Liberal Democrat Target Seats

Below are lists of Liberal Democrat target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.

Contents

» Scottish Parliament

» Welsh Assembly

Liberal Democrat Target Seats 2025

Below is the list of Liberal Democrat target seats for the 2025 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

(order by percentage majority)

Rank		Region	Majority	Swing Needed
1.	Dunbartonshire East	Scotland	149	0.14%
2.	Wimbledon	London	628	0.59%
3.	Sheffield Hallam	Yorkshire and the Humber	712	0.63%
4.	Carshalton and Wallington	London	629	0.64%
5.	Cheltenham	South West	981	0.83%
6.	Winchester	South East	985	0.84%
7.	Cheadle	North West	2,336	2.09%
8.	Cambridgeshire South	East of England	2,904	2.17%
9.	Esher and Walton	South East	2,743	2.17%
10.	Lewes	South East	2,457	2.24%
11.	Guildford	South East	3,337	2.84%
12.	Eastbourne	South East	4,331	3.93%
13.	St Ives	South West	4,280	4.16%
14.	Cities of London and Westminster	London	3,953	4.63%
15.	Hazel Grove	North West	4,423	5.00%
16.	Hitchin and Harpenden	East of England	6,895	5.86%
17.	Finchley and Golders Green	London	6,562	5.95%
18.	Wokingham	South East	7,383	5.95%
19.	Surrey South West	South East	8,817	7.31%
20.	Wells	South West	9,991	8.11%
21.	Sutton and Cheam	London	8,351	8.27%
22.	Harrogate and Knaresborough	Yorkshire and the Humber	9,675	8.50%
23.	Brecon and Radnorshire	Wales	7,131	8.63%
24.	Cambridgeshire South East	East of England	11,490	8.92%
25.	Cambridge	East of England	9,639	8.97%
26.	Woking	South East	9,767	9.05%
27.	Taunton Deane	South West	11,700	9.18%
28.	Wantage	South East	12,653	9.42%
29.	Chippenham	South West	11,288	9.88%
30.	Ceredigion	Wales	8,233	10.26%
31.	Mole Valley	South East	12,041	10.54%
32.	Romsey and Southampton North	South East	10,872	10.58%
33.	Dorset West	South West	14,106	11.58%
34.	Thornbury and Yate	South West	12,369	11.84%
35.	Ross, Skye and Lochaber	Scotland	9,443	11.84%
36.	Henley	South East	14,053	11.96%
37.	Chelsea and Fulham	London	11,241	12.00%
38.	Totnes	South West	12,724	12.19%
39.	Witney	South East	15,177	12.38%
40.	Hampstead and Kilburn	London	14,959	13.03%
41.	Eastleigh	South East	15,607	13.23%
42.	Devon North	South West	14,813	13.33%
43.	Newbury	South East	16,047	13.37%
44.	Tunbridge Wells	South East	14,645	13.40%
45.	Yeovil	South West	16,181	13.65%
46.	Bermondsey and Old Southwark	London	16,126	13.76%
47.	Somerset North East	South West	15,938	14.15%
48.	Norfolk North	East of England	14,395	14.16%
49.	Cornwall North	South West	14,752	14.27%
50.	Sussex Mid	South East	18,197	14.50%
51.	Chesham and Amersham	South East	16,223	14.57%
52.	Leeds North West	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,574	14.79%
53.	Somerton and Frome	South West	19,213	14.80%
54.	Epsom and Ewell	South East	17,873	15.03%
55.	Dorset Mid and Poole North	South West	14,898	15.22%
56.	Chelmsford	East of England	17,621	15.42%
57.	Durham, City of	North East	12,596	15.50%
58.	Surrey Heath	South East	18,349	15.64%
59.	Streatham	London	17,690	15.65%
60.	York Outer	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,332	15.66%
61.	Hornsey and Wood Green	London	19,242	15.75%
62.	Buckingham	South East	20,411	16.08%
63.	Wiltshire North	South West	17,626	16.09%
64.	Edinburgh North and Leith	Scotland	19,290	16.25%
65.	Cotswolds, The	South West	20,214	16.52%
66.	Newton Abbot	South West	17,501	16.65%
67.	Maidenhead	South East	18,846	16.68%
68.	Kensington	London	7,456	16.69%
69.	Horsham	South East	21,127	16.70%
70.	Ealing Central and Acton	London	18,688	17.05%
71.	Hampshire North East	South East	20,211	17.05%
72.	Reigate	South East	18,345	17.26%
73.	Hampshire East	South East	19,696	17.31%
74.	Vauxhall	London	19,612	17.41%
75.	Somerset North	South West	21,750	17.52%
76.	Chichester	South East	21,490	17.54%
77.	Torbay	South West	17,749	17.60%
78.	Montgomeryshire	Wales	12,138	17.74%
79.	Islington South and Finsbury	London	17,328	18.12%
80.	Stratford-on-Avon	West Midlands	19,972	18.14%
81.	Dunfermline and Fife West	Scotland	19,465	18.20%
82.	Linlithgow and Falkirk East	Scotland	21,158	18.31%
83.	Tewkesbury	South West	22,410	18.33%
84.	Arundel and South Downs	South East	22,521	18.34%
85.	Salisbury	South West	19,736	18.37%
86.	Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey	Scotland	20,401	18.61%
87.	Windsor	South East	20,079	18.68%
88.	Aylesbury	South East	22,656	18.70%
89.	Putney	London	14,232	18.74%
90.	Runnymede and Weybridge	South East	20,026	18.79%
91.	Colchester	East of England	19,485	18.85%
92.	Beckenham	London	19,088	18.88%
93.	Bromley and Chislehurst	London	17,337	19.02%
94.	Rushcliffe	East Midlands	19,165	19.04%
95.	Edinburgh South West	Scotland	19,859	19.05%
96.	Tooting	London	22,506	19.24%
97.	Berwick-upon-Tweed	North East	16,291	19.34%
98.	Kenilworth and Southam	West Midlands	20,353	19.35%
99.	Eddisbury	North West	20,513	19.36%
100.	Huntingdon	East of England	22,954	19.40%
101.	Brentford and Isleworth	London	21,952	19.61%
102.	Hertfordshire South West	East of England	24,076	19.67%
103.	Harborough	East Midlands	22,595	19.71%
104.	Croydon South	London	23,482	19.78%
105.	Paisley and Renfrewshire North	Scotland	19,692	19.82%
106.	East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow	Scotland	22,353	19.84%
107.	Stockport	North West	16,652	19.96%
108.	Welwyn Hatfield	East of England	20,792	19.97%
109.	Edinburgh South	Scotland	19,926	20.03%
110.	Devon Central	South West	23,325	20.08%
111.	Banbury	South East	25,317	20.12%
112.	Surrey East	South East	24,040	20.14%
113.	Solihull	West Midlands	22,332	20.18%
114.	Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner	London	21,405	20.23%
115.	Livingston	Scotland	22,160	20.30%
116.	Sevenoaks	South East	20,818	20.43%
117.	Hertfordshire North East	East of England	22,730	20.54%
118.	Westminster North	London	17,647	20.56%
119.	Edinburgh East	Scotland	19,876	20.78%
120.	Suffolk Coastal	East of England	24,239	20.79%
121.	Basingstoke	South East	22,752	20.79%
122.	Battersea	London	18,140	20.79%
123.	South Shields	North East	15,759	20.80%
124.	Hertford and Stortford	East of England	25,116	20.90%
125.	Devon West and Torridge	South West	24,992	20.92%
126.	Tatton	North West	20,565	21.00%
127.	Argyll and Bute	Scotland	14,208	21.02%
128.	Wealden	South East	25,655	21.06%
129.	Meon Valley	South East	23,555	21.19%
130.	Worcestershire West	West Midlands	24,499	21.29%
131.	Bournemouth West	South West	19,619	21.34%
132.	Oxford East	South East	21,251	21.53%
133.	Cornwall South East	South West	23,157	21.58%
134.	Greenwich and Woolwich	London	22,932	21.59%
135.	Poole	South West	21,780	21.59%
136.	Swansea West	Wales	15,500	21.63%
137.	Glasgow North West	Scotland	16,962	21.65%
138.	Dorset North	South West	24,301	21.66%
139.	Broadland	East of England	24,739	21.71%
140.	Bournemouth East	South West	19,508	21.72%
141.	Paisley and Renfrewshire South	Scotland	18,719	21.72%
142.	Jarrow	North East	16,003	21.81%
143.	Watford	East of England	17,098	21.81%
144.	Hull North	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,949	21.85%
145.	Spelthorne	South East	21,642	21.86%
146.	Saffron Walden	East of England	27,594	21.87%
147.	Aldershot	South East	21,060	21.97%
148.	Maidstone and The Weald	South East	22,738	22.00%
149.	Norfolk South	East of England	27,514	22.02%
150.	Easington	North East	14,197	22.02%
151.	Macclesfield	North West	22,608	22.09%
152.	Hemel Hempstead	East of England	22,651	22.09%
153.	Hexham	North East	20,480	22.19%
154.	Bracknell	South East	24,145	22.21%
155.	Norwich South	East of England	22,990	22.25%
156.	Hammersmith	London	23,127	22.25%
157.	Skipton and Ripon	Yorkshire and the Humber	26,218	22.32%
158.	Hampshire North West	South East	26,308	22.33%
159.	Worthing West	South East	24,451	22.37%
160.	Glenrothes	Scotland	18,595	22.38%
161.	Monmouth	Wales	21,251	22.44%
162.	Blaenau Gwent	Wales	13,577	22.46%
163.	Weston-Super-Mare	South West	25,048	22.52%
164.	East Lothian	Scotland	17,085	22.56%
165.	Midlothian	Scotland	16,640	22.68%
166.	Falkirk	Scotland	25,361	22.70%
167.	Tiverton and Honiton	South West	27,086	22.72%
168.	Derbyshire Dales	East Midlands	22,729	22.72%
169.	St Austell and Newquay	South West	25,412	22.78%
170.	Wiltshire South West	South West	25,023	22.79%
171.	Kilmarnock and Loudoun	Scotland	21,772	22.85%
172.	Cardiff West	Wales	21,177	22.93%
173.	Dundee East	Scotland	20,788	22.96%
174.	Birmingham Yardley	West Midlands	19,625	22.99%
175.	Penistone and Stocksbridge	Yorkshire and the Humber	18,634	23.07%
176.	Cardiff Central	Wales	19,307	23.08%
177.	Inverclyde	Scotland	16,735	23.11%
178.	Blaydon	North East	16,091	23.12%
179.	Leeds North East	Yorkshire and the Humber	23,359	23.13%
180.	Wythenshawe and Sale East	North West	20,744	23.17%
181.	Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East	Scotland	21,192	23.19%
182.	Aberdeen North	Scotland	17,359	23.20%
183.	Glasgow South	Scotland	20,043	23.27%
184.	St Helens North	North West	22,202	23.34%
185.	York Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	23,163	23.39%
186.	Bedfordshire North East	East of England	30,444	23.41%
187.	Sheffield Heeley	Yorkshire and the Humber	18,559	23.51%
188.	Nottingham South	East Midlands	22,651	23.53%
189.	Shrewsbury and Atcham	West Midlands	25,115	23.53%
190.	Ludlow	West Midlands	23,648	23.54%
191.	Devizes	South West	23,993	23.54%
192.	Ogmore	Wales	16,142	23.56%
193.	Bedfordshire Mid	East of England	30,521	23.58%
194.	Tonbridge and Malling	South East	26,941	23.63%
195.	Christchurch	South West	24,617	23.69%
196.	Ealing North	London	23,666	23.84%
197.	Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)	Scotland	5,894	23.87%
198.	Bosworth	East Midlands	26,960	23.89%
199.	Southend West	East of England	22,243	23.90%
200.	Newcastle upon Tyne North	North East	16,997	23.90%
201.	Swansea East	Wales	15,996	23.90%
202.	Dundee West	Scotland	19,887	23.91%
203.	Neath	Wales	14,435	23.94%
204.	Orpington	London	23,330	23.94%
205.	Middlesbrough	North East	16,391	24.04%
206.	Dorset South	South West	24,592	24.08%
207.	Cynon Valley	Wales	14,584	24.12%
208.	Cardiff South and Penarth	Wales	24,397	24.12%
209.	Lewisham East	London	21,622	24.12%
210.	Sutton Coldfield	West Midlands	25,246	24.12%
211.	Congleton	North West	27,721	24.22%
212.	Rochdale	North West	21,163	24.23%
213.	New Forest West	South East	24,403	24.25%
214.	Dunbartonshire West	Scotland	20,506	24.26%
215.	Tyneside North	North East	21,810	24.29%
216.	Bridgwater and Somerset West	South West	28,022	24.30%
217.	Norfolk Mid	East of England	27,312	24.30%
218.	Islington North	London	26,188	24.34%
219.	Bassetlaw	East Midlands	24,746	24.34%
220.	Poplar and Limehouse	London	29,828	24.34%
221.	Herefordshire North	West Midlands	24,856	24.35%
222.	Hereford and Herefordshire South	West Midlands	24,209	24.38%
223.	Rutland and Melton	East Midlands	28,537	24.47%
224.	Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney	Wales	15,797	24.49%
225.	Elmet and Rothwell	Yorkshire and the Humber	28,571	24.53%
226.	Lewisham West and Penge	London	25,600	24.57%
227.	Penrith and The Border	North West	23,511	24.58%
228.	Derbyshire Mid	East Midlands	24,271	24.59%
229.	Rugby	West Midlands	25,048	24.65%
230.	Hartlepool	North East	13,768	24.79%
231.	Newcastle upon Tyne East	North East	21,514	24.81%
232.	Birmingham Selly Oak	West Midlands	24,545	24.81%
233.	Glasgow North	Scotland	14,588	24.83%
234.	Suffolk South	East of England	26,568	24.84%
235.	Fareham	South East	28,453	24.85%
236.	Aberdeen South	Scotland	15,370	24.94%
237.	Islwyn	Wales	14,043	24.98%
238.	Harwich and Essex North	East of England	25,964	24.98%
239.	New Forest East	South East	25,379	24.99%
240.	Hertsmere	East of England	26,090	24.99%
241.	Bristol South	South West	23,668	25.02%
242.	Bedfordshire South West	East of England	26,777	25.12%
243.	Newcastle upon Tyne Central	North East	18,859	25.16%
244.	Folkestone and Hythe	South East	29,728	25.19%
245.	Aberavon	Wales	15,936	25.22%
246.	Ashfield	East Midlands	18,126	25.30%
247.	Northamptonshire South	East Midlands	33,864	25.31%
248.	Harrow West	London	20,822	25.31%
249.	Leeds West	Yorkshire and the Humber	20,399	25.32%
250.	Salford and Eccles	North West	25,656	25.34%
251.	Devon South West	South West	27,079	25.37%
252.	Sefton Central	North West	25,868	25.42%
253.	Bromsgrove	West Midlands	27,629	25.45%
254.	Southport	North West	16,415	25.46%
255.	Faversham and Kent Mid	South East	25,694	25.49%
256.	Thirsk and Malton	Yorkshire and the Humber	28,860	25.50%
257.	Slough	South East	26,064	25.53%
258.	Swindon North	South West	28,176	25.56%
259.	Suffolk Central and Ipswich North	East of England	28,768	25.57%
260.	Wycombe	South East	18,223	25.58%
261.	Wyre and Preston North	North West	27,126	25.63%
262.	Bexhill and Battle	South East	30,310	25.65%
263.	Bristol East	South West	24,190	25.69%
264.	Barnsley East	Yorkshire and the Humber	12,999	25.69%
265.	Richmond (Yorks)	Yorkshire and the Humber	29,704	25.74%
266.	Ealing Southall	London	21,745	25.75%
267.	Altrincham and Sale West	North West	20,275	25.81%
268.	Holborn and St Pancras	London	29,327	25.82%
269.	Selby and Ainsty	Yorkshire and the Humber	29,153	25.84%
270.	Ribble Valley	North West	28,570	25.84%
271.	Hove	South East	29,145	25.84%
272.	Cambridgeshire North West	East of England	33,426	25.90%
273.	Portsmouth South	South East	17,650	25.91%
274.	Haltemprice and Howden	Yorkshire and the Humber	25,830	25.94%
275.	Ashford	South East	31,222	25.99%
276.	Durham North	North East	15,760	26.11%
277.	Rhondda	Wales	15,503	26.15%
278.	Daventry	East Midlands	30,023	26.15%
279.	Stafford	West Midlands	26,817	26.21%
280.	Truro and Falmouth	South West	20,087	26.23%
281.	Bognor Regis and Littlehampton	South East	26,876	26.23%
282.	Rochford and Southend East	East of England	24,241	26.27%
283.	Manchester Withington	North West	27,905	26.33%
284.	Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough	Yorkshire and the Humber	20,852	26.33%
285.	Shropshire North	West Midlands	29,801	26.37%
286.	Wigan	North West	18,614	26.39%
287.	St Helens South and Whiston	North West	26,571	26.41%
288.	Derbyshire North East	East Midlands	25,876	26.41%
289.	Lanark and Hamilton East	Scotland	19,206	26.42%
290.	Rochester and Strood	South East	27,434	26.42%
291.	Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath	Scotland	13,665	26.43%
292.	Fylde	North West	24,684	26.45%
293.	Ayrshire North and Arran	Scotland	21,269	26.47%
294.	Havant	South East	24,343	26.48%
295.	Stevenage	East of England	21,196	26.50%
296.	Mitcham and Morden	London	24,247	26.50%
297.	Kingswood	South West	24,291	26.51%
298.	Meriden	West Midlands	28,744	26.54%
299.	Bexleyheath and Crayford	London	23,037	26.63%
300.	Beverley and Holderness	Yorkshire and the Humber	28,579	26.69%
301.	Rotherham	Yorkshire and the Humber	12,646	26.72%
302.	Kettering	East Midlands	26,420	26.76%
303.	Newark	East Midlands	29,352	26.80%
304.	Torfaen	Wales	13,715	26.83%
305.	Epping Forest	East of England	26,977	26.83%
306.	Rother Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	19,417	26.90%
307.	Oldham West and Royton	North West	23,095	26.93%
308.	Dover	South East	25,935	26.94%
309.	Portsmouth North	South East	24,753	26.96%
310.	Washington and Sunderland West	North East	13,870	27.05%
311.	Gloucester	South West	24,821	27.05%
312.	Lichfield	West Midlands	29,212	27.05%
313.	Houghton and Sunderland South	North East	13,891	27.07%
314.	Leyton and Wanstead	London	24,170	27.13%
315.	Wellingborough	East Midlands	28,199	27.16%
316.	Stretford and Urmston	North West	27,226	27.19%
317.	Barnsley Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	13,628	27.25%
318.	Leicestershire South	East Midlands	31,339	27.27%
319.	Warley	West Midlands	20,313	27.27%
320.	Charnwood	East Midlands	30,265	27.33%
321.	Grantham and Stamford	East Midlands	30,641	27.36%
322.	Stone	West Midlands	27,275	27.36%
323.	Stourbridge	West Midlands	25,011	27.37%
324.	Brent Central	London	26,935	27.41%
325.	Gateshead	North East	17,658	27.42%
326.	Brentwood and Ongar	East of England	29,121	27.50%
327.	Wrekin, The	West Midlands	26,962	27.57%
328.	Burton	West Midlands	26,879	27.57%
329.	Worcestershire Mid	West Midlands	30,952	27.58%
330.	Renfrewshire East	Scotland	20,703	27.60%
331.	Birkenhead	North West	23,370	27.61%
332.	Gosport	South East	26,753	27.61%
333.	Thanet North	South East	26,627	27.63%
334.	Sherwood	East Midlands	29,166	27.67%
335.	Derbyshire South	East Midlands	29,578	27.70%
336.	Plymouth Moor View	South West	24,530	27.72%
337.	Bradford East	Yorkshire and the Humber	24,509	27.74%
338.	Telford	West Midlands	22,872	27.86%
339.	Burnley	North West	12,219	27.88%
340.	Gillingham and Rainham	South East	25,670	27.93%
341.	Hull West and Hessle	Yorkshire and the Humber	11,628	27.98%
342.	Southampton Test	South East	18,807	27.99%
343.	Dartford	South East	30,270	28.02%
344.	Leicestershire North West	East Midlands	30,197	28.05%
345.	Stirling	Scotland	24,028	28.08%
346.	South Ribble	North West	26,308	28.09%
347.	Old Bexley and Sidcup	London	25,964	28.13%
348.	Gainsborough	East Midlands	28,736	28.15%
349.	Chesterfield	East Midlands	14,186	28.18%
350.	Halesowen and Rowley Regis	West Midlands	23,869	28.18%
351.	Yorkshire East	Yorkshire and the Humber	29,769	28.21%
352.	Glasgow Central	Scotland	17,798	28.24%
353.	Nuneaton	West Midlands	25,528	28.25%
354.	Preston	North West	19,133	28.31%
355.	Suffolk West	East of England	29,157	28.34%
356.	Redditch	West Midlands	25,002	28.37%
357.	Gravesham	South East	26,996	28.38%
358.	Sunderland Central	North East	15,311	28.40%
359.	Clwyd West	Wales	18,166	28.40%
360.	Airdrie and Shotts	Scotland	16,510	28.43%
361.	Brent North	London	22,846	28.46%
362.	Leeds Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	28,070	28.48%
363.	Waveney	East of England	29,175	28.53%
364.	Thanet South	South East	24,357	28.53%
365.	Broxbourne	East of England	26,661	28.54%
366.	Motherwell and Wishaw	Scotland	18,947	28.54%
367.	Wyre Forest	West Midlands	28,879	28.56%
368.	Luton North	East of England	21,433	28.61%
369.	Witham	East of England	28,292	28.67%
370.	Scarborough and Whitby	Yorkshire and the Humber	24,555	28.73%
371.	Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,150	28.75%
372.	Amber Valley	East Midlands	26,223	28.77%
373.	Croydon North	London	32,019	28.79%
374.	Brighton Kemptown	South East	22,069	28.86%
375.	Blackley and Broughton	North West	22,297	28.87%
376.	Reading East	South East	22,067	28.87%
377.	Camborne and Redruth	South West	23,260	28.91%
378.	Barking	London	25,737	28.92%
379.	Birmingham Edgbaston	West Midlands	17,868	28.95%
380.	Harlow	East of England	25,113	28.96%
381.	Norfolk North West	East of England	27,002	28.97%
382.	Glasgow East	Scotland	16,731	29.01%
383.	Braintree	East of England	29,333	29.04%
384.	Feltham and Heston	London	21,749	29.05%
385.	Filton and Bradley Stoke	South West	21,301	29.12%
386.	Carlisle	North West	20,830	29.18%
387.	Worthing East and Shoreham	South East	22,980	29.19%
388.	Doncaster North	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,264	29.23%
389.	Rutherglen and Hamilton West	Scotland	20,984	29.29%
390.	Basildon and Billericay	East of England	25,849	29.29%
391.	Birmingham Perry Barr	West Midlands	24,693	29.29%
392.	Hornchurch and Upminster	London	31,633	29.30%
393.	Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Scotland	16,499	29.35%
394.	Romford	London	27,786	29.42%
395.	Cardiff North	Wales	22,484	29.43%
396.	Staffordshire Moorlands	West Midlands	25,723	29.46%
397.	Great Grimsby	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,080	29.46%
398.	Sleaford and North Hykeham	East Midlands	39,328	29.55%
399.	Makerfield	North West	17,846	29.61%
400.	Erewash	East Midlands	25,073	29.64%

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

Liberal Democrat Target Seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament Election

Below is the list of Liberal Democrat target seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

(order by percentage majority)

Rank		Region	Majority	Swing Needed
1.	Caithness Sutherland and Ross	Highlands and Islands	2,591	3.51%
2.	Argyll and Bute	Highlands and Islands	9,734	14.50%
3.	Strathkelvin and Bearsden	West Scotland	14,389	15.56%
4.	Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch	Highlands and Islands	17,414	20.18%
5.	Aberdeen Central	North East Scotland	12,800	20.23%
6.	Dunfermline	Mid Scotland and Fife	16,852	20.58%
7.	Inverness and Nairn	Highlands and Islands	18,901	21.40%
8.	Edinburgh Central	Lothian	13,721	21.55%
9.	Edinburgh Northern and Leith	Lothian	20,408	21.79%
10.	Clackmannanshire and Dunblane	Mid Scotland and Fife	15,310	22.20%
11.	Linlithgow	Lothian	20,567	22.32%
12.	Glasgow Kelvin	Glasgow	13,558	22.47%
13.	Aberdeen Donside	North East Scotland	16,352	22.77%
14.	Cunninghame South	West Scotland	14,493	24.06%
15.	Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale	South Scotland	17,192	24.09%
16.	Edinburgh Eastern	Lothian	20,623	24.32%
17.	Renfrewshire North and West	West Scotland	16,771	24.79%
18.	Mid Fife and Glenrothes	Mid Scotland and Fife	16,326	24.99%
19.	Almond Valley	Lothian	21,074	25.22%
20.	Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)	Highlands and Islands	7,101	25.23%

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

Liberal Democrat Target Seats for the 2026 Welsh Assembly Election

Below is the list of Liberal Democrat target seats for the 2026 Welsh Assembly election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Welsh Assembly election.

(order by percentage majority)

Rank		Region	Majority	Swing Needed
1.	Brecon and Radnorshire	Mid and West Wales	3,820	5.95%
2.	Cardiff Central	South Wales Central	7,640	13.39%
3.	Montgomeryshire	Mid and West Wales	7,806	15.62%
4.	Islwyn	South Wales East	9,486	19.37%
5.	Swansea West	South Wales West	9,481	19.76%
6.	Pontypridd	South Wales Central	10,883	20.16%
7.	Aberavon	South Wales West	9,552	21.54%
8.	Torfaen	South Wales East	10,392	21.69%
9.	Neath	South Wales West	11,271	21.94%
10.	Dwyfor Meirionnydd	Mid and West Wales	10,574	22.20%
11.	Ceredigion	Mid and West Wales	13,719	22.30%
12.	Carmarthen East and Dinefwr	Mid and West Wales	14,286	22.47%
13.	Cardiff South and Penarth	South Wales Central	16,751	23.02%
14.	Cardiff West	South Wales Central	16,862	23.08%
15.	Blaenau Gwent	South Wales East	9,893	23.76%

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Welsh Assembly election.

Quick Links

North Shropshire By-Election 2021

Old Bexley and Sidcup By-Election 2021

2024 General Election Polling

Swingometer 2024

Labour Target Seats 2024

Conservative Target Seats 2024

Liberal Democrat Target Seats 2024

2019 General Election Results