On this page are the latest UK election polls for the 2029 general election together with three uniform swing calculations of the polling average (Great Britain, Scotland and Wales separately). The seat and majority calculations are lifted directly from the 2029 UK Parliament swingometer.
Note: General Elections are scheduled to be held a maximum of 5 years from the first meeting of parliament plus 25 working days in accordance with the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. We will refer to the election as if it were to be held in 2029 unless it becomes clear that an early general election will happen.
Here is the polling average of the polls below together with the polling averages for Scotland and Wales. Information on how the Election 2029 polling average is calculated is available here.
Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
Reform UK | 14.69% | 30.52% | +15.83% | 5 | 320 | +315 | 0 | +315 | |
Labour | 34.64% | 20.30% | -14.34% | 411 | 138 | 0 | -273 | -273 | |
Conservative | 24.36% | 17.62% | -6.74% | 121 | 36 | +7 | -92 | -85 | |
Liberal Democrat | 12.56% | 13.47% | +0.91% | 72 | 76 | +5 | -1 | +4 | |
Green | 6.91% | 9.75% | +2.85% | 4 | 5 | +1 | 0 | +1 | |
SNP | 2.59% | 2.75% | +0.17% | 9 | 41 | +32 | 0 | +32 | |
Plaid Cymru | 0.70% | 1.08% | +0.39% | 4 | 6 | +2 | 0 | +2 |
See which seats have changed hands using our seat calculator.
See a seat by seat breakdown of our prediction.
At the bottom of this page are the most recent general election 2029 polls for the next United Kingdom general election ordered from newest to oldest. These polls should be used in conjunction with the United Kingdom swingometer for the 2029 general election. Pollsters ask the participants how they would vote if there were a general election tomorrow, or words to that effect.
Last Day of Field Work | Pollster / Client | Sample Size | Weight | LAB | CON | REF | LD | GRN | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Oct 2025 | Find Out Now | 2,611 | 1.00 | 19 | 14 | 35 | 12 | 11 | 16 |
1 Oct 2025 | Focaldata | 2,014 | 1.00 | 21 | 20 | 29 | 14 | 10 | 8 |
29 Sep 2025 | YouGov / The Times / Sky News | 1,637 | 0.90 | 22 | 16 | 29 | 15 | 11 | 7 |
29 Sep 2025 | More in Common | 1,562 | 0.90 | 20 | 20 | 30 | 14 | 8 | 10 |
26 Sep 2025 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,050 | 0.75 | 22 | 17 | 32 | 14 | 7 | 10 |
25 Sep 2025 | Survation / The Daily Mail | 2,027 | 0.70 | 22 | 17 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
24 Sep 2025 | YouGov (MRP) / The Times / Sky News | 13,000 | 0.65 | 21 | 17 | 27 | 15 | 11 | 6 |
24 Sep 2025 | Find Out Now | 2,665 | 0.45 | 17 | 14 | 33 | 16 | 12 | 16 |
22 Sep 2025 | YouGov / The Times / Sky News | 2,348 | 0.35 | 21 | 16 | 29 | 14 | 12 | 8 |
22 Sep 2025 | More in Common | 2,055 | 0.35 | 25 | 20 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 3 |
19 Sep 2025 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,050 | 0.20 | 22 | 17 | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 |
18 Sep 2025 | Techne | 1,635 | 0.35 | 20 | 19 | 30 | 15 | 9 | 10 |
18 Sep 2025 | Find Out Now | 4,795 | - | 16 | 16 | 34 | 13 | 12 | 18 |
17 Sep 2025 | Ipsos | - | 0.30 | 22 | 14 | 34 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
15 Sep 2025 | YouGov / The Times / Sky News | 2,384 | - | 20 | 17 | 29 | 15 | 10 | 9 |
15 Sep 2025 | More in Common | 2,037 | - | 22 | 18 | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 |
15 Sep 2025 | Lord Ashcroft Polls | 5,082 | 0.20 | 22 | 19 | 27 | 10 | 13 | 5 |
10 Sep 2025 | Find Out Now | 2,717 | - | 19 | 15 | 34 | 12 | 12 | 15 |
8 Sep 2025 | YouGov / The Times / Sky News | 2,500 | - | 22 | 17 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 5 |
8 Sep 2025 | More in Common | 2,106 | - | 21 | 18 | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
5 Sep 2025 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,050 | - | 23 | 18 | 30 | 12 | 10 | 7 |
4 Sep 2025 | Techne | 1,644 | - | 21 | 18 | 31 | 14 | 10 | 10 |
3 Sep 2025 | Find Out Now | 2,576 | - | 19 | 17 | 32 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
2 Sep 2025 | Survation | 1,818 | - | 24 | 19 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 6 |
1 Sep 2025 | YouGov / The Times / Sky News | 2,523 | - | 20 | 17 | 29 | 15 | 10 | 9 |
1 Sep 2025 | JL Partners / The Sun | 2,118 | - | 22 | 18 | 32 | 12 | 7 | 10 |
31 Aug 2025 | Freshwater Strategy / City AM | 1,251 | - | 20 | 17 | 33 | 15 | 7 | 13 |
28 Aug 2025 | BMG Research / The i | 1,504 | - | 20 | 17 | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 |
27 Aug 2025 | Find Out Now | 2,538 | - | 18 | 15 | 34 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
26 Aug 2025 | YouGov / The Times / Sky News | 2,439 | - | 20 | 17 | 28 | 16 | 11 | 8 |
26 Aug 2025 | More in Common | 2,000 | - | 22 | 18 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 8 |
22 Aug 2025 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,050 | - | 23 | 17 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 |
20 Aug 2025 | Find Out Now | 2,615 | - | 18 | 17 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
19 Aug 2025 | Focaldata | 1,500 | - | 24 | 18 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 5 |
18 Aug 2025 | YouGov / The Times / Sky News | 2,394 | - | 21 | 18 | 28 | 15 | 10 | 7 |
18 Aug 2025 | More in Common | 2,000 | - | 21 | 20 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 |
18 Aug 2025 | Lord Ashcroft | 5,029 | - | 23 | 20 | 27 | 11 | 11 | 4 |
14 Aug 2025 | Find Out Now | 2,513 | - | 19 | 19 | 31 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
11 Aug 2025 | YouGov / The Times / Sky News | 2,501 | - | 21 | 17 | 28 | 16 | 10 | 7 |
11 Aug 2025 | More in Common | 2,015 | - | 22 | 22 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 8 |
8 Aug 2025 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,050 | - | 22 | 17 | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 |
6 Aug 2025 | Find Out Now | 2,627 | - | 20 | 16 | 32 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
4 Aug 2025 | YouGov / The Times / Sky News | 1,691 | - | 21 | 17 | 27 | 15 | 11 | 6 |
3 Aug 2025 | More in Common | 2,042 | - | 22 | 18 | 31 | 14 | 7 | 9 |
3 Aug 2025 | Freshwater Strategy / City AM | 1,259 | - | 22 | 18 | 33 | 14 | 6 | 11 |
31 Jul 2025 | BMG Research / The i | 1,528 | - | 23 | 18 | 32 | 13 | 8 | 9 |
30 Jul 2025 | Find Out Now | 2,654 | - | 20 | 17 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
28 Jul 2025 | YouGov / The Times / Sky News | 2,208 | - | 22 | 17 | 29 | 14 | 11 | 7 |
28 Jul 2025 | More in Common | 2,153 | - | 23 | 20 | 29 | 13 | 7 | 6 |
25 Jul 2025 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,050 | - | 25 | 17 | 32 | 13 | 8 | 7 |
23 Jul 2025 | Find Out Now | 2,651 | - | 20 | 16 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 14 |
21 Jul 2025 | YouGov / The Times / Sky News | 2,273 | - | 23 | 17 | 27 | 15 | 11 | 4 |
20 Jul 2025 | More in Common | 2,153 | - | 22 | 21 | 29 | 15 | 8 | 7 |
18 Jul 2025 | JL Partners / The Telegraph | 2,035 | - | 23 | 17 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 |
18 Jul 2025 | Focaldata | 1,271 | - | 23 | 19 | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 |
16 Jul 2025 | Find Out Now | 2,603 | - | 20 | 17 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 10 |
14 Jul 2025 | YouGov / The Times / Sky News | 2,513 | - | 22 | 17 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 6 |
14 Jul 2025 | More in Common | 2,311 | - | 24 | 20 | 27 | 13 | 9 | 3 |
11 Jul 2025 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,052 | - | 24 | 18 | 29 | 13 | 9 | 5 |
10 Jul 2025 | Find Out Now / MultiComms Ltd | 1,308 | - | 21 | 16 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
10 Jul 2025 | Techne | 1,628 | - | 22 | 18 | 29 | 16 | 9 | 7 |
9 Jul 2025 | Find Out Now | 2,651 | - | 22 | 19 | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 |
7 Jul 2025 | YouGov / The Times / Sky News | 2,513 | - | 24 | 16 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 2 |
7 Jul 2025 | More in Common | 2,084 | - | 24 | 19 | 29 | 14 | 7 | 5 |
6 Jul 2025 | Freshwater Strategy / City AM | 1,259 | - | 23 | 19 | 31 | 16 | 6 | 8 |
2 Jul 2025 | Find Out Now | 2,604 | - | 22 | 16 | 30 | 15 | 11 | 8 |
30 Jun 2025 | YouGov / The Times / Sky News | 2,392 | - | 24 | 17 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 2 |
30 Jun 2025 | More in Common | 2,532 | - | 24 | 19 | 29 | 12 | 9 | 5 |
30 Jun 2025 | Lord Ashcroft Polls / The Mail on Sunday | 5,018 | - | 22 | 21 | 27 | 11 | 13 | 5 |
30 Jun 2025 | More in Common (MRP) | 11,282 | - | 22 | 21 | 28 | 15 | 8 | 6 |
27 Jun 2025 | Survation | 1,700 | - | 26 | 19 | 27 | 12 | 8 | 1 |
27 Jun 2025 | Opinium / The Observer | 2,050 | - | 25 | 17 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 5 |
26 Jun 2025 | Techne | 1,628 | - | 23 | 18 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 5 |
25 Jun 2025 | Find Out Now | 2,605 | - | 22 | 18 | 30 | 13 | 11 | 8 |
25 Jun 2025 | BMG Research / The i | - | - | 27 | 19 | 30 | 12 | 7 | 3 |