Reform UK Target Seats

Below are lists of Reform UK target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the specified election.

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Reform UK Target Seats 2029

Below is the list of Reform UK target seats for the 2029 general election based on the 2024 boundaries. The list is ordered from the most vulnerable seats to the safest.

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over REFSwing Needed
1.LlanelliWales1,5041.85%
2.Hornchurch and UpminsterLondon1,9432.07%
3.Sittingbourne and SheppeySouth East1,4072.57%
4.Norfolk South WestEast of England1,8892.84%
5.Basildon and BillericayEast of England1,5513.63%
6.DudleyWest Midlands2,7733.87%
7.Castle PointEast of England3,2514.00%
8.Amber ValleyEast Midlands3,5544.18%
9.Montgomeryshire and GlyndwrWales3,8154.41%
10.Chatham and AylesfordSouth East3,7004.53%
11.Cannock ChaseWest Midlands4,1014.77%
12.Isle of Wight EastSouth East3,3234.88%
13.Warwickshire North and BedworthWest Midlands4,0264.92%
14.Folkestone and HytheSouth East4,3355.01%
15.BridgwaterSouth West3,3685.03%
16.LowestoftEast of England4,1365.07%
17.Bridlington and the WoldsYorkshire and the Humber4,4965.24%
18.Rayleigh and WickfordEast of England5,6215.86%
19.Tipton and WednesburyWest Midlands3,7365.86%
20.Louth and HorncastleEast Midlands5,5065.92%
21.BurnleyNorth West4,8436.10%
22.Brentwood and OngarEast of England5,9806.19%
23.BraintreeEast of England6,0686.19%
24.Brigg and ImminghamYorkshire and the Humber5,3116.25%
25.Rochester and StroodSouth East5,4376.38%
26.Great Grimsby and CleethorpesYorkshire and the Humber4,8036.56%
27.Hull EastYorkshire and the Humber3,9206.57%
28.Bradford SouthYorkshire and the Humber4,3926.65%
29.MakerfieldNorth West5,3996.70%
30.Suffolk WestEast of England6,1916.71%
31.TamworthWest Midlands4,3346.74%
32.Barnsley SouthYorkshire and the Humber4,7486.77%
33.Torridge and TavistockSouth West6,8976.79%
34.Maidstone and MallingSouth East4,8306.80%
35.Suffolk Central and Ipswich NorthEast of England6,3386.83%
36.MaldonEast of England6,9066.93%
37.HavantSouth East3,0276.96%
38.Walsall and BloxwichWest Midlands5,2217.02%
39.Durham NorthNorth East5,8737.06%
40.Sleaford and North HykehamEast Midlands6,8647.07%
41.AshfordSouth East5,1217.11%
42.GainsboroughEast Midlands6,7207.20%
43.Aldridge-BrownhillsWest Midlands5,9987.33%
44.Faversham and Mid KentSouth East4,9327.43%
45.RotherhamYorkshire and the Humber5,4907.43%
46.South Holland and the DeepingsEast Midlands6,8567.46%
47.NuneatonWest Midlands6,1577.47%
48.Spen ValleyYorkshire and the Humber6,1887.54%
49.Sunderland CentralNorth East6,0737.60%
50.Bognor Regis and LittlehamptonSouth East5,4167.63%
51.Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull NorthWest Midlands4,1997.71%
52.Sherwood ForestEast Midlands7,5217.73%
53.Suffolk SouthEast of England6,8307.75%
54.Bolton North EastNorth West6,7387.77%
55.BromsgroveWest Midlands6,9497.80%
56.Leicestershire SouthEast Midlands8,0297.82%
57.HalifaxYorkshire and the Humber6,3247.86%
58.Oldham East and SaddleworthNorth West6,3577.93%
59.Dover and DealSouth East7,5857.94%
60.DaventryEast Midlands7,2367.96%
61.Stoke-on-Trent NorthWest Midlands5,7557.96%
62.Sussex WealdSouth East7,8387.97%
63.Grantham and BourneEast Midlands7,3778.00%
64.Derby SouthEast Midlands6,0028.02%
65.MansfieldEast Midlands6,6638.11%
66.HyndburnNorth West4,6458.13%
67.Blackpool North and FleetwoodNorth West6,8318.17%
68.Heywood and Middleton NorthNorth West6,0828.19%
69.Gillingham and RainhamSouth East6,7708.23%
70.Neath and Swansea EastWales6,6278.26%
71.Oldham West, Chadderton and RoytonNorth West6,3848.28%
72.Norfolk North WestEast of England7,4008.30%
73.Old Bexley and SidcupLondon7,5268.35%
74.ChristchurchSouth West7,9808.43%
75.Fareham and WaterloovilleSouth East8,4778.46%
76.HalesowenWest Midlands6,5398.48%
77.Herne Bay and SandwichSouth East6,6418.48%
78.Hinckley and BosworthEast Midlands8,2158.59%
79.Bexleyheath and CrayfordLondon5,8568.61%
80.ThurrockEast of England6,4748.62%
81.Wyre ForestWest Midlands4,8078.85%
82.WithamEast of England8,9578.85%
83.CaerphillyWales6,7848.87%
84.Houghton and Sunderland SouthNorth East7,1698.95%
85.Newcastle-under-LymeWest Midlands7,1278.99%
86.SevenoaksSouth East8,9879.01%
87.SpelthorneSouth East5,7549.02%
88.Cornwall South EastSouth West6,3599.02%
89.South ShieldsNorth East6,6539.03%
90.Stoke-on-Trent CentralWest Midlands6,4099.08%
91.Ossett and Denby DaleYorkshire and the Humber8,0089.13%
92.Meriden and Solihull EastWest Midlands8,0399.13%
93.Bolton South and WalkdenNorth West6,7439.13%
94.St Austell and NewquaySouth West6,7469.15%
95.Kingswinford and Staffordshire SouthWest Midlands8,2719.15%
96.Scarborough and WhitbyYorkshire and the Humber8,1019.16%
97.Normanton and HemsworthYorkshire and the Humber6,6629.16%
98.Cambridgeshire North EastEast of England7,1899.18%
99.Pontefract, Castleford and KnottingleyYorkshire and the Humber6,6309.22%
100.Dagenham and RainhamLondon7,1739.23%
101.Surrey EastSouth East9,1229.27%
102.Newton AbbotSouth West6,7079.30%
103.Plymouth Moor ViewSouth West7,9959.33%
104.Melton and SystonEast Midlands8,5819.33%
105.Washington and Gateshead SouthNorth East6,9139.34%
106.Birmingham NorthfieldWest Midlands7,0349.34%
107.OrpingtonLondon8,6089.34%
108.Norfolk MidEast of England7,3439.34%
109.Bishop AucklandNorth East7,5709.36%
110.ErewashEast Midlands8,0629.37%
111.Staffordshire MoorlandsWest Midlands5,2459.40%
112.CaerfyrddinWales8,5769.40%
113.Wellingborough and RushdenEast Midlands8,2789.41%
114.Wiltshire EastSouth West8,9649.50%
115.Bangor AberconwyWales7,9179.50%
116.BolsoverEast Midlands8,0669.50%
117.Burton and UttoxeterWest Midlands6,6119.52%
118.EasingtonNorth East6,5429.53%
119.New Forest WestSouth East8,8359.53%
120.Ashton-under-LyneNorth West6,7919.58%
121.Rossendale and DarwenNorth West8,5529.58%
122.CarlisleNorth West8,8349.61%
123.RomfordLondon5,7159.65%
124.ScunthorpeYorkshire and the Humber7,3219.68%
125.BroxbourneEast of England7,0289.71%
126.BassetlawEast Midlands8,7259.72%
127.Blackpool SouthNorth West6,8489.73%
128.Solihull West and ShirleyWest Midlands9,1359.74%
129.Wiltshire South WestSouth West7,7779.82%
130.Weald of KentSouth East9,9949.85%
131.Wolverhampton North EastWest Midlands6,5619.85%
132.CrawleySouth East9,0069.87%
133.Thanet EastSouth East8,4639.91%
134.Bolton WestNorth West8,8469.92%
135.TelfordWest Midlands8,1029.95%
136.HarlowEast of England6,85210.03%
137.Derbyshire SouthEast Midlands8,75510.03%
138.Weston-Super-MareSouth West8,57510.11%
139.Alyn and DeesideWales8,79410.13%
140.Rawmarsh and ConisbroughYorkshire and the Humber6,90810.19%
141.TorfaenWales7,32210.25%
142.Birmingham ErdingtonWest Midlands7,01910.28%
143.PrestonNorth West8,26810.34%
144.Hemel HempsteadEast of England9,15510.38%
145.BridgendWales8,59510.39%
146.Northumberland NorthNorth East10,16710.44%
147.Southend East and RochfordEast of England8,18110.48%
148.Northampton SouthEast Midlands8,68010.50%
149.DartfordSouth East5,86910.51%
150.Newport West and IslwynWales8,86810.57%
151.Merthyr Tydfil and AberdareWales7,44710.57%
152.Barnsley NorthYorkshire and the Humber7,81110.59%
153.Droitwich and EveshamWest Midlands10,51910.60%
154.Stockton NorthNorth East7,93910.61%
155.Thirsk and MaltonYorkshire and the Humber10,58110.62%
156.PontypriddWales8,40210.67%
157.Leigh and AthertonNorth West8,88110.79%
158.New Forest EastSouth East9,76610.80%
159.Hertfordshire South WestEast of England9,66810.80%
160.HartlepoolNorth East7,69810.84%
161.Frome and Somerset EastSouth West10,13910.85%
162.Worcestershire WestWest Midlands11,88110.86%
163.Rhondda and OgmoreWales7,79010.88%
164.Camborne and RedruthSouth West10,40810.89%
165.SouthportNorth West9,85710.94%
166.StourbridgeWest Midlands7,46911.02%
167.Wrekin, TheWest Midlands6,40011.03%
168.Penistone and StocksbridgeYorkshire and the Humber9,71311.05%
169.WrexhamWales8,92111.05%
170.Doncaster East and the Isle of AxholmeYorkshire and the Humber6,63511.05%
171.HuddersfieldYorkshire and the Humber8,90511.09%
172.Newton Aycliffe and SpennymoorNorth East8,83911.09%
173.GosportSouth East9,84711.12%
174.TorbaySouth West10,27711.14%
175.Hazel GroveNorth West10,37311.28%
176.Blyth and AshingtonNorth East9,17311.35%
177.KetteringEast Midlands9,54111.39%
178.Bournemouth WestSouth West7,71811.40%
179.Hereford and Herefordshire SouthWest Midlands6,47611.40%
180.Stalybridge and HydeNorth West8,53911.47%
181.Warrington NorthNorth West9,19011.48%
182.Wakefield and RothwellYorkshire and the Humber9,34611.49%
183.Luton South and Bedfordshire SouthEast of England8,83411.51%
184.Harwich and Essex NorthEast of England6,71611.56%
185.GraveshamSouth East7,71311.57%
186.StaffordWest Midlands9,91911.57%
187.Stoke-on-Trent SouthWest Midlands5,37011.58%
188.South RibbleNorth West10,84511.61%
189.BroxtoweEast Midlands11,15911.66%
190.WiganNorth West9,54911.67%
191.Newport EastWales9,00911.69%
192.Kenilworth and SouthamWest Midlands12,47511.70%
193.Bexhill and BattleSouth East8,25711.73%
194.Southampton ItchenSouth East8,92911.73%
195.StevenageEast of England10,03111.74%
196.Hull West and HaltempriceYorkshire and the Humber8,97911.76%
197.Leeds South West and MorleyYorkshire and the Humber9,49411.81%
198.Bedfordshire NorthEast of England11,54811.90%
199.Crewe and NantwichNorth West11,23511.90%
200.Swansea WestWales8,51511.94%
201.Gateshead Central and WhickhamNorth East9,64411.99%
202.LoughboroughEast Midlands10,04512.03%
203.Cardiff WestWales10,81612.08%
204.AldershotSouth East11,55412.09%
205.RochdaleNorth West6,25412.13%
206.Northamptonshire SouthEast Midlands10,22912.18%
207.Jarrow and Gateshead EastNorth East8,96412.20%
208.Brecon, Radnor and Cwm TaweWales7,16912.24%
209.Bradford EastYorkshire and the Humber9,14612.29%
210.Hamble ValleySouth East11,45512.32%
211.Devon South WestSouth West8,55512.33%
212.Isle of Wight WestSouth East7,40612.33%
213.Corby and Northamptonshire EastEast Midlands12,26012.36%
214.Morecambe and LunesdaleNorth West11,79312.44%
215.Runnymede and WeybridgeSouth East12,02312.46%
216.Dewsbury and BatleyYorkshire and the Humber9,48912.46%
217.Portsmouth NorthSouth East5,99412.54%
218.GloucesterSouth West9,16512.55%
219.Birmingham Hall Green and MoseleyWest Midlands10,49312.61%
220.Cheshire MidNorth West10,49012.64%
221.GowerWales11,95012.65%
222.Doncaster CentralYorkshire and the Humber9,62912.69%
223.Leicestershire North WestEast Midlands7,19312.73%
224.Hastings and RyeSouth East11,73312.76%
225.Goole and PocklingtonYorkshire and the Humber9,92712.78%
226.TonbridgeSouth East12,96912.88%
227.LincolnEast Midlands10,86812.89%
228.Luton NorthEast of England10,01112.92%
229.WorcesterWest Midlands11,89912.92%
230.RedditchWest Midlands6,29412.99%
231.Worsley and EcclesNorth West11,09113.04%
232.Clwyd EastWales10,85813.04%
233.WindsorSouth East11,82313.07%
234.Dorset SouthSouth West7,49113.14%
235.Bury St Edmunds and StowmarketEast of England8,15013.16%
236.Blaydon and ConsettNorth East11,15313.21%
237.Shropshire SouthWest Midlands8,45713.23%
238.Hampshire North WestSouth East10,03613.28%
239.Glastonbury and SomertonSouth West12,68613.31%
240.Arundel and South DownsSouth East14,61013.34%
241.Middlesbrough and Thornaby EastNorth East9,19213.36%
242.Newcastle upon Tyne Central and WestNorth East11,06013.37%
243.Northampton NorthEast Midlands11,19913.39%
244.West BromwichWest Midlands9,77113.39%
245.RedcarNorth East8,44713.41%
246.SelbyYorkshire and the Humber13,22313.43%
247.Bury NorthNorth West12,24013.44%
248.Nottingham North and KimberleyEast Midlands9,42713.46%
249.CanterburySouth East12,72613.47%
250.Devon NorthSouth West13,68313.50%
251.Cambridgeshire North WestEast of England6,04413.52%
252.ColchesterEast of England12,14013.52%
253.Dunstable and Leighton BuzzardEast of England6,90513.55%
254.Derby NorthEast Midlands11,13113.60%
255.LichfieldWest Midlands7,49813.62%
256.WatfordEast of England10,77813.62%
257.Broadland and FakenhamEast of England7,46313.62%
258.Buckinghamshire MidSouth East13,22413.63%
259.Suffolk CoastalEast of England7,82213.65%
260.IpswichEast of England12,07213.70%
261.Norwich NorthEast of England12,56513.73%
262.ChesterfieldEast Midlands11,41913.74%
263.Leicestershire MidEast Midlands8,81213.76%
264.Wolverhampton South EastWest Midlands9,18813.76%
265.Cardiff EastWales10,85313.87%
266.Eltham and ChislehurstLondon12,64113.87%
267.Southend West and LeighEast of England8,46613.88%
268.Hull North and CottinghamYorkshire and the Humber10,67913.97%
269.Coventry North WestWest Midlands11,74613.97%
270.Norfolk SouthEast of England9,77014.01%
271.RugbyWest Midlands11,30814.04%
272.Argyll, Bute and Lochaber SouthScotland12,53714.05%
273.Bedfordshire MidEast of England8,31814.10%
274.Cramlington and KillingworthNorth East12,82014.12%
275.Feltham and HestonLondon11,00914.16%
276.Swindon NorthSouth West10,37314.20%
277.Bristol SouthSouth West12,32614.20%
278.BlackburnNorth West5,67414.25%
279.Vale of GlamorganWales10,76714.30%
280.Leeds EastYorkshire and the Humber11,26514.30%
281.Leicester WestEast Midlands10,13214.31%
282.Hertford and StortfordEast of England12,48314.32%
283.Penrith and SolwayNorth West12,36214.42%
284.CongletonNorth West10,63014.45%
285.Waveney ValleyEast of England12,68814.46%
286.Durham, City ofNorth East11,75714.47%
287.Lancaster and WyreNorth West12,44914.47%
288.Aberafan MaestegWales10,35414.48%
289.Croydon EastLondon12,67914.48%
290.Colne ValleyYorkshire and the Humber11,67214.52%
291.Calder ValleyYorkshire and the Humber14,40214.52%
292.Truro and FalmouthSouth West14,62014.54%
293.Pembrokeshire Mid and SouthWales8,67714.58%
294.Bournemouth EastSouth West12,04814.63%
295.Milton Keynes CentralSouth East13,96414.63%
296.Barrow and FurnessNorth West11,50214.63%
297.BeaconsfieldSouth East12,43914.63%
298.Rutland and StamfordEast Midlands14,24014.66%
299.Exmouth and Exeter EastSouth West7,64314.66%
300.Bury SouthNorth West12,38214.67%
2029 General Election
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