Conservative Target Seats

Below are lists of Conservative target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the specified election.

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Conservative Target Seats 2029

Below is the list of Conservative target seats for the 2029 general election based on the 2024 boundaries. The list is ordered from the most vulnerable seats to the safest.

		Region	Majority Over CON	Swing To Win
1	Hendon	London	15	0.02%
2	Poole	South West	18	0.02%
3	Cambridgeshire North West	East of England	39	0.04%
4	Peterborough	East of England	118	0.14%
5	Chelsea and Fulham	London	152	0.16%
6	Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East	North East	214	0.28%
7	Forest of Dean	South West	278	0.29%
8	Derbyshire Dales	East Midlands	350	0.34%
9	Sittingbourne and Sheppey	South East	355	0.43%
10	Ely and Cambridgeshire East	East of England	495	0.47%
11	Hampshire North East	South East	634	0.57%
12	Somerset North	South West	639	0.59%
13	Aylesbury	South East	630	0.63%
14	Uxbridge and Ruislip South	London	587	0.64%
15	Norfolk South West	East of England	630	0.71%
16	Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard	East of England	667	0.72%
17	Stoke-on-Trent South	West Midlands	627	0.77%
18	Ribble Valley	North West	856	0.82%
19	Lichfield	West Midlands	810	0.82%
20	Bracknell	South East	784	0.89%
21	Earley and Woodley	South East	848	0.92%
22	Redditch	West Midlands	789	0.93%
23	Portsmouth North	South East	780	0.94%
24	Pendle and Clitheroe	North West	902	0.96%
25	Ynys Mon	Wales	637	0.98%
26	Leicestershire North West	East Midlands	1,012	1.04%
27	Dorset South	South West	1,048	1.07%
28	Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey	Scotland	1,001	1.08%
29	Suffolk Coastal	East of England	1,070	1.08%
30	Rother Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	998	1.20%
31	Aberdeenshire North and Moray East	Scotland	942	1.23%
32	Dartford	South East	1,192	1.34%
33	Dorset Mid and Poole North	South West	1,352	1.37%
34	Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket	East of England	1,452	1.43%
35	Clwyd North	Wales	1,196	1.44%
36	Reading West and Mid Berkshire	South East	1,361	1.46%
37	Tamworth	West Midlands	1,382	1.58%
38	Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe	Wales	1,472	1.58%
39	Eastleigh	South East	1,546	1.67%
40	Hertfordshire North East	East of England	1,923	1.83%
41	Ashford	South East	1,779	1.89%
42	Derbyshire North East	East Midlands	1,753	1.91%
43	Cornwall South East	South West	1,911	1.94%
44	Derbyshire Mid	East Midlands	1,878	1.98%
45	Pembrokeshire Mid and South	Wales	1,878	2.01%
46	Southend West and Leigh	East of England	1,949	2.07%
47	Horsham	South East	2,517	2.27%
48	Hyndburn	North West	1,687	2.32%
49	Newton Abbot	South West	2,246	2.34%
50	Melksham and Devizes	South West	2,401	2.34%
51	Lowestoft	East of England	2,016	2.41%
52	Newbury	South East	2,377	2.43%
53	Bexleyheath and Crayford	London	2,114	2.43%
54	Chatham and Aylesford	South East	1,998	2.45%
55	Burton and Uttoxeter	West Midlands	2,266	2.48%
56	Boston and Skegness	East Midlands	2,010	2.48%
57	Buckingham and Bletchley	South East	2,421	2.54%
58	St Austell and Newquay	South West	2,470	2.64%
59	Dudley	West Midlands	1,900	2.65%
60	Warwickshire North and Bedworth	West Midlands	2,198	2.68%
61	Darlington	North East	2,298	2.71%
62	Norfolk North	East of England	2,585	2.75%
63	Thornbury and Yate	South West	3,014	2.82%
64	Norfolk South	East of England	2,826	2.85%
65	Chipping Barnet	London	2,914	2.86%
66	Harlow	East of England	2,504	2.89%
67	Maidenhead	South East	2,963	2.94%
68	Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme	Yorkshire and the Humber	2,311	2.95%
69	Gravesham	South East	2,712	3.14%
70	Monmouthshire	Wales	3,338	3.28%
71	Congleton	North West	3,387	3.38%
72	Banbury	South East	3,256	3.38%
73	Epsom and Ewell	South East	3,686	3.38%
74	Rochester and Strood	South East	2,930	3.44%
75	Cities of London and Westminster	London	2,708	3.45%
76	Kensington and Bayswater	London	2,903	3.46%
77	Hexham	North East	3,713	3.58%
78	Cannock Chase	West Midlands	3,125	3.64%
79	Tiverton and Minehead	South West	3,507	3.69%
80	Gloucester	South West	3,431	3.75%
81	Kettering	East Midlands	3,820	3.80%
82	Stourbridge	West Midlands	3,073	3.85%
83	Worthing West	South East	3,949	3.87%
84	Welwyn Hatfield	East of England	3,799	3.92%
85	Sutton and Cheam	London	3,801	3.99%
86	Altrincham and Sale West	North West	4,174	4.06%
87	Bournemouth West	South West	3,224	4.09%
88	Perth and Kinross-shire	Scotland	4,127	4.12%
89	Nuneaton	West Midlands	3,479	4.22%
90	Aberdeen South	Scotland	3,913	4.22%
91	Mansfield	East Midlands	3,485	4.24%
92	Witney	South East	4,339	4.29%
93	Folkestone and Hythe	South East	3,729	4.31%
94	Redcar	North East	3,323	4.35%
95	St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire	East of England	4,621	4.37%
96	Hertford and Stortford	East of England	4,748	4.40%
97	Rugby	West Midlands	4,428	4.52%
98	Scunthorpe	Yorkshire and the Humber	3,542	4.54%
99	Derbyshire South	East Midlands	4,168	4.56%
100	Brent West	London	3,793	4.58%
101	Vale of Glamorgan	Wales	4,216	4.60%
102	Isle of Wight West	South East	3,177	4.63%
103	Northampton South	East Midlands	4,071	4.64%
104	Swindon North	South West	4,103	4.65%
105	Finchley and Golders Green	London	4,581	4.65%
106	Chelmsford	East of England	4,753	4.69%
107	Cotswolds South	South West	4,973	4.76%
108	Gillingham and Rainham	South East	3,972	4.83%
109	Clwyd East	Wales	4,622	4.83%
110	Basildon South and Thurrock East	East of England	2,019	4.86%
111	Bicester and Woodstock	South East	4,958	4.94%
112	Stafford	West Midlands	4,595	4.99%
113	Chesham and Amersham	South East	5,451	5.01%
114	Southend East and Rochford	East of England	4,027	5.08%
115	Wycombe	South East	4,591	5.14%
116	Angus and Perthshire Glens	Scotland	4,870	5.14%
117	Ossett and Denby Dale	Yorkshire and the Humber	4,542	5.18%
118	Northumberland North	North East	5,067	5.19%
119	Weston-Super-Mare	South West	4,409	5.20%
120	Somerset North East and Hanham	South West	5,319	5.20%
121	Watford	East of England	4,723	5.31%
122	Tipton and Wednesbury	West Midlands	3,385	5.31%
123	Penrith and Solway	North West	5,257	5.33%
124	Colne Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	4,963	5.37%
125	Dorking and Horley	South East	5,391	5.39%
126	Hemel Hempstead	East of England	4,857	5.51%
127	Bolton West	North West	4,945	5.54%
128	Blackpool North and Fleetwood	North West	4,647	5.56%
129	Sherwood Forest	East Midlands	5,443	5.59%
130	Carlisle	North West	5,200	5.65%
131	Halesowen	West Midlands	4,364	5.66%
132	Didcot and Wantage	South East	6,233	5.69%
133	Waveney Valley	East of England	5,594	5.70%
134	Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr	Wales	4,934	5.70%
135	Burnley	North West	4,540	5.72%
136	Crawley	South East	5,235	5.73%
137	Frome and Somerset East	South West	5,415	5.80%
138	Torbay	South West	5,349	5.80%
139	Herefordshire North	West Midlands	5,894	5.85%
140	Aldershot	South East	5,683	5.85%
141	Loughborough	East Midlands	4,960	5.87%
142	Henley and Thame	South East	6,267	5.89%
143	Surrey Heath	South East	5,640	5.90%
144	Amber Valley	East Midlands	5,021	5.90%
145	Milton Keynes North	South East	5,430	5.91%
146	Bangor Aberconwy	Wales	4,972	5.97%
147	Morecambe and Lunesdale	North West	5,815	6.05%
148	Bournemouth East	South West	5,479	6.10%
149	Scarborough and Whitby	Yorkshire and the Humber	5,408	6.11%
150	Wellingborough and Rushden	East Midlands	5,486	6.24%
151	Sussex Mid	South East	6,662	6.25%
152	Barrow and Furness	North West	5,324	6.30%
153	Rossendale and Darwen	North West	5,628	6.31%
154	Corby and Northamptonshire East	East Midlands	6,331	6.38%
155	Newcastle-under-Lyme	West Midlands	5,069	6.40%
156	Southport	North West	5,789	6.42%
157	Bassetlaw	East Midlands	5,768	6.43%
158	Rushcliffe	East Midlands	7,426	6.43%
159	Tewkesbury	South West	6,262	6.45%
160	Plymouth Moor View	South West	5,604	6.54%
161	Devon North	South West	6,744	6.56%
162	Honiton and Sidmouth	South West	6,700	6.61%
163	Basingstoke	South East	6,484	6.62%
164	Stratford-on-Avon	West Midlands	7,122	6.72%
165	Erewash	East Midlands	5,859	6.81%
166	Glastonbury and Somerton	South West	6,611	6.94%
167	Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock	Scotland	5,683	6.94%
168	Argyll, Bute and Lochaber South	Scotland	6,232	6.95%
169	South Ribble	North West	6,501	6.96%
170	Stoke-on-Trent North	West Midlands	5,082	7.03%
171	Birmingham Northfield	West Midlands	5,389	7.16%
172	Great Yarmouth	East of England	4,351	7.18%
173	Devon South	South West	7,127	7.27%
174	Cheltenham	South West	7,210	7.28%
175	Caerfyrddin	Wales	6,695	7.34%
176	Harrow West	London	6,642	7.34%
177	Wrexham	Wales	5,948	7.37%
178	Dorset West	South West	7,789	7.40%
179	Bolsover	East Midlands	6,323	7.45%
180	Spen Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	6,217	7.57%
181	Bury North	North West	6,944	7.63%
182	Milton Keynes Central	South East	7,291	7.64%
183	Bolton North East	North West	6,653	7.67%
184	Hitchin	East of England	8,109	7.72%
185	Wokingham	South East	8,345	7.73%
186	Worcester	West Midlands	7,116	7.73%
187	Stevenage	East of England	6,618	7.75%
188	Halifax	Yorkshire and the Humber	6,269	7.79%
189	Croydon East	London	6,825	7.79%
190	Walsall and Bloxwich	West Midlands	5,835	7.84%
191	Harrogate and Knaresborough	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,238	7.91%
192	Tunbridge Wells	South East	8,687	8.01%
193	Southampton Itchen	South East	6,105	8.02%
194	High Peak	East Midlands	7,908	8.04%
195	Truro and Falmouth	South West	8,151	8.11%
196	Wolverhampton North East	West Midlands	5,422	8.14%
197	Thanet East	South East	6,971	8.16%
198	Camborne and Redruth	South West	7,806	8.17%
199	Chippenham	South West	8,138	8.22%
200	Bishop Auckland	North East	6,672	8.25%
201	Slough	South East	7,209	8.33%
202	Ipswich	East of England	7,403	8.40%
203	Carshalton and Wallington	London	7,905	8.47%
204	Macclesfield	North West	9,120	8.64%
205	Guildford	South East	8,429	8.73%
206	Broxtowe	East Midlands	8,403	8.78%
207	Shipley	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,603	8.91%
208	Luton South and Bedfordshire South	East of England	6,858	8.93%
209	Dover and Deal	South East	8,570	8.97%
210	Wolverhampton West	West Midlands	7,868	9.01%
211	Hazel Grove	North West	8,317	9.04%
212	Oldham East and Saddleworth	North West	7,253	9.05%
213	Calder Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,991	9.06%
214	Clacton	East of England	8,405	9.14%
215	Canterbury	South East	8,653	9.16%
216	Colchester	East of England	8,250	9.19%
217	York Outer	Yorkshire and the Humber	9,391	9.19%
218	Eltham and Chislehurst	London	8,429	9.25%
219	Hastings and Rye	South East	8,653	9.41%
220	Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes	Yorkshire and the Humber	7,067	9.65%
221	Luton North	East of England	7,510	9.69%
222	Cambridgeshire South	East of England	10,641	9.69%
223	Worthing East and Shoreham	South East	9,519	9.70%
224	Cornwall North	South West	9,957	9.72%
225	Harpenden and Berkhamsted	East of England	10,708	9.85%
226	Filton and Bradley Stoke	South West	10,000	9.93%
227	Penistone and Stocksbridge	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,739	9.94%
228	Wirral West	North West	9,998	10.01%
229	Feltham and Heston	London	7,944	10.21%
230	Crewe and Nantwich	North West	9,727	10.30%
231	Stroud	South West	11,388	10.31%
232	Selby	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,195	10.36%
233	Lincoln	East Midlands	8,793	10.43%
234	Leeds South West and Morley	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,423	10.47%
235	Bradford South	Yorkshire and the Humber	6,980	10.56%
236	Huddersfield	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,542	10.63%
237	Thurrock	East of England	8,041	10.70%
238	Swindon South	South West	9,606	10.72%
239	Cardiff West	Wales	9,607	10.73%
240	Cheshire Mid	North West	8,927	10.75%
241	Lancaster and Wyre	North West	9,253	10.76%
242	Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley	West Midlands	8,953	10.76%
243	Northampton North	East Midlands	9,014	10.78%
244	Brentford and Isleworth	London	9,824	10.85%
245	Derby North	East Midlands	8,915	10.89%
246	Preston	North West	8,794	10.99%
247	Shrewsbury	West Midlands	11,355	11.01%
248	Wells and Mendip Hills	South West	11,121	11.04%
249	Bury South	North West	9,361	11.09%
250	Esher and Walton	South East	12,003	11.14%
251	Birmingham Edgbaston	West Midlands	8,368	11.18%
252	Warrington South	North West	11,340	11.41%
253	Wimbledon	London	12,610	11.47%
254	Bedford	East of England	9,430	11.60%
255	Telford	West Midlands	9,484	11.64%
256	Heywood and Middleton North	North West	8,646	11.64%
257	Woking	South East	11,246	11.68%
258	Chichester	South East	12,172	11.72%
259	Ilford North	London	6,028	11.73%
260	Bridgend	Wales	9,752	11.79%
261	Cardiff North	Wales	11,207	11.80%
262	Norwich North	East of England	10,850	11.85%
263	Taunton and Wellington	South West	11,939	11.87%
264	Lewes	South East	12,624	11.87%
265	Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven	South East	9,663	11.88%
266	Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton	North West	9,166	11.88%
267	Coventry South	West Midlands	10,201	11.94%
268	Leeds North West	Yorkshire and the Humber	11,896	11.95%
269	Stirling and Strathallan	Scotland	7,387	12.04%
270	Cheadle	North West	12,235	12.06%
271	Alyn and Deeside	Wales	10,503	12.10%
272	Winchester	South East	13,821	12.11%
273	Durham North	North East	10,070	12.11%
274	Stockton North	North East	9,100	12.17%
275	Hartlepool	North East	8,647	12.18%
276	Gedling	East Midlands	11,881	12.19%
277	Gower	Wales	11,567	12.25%
278	Beckenham and Penge	London	12,905	12.36%
279	Stoke-on-Trent Central	West Midlands	8,729	12.37%
280	Leicester West	East Midlands	8,777	12.40%
281	Dagenham and Rainham	London	9,645	12.41%
282	Derby South	East Midlands	9,311	12.45%
283	Yeovil	South West	12,268	12.53%
284	Doncaster Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	9,551	12.59%
285	Warwick and Leamington	West Midlands	12,412	12.61%
286	Ilford South	London	10,395	12.62%
287	Putney	London	12,488	12.67%
288	Stalybridge and Hyde	North West	9,448	12.69%
289	Bath	South West	12,224	12.70%
290	Newport West and Islwyn	Wales	10,699	12.75%
291	Battersea	London	12,039	12.79%
292	Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor	North East	10,199	12.80%
293	Newport East	Wales	9,883	12.82%
294	Wakefield and Rothwell	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,451	12.85%
295	Chesterfield	East Midlands	10,820	13.02%
296	Southampton Test	South East	9,333	13.03%
297	Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North	West Midlands	6,021	13.05%
298	West Bromwich	West Midlands	9,554	13.09%
299	Torfaen	Wales	9,439	13.22%
300	Caerphilly	Wales	10,153	13.28%
301	Chester North and Neston	North West	11,870	13.28%
302	Coventry North West	West Midlands	11,174	13.29%
303	Eastbourne	South East	12,204	13.38%
304	Renfrewshire East	Scotland	13,441	13.38%
305	Birmingham Erdington	West Midlands	9,372	13.73%
306	Nottingham North and Kimberley	East Midlands	9,693	13.84%
307	Sunderland Central	North East	11,121	13.92%
308	Reading Central	South East	12,637	13.95%
309	Bradford East	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,648	14.31%
310	St Ives	South West	13,786	14.33%
311	Hull West and Haltemprice	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,951	14.34%
312	Ayrshire Central	Scotland	11,944	14.42%
313	Ealing North	London	12,519	14.48%
314	Middlesbrough and Thornaby East	North East	10,064	14.62%
315	Enfield North	London	12,736	14.64%
316	Ealing Central and Acton	London	13,995	14.65%
317	Doncaster North	Yorkshire and the Humber	9,126	14.72%
318	Bolton South and Walkden	North West	10,923	14.79%
319	Exeter	South West	11,937	14.85%
320	Leeds East	Yorkshire and the Humber	11,712	14.87%
321	South Shields	North East	10,994	14.93%
322	Birmingham Selly Oak	West Midlands	11,537	15.01%
323	Dewsbury and Batley	Yorkshire and the Humber	11,459	15.05%
324	Cramlington and Killingworth	North East	13,682	15.07%
325	Edinburgh South West	Scotland	13,105	15.08%
326	Bristol North East	South West	12,788	15.23%
327	Cardiff East	Wales	11,920	15.23%
328	Cardiff South and Penarth	Wales	11,969	15.28%
329	Warrington North	North West	12,244	15.29%
330	Edmonton and Winchmore Hill	London	12,632	15.39%
331	Lancashire West	North West	13,625	15.41%
332	Hampstead and Highgate	London	14,970	15.42%
333	Shropshire North	West Midlands	15,311	15.44%
334	Bristol South	South West	13,574	15.64%
335	Nottingham South	East Midlands	10,294	15.65%
336	Hayes and Harlington	London	12,031	15.70%
337	Swansea West	Wales	11,225	15.74%
338	Ashton-under-Lyne	North West	11,200	15.79%
339	Pontypridd	Wales	12,450	15.81%
340	Worsley and Eccles	North West	13,486	15.85%
341	Tynemouth	North East	15,455	15.96%
342	Poplar and Limehouse	London	13,797	16.02%
343	Leeds West and Pudsey	Yorkshire and the Humber	12,392	16.10%
344	Oxford West and Abingdon	South East	14,894	16.19%
345	Blackpool South	North West	11,412	16.22%
346	Neath and Swansea East	Wales	13,032	16.23%
347	Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley	Yorkshire and the Humber	11,683	16.25%
348	Coventry East	West Midlands	12,068	16.30%
349	Barking	London	11,933	16.36%
350	Aberdeen North	Scotland	8,652	16.37%
351	Leigh and Atherton	North West	13,488	16.38%
352	Whitehaven and Workington	North West	13,718	16.39%
353	Richmond Park	London	17,155	16.43%
354	Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	South West	13,922	16.54%
355	Hammersmith and Chiswick	London	15,290	16.61%
356	Houghton and Sunderland South	North East	13,323	16.64%
357	Wolverhampton South East	West Midlands	11,146	16.69%
358	Bristol East	South West	14,313	16.71%
359	Southgate and Wood Green	London	15,300	16.75%
360	Ealing Southall	London	15,793	16.87%
361	Normanton and Hemsworth	Yorkshire and the Humber	12,280	16.89%
362	Gateshead Central and Whickham	North East	13,617	16.93%
363	Portsmouth South	South East	13,214	16.97%
364	Kingston and Surbiton	London	17,235	17.01%
365	Llanelli	Wales	8,476	17.11%
366	Durham, City of	North East	13,910	17.12%
367	Blyth and Ashington	North East	13,909	17.21%
368	Brent East	London	13,047	17.26%
369	Cambridge	East of England	14,541	17.27%
370	Ayrshire North and Arran	Scotland	10,867	17.31%
371	Norwich South	East of England	15,678	17.38%
372	West Ham and Beckton	London	12,653	17.41%
373	Sheffield South East	Yorkshire and the Humber	12,458	17.41%
374	Smethwick	West Midlands	12,312	17.53%
375	Stretford and Urmston	North West	16,150	17.55%
376	Washington and Gateshead South	North East	13,028	17.60%
377	Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West	North East	14,647	17.71%
378	Hull North and Cottingham	Yorkshire and the Humber	13,583	17.77%
379	Blackburn	North West	7,044	17.77%
380	Leeds North East	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,083	17.80%
381	Bristol North West	South West	17,285	17.83%
382	Arbroath and Broughty Ferry	Scotland	8,740	17.86%
383	Rawmarsh and Conisbrough	Yorkshire and the Humber	12,116	17.87%
384	Blaydon and Consett	North East	15,108	17.89%
385	Leyton and Wanstead	London	15,909	18.19%
386	Newcastle upon Tyne North	North East	17,762	18.27%
387	Ceredigion Preseli	Wales	16,975	18.33%
388	Sheffield Hallam	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,670	18.37%
389	Tooting	London	19,487	18.40%
390	Rochdale	North West	8,754	18.43%
391	Wigan	North West	15,091	18.45%
392	Stratford and Bow	London	16,031	18.45%
393	Runcorn and Helsby	North West	15,602	18.47%
394	Bermondsey and Old Southwark	London	13,978	18.59%
395	Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare	Wales	13,104	18.61%
396	Croydon West	London	14,226	18.66%
397	East Lothian	Scotland	18,020	18.73%
398	Oxford East	South East	14,802	18.81%
399	Easington	North East	13,021	18.97%
400	St Albans	East of England	19,834	19.21%
401	Birmingham Yardley	West Midlands	7,641	19.22%
402	Stockport	North West	16,820	19.25%
403	Sefton Central	North West	18,282	19.26%
404	Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough	Yorkshire and the Humber	12,232	19.35%
405	Dunbartonshire Mid	Scotland	19,897	19.39%
406	Wythenshawe and Sale East	North West	15,204	19.43%
407	Hamilton and Clyde Valley	Scotland	16,431	19.52%
408	Queens Park and Maida Vale	London	15,038	19.61%
409	Dunfermline and Dollar	Scotland	17,039	19.75%
410	Bathgate and Linlithgow	Scotland	16,630	19.77%
411	Hove and Portslade	South East	20,579	19.82%
412	Twickenham	London	21,457	20.00%
413	Streatham and Croydon North	London	17,904	20.09%
414	Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy	Scotland	15,459	20.12%
415	Leeds South	Yorkshire and the Humber	12,945	20.43%
416	Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney	Wales	12,251	20.47%
417	Erith and Thamesmead	London	16,682	20.66%
418	East Ham	London	15,694	20.71%
419	St Helens North	North West	16,777	20.73%
420	Mitcham and Morden	London	18,761	20.73%
421	Ashfield	East Midlands	13,791	20.77%
422	Edinburgh North and Leith	Scotland	17,551	20.78%
423	Sheffield Heeley	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,988	20.79%
424	St Helens South and Whiston	North West	15,862	20.85%
425	Holborn and St Pancras	London	16,108	20.86%
426	Aberafan Maesteg	Wales	14,935	20.89%
427	Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend	North East	17,678	20.89%
428	Makerfield	North West	13,823	20.92%
429	Rhondda and Ogmore	Wales	15,068	21.04%
430	Barnsley North	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,527	21.04%
431	Jarrow and Gateshead East	North East	15,502	21.10%
432	Dwyfor Meirionnydd	Wales	17,076	21.14%
433	Alloa and Grangemouth	Scotland	14,912	21.33%
434	Leicester South	East Midlands	9,919	21.37%
435	Nottingham East	East Midlands	15,569	21.39%
436	Gorton and Denton	North West	15,667	21.43%
437	Bradford West	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,669	21.47%
438	Hull East	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,332	21.51%
439	Leeds Central and Headingley	Yorkshire and the Humber	13,616	21.55%
440	East Kilbride and Strathaven	Scotland	19,135	21.58%
441	Westmorland and Lonsdale	North West	21,472	21.67%
442	Manchester Central	North West	17,361	21.85%
443	Blackley and Middleton South	North West	13,791	22.00%
444	Salford	North West	17,549	22.10%
445	York Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	19,154	22.11%
446	Birkenhead	North West	19,230	22.29%
447	Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)	Scotland	6,045	22.34%
448	Sheffield Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,230	22.37%
449	Edinburgh South	Scotland	20,975	22.40%
450	Greenwich and Woolwich	London	19,136	22.40%
451	Ellesmere Port and Bromborough	North West	18,976	22.61%
452	Edinburgh West	Scotland	23,748	22.63%
453	Islington South and Finsbury	London	19,362	22.64%
454	Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross	Scotland	20,876	22.67%
455	Midlothian	Scotland	18,232	22.79%
456	Birmingham Perry Barr	West Midlands	9,076	22.87%
457	Falkirk	Scotland	14,767	22.92%
458	Down South	Northern Ireland	19,652	22.93%
459	Wallasey	North West	19,687	23.03%
460	Manchester Rusholme	North West	13,376	23.04%
461	Clapham and Brixton Hill	London	19,806	23.17%
462	Lewisham East	London	19,245	23.68%
463	Manchester Withington	North West	19,786	23.71%
464	Brighton Pavilion	South East	24,834	23.71%
465	Barnsley South	Yorkshire and the Humber	13,152	23.96%
466	Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West	Scotland	16,068	24.03%
467	Newry and Armagh	Northern Ireland	22,216	24.18%
468	Rutherglen	Scotland	19,040	24.18%
469	Kilmarnock and Loudoun	Scotland	15,528	24.50%
470	Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke	Scotland	16,753	24.77%
471	Vauxhall and Camberwell Green	London	18,719	24.93%
472	Hornsey and Friern Barnet	London	24,524	25.21%
473	Livingston	Scotland	14,855	25.26%
474	Fife North East	Scotland	21,718	25.41%
475	Paisley and Renfrewshire North	Scotland	16,902	25.46%
476	Hackney North and Stoke Newington	London	20,898	25.51%
477	Liverpool Garston	North West	21,567	25.68%
478	Lewisham North	London	22,766	25.77%
479	Lewisham West and Dulwich East	London	23,929	25.78%
480	Tottenham	London	20,746	25.84%
481	Dulwich and West Norwood	London	23,483	25.87%
482	Tyrone West	Northern Ireland	22,620	25.88%
483	Orkney and Shetland	Scotland	10,806	26.12%
484	Glasgow West	Scotland	16,901	26.20%
485	Widnes and Halewood	North West	19,977	26.21%
486	Paisley and Renfrewshire South	Scotland	17,364	26.25%
487	Airdrie and Shotts	Scotland	17,175	26.26%
488	Bethnal Green and Stepney	London	13,976	26.34%
489	Strangford	Northern Ireland	15,413	26.43%
490	Peckham	London	20,537	26.47%
491	Liverpool Wavertree	North West	21,190	26.61%
492	Londonderry East	Northern Ireland	11,319	26.99%
493	Birmingham Ladywood	West Midlands	13,340	27.12%
494	Hackney South and Shoreditch	London	22,648	27.16%
495	Walthamstow	London	24,819	27.17%
496	Edinburgh East and Musselburgh	Scotland	16,192	27.38%
497	Bristol Central	South West	22,541	27.98%
498	Glasgow North	Scotland	13,289	28.07%
499	Inverness, Skye and Ross-shire West	Scotland	15,657	28.09%
500	Glasgow South	Scotland	16,079	28.14%
501	Glasgow East	Scotland	13,836	28.36%
502	Glasgow North East	Scotland	14,457	28.81%
503	Liverpool Riverside	North West	18,884	29.16%
504	Coatbridge and Bellshill	Scotland	17,909	29.86%
505	Dunbartonshire West	Scotland	17,838	29.88%
506	Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch	Scotland	16,574	30.33%
507	Islington North	London	22,170	30.45%
508	Glasgow South West	Scotland	14,165	30.50%
509	Glenrothes and Mid Fife	Scotland	14,021	30.62%
510	Liverpool West Derby	North West	23,736	31.23%
511	Knowsley	North West	22,747	31.55%
512	Bootle	North West	25,055	32.22%
513	Liverpool Walton	North West	24,750	33.55%
514	Dundee Central	Scotland	13,975	34.24%

2029 General Election

Poll of Polls

Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results