Green Target Seats

Below are lists of Green target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.

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Green Target Seats 2029

Below is the list of Green target seats for the 2029 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

(order by percentage majority)

Rank		Region	Majority over GRN	Swing Needed
1.	Huddersfield	Yorkshire and the Humber	4,533	5.64%
2.	Isle of Wight East	South East	4,114	6.04%
3.	Bristol East	South West	6,606	7.16%
4.	Bristol South	South West	7,666	8.83%
5.	Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley	West Midlands	8,885	10.68%
6.	Suffolk Central and Ipswich North	East of England	9,492	11.21%
7.	Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven	South East	9,896	12.16%
8.	Halifax	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,002	12.44%
9.	Bradford South	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,467	12.81%
10.	Tonbridge	South East	12,921	12.84%
11.	Frome and Somerset East	South West	11,497	13.02%
12.	Sheffield Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,286	13.03%
13.	South Shields	North East	9,689	13.16%
14.	Sussex Weald	South East	12,996	13.21%
15.	Bolton North East	North West	11,483	13.24%
16.	Bristol North East	South West	11,167	13.30%
17.	Leeds Central and Headingley	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,422	13.33%
18.	Stratford and Bow	London	11,634	13.39%
19.	East Grinstead and Uckfield	South East	14,042	13.93%
20.	Manchester Rusholme	North West	8,235	14.18%
21.	Walsall and Bloxwich	West Midlands	10,226	14.28%
22.	Kettering	East Midlands	11,005	14.30%
23.	Canterbury	South East	13,611	14.41%
24.	Bath	South West	13,931	14.47%
25.	Hastings and Rye	South East	13,373	14.54%
26.	Luton South and Bedfordshire South	East of England	11,192	14.58%
27.	Poplar and Limehouse	London	12,560	14.59%
28.	Thanet East	South East	12,464	14.59%
29.	Norwich South	East of England	13,239	14.68%
30.	Surrey East	South East	14,545	14.78%
31.	Cardiff West	Wales	13,285	14.84%
32.	Worcestershire West	West Midlands	14,715	14.94%
33.	Cardiff South and Penarth	Wales	11,767	15.02%
34.	Worcester	West Midlands	13,833	15.02%
35.	Arundel and South Downs	South East	16,486	15.06%
36.	Cambridge	East of England	12,772	15.17%
37.	Cardiff East	Wales	11,917	15.23%
38.	Hyndburn	North West	7,248	15.29%
39.	Exeter	South West	12,318	15.32%
40.	Barking	London	11,239	15.41%
41.	Weald of Kent	South East	15,655	15.44%
42.	Bradford East	Yorkshire and the Humber	11,527	15.49%
43.	Oldham East and Saddleworth	North West	12,601	15.73%
44.	New Forest East	South East	14,294	15.80%
45.	Ilford South	London	13,100	15.91%
46.	Dagenham and Rainham	London	12,387	15.94%
47.	Leyton and Wanstead	London	13,964	15.97%
48.	Birkenhead	North West	13,798	15.99%
49.	Christchurch	South West	15,041	16.03%
50.	Bristol North West	South West	15,669	16.17%
51.	Droitwich and Evesham	West Midlands	16,147	16.27%
52.	Lancaster and Wyre	North West	14,079	16.37%
53.	Edinburgh North and Leith	Scotland	15,388	16.41%
54.	Luton North	East of England	12,737	16.44%
55.	Bermondsey and Old Southwark	London	12,380	16.46%
56.	Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr	Wales	10,965	16.53%
57.	Leicester West	East Midlands	11,709	16.54%
58.	Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton	North West	11,375	16.59%
59.	Bolton South and Walkden	North West	12,266	16.61%
60.	Manchester Withington	North West	13,982	16.75%
61.	Bethnal Green and Stepney	London	9,505	16.76%
62.	Reading Central	South East	15,181	16.76%
63.	Bolsover	East Midlands	13,443	16.78%
64.	Broxtowe	East Midlands	16,073	16.80%
65.	Caerphilly	Wales	12,888	16.92%
66.	Folkestone and Hythe	South East	11,066	16.97%
67.	Birmingham Selly Oak	West Midlands	13,051	16.98%
68.	Leicester East	East Midlands	12,383	17.03%
69.	Windsor	South East	14,195	17.10%
70.	West Ham and Beckton	London	12,537	17.25%
71.	Southampton Test	South East	12,351	17.25%
72.	Dover and Deal	South East	15,834	17.27%
73.	New Forest West	South East	13,612	17.29%
74.	Hampstead and Highgate	London	16,802	17.30%
75.	Manchester Central	North West	13,797	17.37%
76.	Croydon East	London	14,444	17.40%
77.	Preston	North West	12,255	17.41%
78.	Swansea West	Wales	12,456	17.47%
79.	Feltham and Heston	London	13,596	17.48%
80.	Streatham and Croydon North	London	15,603	17.51%
81.	Derby South	East Midlands	12,604	17.65%
82.	Brentford and Isleworth	London	15,978	17.65%
83.	Hackney South and Shoreditch	London	14,737	17.67%
84.	Ealing Central and Acton	London	16,896	17.69%
85.	Leeds South	Yorkshire and the Humber	11,279	17.80%
86.	Bridgend	Wales	14,756	17.83%
87.	Dewsbury and Batley	Yorkshire and the Humber	13,593	17.85%
88.	Lewisham North	London	15,782	17.87%
89.	Birmingham Northfield	West Midlands	12,120	17.88%
90.	Solihull West and Shirley	West Midlands	13,014	17.91%
91.	Norwich North	East of England	16,422	17.94%
92.	Stroud	South West	19,878	18.00%
93.	Islington South and Finsbury	London	15,455	18.07%
94.	Thirsk and Malton	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,558	18.09%
95.	Southampton Itchen	South East	12,989	18.09%
96.	Cambridgeshire North East	East of England	14,245	18.18%
97.	Kenilworth and Southam	West Midlands	16,270	18.18%
98.	Stalybridge and Hyde	North West	13,575	18.23%
99.	Truro and Falmouth	South West	17,313	18.23%
100.	Birmingham Erdington	West Midlands	12,322	18.23%
101.	Pontypridd	Wales	14,360	18.23%
102.	Camborne and Redruth	South West	16,520	18.24%
103.	Colchester	East of England	16,390	18.25%
104.	Ipswich	East of England	15,447	18.25%
105.	Newport West and Islwyn	Wales	15,331	18.27%
106.	Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough	Yorkshire and the Humber	11,600	18.35%
107.	Runnymede and Weybridge	South East	16,488	18.36%
108.	Melton and Syston	East Midlands	13,841	18.36%
109.	Oxford East	South East	14,465	18.38%
110.	Hackney North and Stoke Newington	London	15,080	18.41%
111.	Birmingham Edgbaston	West Midlands	13,802	18.44%
112.	Ashton-under-Lyne	North West	13,094	18.46%
113.	Suffolk South	East of England	12,074	18.50%
114.	Spen Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	13,792	18.52%
115.	Newport East	Wales	14,278	18.53%
116.	Bolton West	North West	13,231	18.58%
117.	Bangor Aberconwy	Wales	12,647	18.61%
118.	Filton and Bradley Stoke	South West	18,763	18.63%
119.	Cardiff North	Wales	17,689	18.63%
120.	Lincoln	East Midlands	15,719	18.64%
121.	Gateshead Central and Whickham	North East	15,028	18.68%
122.	Northampton North	East Midlands	15,651	18.72%
123.	Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket	East of England	10,984	18.73%
124.	Derby North	East Midlands	15,333	18.74%
125.	Nottingham North and Kimberley	East Midlands	13,129	18.75%
126.	Eltham and Chislehurst	London	16,990	18.79%
127.	Gorton and Denton	North West	13,745	18.80%
128.	Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend	North East	15,943	18.84%
129.	Fareham and Waterlooville	South East	15,525	18.85%
130.	Glasgow South	Scotland	12,142	18.85%
131.	Leeds South West and Morley	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,159	18.85%
132.	Maidstone and Malling	South East	10,419	18.85%
133.	Calder Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	18,345	18.86%
134.	Torfaen	Wales	13,471	18.86%
135.	Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West	North East	15,647	18.92%
136.	Wakefield and Rothwell	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,384	18.92%
137.	Alyn and Deeside	Wales	16,469	18.98%
138.	Rutland and Stamford	East Midlands	18,442	18.98%
139.	Wirral West	North West	18,996	19.01%
140.	Gower	Wales	17,992	19.05%
141.	Hove and Portslade	South East	19,791	19.06%
142.	South Holland and the Deepings	East Midlands	15,662	19.17%
143.	Leeds East	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,104	19.17%
144.	Torridge and Tavistock	South West	13,699	19.18%
145.	Leeds North East	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,349	19.21%
146.	Ealing North	London	16,607	19.21%
147.	Tottenham	London	15,434	19.22%
148.	Worthing East and Shoreham	South East	18,874	19.23%
149.	Holborn and St Pancras	London	14,854	19.24%
150.	Antrim South	Northern Ireland	15,770	19.25%
151.	Nottingham South	East Midlands	12,656	19.25%
152.	Watford	East of England	13,280	19.25%
153.	Burnley	North West	11,080	19.29%
154.	Coventry North West	West Midlands	16,276	19.36%
155.	Stockport	North West	16,922	19.37%
156.	Stoke-on-Trent Central	West Midlands	13,247	19.38%
157.	Southgate and Wood Green	London	17,730	19.41%
158.	Ashford	South East	10,907	19.43%
159.	Queens Park and Maida Vale	London	14,913	19.45%
160.	Penistone and Stocksbridge	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,125	19.48%
161.	Sunderland Central	North East	13,859	19.49%
162.	Bury South	North West	16,532	19.58%
163.	Faversham and Mid Kent	South East	10,598	19.59%
164.	Bedford	East of England	15,948	19.61%
165.	Walthamstow	London	17,996	19.62%
166.	Peckham	London	15,228	19.63%
167.	Hertfordshire South West	East of England	13,926	19.63%
168.	Edinburgh South West	Scotland	15,213	19.70%
169.	Hazel Grove	North West	15,565	19.71%
170.	Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North	West Midlands	8,295	19.71%
171.	Leeds West and Pudsey	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,182	19.72%
172.	Stevenage	East of England	15,043	19.72%
173.	Shipley	Yorkshire and the Humber	18,133	19.73%
174.	Leeds North West	Yorkshire and the Humber	19,651	19.74%
175.	Telford	West Midlands	16,092	19.75%
176.	Bradford West	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,034	19.76%
177.	Crewe and Nantwich	North West	18,686	19.80%
178.	Glasgow North	Scotland	10,422	19.81%
179.	Lewisham West and Dulwich East	London	18,397	19.82%
180.	Warwick and Leamington	West Midlands	19,504	19.82%
181.	Stretford and Urmston	North West	18,244	19.83%
182.	Cheshire Mid	North West	16,490	19.86%
183.	Sheffield Heeley	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,304	19.90%
184.	Battersea	London	18,744	19.91%
185.	Ealing Southall	London	18,644	19.91%
186.	Shrewsbury	West Midlands	20,545	19.92%
187.	Newcastle upon Tyne North	North East	19,405	19.96%
188.	Worsley and Eccles	North West	16,994	19.97%
189.	Leicestershire South	East Midlands	15,783	20.01%
190.	Chesterfield	East Midlands	16,634	20.01%
191.	Durham North	North East	14,196	20.02%
192.	Witham	East of England	15,288	20.04%
193.	Salford	North West	15,944	20.08%
194.	Durham, City of	North East	16,328	20.10%
195.	Smethwick	West Midlands	14,117	20.10%
196.	Vauxhall and Camberwell Green	London	15,112	20.13%
197.	Norfolk North West	East of England	13,960	20.21%
198.	Portsmouth South	South East	15,750	20.23%
199.	East Ham	London	15,344	20.25%
200.	Louth and Horncastle	East Midlands	14,937	20.29%
201.	Enfield North	London	17,655	20.30%
202.	Milton Keynes Central	South East	16,983	20.31%
203.	Chester North and Neston	North West	18,156	20.31%
204.	Wimbledon	London	22,348	20.32%
205.	Stockton North	North East	15,205	20.33%
206.	West Bromwich	West Midlands	14,836	20.33%
207.	Maldon	East of England	17,074	20.40%
208.	Wolverhampton West	West Midlands	16,781	20.42%
209.	Liverpool Wavertree	North West	16,304	20.47%
210.	Edmonton and Winchmore Hill	London	16,839	20.51%
211.	Reigate	South East	14,131	20.59%
212.	Doncaster Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,635	20.60%
213.	Selby	Yorkshire and the Humber	20,304	20.62%
214.	Southport	North West	15,093	20.65%
215.	Brentwood and Ongar	East of England	15,961	20.65%
216.	Erewash	East Midlands	14,746	20.66%
217.	Suffolk Coastal	East of England	11,292	20.67%
218.	Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare	Wales	14,560	20.67%
219.	Putney	London	20,392	20.68%
220.	Gedling	East Midlands	20,156	20.68%
221.	Brent East	London	15,641	20.69%
222.	Dulwich and West Norwood	London	18,789	20.70%
223.	Rayleigh and Wickford	East of England	15,560	20.72%
224.	Wycombe	South East	13,842	20.72%
225.	Dunbartonshire Mid	Scotland	20,629	20.77%
226.	Nottingham East	East Midlands	15,162	20.83%
227.	Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	South West	17,609	20.92%
228.	Suffolk West	East of England	12,904	20.92%
229.	Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor	North East	16,693	20.95%
230.	Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	Scotland	13,511	20.96%
231.	Beckenham and Penge	London	21,923	20.99%
232.	Buckinghamshire Mid	South East	17,208	21.01%
233.	Warrington South	North West	20,888	21.03%
234.	Crawley	South East	14,832	21.03%
235.	Warrington North	North West	16,841	21.03%
236.	Wythenshawe and Sale East	North West	16,463	21.04%
237.	Grantham and Bourne	East Midlands	14,200	21.04%
238.	Bishop Auckland	North East	15,179	21.04%
239.	Coventry East	West Midlands	15,578	21.04%
240.	Coventry South	West Midlands	17,998	21.06%
241.	Meriden and Solihull East	West Midlands	13,863	21.07%
242.	Neath and Swansea East	Wales	15,086	21.08%
243.	Caerfyrddin	Wales	14,149	21.08%
244.	Hull West and Haltemprice	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,127	21.12%
245.	Slough	South East	12,793	21.13%
246.	Hull North and Cottingham	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,158	21.13%
247.	Hinckley and Bosworth	East Midlands	15,518	21.15%
248.	Thurrock	East of England	14,418	21.15%
249.	Norfolk South West	East of England	10,009	21.15%
250.	Wrexham	Wales	14,497	21.18%
251.	Aberdeen South	Scotland	13,604	21.25%
252.	Norfolk South	East of England	13,366	21.26%
253.	Hammersmith and Chiswick	London	19,605	21.30%
254.	Glasgow West	Scotland	14,959	21.33%
255.	Swindon South	South West	19,137	21.36%
256.	Middlesbrough and Thornaby East	North East	14,716	21.39%
257.	Wells and Mendip Hills	South West	21,554	21.40%
258.	St Helens South and Whiston	North West	16,277	21.40%
259.	Nuneaton	West Midlands	12,322	21.46%
260.	Ceredigion Preseli	Wales	19,874	21.46%
261.	Wetherby and Easingwold	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,068	21.47%
262.	Greenwich and Woolwich	London	18,366	21.50%
263.	Clapham and Brixton Hill	London	18,398	21.52%
264.	Hemel Hempstead	East of England	14,352	21.53%
265.	Lancashire West	North West	19,042	21.54%
266.	Tipton and Wednesbury	West Midlands	10,246	21.54%
267.	Tynemouth	North East	20,899	21.58%
268.	Bournemouth West	South West	11,751	21.63%
269.	Richmond and Northallerton	Yorkshire and the Humber	21,001	21.64%
270.	Hertford and Stortford	East of England	16,435	21.64%
271.	Cotswolds North	South West	14,235	21.66%
272.	Sheffield Hallam	Yorkshire and the Humber	19,384	21.70%
273.	Wellingborough and Rushden	East Midlands	15,030	21.70%
274.	Wigan	North West	17,772	21.73%
275.	Kingswinford and Staffordshire South	West Midlands	16,122	21.73%
276.	Cheadle	North West	22,051	21.73%
277.	Weston-Super-Mare	South West	13,622	21.73%
278.	Spelthorne	South East	11,625	21.74%
279.	Sheffield South East	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,552	21.74%
280.	Sevenoaks	South East	16,295	21.75%
281.	Sleaford and North Hykeham	East Midlands	14,913	21.76%
282.	Wiltshire East	South West	15,005	21.80%
283.	Blackley and Middleton South	North West	13,667	21.80%
284.	Southend East and Rochford	East of England	12,679	21.82%
285.	Yeovil	South West	21,362	21.82%
286.	Orpington	London	15,185	21.85%
287.	East Lothian	Scotland	21,078	21.91%
288.	Oxford West and Abingdon	South East	20,178	21.93%
289.	Wiltshire South West	South West	13,374	21.94%
290.	St Helens North	North West	17,789	21.98%
291.	Croydon West	London	16,761	21.98%
292.	Blaydon and Consett	North East	18,571	22.00%
293.	Down South	Northern Ireland	19,254	22.05%
294.	Halesowen	West Midlands	12,872	22.05%
295.	Hornsey and Friern Barnet	London	21,475	22.07%
296.	Loughborough	East Midlands	14,293	22.09%
297.	Bexhill and Battle	South East	13,214	22.11%
298.	Edinburgh South	Scotland	20,706	22.11%
299.	Braintree	East of England	14,536	22.16%
300.	Cramlington and Killingworth	North East	20,130	22.17%

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

Green Target Seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament Election

Below is the list of Green target seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

(order by percentage majority)

Rank		Region	Majority over GRN	Swing Needed
1.	Glasgow Kelvin	Glasgow	5,458	7.57%
2.	Edinburgh Northern and Leith	Lothian	16,327	17.43%
3.	Edinburgh Central	Lothian	12,355	18.27%
4.	Aberdeen Central	North East Scotland	12,130	19.17%
5.	Inverness and Nairn	Highlands and Islands	19,157	21.96%
6.	Glasgow Provan	Glasgow	13,547	22.53%
7.	Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale	South Scotland	17,653	25.16%
8.	Cowdenbeath	Mid Scotland and Fife	15,155	26.75%
9.	Glasgow Pollok	Glasgow	16,512	27.84%
10.	Paisley	West Scotland	15,911	28.13%
11.	Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire	South Scotland	17,480	29.46%
12.	Galloway and West Dumfries	South Scotland	16,516	37.33%

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

Green Target Seats for the 2026 Senedd Election

Below is the list of Green target seats for the 2026 Senedd election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

(order by percentage majority)

Rank		Region	Majority over GRN	Swing Needed
1.	Neath	South Wales West	10,628	19.61%
2.	Pontypridd	South Wales Central	10,856	20.06%
3.	Cardiff Central	South Wales Central	11,548	20.24%
4.	Swansea West	South Wales West	10,017	20.87%
5.	Cardiff West	South Wales Central	16,378	22.42%
6.	Cardiff South and Penarth	South Wales Central	16,510	22.69%
7.	Brecon and Radnorshire	Mid and West Wales	11,185	22.93%
8.	Ceredigion	Mid and West Wales	15,590	25.35%
9.	Monmouth	South Wales East	13,332	26.44%
10.	Cardiff North	South Wales Central	17,391	26.56%
11.	Gower	South Wales West	14,543	29.39%
12.	Newport West	South Wales East	12,945	30.54%
13.	Vale of Glamorgan	South Wales Central	17,405	32.95%

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

2029 General Election

Poll of Polls

Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results