Ayrshire North and Arran - UK Parliament Constituency

Here are the most recent election results for the Ayrshire North and Arran constituency.

Note: Smaller parties may be omitted. The candidate with the largest vote who does not belong to one of the main parties is listed as 'Minor'. Votes listed for 'Other' are calculated by taking the votes from the main parties and 'Minor' away from the total votes cast.

Name	Ayrshire North and Arran
Region	Scotland
1st in 2024		Labour
2nd in 2024		SNP
Swing To Lose	4.20%
Next Election Prediction	View

Note: 'Swing To Lose' is the swing needed by the 2nd placed party against the 1st placed party to win the seat.

Electoral History

Election		Party
	Election 2024	Labour
	Election 2019 (New Boundaries)	SNP
	Election 2019	SNP
	Election 2017	SNP
	Election 2015	SNP
	Election 2010	Labour
	Election 2005 (New Boundaries)	Labour
	Election 2005	Labour

Election 2024

View full Election 2024 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	16,821	39.80%	+25.88%
	SNP	13,270	31.40%	-17.14%
	Conservative	5,954	14.09%	-16.76%
	Reform UK	3,415	8.08%	N/A
	Green	1,327	3.14%	+0.83%
	Liberal Democrat	1,005	2.38%	-2.00%
	Minor	238	0.56%	N/A
	Others	232	0.55%	N/A
Majority		3,551	8.40%
Turnout		42,262	58.55%	-6.88%
Electorate		72,176
Swing from SNP to LAB			21.51%
Swing from CON to LAB			21.32%
Swing from SNP to CON			0.19%
	Labour gain from SNP

Election 2019 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2019 (New Boundaries) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	SNP	23,376	48.54%	0.00%
	Conservative	14,855	30.85%	0.00%
	Labour	6,702	13.92%	0.00%
	Liberal Democrat	2,107	4.38%	0.00%
	Green	1,114	2.31%	0.00%
Majority		8,521	17.70%
Turnout		48,154	65.44%	-0.05%
Electorate		73,588
Swing from CON to SNP			0.00%
Swing from LAB to SNP			0.00%
Swing from LAB to CON			0.00%
	SNP hold

Election 2019

View full Election 2019 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	SNP	23,376	48.54%	+9.65%
	Conservative	14,855	30.85%	-0.39%
	Labour	6,702	13.92%	-13.57%
	Liberal Democrat	2,107	4.38%	+2.01%
	Green	1,114	2.31%	N/A
Majority		8,521	17.70%
Turnout		48,154	65.49%	+0.66%
Electorate		73,534
Swing from CON to SNP			5.02%
Swing from LAB to SNP			11.61%
Swing from LAB to CON			6.59%
	SNP hold

Election 2017

View full Election 2017 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	SNP	18,451	38.90%	-14.27%
	Conservative	14,818	31.24%	+16.45%
	Labour	13,040	27.49%	-0.48%
	Liberal Democrat	1,124	2.37%	+0.71%
Majority		3,633	7.66%
Turnout		47,433	64.82%	-6.26%
Electorate		73,176
Swing from SNP to CON			15.36%
Swing from SNP to LAB			6.89%
Swing from LAB to CON			8.46%
	SNP hold

Election 2015

View full Election 2015 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	SNP	28,641	53.17%	+27.22%
	Labour	15,068	27.97%	-19.43%
	Conservative	7,968	14.79%	-0.85%
	UKIP	1,296	2.41%	N/A
	Liberal Democrat	896	1.66%	-8.38%
Majority		13,573	25.20%
Turnout		53,869	71.08%	+8.94%
Electorate		75,791
Swing from LAB to SNP			23.33%
Swing from CON to SNP			14.03%
Swing from LAB to CON			9.29%
	SNP gain from Labour

Election 2010

View full Election 2010 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	21,860	47.40%	+3.48%
	SNP	11,965	25.95%	+7.99%
	Conservative	7,212	15.64%	-2.73%
	Liberal Democrat	4,630	10.04%	-6.39%
	Minor	449	0.97%	N/A
Majority		9,895	21.46%
Turnout		46,116	62.13%	+2.18%
Electorate		74,223
Swing from LAB to SNP			2.26%
Swing from CON to LAB			3.10%
Swing from CON to SNP			5.36%
	Labour hold

Election 2005 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2005 (New Boundaries) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	19,417	43.92%	0.00%
	Conservative	8,121	18.37%	0.00%
	SNP	7,938	17.96%	0.00%
	Liberal Democrat	7,264	16.43%	0.00%
	Others	1,465	3.31%	N/A
Majority		11,296	25.55%
Turnout		44,205	59.95%	-0.62%
Electorate		73,737
Swing from CON to LAB			0.00%
Swing from SNP to LAB			0.00%
Swing from SNP to CON			0.00%
	Labour hold

Election 2005

View full Election 2005 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	19,417	43.92%	N/A
	Conservative	8,121	18.37%	N/A
	SNP	7,938	17.96%	N/A
	Liberal Democrat	7,264	16.43%	N/A
	Minor	780	1.76%	N/A
	UKIP	382	0.86%	N/A
	Others	303	0.69%	N/A
Majority		11,296	25.55%
Turnout		44,205	60.57%	N/A
Electorate		72,986

	Labour win

2029 General Election

Poll of Polls

Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results