Liberal Democrat Target Seats

Below are lists of Liberal Democrat target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.

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Liberal Democrat Target Seats 2029

Below is the list of Liberal Democrat target seats for the 2029 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

(order by percentage majority)

Rank		Region	Majority over LD	Swing Needed
1.	Godalming and Ash	South East	891	0.81%
2.	Farnham and Bordon	South East	1,349	1.27%
3.	Hampshire East	South East	1,275	1.27%
4.	Shropshire South	West Midlands	1,624	1.57%
5.	Dorset North	South West	1,589	1.60%
6.	Romsey and Southampton North	South East	2,191	2.19%
7.	Cotswolds North	South West	3,357	3.34%
8.	Torridge and Tavistock	South West	3,950	3.89%
9.	Burnley	North West	3,420	4.31%
10.	Hamble Valley	South East	4,802	4.45%
11.	Hertfordshire South West	East of England	4,456	4.62%
12.	Salisbury	South West	5,285	5.27%
13.	Buckinghamshire Mid	South East	5,872	5.44%
14.	Sevenoaks	South East	5,440	5.45%
15.	Hinckley and Bosworth	East Midlands	5,408	5.66%
16.	Beaconsfield	South East	5,455	5.71%
17.	Worcestershire West	West Midlands	6,547	5.99%
18.	Exmouth and Exeter East	South West	3,341	6.27%
19.	Sussex Weald	South East	6,842	6.96%
20.	Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr	Wales	6,239	7.21%
21.	Windsor	South East	6,944	7.67%
22.	Christchurch	South West	7,455	7.87%
23.	Runnymede and Weybridge	South East	7,627	7.90%
24.	Sheffield Hallam	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,189	7.93%
25.	Fareham and Waterlooville	South East	8,028	8.01%
26.	Aylesbury	South East	4,641	8.03%
27.	Spelthorne	South East	5,328	8.10%
28.	Kenilworth and Southam	West Midlands	8,931	8.37%
29.	East Grinstead and Uckfield	South East	8,480	8.41%
30.	Leicester East	East Midlands	8,197	8.77%
31.	Surrey East	South East	8,669	8.81%
32.	New Forest West	South East	8,226	8.88%
33.	Solihull West and Shirley	West Midlands	8,368	8.93%
34.	Watford	East of England	8,131	9.15%
35.	Wiltshire East	South West	8,645	9.16%
36.	Argyll, Bute and Lochaber South	Scotland	8,223	9.16%
37.	Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley	West Midlands	8,087	9.72%
38.	Bermondsey and Old Southwark	London	7,787	10.35%
39.	Leicestershire South	East Midlands	10,643	10.36%
40.	Isle of Wight East	South East	6,877	10.43%
41.	Norfolk North West	East of England	9,605	10.78%
42.	Arundel and South Downs	South East	12,134	11.08%
43.	Cornwall South East	South West	7,386	11.11%
44.	Wiltshire South West	South West	8,412	11.20%
45.	New Forest East	South East	10,214	11.29%
46.	Cardiff East	Wales	9,097	11.63%
47.	Suffolk Central and Ipswich North	East of England	9,737	11.73%
48.	Bromsgrove	West Midlands	9,142	12.15%
49.	Brentwood and Ongar	East of England	11,922	12.33%
50.	Southport	North West	11,384	12.63%
51.	Bridgwater	South West	6,500	12.84%
52.	Maidstone and Malling	South East	7,771	13.14%
53.	Cambridge	East of England	11,078	13.16%
54.	Oldham East and Saddleworth	North West	10,705	13.36%
55.	Dorset South	South West	7,642	13.45%
56.	Hampshire North West	South East	10,144	13.49%
57.	Maldon	East of England	13,492	13.54%
58.	Suffolk South	East of England	9,658	13.55%
59.	Preston	North West	10,811	13.80%
60.	Colchester	East of England	12,411	13.82%
61.	Truro and Falmouth	South West	14,231	14.16%
62.	Gordon and Buchan	Scotland	7,111	14.22%
63.	Thirsk and Malton	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,165	14.22%
64.	Swansea West	Wales	10,394	14.57%
65.	Luton South and Bedfordshire South	East of England	11,193	14.58%
66.	Halifax	Yorkshire and the Humber	11,776	14.64%
67.	Droitwich and Evesham	West Midlands	14,844	14.96%
68.	Daventry	East Midlands	11,117	15.27%
69.	Rutland and Stamford	East Midlands	14,996	15.44%
70.	Suffolk Coastal	East of England	8,725	15.48%
71.	Durham North	North East	12,354	15.59%
72.	Northumberland North	North East	12,686	15.60%
73.	Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Scotland	11,086	15.62%
74.	Hemel Hempstead	East of England	11,748	15.62%
75.	Shrewsbury	West Midlands	16,210	15.72%
76.	Camborne and Redruth	South West	15,247	15.95%
77.	Ceredigion Preseli	Wales	14,789	15.97%
78.	Devon Central	South West	8,599	15.98%
79.	Weald of Kent	South East	16,227	16.00%
80.	Wycombe	South East	11,799	16.15%
81.	Tonbridge	South East	16,283	16.18%
82.	Durham, City of	North East	13,211	16.26%
83.	Worcester	West Midlands	14,636	16.34%
84.	Bradford East	Yorkshire and the Humber	12,188	16.37%
85.	Broxtowe	East Midlands	15,754	16.47%
86.	Gateshead Central and Whickham	North East	13,258	16.48%
87.	Luton North	East of England	12,787	16.50%
88.	Orpington	London	12,776	16.62%
89.	Canterbury	South East	15,719	16.64%
90.	Poplar and Limehouse	London	14,346	16.66%
91.	Reigate	South East	12,049	16.67%
92.	Caerphilly	Wales	12,750	16.67%
93.	Milton Keynes Central	South East	15,278	16.73%
94.	Cardiff West	Wales	14,521	16.76%
95.	Rayleigh and Wickford	East of England	13,688	16.81%
96.	Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard	East of England	8,479	16.97%
97.	Epping Forest	East of England	12,770	16.98%
98.	Ealing Central and Acton	London	16,284	17.04%
99.	Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven	South East	13,944	17.14%
100.	Cambridgeshire North East	East of England	13,530	17.27%
101.	York Outer	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,665	17.28%
102.	Leeds North West	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,241	17.32%
103.	Bournemouth West	South West	10,054	17.33%
104.	Gainsborough	East Midlands	11,635	17.36%
105.	Exeter	South West	14,024	17.44%
106.	Gosport	South East	13,791	17.47%
107.	Bedfordshire North	East of England	14,428	17.48%
108.	Bedford	East of England	14,317	17.61%
109.	Norfolk South	East of England	11,607	17.71%
110.	Southampton Test	South East	12,693	17.73%
111.	Hampstead and Highgate	London	17,251	17.77%
112.	Stevenage	East of England	14,231	17.82%
113.	Brentford and Isleworth	London	16,144	17.84%
114.	Wakefield and Rothwell	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,524	17.86%
115.	Derby South	East Midlands	12,696	17.90%
116.	Suffolk West	East of England	11,530	17.94%
117.	Portsmouth South	South East	13,971	17.94%
118.	Sunderland Central	North East	13,250	17.96%
119.	Hastings and Rye	South East	16,548	17.99%
120.	Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	Scotland	12,199	18.00%
121.	Heywood and Middleton North	North West	12,767	18.00%
122.	Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton	North West	11,961	18.11%
123.	Gloucester	South West	11,713	18.13%
124.	Hereford and Herefordshire South	West Midlands	9,546	18.14%
125.	Bridgend	Wales	15,070	18.21%
126.	Bangor Aberconwy	Wales	12,484	18.21%
127.	Walsall and Bloxwich	West Midlands	11,697	18.24%
128.	Newport West and Islwyn	Wales	15,322	18.26%
129.	Dover and Deal	South East	16,345	18.34%
130.	Southampton Itchen	South East	13,098	18.38%
131.	Feltham and Heston	London	14,318	18.41%
132.	Aberdeen South	Scotland	12,292	18.41%
133.	Putney	London	18,170	18.43%
134.	Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Scotland	15,186	18.44%
135.	Bolton North East	North West	14,659	18.46%
136.	Bognor Regis and Littlehampton	South East	10,597	18.47%
137.	Cardiff South and Penarth	Wales	14,520	18.53%
138.	Penistone and Stocksbridge	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,303	18.54%
139.	Pontypridd	Wales	14,619	18.56%
140.	St Austell and Newquay	South West	11,153	18.58%
141.	Newport East	Wales	14,325	18.59%
142.	Cardiff North	Wales	17,681	18.62%
143.	Croydon East	London	14,978	18.62%
144.	Bristol South	South West	15,800	18.74%
145.	Morecambe and Lunesdale	North West	14,834	18.77%
146.	Alyn and Deeside	Wales	16,330	18.82%
147.	Lincoln	East Midlands	15,890	18.84%
148.	South Holland and the Deepings	East Midlands	15,517	18.86%
149.	Bolton South and Walkden	North West	13,709	18.86%
150.	Gower	Wales	17,887	18.94%
151.	Torfaen	Wales	13,532	18.95%
152.	Newcastle upon Tyne North	North East	18,504	19.03%
153.	Northampton North	East Midlands	15,958	19.08%
154.	Filton and Bradley Stoke	South West	19,309	19.17%
155.	South Shields	North East	13,720	19.19%
156.	Weston-Super-Mare	South West	12,554	19.21%
157.	Birmingham Yardley	West Midlands	7,641	19.22%
158.	Leicester West	East Midlands	13,619	19.24%
159.	Cheshire Mid	North West	15,992	19.26%
160.	Battersea	London	18,157	19.28%
161.	Worthing East and Shoreham	South East	18,940	19.30%
162.	Richmond and Northallerton	Yorkshire and the Humber	18,737	19.31%
163.	Dewsbury and Batley	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,301	19.35%
164.	Birmingham Edgbaston	West Midlands	14,497	19.37%
165.	Norfolk South West	East of England	9,229	19.40%
166.	Poole	South West	8,661	19.42%
167.	Reading Central	South East	17,635	19.47%
168.	Neath and Swansea East	Wales	14,453	19.50%
169.	Warrington South	North West	19,372	19.50%
170.	Hitchin	East of England	17,154	19.50%
171.	Edinburgh North and Leith	Scotland	16,926	19.52%
172.	Birmingham Selly Oak	West Midlands	15,047	19.58%
173.	Northamptonshire South	East Midlands	14,202	19.58%
174.	Devon South West	South West	12,365	19.63%
175.	Bradford South	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,879	19.63%
176.	Crewe and Nantwich	North West	18,551	19.65%
177.	Essex North West	East of England	13,305	19.66%
178.	Hull East	Yorkshire and the Humber	9,795	19.70%
179.	Faversham and Mid Kent	South East	10,658	19.72%
180.	Leeds South West and Morley	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,883	19.75%
181.	Stratford and Bow	London	17,219	19.82%
182.	Norwich South	East of England	17,907	19.85%
183.	Hull North and Cottingham	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,234	19.93%
184.	Manchester Withington	North West	16,654	19.95%
185.	Warrington North	North West	15,993	19.97%
186.	Hull West and Haltemprice	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,250	19.97%
187.	Dunfermline and Dollar	Scotland	17,155	20.01%
188.	Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner	London	17,023	20.05%
189.	Bridlington and the Wolds	Yorkshire and the Humber	11,749	20.09%
190.	Wrexham	Wales	14,059	20.09%
191.	Meriden and Solihull East	West Midlands	13,439	20.11%
192.	Ilford South	London	15,197	20.17%
193.	Chesterfield	East Midlands	16,763	20.17%
194.	Birmingham Erdington	West Midlands	13,646	20.19%
195.	Bethnal Green and Stepney	London	11,119	20.22%
196.	Wirral West	North West	20,101	20.23%
197.	Eltham and Chislehurst	London	17,646	20.23%
198.	Witham	East of England	15,388	20.24%
199.	Penrith and Solway	North West	15,244	20.27%
200.	Bristol North East	South West	17,040	20.29%
201.	Hertsmere	East of England	17,741	20.31%
202.	Broadland and Fakenham	East of England	10,796	20.35%
203.	West Ham and Beckton	London	14,828	20.40%
204.	Beckenham and Penge	London	21,317	20.41%
205.	Thanet East	South East	15,689	20.41%
206.	Warwick and Leamington	West Midlands	20,094	20.42%
207.	Streatham and Croydon North	London	18,201	20.43%
208.	Norwich North	East of England	18,721	20.45%
209.	Stalybridge and Hyde	North West	15,240	20.46%
210.	Oxford East	South East	16,104	20.47%
211.	Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West	North East	16,929	20.47%
212.	Leyton and Wanstead	London	17,940	20.51%
213.	Derby North	East Midlands	16,797	20.52%
214.	Bristol North West	South West	19,899	20.53%
215.	Stroud	South West	22,694	20.55%
216.	Nottingham South	East Midlands	13,520	20.56%
217.	Birmingham Northfield	West Midlands	13,138	20.58%
218.	Louth and Horncastle	East Midlands	15,077	20.59%
219.	Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare	Wales	14,515	20.61%
220.	Spen Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,651	20.61%
221.	Edinburgh South West	Scotland	15,649	20.66%
222.	Aldershot	South East	15,712	20.66%
223.	Bury South	North West	17,451	20.67%
224.	Stockport	North West	18,063	20.68%
225.	Lancaster and Wyre	North West	17,786	20.68%
226.	Slough	South East	12,606	20.70%
227.	Erewash	East Midlands	14,798	20.79%
228.	Ashton-under-Lyne	North West	14,164	20.79%
229.	Melton and Syston	East Midlands	14,979	20.84%
230.	Barking	London	15,212	20.85%
231.	Coventry South	West Midlands	17,830	20.86%
232.	Caerfyrddin	Wales	14,059	20.88%
233.	Hertfordshire North East	East of England	12,895	20.89%
234.	Leeds Central and Headingley	Yorkshire and the Humber	13,242	20.96%
235.	Ealing North	London	18,120	20.96%
236.	Telford	West Midlands	16,652	20.99%
237.	Bracknell	South East	10,015	21.06%
238.	Bexhill and Battle	South East	12,713	21.06%
239.	Cities of London and Westminster	London	10,967	21.06%
240.	Clapham and Brixton Hill	London	18,005	21.06%
241.	Reading West and Mid Berkshire	South East	11,170	21.07%
242.	Calder Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	19,459	21.10%
243.	Coventry North West	West Midlands	17,765	21.13%
244.	Somerset North	South West	12,017	21.16%
245.	Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor	North East	16,903	21.21%
246.	Southgate and Wood Green	London	19,412	21.25%
247.	West Bromwich	West Midlands	15,558	21.32%
248.	Gedling	East Midlands	20,805	21.35%
249.	Wrekin, The	West Midlands	11,563	21.35%
250.	Sheffield South East	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,289	21.37%
251.	Stoke-on-Trent Central	West Midlands	13,951	21.37%
252.	Isle of Wight West	South East	10,514	21.40%
253.	Ipswich	East of England	16,858	21.45%
254.	Hammersmith and Chiswick	London	19,781	21.49%
255.	Doncaster Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,316	21.50%
256.	Dagenham and Rainham	London	15,538	21.52%
257.	Stockton North	North East	15,995	21.54%
258.	Ealing Southall	London	20,168	21.54%
259.	Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend	North East	18,235	21.54%
260.	Holborn and St Pancras	London	16,648	21.56%
261.	Manchester Central	North West	17,133	21.56%
262.	Nottingham North and Kimberley	East Midlands	15,144	21.63%
263.	Carlisle	North West	15,147	21.63%
264.	Wigan	North West	17,709	21.65%
265.	Worsley and Eccles	North West	18,426	21.66%
266.	Enfield North	London	18,851	21.67%
267.	Edmonton and Winchmore Hill	London	17,799	21.68%
268.	Bournemouth East	South West	15,234	21.72%
269.	Kingswinford and Staffordshire South	West Midlands	16,119	21.73%
270.	East Lothian	Scotland	20,906	21.73%
271.	Chester South and Eddisbury	North West	14,475	21.75%
272.	Halesowen	West Midlands	12,762	21.77%
273.	Queens Park and Maida Vale	London	16,709	21.79%
274.	Leeds East	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,165	21.79%
275.	Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	South West	18,354	21.80%
276.	Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey	Scotland	11,176	21.86%
277.	Northampton South	East Midlands	13,697	21.93%
278.	Crawley	South East	15,248	21.94%
279.	Selby	Yorkshire and the Humber	20,996	21.94%
280.	Huddersfield	Yorkshire and the Humber	13,360	21.98%
281.	St Helens South and Whiston	North West	16,720	21.98%
282.	Hertford and Stortford	East of England	16,641	22.02%
283.	Bathgate and Linlithgow	Scotland	17,603	22.06%
284.	Middlesbrough and Thornaby East	North East	15,201	22.09%
285.	Folkestone and Hythe	South East	13,284	22.09%
286.	Rochdale	North West	10,211	22.10%
287.	Islington South and Finsbury	London	18,901	22.10%
288.	Sleaford and North Hykeham	East Midlands	15,084	22.11%
289.	Brent East	London	16,735	22.14%
290.	Bolsover	East Midlands	15,719	22.14%
291.	Braintree	East of England	14,535	22.16%
292.	South Ribble	North West	16,868	22.19%
293.	Stretford and Urmston	North West	20,426	22.20%
294.	Perth and Kinross-shire	Scotland	15,247	22.21%
295.	Grantham and Bourne	East Midlands	14,743	22.22%
296.	Croydon West	London	16,945	22.22%
297.	Bishop Auckland	North East	15,663	22.24%
298.	Blaydon and Consett	North East	18,887	22.37%
299.	Leeds West and Pudsey	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,233	22.38%
300.	Thurrock	East of England	14,893	22.42%
301.	Cramlington and Killingworth	North East	20,376	22.44%
302.	Tynemouth	North East	21,782	22.49%
303.	Banbury	South East	14,116	22.54%
304.	Smethwick	West Midlands	15,840	22.55%
305.	Newcastle-under-Lyme	West Midlands	14,005	22.56%
306.	Somerset North East and Hanham	South West	16,861	22.58%
307.	Chester North and Neston	North West	20,182	22.58%
308.	Sheffield Heeley	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,367	22.59%
309.	Vauxhall and Camberwell Green	London	16,979	22.62%
310.	Rotherham	Yorkshire and the Humber	13,847	22.63%
311.	Sheffield Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,395	22.63%
312.	Gillingham and Rainham	South East	13,314	22.71%
313.	Havant	South East	9,711	22.80%
314.	Swindon South	South West	19,833	22.83%
315.	Harborough, Oadby and Wigston	East Midlands	13,882	22.83%
316.	Buckingham and Bletchley	South East	13,302	22.84%
317.	Milton Keynes North	South East	15,953	22.89%
318.	Lancashire West	North West	20,262	22.92%
319.	Hartlepool	North East	15,842	22.93%
320.	Huntingdon	East of England	13,436	22.94%
321.	Southend East and Rochford	East of England	13,126	22.94%
322.	Dumfries and Galloway	Scotland	11,435	22.95%
323.	Basingstoke	South East	17,746	22.99%
324.	Loughborough	East Midlands	14,688	23.02%
325.	Leigh and Atherton	North West	18,374	23.06%
326.	Hornsey and Friern Barnet	London	22,436	23.06%
327.	Norfolk Mid	East of England	13,644	23.07%
328.	Coventry East	West Midlands	17,081	23.07%
329.	Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,607	23.10%
330.	Wolverhampton West	West Midlands	17,955	23.11%
331.	Altrincham and Sale West	North West	16,071	23.12%
332.	Salford	North West	18,380	23.15%
333.	Chingford and Woodford Green	London	16,006	23.19%
334.	Bedfordshire Mid	East of England	12,844	23.22%
335.	Hove and Portslade	South East	24,163	23.27%
336.	Chatham and Aylesford	South East	11,514	23.30%
337.	Jarrow and Gateshead East	North East	17,116	23.30%
338.	Hornchurch and Upminster	London	12,879	23.31%
339.	Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)	Scotland	6,310	23.32%
340.	Blyth and Ashington	North East	18,597	23.33%
341.	Leeds North East	Yorkshire and the Humber	21,092	23.35%
342.	Birkenhead	North West	20,176	23.39%
343.	Tooting	London	24,771	23.39%
344.	Houghton and Sunderland South	North East	16,547	23.43%
345.	Bolton West	North West	15,397	23.44%
346.	Rhondda and Ogmore	Wales	16,183	23.44%
347.	Gorton and Denton	North West	17,156	23.46%
348.	Angus and Perthshire Glens	Scotland	15,986	23.48%
349.	Ashford	South East	12,817	23.50%
350.	Clacton	East of England	19,209	23.51%
351.	Greenwich and Woolwich	London	20,134	23.57%
352.	Wolverhampton North East	West Midlands	13,280	23.61%
353.	Scarborough and Whitby	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,859	23.63%
354.	Aberafan Maesteg	Wales	16,922	23.66%
355.	Ribble Valley	North West	13,176	23.68%
356.	Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock	Scotland	13,849	23.68%
357.	Mitcham and Morden	London	21,463	23.71%
358.	Wetherby and Easingwold	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,246	23.73%
359.	Edinburgh South	Scotland	22,230	23.74%
360.	Stoke-on-Trent North	West Midlands	13,668	23.75%
361.	Sherwood Forest	East Midlands	17,003	23.76%
362.	Wythenshawe and Sale East	North West	18,611	23.78%
363.	Harrow West	London	17,429	23.84%
364.	Hamilton and Clyde Valley	Scotland	19,509	23.85%
365.	Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket	East of England	13,591	23.85%
366.	Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North	West Midlands	9,713	23.87%
367.	Bassetlaw	East Midlands	16,480	23.87%
368.	Broxbourne	East of England	13,122	23.90%
369.	Runcorn and Helsby	North West	20,209	23.92%
370.	Plymouth Moor View	South West	15,899	24.02%
371.	Wolverhampton South East	West Midlands	16,042	24.03%
372.	Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy	Scotland	17,069	24.06%
373.	Wyre Forest	West Midlands	11,680	24.07%
374.	St Helens North	North West	19,485	24.07%
375.	Aldridge-Brownhills	West Midlands	14,146	24.08%
376.	Bromley and Biggin Hill	London	11,577	24.10%
377.	Goole and Pocklington	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,601	24.18%
378.	Rugby	West Midlands	16,281	24.19%
379.	Aberdeen North	Scotland	11,950	24.21%
380.	East Ham	London	18,360	24.23%
381.	Wellingborough and Rushden	East Midlands	16,164	24.28%
382.	Midlothian	Scotland	18,891	24.28%
383.	Skipton and Ripon	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,639	24.30%
384.	Blackley and Middleton South	North West	15,272	24.37%
385.	Nottingham East	East Midlands	17,753	24.39%
386.	Shipley	Yorkshire and the Humber	20,397	24.42%
387.	Tipton and Wednesbury	West Midlands	11,163	24.42%
388.	Earley and Woodley	South East	12,067	24.43%
389.	Derbyshire Dales	East Midlands	12,899	24.48%
390.	Doncaster North	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,186	24.49%
391.	Llanelli	Wales	11,497	24.53%
392.	Harwich and Essex North	East of England	12,961	24.56%
393.	Renfrewshire East	Scotland	20,785	24.62%
394.	Herne Bay and Sandwich	South East	14,534	24.65%
395.	Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney	Wales	14,759	24.66%
396.	Ayrshire Central	Scotland	17,108	24.72%
397.	Southend West and Leigh	East of England	13,565	24.73%
398.	Macclesfield	North West	22,190	24.76%
399.	Washington and Gateshead South	North East	16,080	24.76%
400.	Bristol East	South West	18,035	24.79%
401.	York Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	21,486	24.80%
402.	Rochester and Strood	South East	13,509	24.83%
403.	Ossett and Denby Dale	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,447	24.86%
404.	Leeds South	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,777	24.90%
405.	Hayes and Harlington	London	19,089	24.91%
406.	Amber Valley	East Midlands	14,156	24.93%
407.	Blackburn	North West	9,829	24.94%
408.	Bury North	North West	18,308	24.96%
409.	Sittingbourne and Sheppey	South East	10,598	24.98%
410.	Derbyshire South	East Midlands	15,600	25.00%
411.	Makerfield	North West	15,467	25.01%
412.	Clwyd East	Wales	16,625	25.10%
413.	Lewisham North	London	22,183	25.11%
414.	Basildon and Billericay	East of England	10,613	25.15%
415.	Whitehaven and Workington	North West	21,055	25.16%
416.	Corby and Northamptonshire East	East Midlands	18,829	25.20%
417.	Nuneaton	West Midlands	13,876	25.23%
418.	Erith and Thamesmead	London	20,374	25.23%
419.	Dwyfor Meirionnydd	Wales	20,407	25.26%
420.	Brent West	London	14,245	25.26%
421.	Rawmarsh and Conisbrough	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,475	25.27%
422.	Liverpool Garston	North West	21,271	25.33%
423.	Congleton	North West	16,090	25.34%
424.	Sefton Central	North West	24,142	25.44%
425.	Aberdeenshire North and Moray East	Scotland	10,673	25.48%
426.	Rossendale and Darwen	North West	17,006	25.50%
427.	Rushcliffe	East Midlands	22,158	25.51%
428.	Liverpool Wavertree	North West	20,318	25.52%
429.	Hyndburn	North West	10,976	25.54%
430.	Kettering	East Midlands	16,652	25.55%
431.	Normanton and Hemsworth	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,956	25.57%
432.	Barnsley North	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,274	25.65%
433.	Blackpool South	North West	15,875	25.66%
434.	Portsmouth North	South East	11,464	25.69%
435.	Lewisham West and Dulwich East	London	23,848	25.69%
436.	Harrow East	London	23,955	25.69%
437.	Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,876	25.71%
438.	Blackpool North and Fleetwood	North West	15,426	25.78%
439.	Rutherglen	Scotland	19,746	25.84%
440.	Dudley	West Midlands	11,159	25.87%
441.	Peckham	London	20,089	25.89%
442.	Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,300	25.93%
443.	Colne Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,963	25.96%
444.	Stirling and Strathallan	Scotland	14,326	25.98%
445.	Brighton Pavilion	South East	27,205	25.98%
446.	Vale of Glamorgan	Wales	16,128	25.99%
447.	Cambridgeshire North West	East of England	11,593	26.01%
448.	Ellesmere Port and Bromborough	North West	21,858	26.04%
449.	Lewisham East	London	21,175	26.05%
450.	Old Bexley and Sidcup	London	15,983	26.11%
451.	Alloa and Grangemouth	Scotland	16,888	26.13%
452.	Lichfield	West Midlands	13,660	26.17%
453.	Lowestoft	East of England	12,975	26.20%
454.	Bexleyheath and Crayford	London	13,513	26.23%
455.	High Peak	East Midlands	20,826	26.25%
456.	Pembrokeshire Mid and South	Wales	14,133	26.28%
457.	Dulwich and West Norwood	London	23,871	26.30%
458.	Tottenham	London	21,138	26.33%
459.	Brigg and Immingham	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,463	26.40%
460.	Croydon South	London	15,373	26.45%
461.	Swindon North	South West	15,844	26.58%
462.	Stafford	West Midlands	16,855	26.65%
463.	Wallasey	North West	22,831	26.71%
464.	Beverley and Holderness	Yorkshire and the Humber	12,115	26.71%
465.	Stourbridge	West Midlands	13,731	26.73%
466.	Welwyn Hatfield	East of England	16,760	26.75%
467.	Kensington and Bayswater	London	14,115	26.75%
468.	Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge	West Midlands	16,928	26.80%
469.	Castle Point	East of England	14,144	26.81%
470.	Cannock Chase	West Midlands	14,642	26.81%
471.	East Kilbride and Strathaven	Scotland	21,608	26.87%
472.	Newark	East Midlands	17,942	26.88%
473.	Burton and Uttoxeter	West Midlands	14,559	26.94%
474.	Dartford	South East	13,208	27.01%
475.	Worthing West	South East	17,811	27.18%
476.	Romford	London	13,444	27.20%
477.	Glasgow West	Scotland	17,305	27.21%
478.	Leicestershire Mid	East Midlands	15,291	27.24%
479.	Hackney South and Shoreditch	London	22,728	27.25%
480.	Barrow and Furness	North West	16,857	27.32%
481.	Tatton	North West	15,342	27.37%
482.	Ashfield	East Midlands	16,443	27.42%
483.	Easington	North East	15,963	27.45%
484.	Derbyshire Mid	East Midlands	14,985	27.57%
485.	Peterborough	East of England	11,672	27.59%
486.	Fylde	North West	13,797	27.60%
487.	Warwickshire North and Bedworth	West Midlands	13,499	27.60%
488.	Sutton Coldfield	West Midlands	15,915	27.67%
489.	Bradford West	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,968	27.67%
490.	Walthamstow	London	25,436	27.73%
491.	Hackney North and Stoke Newington	London	22,793	27.82%
492.	Waveney Valley	East of England	19,253	27.83%
493.	Basildon South and Thurrock East	East of England	11,107	27.84%
494.	Redditch	West Midlands	12,645	27.98%
495.	Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West	Scotland	17,672	28.01%
496.	Forest of Dean	South West	13,769	28.05%
497.	Scunthorpe	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,542	28.17%
498.	Finchley and Golders Green	London	18,482	28.20%
499.	Pendle and Clitheroe	North West	14,090	28.21%
500.	Redcar	North East	14,121	28.27%
501.	Arbroath and Broughty Ferry	Scotland	13,332	28.27%
502.	Paisley and Renfrewshire South	Scotland	18,268	28.44%
503.	Livingston	Scotland	16,299	28.48%
504.	Birmingham Ladywood	West Midlands	13,847	28.50%
505.	Paisley and Renfrewshire North	Scotland	18,187	28.55%
506.	Tamworth	West Midlands	13,887	28.56%
507.	Liverpool Riverside	North West	18,495	28.56%
508.	Herefordshire North	West Midlands	20,300	28.60%
509.	Clwyd North	Wales	13,109	28.62%
510.	Gravesham	South East	15,089	28.63%
511.	Mansfield	East Midlands	15,249	28.63%
512.	Glasgow North	Scotland	13,513	28.71%
513.	Widnes and Halewood	North West	21,891	28.72%
514.	Harlow	East of England	14,963	28.74%
515.	Falkirk	Scotland	17,251	28.75%
516.	Edinburgh East and Musselburgh	Scotland	16,841	28.80%
517.	Glasgow South	Scotland	16,380	28.85%
518.	Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke	Scotland	18,346	28.86%
519.	Airdrie and Shotts	Scotland	18,146	28.91%
520.	Ayrshire North and Arran	Scotland	15,816	29.02%
521.	Great Yarmouth	East of England	13,283	29.10%
522.	Ynys Mon	Wales	10,151	29.16%
523.	Staffordshire Moorlands	West Midlands	13,811	29.18%
524.	Leicestershire North West	East Midlands	15,242	29.30%
525.	Stoke-on-Trent South	West Midlands	12,644	29.35%
526.	Leicester South	East Midlands	13,314	29.48%
527.	Darlington	North East	14,886	29.70%
528.	Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme	Yorkshire and the Humber	13,956	29.76%
529.	Derbyshire North East	East Midlands	15,432	29.82%
530.	Barnsley South	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,227	29.87%
531.	Bristol Central	South West	23,377	29.91%
532.	Ilford North	London	14,559	29.92%
533.	Boston and Skegness	East Midlands	14,145	30.00%
534.	Monmouthshire	Wales	18,731	30.27%
535.	Glasgow North East	Scotland	15,047	30.54%
536.	Birmingham Perry Barr	West Midlands	12,001	30.67%
537.	Glasgow East	Scotland	14,671	30.72%
538.	Kilmarnock and Loudoun	Scotland	18,205	30.81%
539.	Islington North	London	22,459	31.04%
540.	Uxbridge and Ruislip South	London	14,847	31.06%
541.	Chelsea and Fulham	London	14,945	31.40%
542.	Dunbartonshire West	Scotland	18,473	31.48%
543.	Chipping Barnet	London	18,971	31.57%
544.	Liverpool West Derby	North West	24,026	31.61%
545.	Glenrothes and Mid Fife	Scotland	14,390	31.64%
546.	Coatbridge and Bellshill	Scotland	18,620	31.70%
547.	Glasgow South West	Scotland	14,594	31.71%
548.	Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch	Scotland	17,219	31.91%
549.	Knowsley	North West	23,011	31.92%
550.	Dundee Central	Scotland	13,142	32.09%
551.	Bootle	North West	25,428	32.70%
552.	Rother Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,848	33.29%
553.	Hendon	London	13,889	33.63%
554.	Liverpool Walton	North West	25,087	34.01%
555.	Hexham	North East	21,612	34.54%
556.	Keighley and Ilkley	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,619	34.64%
557.	Stockton West	North East	19,169	35.01%
558.	Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East	North East	14,436	37.39%

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

Liberal Democrat Target Seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament Election

Below is the list of Liberal Democrat target seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

(order by percentage majority)

Rank		Region	Majority over LD	Swing Needed
1.	Caithness Sutherland and Ross	Highlands and Islands	2,591	3.51%
2.	Argyll and Bute	Highlands and Islands	9,734	14.50%
3.	Strathkelvin and Bearsden	West Scotland	14,389	15.56%
4.	Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch	Highlands and Islands	17,414	20.18%
5.	Aberdeen Central	North East Scotland	12,800	20.23%
6.	Dunfermline	Mid Scotland and Fife	16,852	20.58%
7.	Inverness and Nairn	Highlands and Islands	18,901	21.40%
8.	Edinburgh Central	Lothian	13,721	21.55%
9.	Edinburgh Northern and Leith	Lothian	20,408	21.79%
10.	Clackmannanshire and Dunblane	Mid Scotland and Fife	15,310	22.20%
11.	Linlithgow	Lothian	20,567	22.32%
12.	Glasgow Kelvin	Glasgow	13,558	22.47%
13.	Aberdeen Donside	North East Scotland	16,352	22.77%
14.	Cunninghame South	West Scotland	14,493	24.06%
15.	Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale	South Scotland	17,192	24.09%
16.	Edinburgh Eastern	Lothian	20,623	24.32%
17.	Renfrewshire North and West	West Scotland	16,771	24.79%
18.	Mid Fife and Glenrothes	Mid Scotland and Fife	16,326	24.99%
19.	Almond Valley	Lothian	21,074	25.22%
20.	Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)	Highlands and Islands	7,101	25.23%

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

Liberal Democrat Target Seats for the 2026 Senedd Election

Below is the list of Liberal Democrat target seats for the 2026 Senedd election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

(order by percentage majority)

Rank		Region	Majority over LD	Swing Needed
1.	Brecon and Radnorshire	Mid and West Wales	3,820	5.95%
2.	Cardiff Central	South Wales Central	7,640	13.39%
3.	Montgomeryshire	Mid and West Wales	7,806	15.62%
4.	Islwyn	South Wales East	9,486	19.37%
5.	Swansea West	South Wales West	9,481	19.76%
6.	Pontypridd	South Wales Central	10,883	20.16%
7.	Aberavon	South Wales West	9,552	21.54%
8.	Torfaen	South Wales East	10,392	21.69%
9.	Neath	South Wales West	11,271	21.94%
10.	Dwyfor Meirionnydd	Mid and West Wales	10,574	22.20%
11.	Ceredigion	Mid and West Wales	13,719	22.30%
12.	Carmarthen East and Dinefwr	Mid and West Wales	14,286	22.47%
13.	Cardiff South and Penarth	South Wales Central	16,751	23.02%
14.	Cardiff West	South Wales Central	16,862	23.08%
15.	Blaenau Gwent	South Wales East	9,893	23.76%

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

2029 General Election

Poll of Polls

Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results