Reform UK Target Seats

Below are lists of Reform UK target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.

Reform UK Target Seats 2024

Below is the list of Reform UK target seats for the 2024 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Reform UK held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

(order by percentage majority)

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over REFSwing Needed
1.Barnsley NorthYorkshire and the Humber4,0024.50%
2.HartlepoolNorth East4,8615.92%
3.Barnsley SouthYorkshire and the Humber4,7206.29%
4.Doncaster NorthYorkshire and the Humber7,20512.82%
5.EasingtonNorth East11,40414.31%
6.South ShieldsNorth East13,46714.70%
7.RotherhamYorkshire and the Humber10,29116.07%
8.Normanton and HemsworthYorkshire and the Humber10,54316.19%
9.Blaenau Gwent and RhymneyWales13,64116.20%
10.Houghton and Sunderland SouthNorth East10,80116.81%
11.CaerphillyWales14,49616.85%
12.Hull EastYorkshire and the Humber8,42417.46%
13.WiganNorth West15,08318.55%
14.PontypriddWales17,39919.09%
15.Neath and Swansea EastWales17,13719.38%
16.Washington and Gateshead SouthNorth East12,30619.60%
17.Pontefract, Castleford and KnottingleyYorkshire and the Humber9,24119.77%
18.Jarrow and Gateshead EastNorth East16,07419.84%
19.TorfaenWales12,87420.12%
20.Hull West and HaltempriceYorkshire and the Humber12,08020.31%
21.St Helens NorthNorth West19,47420.47%
22.Merthyr Tydfil and AberdareWales17,67120.50%
23.Rawmarsh and ConisbroughYorkshire and the Humber9,71420.86%
24.Doncaster East and the Isle of AxholmeYorkshire and the Humber18,00820.90%
25.Rother ValleyYorkshire and the Humber15,66120.94%
26.Doncaster CentralYorkshire and the Humber10,95121.02%
27.Dwyfor MeirionnyddWales20,55221.13%
28.MakerfieldNorth West14,53021.21%
29.Edinburgh North and LeithScotland25,26521.46%
30.BassetlawEast Midlands20,76821.78%
31.LlanelliWales13,36321.80%
32.AshfieldEast Midlands14,70121.88%
33.Aberafan MaestegWales19,71522.19%
34.Swansea WestWales19,68722.27%
35.Rhondda and OgmoreWales19,04722.38%
36.Hull North and CottinghamYorkshire and the Humber16,10222.65%
37.Bathgate and LinlithgowScotland19,40222.73%
38.Sheffield HeeleyYorkshire and the Humber20,97622.95%
39.Sheffield Brightside and HillsboroughYorkshire and the Humber18,92223.10%
40.Hampstead and HighgateLondon26,61923.19%
41.Inverness, Skye and Ross-shire WestScotland23,67523.31%
42.RochdaleNorth West17,92823.35%
43.Edinburgh South WestScotland24,20523.45%
44.Dunfermline and DollarScotland21,53523.58%
45.Oldham West, Chadderton and RoytonNorth West21,26323.72%
46.Durham NorthNorth East15,77523.75%
47.Sunderland CentralNorth East13,28923.75%
48.St Helens South and WhistonNorth West21,56423.75%
49.Middlesbrough and Thornaby EastNorth East17,96623.90%
50.Wythenshawe and Sale EastNorth West21,13824.00%
51.Ynys MonWales10,77524.09%
52.Ceredigion PreseliWales13,98224.27%
53.SalfordNorth West20,27424.27%
54.Paisley and Renfrewshire NorthScotland22,71024.27%
55.Glenrothes and Mid FifeScotland19,63724.33%
56.Blyth and AshingtonNorth East16,57924.33%
57.StockportNorth West22,53224.48%
58.Penistone and StocksbridgeYorkshire and the Humber19,38824.59%
59.Sheffield South EastYorkshire and the Humber16,89124.90%
60.Blaydon and ConsettNorth East16,10125.16%
61.Durham, City ofNorth East17,61525.26%
62.Ealing Central and ActonLondon26,98725.47%
63.SmethwickWest Midlands20,87025.47%
64.Newcastle upon Tyne Central and WestNorth East24,58625.54%
65.AylesburySouth East29,61525.58%
66.Aberdeen NorthScotland25,70325.64%
67.Blackley and Middleton SouthNorth West19,25925.65%
68.FalkirkScotland25,03425.70%
69.Norwich SouthEast of England25,82925.82%
70.Alloa and GrangemouthScotland23,87325.93%
71.Leeds SouthYorkshire and the Humber22,49226.00%
72.Newcastle upon Tyne NorthNorth East20,91226.02%
73.Ossett and Denby DaleYorkshire and the Humber23,69326.06%
74.Earley and WoodleySouth East24,64426.12%
75.Montgomeryshire and GlyndwrWales26,76626.13%
76.Cardiff WestWales24,13426.16%
77.Brentford and IsleworthLondon24,91526.24%
78.Greenwich and WoolwichLondon24,95426.36%
79.Bolton South and WalkdenNorth West22,52926.37%
80.ChesterfieldEast Midlands13,40026.44%
81.Birmingham YardleyWest Midlands22,24626.54%
82.PrestonNorth West22,90426.56%
83.Erith and ThamesmeadLondon22,96726.65%
84.Buckingham and BletchleySouth East27,40426.72%
85.Bicester and WoodstockSouth East27,88126.81%
86.CaerfyrddinWales18,86826.88%
87.BarkingLondon22,08226.92%
88.Nottingham SouthEast Midlands22,19126.92%
89.Dundee CentralScotland25,15626.96%
90.Leeds North EastYorkshire and the Humber27,25526.99%
91.York CentralYorkshire and the Humber27,04426.99%
92.Oxford EastSouth East24,69027.07%
93.Clapham and Brixton HillLondon26,37527.12%
94.Newcastle upon Tyne East and WallsendNorth East27,15827.18%
95.Northumberland NorthNorth East28,72227.23%
96.Great Grimsby and CleethorpesYorkshire and the Humber21,12927.28%
97.Islington South and FinsburyLondon28,53527.36%
98.Cardiff South and PenarthWales25,64127.38%
99.Brecon, Radnor and Cwm TaweWales23,40427.38%
100.TootingLondon30,34927.43%
101.Ellesmere Port and BromboroughNorth West24,85427.48%
102.Cowdenbeath and KirkcaldyScotland16,18327.49%
103.Norfolk NorthEast of England28,40627.55%
104.Mitcham and MordenLondon28,46927.57%
105.BolsoverEast Midlands17,87227.58%
106.Ruislip, Northwood and PinnerLondon28,86727.62%
107.Ashton-under-LyneNorth West16,14927.70%
108.Morecambe and LunesdaleNorth West29,60327.70%
109.Bristol EastSouth West30,66527.73%
110.Brighton PavilionSouth East31,81327.77%
111.Croydon SouthLondon27,66627.77%
112.Dewsbury and BatleyYorkshire and the Humber25,67627.85%
113.Glasgow WestScotland22,89027.85%
114.WindsorSouth East27,88427.87%
115.Cardiff EastWales26,08827.88%
116.SloughSouth East25,51028.00%
117.Hornsey and Friern BarnetLondon29,58328.16%
118.Hove and PortsladeSouth East31,76528.16%
119.Southgate and Wood GreenLondon29,80528.27%
120.Streatham and Croydon NorthLondon29,04628.31%
121.Penrith and SolwayNorth West29,57628.31%
122.BirkenheadNorth West29,31228.31%
123.Stretford and UrmstonNorth West28,42728.39%
124.Bradford EastYorkshire and the Humber24,45828.42%
125.Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull NorthWest Midlands23,47328.42%
126.Stockton NorthNorth East16,24028.46%
127.TattonNorth West31,53328.46%
128.Glasgow SouthScotland22,99728.52%
129.Bristol SouthSouth West22,86328.56%
130.Hammersmith and ChiswickLondon26,07528.63%
131.Bermondsey and Old SouthwarkLondon21,66328.65%
132.Bristol CentralSouth West29,48428.67%
133.Cities of London and WestminsterLondon20,91728.67%
134.Chelsea and FulhamLondon24,73428.73%
135.Newport West and IslwynWales15,98528.81%
136.Chester South and EddisburyNorth West32,13428.87%
137.Birmingham Selly OakWest Midlands25,61728.90%
138.Ealing SouthallLondon29,52328.95%
139.Poplar and LimehouseLondon29,95728.99%
140.WitneySouth East28,34629.02%
141.Gateshead Central and WhickhamNorth East18,15829.14%
142.CambridgeEast of England22,64229.24%
143.Stockton WestNorth East26,97029.24%
144.Stoke-on-Trent NorthWest Midlands20,32329.26%
145.ExeterSouth West25,24329.32%
146.Edmonton and Winchmore HillLondon27,22929.35%
147.Kenilworth and SouthamWest Midlands32,80429.41%
148.Widnes and HalewoodNorth West27,77929.42%
149.Vauxhall and Camberwell GreenLondon27,35129.45%
150.York OuterYorkshire and the Humber26,91029.46%

View Reform UK held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

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