On this page are the latest UK election polls for the 2029 general election together with three uniform swing calculations of the polling average (Great Britain, Scotland and Wales separately). The seat and majority calculations are lifted directly from the 2029 UK Parliament swingometer.
Note: General Elections are scheduled to be held a maximum of 5 years from the first meeting of parliament plus 25 working days in accordance with the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. We will refer to the election as if it were to be held in 2029 unless it becomes clear that an early general election will happen.
Here is the polling average of the polls below together with the polling averages for Scotland and Wales. Information on how the Election 2029 polling average is calculated is available here.
Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
Labour | 34.64% | 29.36% | -5.28% | 411 | 348 | 0 | -63 | -63 | |
Conservative | 24.36% | 25.50% | +1.14% | 121 | 171 | +50 | 0 | +50 | |
Reform UK | 14.69% | 18.40% | +3.71% | 5 | 8 | +3 | 0 | +3 | |
Liberal Democrat | 12.56% | 12.65% | +0.10% | 72 | 71 | 0 | -1 | -1 | |
Green | 6.90% | 8.04% | +1.13% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
SNP | 2.59% | 2.69% | +0.11% | 9 | 14 | +5 | 0 | +5 | |
Plaid Cymru | 0.70% | 0.70% | +0.01% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
See which seats have changed hands using our seat calculator.
See a seat by seat breakdown of our prediction.
At the bottom of this page are the most recent general election 2029 polls for the next United Kingdom general election ordered from newest to oldest. These polls should be used in conjunction with the United Kingdom swingometer for the 2029 general election. Pollsters ask the participants how they would vote if there were a general election tomorrow, or words to that effect.
Last Day of Field Work | Pollster / Client | Sample Size | Weight | LAB | CON | REF | LD | GRN | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 Nov 2024 | More in Common | 2,007 | 1.00 | 28 | 26 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 2 |
31 Oct 2024 | Opinium / The Observer | 1,548 | 0.95 | 31 | 24 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
31 Oct 2024 | BMG Research | 1,511 | 0.95 | 28 | 29 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 1 |
31 Oct 2024 | Techne | 1,632 | 0.95 | 30 | 24 | 18 | 14 | 7 | 6 |
24 Oct 2024 | Techne | 1,644 | 0.40 | 29 | 24 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 5 |
18 Oct 2024 | Opinium / The Observer | 1,565 | 0.10 | 31 | 24 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 7 |
17 Oct 2024 | Techne | 1,636 | - | 28 | 25 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 3 |
13 Oct 2024 | JL Partners / The Telegraph | 2,000 | 0.05 | 29 | 25 | 18 | 14 | 7 | 4 |
10 Oct 2024 | More in Common / The Times | 2,000 | - | 27 | 27 | 21 | 13 | 7 | Tie |
10 Oct 2024 | Techne | 1,651 | - | 29 | 24 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 5 |
7 Oct 2024 | More in Common / Politico | 2,023 | - | 29 | 28 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 |
7 Oct 2024 | Deltapoll | 2,108 | - | 29 | 25 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 4 |
4 Oct 2024 | Opinium / The Observer | 1,491 | - | 31 | 24 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 7 |
3 Oct 2024 | BMG Research / The i | 1,562 | - | 30 | 25 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 5 |
3 Oct 2024 | Techne | 1,643 | - | 31 | 23 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 8 |
26 Sep 2024 | Techne | 1,638 | - | 32 | 22 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 10 |
25 Sep 2024 | More in Common | 2,080 | - | 30 | 26 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 4 |
19 Sep 2024 | Techne / The Independent | 1,641 | - | 33 | 21 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 12 |
12 Sep 2024 | More in Common / Politico | 1,542 | - | 29 | 25 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 4 |
29 Aug 2024 | BMG Research / The i | 1,560 | - | 30 | 26 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 4 |
8 Aug 2024 | We Think | 1,278 | - | 33 | 20 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
7 Aug 2024 | BMG Research / The i | 1,523 | - | 33 | 24 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 9 |
2 Aug 2024 | Stonehaven | 2,048 | - | 34 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
26 Jul 2024 | We Think | 2,012 | - | 36 | 22 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 14 |
12 Jul 2024 | We Think | 2,005 | - | 39 | 20 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 19 |