallest to the largest swing to be defeated by the largest opposition party.
View Conservative target seats for the next Senedd election.
(order by percentage majority)
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority | Swing to Defeat | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Vale of Clwyd | North Wales | 366 | 0.70% | |
2. | Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South | Mid and West Wales | 936 | 1.48% | |
3. | Preseli Pembrokeshire | Mid and West Wales | 1,400 | 2.22% | |
4. | Monmouth | South Wales East | 3,845 | 5.36% | |
5. | Brecon and Radnorshire | Mid and West Wales | 3,820 | 5.95% | |
6. | Clwyd West | North Wales | 3,685 | 6.50% | |
7. | Aberconwy | North Wales | 3,336 | 7.08% | |
8. | Montgomeryshire | Mid and West Wales | 7,528 | 15.06% |
View Conservative target seats for the next Senedd election.