Liberal Democrat Defence

Below are lists of Liberal Democrat marginal seats showing which constituencies won in the latest elections can be most easily lost.

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Liberal Democrat Defence 2029

Below is the Liberal Democrat defence list consisting of Liberal Democrat held marginal seats for the 2029 general election based on the 2024 boundaries. These marginal constituencies are ordered from the most vulnerable seats to the safest.


	Rank	Constituency	Region	Majority	Swing to Defeat
	1.	Ely and Cambridgeshire East	East of England	495	0.47%
	2.	Hampshire North East	South East	634	0.57%
	3.	Dorset Mid and Poole North	South West	1,352	1.37%
	4.	Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe	Wales	1,472	1.58%
	5.	Eastleigh	South East	1,546	1.67%
	6.	Inverness, Skye and Ross-shire West	Scotland	2,160	2.25%
	7.	Horsham	South East	2,517	2.27%
	8.	Newton Abbot	South West	2,246	2.34%
	9.	Melksham and Devizes	South West	2,401	2.34%
	10.	Newbury	South East	2,377	2.43%
	11.	Norfolk North	East of England	2,585	2.75%
	12.	Thornbury and Yate	South West	3,014	2.82%
	13.	Maidenhead	South East	2,963	2.94%
	14.	Epsom and Ewell	South East	3,686	3.38%
	15.	Tiverton and Minehead	South West	3,507	3.69%
	16.	Sutton and Cheam	London	3,801	3.99%
	17.	Witney	South East	4,339	4.29%
	18.	St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire	East of England	4,621	4.37%
	19.	Chelmsford	East of England	4,753	4.69%
	20.	Cotswolds South	South West	4,973	4.76%
	21.	Bicester and Woodstock	South East	4,958	4.94%
	22.	Chesham and Amersham	South East	5,451	5.01%
	23.	Dorking and Horley	South East	5,391	5.39%
	24.	Didcot and Wantage	South East	6,233	5.69%
	25.	Frome and Somerset East	South West	5,415	5.80%
	26.	Torbay	South West	5,349	5.80%
	27.	Henley and Thame	South East	6,267	5.89%
	28.	Surrey Heath	South East	5,640	5.90%
	29.	Sussex Mid	South East	6,662	6.25%
	30.	Tewkesbury	South West	6,262	6.45%
	31.	Devon North	South West	6,744	6.56%
	32.	Honiton and Sidmouth	South West	6,700	6.61%
	33.	Stratford-on-Avon	West Midlands	7,122	6.72%
	34.	Glastonbury and Somerton	South West	6,611	6.94%
	35.	Hazel Grove	North West	6,500	7.07%
	36.	Devon South	South West	7,127	7.27%
	37.	Cheltenham	South West	7,210	7.28%
	38.	Dorset West	South West	7,789	7.40%
	39.	Wokingham	South East	8,345	7.73%
	40.	Harrogate and Knaresborough	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,238	7.91%
	41.	Tunbridge Wells	South East	8,687	8.01%
	42.	Chippenham	South West	8,138	8.22%
	43.	Carshalton and Wallington	London	7,905	8.47%
	44.	Guildford	South East	8,429	8.73%
	45.	Dunbartonshire Mid	Scotland	9,673	9.17%
	46.	Cambridgeshire South	East of England	10,641	9.69%
	47.	Cornwall North	South West	9,957	9.72%
	48.	Harpenden and Berkhamsted	East of England	10,708	9.85%
	49.	Wells and Mendip Hills	South West	11,121	11.04%
	50.	Esher and Walton	South East	12,003	11.14%
	51.	Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross	Scotland	10,489	11.39%
	52.	Wimbledon	London	12,610	11.47%
	53.	Bath	South West	11,218	11.65%
	54.	Woking	South East	11,246	11.68%
	55.	Chichester	South East	12,172	11.72%
	56.	Taunton and Wellington	South West	11,939	11.87%
	57.	Lewes	South East	12,624	11.87%
	58.	Cheadle	North West	12,235	12.06%
	59.	Winchester	South East	13,821	12.11%
	60.	Yeovil	South West	12,268	12.53%
	61.	Eastbourne	South East	12,204	13.38%
	62.	St Ives	South West	13,786	14.33%
63.	Shropshire North	West Midlands	15,311	15.44%
64.	Edinburgh West	Scotland	16,470	15.69%
65.	Fife North East	Scotland	13,479	15.77%
66.	Oxford West and Abingdon	South East	14,894	16.19%
67.	Richmond Park	London	17,155	16.65%
68.	Kingston and Surbiton	London	17,235	17.01%
69.	Orkney and Shetland	Scotland	7,807	18.87%
70.	St Albans	East of England	19,834	19.21%
71.	Twickenham	London	21,457	20.00%
72.	Westmorland and Lonsdale	North West	21,472	21.67%

2029 General Election

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Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results