Green Target Seats

Below are lists of Green target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.

Contents

» Scottish Parliament

» Senedd

Green Target Seats 2025

Below is the list of Green target seats for the 2025 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

(order by percentage majority)

Rank		Region	Majority	Swing Needed
1.	Bristol West	South West	28,219	18.68%
2.	Edinburgh North and Leith	Scotland	23,954	20.18%
3.	Isle of Wight	South East	30,477	20.47%
4.	Ceredigion	Wales	14,545	20.49%
5.	Tyrone West	Northern Ireland	16,023	20.75%
6.	South Shields	North East	15,970	21.08%
7.	Dunfermline and Fife West	Scotland	22,469	22.01%
8.	East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow	Scotland	24,960	22.15%
9.	Livingston	Scotland	24,196	22.16%
10.	Edinburgh East	Scotland	21,101	22.34%
11.	Edinburgh South West	Scotland	23,565	22.60%
12.	Bury St Edmunds	East of England	28,059	22.64%
13.	Linlithgow and Falkirk East	Scotland	24,367	22.68%
14.	Edinburgh South	Scotland	22,388	22.71%
15.	Hampstead and Kilburn	London	26,472	23.07%
16.	Hertfordshire South West	East of England	28,861	23.62%
17.	Somerset North East	South West	26,937	23.92%
18.	Blaenau Gwent	Wales	14,476	23.95%
19.	Reigate	South East	25,496	23.98%
20.	Leeds North West	Yorkshire and the Humber	22,582	24.01%
21.	Somerset North	South West	29,863	24.06%
22.	St Helens North	North West	22,904	24.08%
23.	Ealing Central and Acton	London	26,397	24.08%
24.	Tooting	London	28,497	24.37%
25.	Middlesbrough	North East	16,661	24.43%
26.	Norwich South	East of England	25,297	24.48%
27.	Dulwich and West Norwood	London	27,310	24.48%
28.	Stockport	North West	20,292	24.58%
29.	Falkirk	Scotland	27,466	24.58%
30.	Sussex Mid	South East	31,221	24.87%
31.	Beckenham	London	25,227	24.95%
32.	Chesham and Amersham	South East	27,808	24.97%
33.	Epsom and Ewell	South East	29,772	25.04%
34.	Hull North	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,158	25.04%
35.	Aylesbury	South East	30,343	25.05%
36.	Banbury	South East	31,541	25.06%
37.	Basingstoke	South East	27,455	25.09%
38.	Streatham	London	28,409	25.13%
39.	Devon Central	South West	29,262	25.19%
40.	Forest of Dean	South West	25,999	25.25%
41.	Bromley and Chislehurst	London	22,412	25.28%
42.	Somerton and Frome	South West	32,935	25.38%
43.	Antrim East	Northern Ireland	16,186	25.44%
44.	York Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	25,205	25.46%
45.	Huntingdon	East of England	30,153	25.49%
46.	Cardiff West	Wales	22,775	25.53%
47.	Jarrow	North East	17,532	25.56%
48.	Runnymede and Weybridge	South East	27,386	25.70%
49.	Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey	Scotland	24,538	25.72%
50.	Hertford and Stortford	East of England	31,007	25.80%
51.	Aberdeen North	Scotland	19,325	25.83%
52.	Vauxhall	London	29,099	25.83%
53.	Salisbury	South West	27,794	25.86%
54.	Ogmore	Wales	16,981	25.93%
55.	Suffolk Coastal	East of England	30,245	25.94%
56.	Leeds West	Yorkshire and the Humber	20,912	25.96%
57.	Nottingham South	East Midlands	25,003	25.97%
58.	Neath	Wales	15,192	26.00%
59.	Cambridge	East of England	23,612	26.01%
60.	Worthing West	South East	28,467	26.05%
61.	Islington South and Finsbury	London	24,910	26.05%
62.	Exeter	South West	25,044	26.06%
63.	Oxford East	South East	25,743	26.08%
64.	Sheffield Heeley	Yorkshire and the Humber	19,664	26.10%
65.	Hertfordshire North East	East of England	28,926	26.14%
66.	Harborough	East Midlands	29,989	26.16%
67.	Ashfield	East Midlands	18,557	26.18%
68.	Greenwich and Woolwich	London	27,822	26.19%
69.	Aberavon	Wales	16,558	26.20%
70.	Henley	South East	29,453	26.21%
71.	Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner	London	27,745	26.22%
72.	Strangford	Northern Ireland	16,915	26.26%
73.	Horsham	South East	33,232	26.27%
74.	Cotswolds, The	South West	32,172	26.29%
75.	Beaconsfield	South East	30,444	26.30%
76.	Eastleigh	South East	31,051	26.33%
77.	Newton Abbot	South West	27,682	26.34%
78.	Swansea East	Wales	16,822	26.36%
79.	Salford and Eccles	North West	26,695	26.36%
80.	Rhondda	Wales	15,677	26.44%
81.	Glasgow South	Scotland	21,578	26.50%
82.	Dunbartonshire West	Scotland	21,529	26.53%
83.	Wythenshawe and Sale East	North West	22,296	26.59%
84.	St Austell and Newquay	South West	29,664	26.59%
85.	Westminster North	London	22,176	26.61%
86.	Kenilworth and Southam	West Midlands	28,000	26.62%
87.	Cardiff South and Penarth	Wales	26,200	26.62%
88.	Newbury	South East	31,977	26.65%
89.	Hemel Hempstead	East of England	27,387	26.71%
90.	Tatton	North West	26,189	26.74%
91.	Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough	Yorkshire and the Humber	21,190	26.76%
92.	Bournemouth West	South West	22,454	26.76%
93.	Barnsley East	Yorkshire and the Humber	13,407	26.77%
94.	Berwick-upon-Tweed	North East	22,553	26.78%
95.	Devon North	South West	29,720	26.82%
96.	Leeds North East	Yorkshire and the Humber	27,093	26.82%
97.	Herefordshire North	West Midlands	27,389	26.83%
98.	Chichester	South East	32,875	26.84%
99.	Islwyn	Wales	14,687	26.85%
100.	Arundel and South Downs	South East	33,047	26.91%

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

Green Target Seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament Election

Below is the list of Green target seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

(order by percentage majority)

Rank		Region	Majority	Swing Needed
1.	Glasgow Kelvin	Glasgow	5,458	7.57%
2.	Edinburgh Northern and Leith	Lothian	16,327	17.43%
3.	Edinburgh Central	Lothian	12,355	18.27%
4.	Aberdeen Central	North East Scotland	12,130	19.17%
5.	Inverness and Nairn	Highlands and Islands	19,157	21.96%
6.	Glasgow Provan	Glasgow	13,547	22.53%
7.	Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale	South Scotland	17,653	25.16%
8.	Cowdenbeath	Mid Scotland and Fife	15,155	26.75%
9.	Glasgow Pollok	Glasgow	16,512	27.84%
10.	Paisley	West Scotland	15,911	28.13%
11.	Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire	South Scotland	17,480	29.46%
12.	Galloway and West Dumfries	South Scotland	16,516	37.33%

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

Green Target Seats for the 2026 Senedd Election

Below is the list of Green target seats for the 2026 Senedd election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

(order by percentage majority)

Rank		Region	Majority	Swing Needed
1.	Neath	South Wales West	10,628	19.61%
2.	Pontypridd	South Wales Central	10,856	20.06%
3.	Cardiff Central	South Wales Central	11,548	20.24%
4.	Swansea West	South Wales West	10,017	20.87%
5.	Cardiff West	South Wales Central	16,378	22.42%
6.	Cardiff South and Penarth	South Wales Central	16,510	22.69%
7.	Brecon and Radnorshire	Mid and West Wales	11,185	22.93%
8.	Ceredigion	Mid and West Wales	15,590	25.35%
9.	Monmouth	South Wales East	13,332	26.44%
10.	Cardiff North	South Wales Central	17,391	26.56%
11.	Gower	South Wales West	14,543	29.39%
12.	Newport West	South Wales East	12,945	30.54%
13.	Vale of Glamorgan	South Wales Central	17,405	32.95%

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

Quick Links

2024 General Election Polling

Swingometer 2024

Labour Target Seats 2024

Conservative Target Seats 2024

Liberal Democrat Target Seats 2024

2019 General Election Results